Gold on the edge: Will 3,270 break as Fed pressure builds?Hello traders, what’s your view on XAUUSD?
Yesterday, gold remained under pressure as a series of fresh U.S. economic data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer. As a result, U.S. Treasury yields surged, the dollar strengthened, and gold came under renewed selling pressure. Currently, XAUUSD is trading around 3,288 USD, down 0.04% on the day.
From a technical standpoint, gold is clearly trading within a well-defined downward-sloping channel, confirming the dominance of bearish momentum. Moreover, both the EMA34 and EMA89 are acting as dynamic resistance levels, repeatedly rejecting any short-term recovery attempts—highlighting the strength of the current downtrend.
If a pullback occurs before the next leg lower, the confluence of resistance and the EMA zone will be crucial to watch. It could offer ideal conditions for potential short setups in line with the trend.
Looking ahead, the next key support lies at 3,270 USD. A break below this level could open the door for a deeper move toward the 32XX area.
What do you think? Will gold continue to drop further?
Good luck and trade safe!
GOLDCFD trade ideas
"XAU/USD Gold Heist Plan | Pullback Entry for Big Bullish Move"🔐💰“GOLD HEIST PLAN UNLOCKED: Thief Trader’s XAU/USD Breakout Blueprint”💰🔐
by The Market Robber a.k.a. Thief Trader – Stealing Pips, One Candle at a Time!
🌍 Hey Money Makers, Market Hustlers, Robbers, & Chart Crackers! 🌍
Bonjour! Hola! Marhaba! Hallo! Ola! What's poppin'?
Welcome to another exclusive robbery plan crafted in pure Thief Trading style—built off technicals, fundamentals, market psychology, and a bit of outlaw intuition. 💸⚔️
This one’s for the GOLD DIGGERS – literally. We’re targeting XAU/USD for a high-voltage bullish heist 🎯💥. Stick to the plan, follow the chart, and you might just make it out with a sack full of pips 💰🔥.
🔓 THE SETUP: GET READY TO ROB THE GOLD MARKET
We're eyeing a LONG ENTRY, with clear intent to break past the consolidation zone and avoid the trap laid by the "market police" at the ATR barricade zone 🚨. This level is where overbought drama and bear claws are strongest – we slip in, grab the profits, and bounce before they know what hit ‘em.
🧠 Use caution: This level is filled with liquidity traps, reversals, fakeouts and retail bait zones. Classic Thief style means we know where the guards are sleeping and where the cameras don't reach. 🎥🔕
💸 ENTRY PLAN:
🟢 Entry Zone: Watch for a pullback to 3320.00 or above. Don’t jump early.
💡 Tactics:
Use Buy Limit Orders (DCA / Layered Entry Style)
Drop them in on 15min/30min swing levels – catch price slipping into liquidity
Confirm with minor structure breaks / order block retests
🔔 Set those alerts – the real move happens when the breakout candle hits.
🛑 STOP LOSS STRATEGY:
🧠 Pro Rule: No stop-loss before breakout.
Once breakout confirms:
🔴 SL Zone: Recent swing low (approx. 3280.00) on the 4H chart
🎯 Adjust SL based on:
Lot size
Order count
Risk appetite
You know the game: manage your risk like a pro thief—quiet, calculated, and fast on the getaway. 💨
🎯 TARGET ZONE:
🏁 TP Zone: 3490.00
⚠️ Escape earlier if the pressure gets heavy – smart thieves never overstay the job.
🧲 SCALP MODE:
Only scalp LONG SIDE – don’t get caught chasing shorts unless you're rich enough to burn your drawdown 🔥
🔐 Use trailing SL to secure bags while climbing the ladder.
🧠 FUNDAMENTALS & MACRO EDGE:
The Gold market is currently in a BEAR structure with hints of bullish reversal potential. This heist isn’t just technical – it’s backed by:
🌍 Global Macro Flows
💼 COT Reports
📰 Sentiment & News Risk
💣 Geo-political Heat
📊 Intermarket Analysis (Dollar, Yields, Risk-On/Off correlations)
Dig deep for the full macro breakdown. Knowledge is leverage.
(Find full reports on reputable sources — you know where to look 👀)
🚨 RISK ALERT:
Before, During & After News Releases:
Avoid fresh entries 🔕
Use Trailing SLs to protect live trades
Watch spread spikes & low-liquidity traps
👉 Don't trade when the market's drunk.
💖 SHOW LOVE – BOOST THE PLAN:
💥Smash that Boost Button💥 if you want more precision heist strategies like this. Support the Thief Trading Style, and we’ll keep robbing the markets clean and teaching the crew how to get in & get out profit-heavy. 🏴☠️📈💰
🎭 I’ll be back with another chart crime scene soon. Until then, stay sneaky, stay profitable, and always move like the market’s watching (because it is). 😎
🔐 Thief Trader Out. Rob. Exit. Repeat. 🔁💸
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3354 and a gap below at 3297. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3354
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3424
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3297
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3297 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3236
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold’s Next Move: Bounce or Breakdown?Gold is pulling back after breaking the 3,360 USD resistance on the 6-hour chart. Price is currently testing the nearest fair value gap (3,370–3,380), but upside momentum is stalling, partly due to unfilled supply zones above.
A retest of the lower FVG near 3,340 will be key. Holding above this level could trigger renewed buying, while a break below may invalidate the bullish structure.
Traders should closely monitor whether downside gaps continue to fill and how price behaves near support zones. Lack of strong liquidity could lead to a false breakout.
Gold will drop like rain till 3250.Hello IGT FOLLOWER'S
Here is my gold overview, According to me Gold is currently facing resistance around the 3290–3310 zone. This setup anticipates a rejection from this area, with bearish momentum expected to push price downward. A break above 3310 would invalidate the setup, so risk management is key.
Key points:
Entry point: 3290
1st target : 3275
2nd target: 3250
Follow me for more latest updates and signals
XAU/USD | Gold Holding Strong – Watching for Next Bullish Move!By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday, as expected, when the price dropped to around $3357, it faced strong buying pressure and rallied up to $3377. After that, it corrected again, pulling back to $3338 so far, and is currently trading around $3341. If gold manages to hold above $3337, we can expect another bullish move, with potential targets at $3347, $3354, $3364, and $3374.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold price continues sharp declineHello everyone! Do you think gold will rise or fall? Let’s dive into the latest movements of this precious metal.
Just as we anticipated in yesterday’s strategy , gold has extended its downward move, with the bears firmly in control. The precious metal is currently trading around 3,290 USD, clearly signaling a short-term downtrend after breaking the ascending trendline that started in early July. Although there was a slight bounce, price remains capped below the key resistance zone of 3,333 – 3,350 USD, which coincides with the confluence of the 0.618 – 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the EMA 34/89 — adding even more downside pressure.
The main reason behind this recent drop lies in the easing of trade tensions following the US-EU tariff agreement, which has significantly weakened gold’s safe-haven appeal. At the same time, the FOMC meeting yesterday failed to provide any bullish catalyst for gold. Even though the Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged, a single hawkish remark from Chair Powell was enough to intensify short-term selling pressure.
From a technical perspective, gold attempted to retest the broken trendline but failed, confirming the bearish structure. A new wave of correction could emerge soon, but the overall outlook remains tilted toward further downside.
My personal view:
Target 1 is at the 1.272 Fibonacci extension.
Target 2 lies at the 1.618 Fibonacci level — which could be the next destination.
And you — what do you think about this trendline break? Let’s discuss in the comments!
THE KOG REPORT - NFP UPDATE 1H 1H:
This is the chart we used last week for the FOMC and NFP KOG Reports. From the chart we can see the low was captured for FOMC and NFP didn’t give us an undercut low. We’ve kept the potential target box from the Report and for now we’ll stick with it. Red box defence is active below at the 3340-5 level and the ideal target stands above in the oval as long as we remain above the 3340 bias level.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3370, 3373, 3379 and above that 3384
Bearish on break of 3340 with targets below 3330, 3320 and below that 3310
RED BOXES:
Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3379, 3384 and 3390 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3346, 3340, 3335 and 3330 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAU/USD Bullish Setup Building MomentumGold has reclaimed bullish momentum after a strong bounce from the recent demand zone around 3319–3322. The chart shows a clear Change of Character (CHOCH) and subsequent Break of Structure (BOS), suggesting buyers are regaining control. Price is now trading above the Ichimoku cloud, further confirming bullish pressure. The upward arrow highlights the potential path toward the next key resistance area near 3380–3400. As long as price sustains above the previous structural break and the cloud base, continuation toward the upside remains likely. Market structure favours buying opportunities on dips, with bulls targeting a higher move in the short term.
Entry Buy: 3334
Target Point: 3404
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to drop a like and comment . Your support keeps quality ideas flowing—let’s grow and win together! 💪
Gold Price Rebound Towards 3325 Target After Support TestGold (30-min chart) shows a recovery from the support zone (3288–3298) with potential bullish movement. Key resistance levels are 3305 and 3316, with a target zone around 3325.510. Price is expected to follow a corrective structure before possibly reaching the target.
XAUUSD SNIPER OUTLOOK – JULY 28, 2025🔥 Macro & Sentiment
The dollar remains dominant — DXY holding above 105 keeps gold under pressure. No fundamental support for bullish continuation unless major macro shifts. Risk flows are defensive, not aggressive. FOMC and US GDP data remain key drivers for direction this week.
BIAS:
• Short-term bearish under 3350
• Market still in distribution mode — every bounce gets sold
• Real buy interest only deep below 3315
🔻 INTRADAY SUPPLY ZONES (Short Only With Rejection)
1. 3382–3370 (H1/M30 Premium Supply)
🔹 H1 order block, FVG alignment, EMA21/50/100 convergence
🔹 Liquidity inducement above → then rejection
📍 Short only if rejection shows via engulf / upper wick.
2. 3355–3340 (Decision Zone / Micro Supply)
🔹 EMA100/200 alignment, former support flipped resistance
🔹 M30 FVG fully filled, structure flip from mid-July
📍 Short bias below. Long only if reclaimed with H1 close above 3355.
🔵 NEUTRAL / PIVOT ZONE
3. 3338–3326 (Decision Band – M30/M15)
🔹 Consolidation area post-BOS, internal liquidity sweeps
🔹 EMA21 base on M15, no clear dominance
📍 Wait for clean reaction. Bullish engulf = scalp long to 3355. Failure = slide to demand.
🟢 DEMAND ZONES (Buy Only On Strong Reversal Confirmation)
4. 3314–3302 (M30/M15 Deep Demand)
🔹 H1 OB + hidden FVG + fib 38.2%
🔹 First real demand zone where buyers may engage
📍 Long only if strong M15 confirmation: engulf + RSI cross + EMA5/21 angle change.
5. 3289–3272 (True Reversal Demand – H1/M30)
🔹 Full NY reversal origin (July 18), major FVG left unfilled
🔹 Institutional volume + liquidity grab zone
📍 Buy only on full flush + fast snapback with BOS on M15/H1.
🧭 BIAS & EXECUTION BY TIMEFRAME
H4 Bias:
Bearish while below 3350. No valid supply above until 3370+. Avoid longs unless price sweeps 3314 or 3272 and confirms.
H1 Bias:
Sell clean rejection at 3355 or 3370–3382. Only flip long above 3355 with full-bodied close.
M30 Bias:
Watch decision zone 3338–3326 for direction. No-man’s land in between — don’t force trades.
M15 Bias:
Scalp long from 3314 or 3272 only on full confluence (OB + RSI + EMA realignment). Short only confirmed rejections above.
📊 FULL INTRADAY KEY LEVELS (Top → Bottom)
Level Context
3405 Fib ext. 127% (HTF sweep target only)
3385 OB
3375–3350 Valid Premium Supply (H1 shelf)
3350–3340 Micro Supply / Flip Zone
3338–3326 Decision Zone – watch reaction
3314–3302 Deep Demand (H1/M30 confluence)
3289–3272 Extreme Demand Base
3260 Fib 61.8% + HTF support
3250 Minor volume node
3240 Final structural floor
✅ EXECUTION NOTES
⛔ Avoid entering inside 3340–3326 → fakeout zone
✅ Play only clean sniper triggers with structure
⚠️ Wait for macro — FOMC / GDP releases may fake both sides
💡 Patience wins. Pick your zone, wait for setup, strike.
Which zone are you watching to strike? Drop your bias below.
📍 Like, comment & follow GoldFxMinds for the most precise sniper maps on TradingView.
Disclosure: This plan is based on the Trade Nation chart feed. I am part of their Influencer Program.
XAUUSDUpdate:
Gold Price Trend: As per our previous analysis on July 28, 2025, the price has now tested the support at 3,269. We expect that if the gold price can hold above 3,249, the gold price trend will remain bullish. We recommend considering buying in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
Gold Could Show there Potentially BearishGold is currently consolidating, but a downtrend range is forming based on the prevailing market setup. After erasing early gains, XAUUSD stabilized near 3340 on Monday, with downside pressure largely influenced by a stronger U.S. Dollar following the announcement of the US-EU trade agreement.
Price rejected sharply from the 3340 resistance zone, suggesting continued bearish momentum. A minor pullback was seen after testing the upper boundary, with sellers regaining control near resistance. Traders are closely watching the 3350–3362 resistance zone, where another rejection could fuel a fresh downside move A confirmed breakdown below 3312 could open the path toward 3282 in the short term.
Ps: Support with like and comments for more better analysis.
XAUUSD (GOLD): Wait For The BOS! FOMC and NFP Looms!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of July 28 - June 1st.
Gold is in the middle of a consolidation. Bas time to look for new entries!
FOMC on Wednesday and NFP on Friday. Potential news drivers to move price in a decisive direction!
Wait for a break of structure (BOS) either direction before entering a new trade.
Be mindful that the Monthly is bullish, and the Weekly is neutral.
The Daily is bearish, with 3 days of data indicating so. I am leaning towards this bias, as the draws on liquidity are near and obvious.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
XAUUSD-Bearish reversal?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level, which serves as a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take-profit target.
Entry: 3,319.22
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 3,354.19
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,271.39
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
XAUUSD: Bearish Continuation in Play Toward 3,250Gold closed last week with a strong bearish weekly candle, rejecting from the 3,440 supply zone and closing below the key Fair Value Gap at 3,360. This confirms downside pressure, especially in the context of a strengthening dollar.
For this week, we may see a bullish opening early in the week toward 3,370, followed by a deeper bearish move targeting the major low and liquidity pool at 3,250.
Bias: Bearish
Key Zones:
• Resistance / Retest: 3,370
• Target: 3,250
• Supply Rejection: 3,440
Momentum favors further downside unless bulls reclaim key levels.
Gold Recovery Setup = Divergence + Support ClusterGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) fell to the lower line of the ascending channel and the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) , as I expected in my previous idea .
Gold is currently near a set of Supports .
Supports:
Support zone: $3,350-$3,326
Monthly Pivot Point: $3,333
Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ): $3,339-$3,329
Lower line of the ascending Channel
50_EMA(Daily)
Support lines
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing a bearish wave 5 .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,359 .
Second target: $3,367
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,319
Do you think Gold can break the Support cluster by the end of trading hours?
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD H2 | Downside Target 3270Gold (XAUUSD) recently rejected from a key resistance zone around 3300, showing strong bearish momentum on the 2H timeframe.
💡 Setup Idea:
• Price broke support → Retest as new resistance ✅
• Clean imbalance left behind → Fills expected 📉
• Target: 3270 zone (300 pips move) 🎯
• Risk-Reward potential is solid for intraday/swing entries.
Trade Plan:
If price holds below 3300, we expect continuation toward the 3270 zone. This area also aligns with previous structure and liquidity grab.
🕐 Timeframe: 2H
📌 Resistance: 3300
🎯 Target: 3270
📍 RR: 1:2+
#XAUUSD #GoldSetup #PriceAction #SmartMoney #FXTrading #TradingView #ForYou