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Gold price falls back and continues to go longFrom the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10, and the short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high. Gold operation strategy: Gold falls back to 3408-10 and goes long. Fall back to 3388-95 and add more positions. Stop loss 3384, target 3445-3450, and continue to hold if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AgnesGreen
1
Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsOn Tuesday, gold dipped to around $3,374 in the early trading session, then rebounded to the intraday high. In the U.S. trading session, it is currently quoted at about $3,388, approaching the psychological level of $3,400. From the 4-hour chart of gold, the current upward momentum remains intact. The support below is focused on around $3,350, and the strong support is highlighted in the $3,350-$3,330 area, which is also the position of the 5-week moving average. Only by breaking the $3,350 area is there hope to reverse the trend and fall completely. If it does not break here, the bulls may still repeat. Regarding the current trend, gold tends to continue to test the bottom and then rebound, maintaining a large range of sweeping. In terms of operation, it is recommended to go long when gold rebounds to the vicinity of 3370-3360, with the target looking at the 3490-3400 range. The short strategy is to go short near 3400, with the target looking at the 3370-3350 line. XAUUSD buy@3370-3360 tp:3390-3400 sell@3395-3400 tp:3370-3350 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanField
1
Gold eyes $3,485 as bulls take chargeOANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum suggests that buyers are in control, indicating the potential for further upside movement. Price has recently broken through a key resistance zone and may pull back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it will reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,485 target, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. As long as the price remains above this support area, the bullish outlook remains intact. However, a failure to hold this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the chances of a retracement toward the lower boundary of the channel. The recent surge in gold prices has been driven by the escalating Middle East crisis and a weakening U.S. dollar. Gold recorded its highest weekly close in history at $3,432 per ounce, fueled by concerns over global economic stability and rising demand for safe-haven assets. Analysts have raised their gold forecasts due to the ongoing market uncertainties. Despite the bullish momentum, I believe gold may be entering overbought territory in the near term, indicating a potential for a short-term correction. However, the broader uptrend remains strong, supported by geopolitical tensions, central bank buying activity, and continued investor demand for robust assets.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jessica_Paul
2
Fed Rate Decision: Gold's 3,400 Threshold as Bull-Bear DivideToday, the market has consolidated in a range throughout the day, with neither price direction nor volatility breaking through the range. However, our trading approach proved accurate: short positions were initiated near 3,400 during rebounds, and long positions were entered near the key level of 3,370 during pullbacks. Investors following our strategy have achieved profits from both directions. With limited price movement currently, the Fed's interest rate decision due to land in an hour will become the core variable dominating the market trend for the rest of the month. Currently, gold prices continue to trade below the 3,400 threshold, maintaining a weak market structure. The 3,400 level serves as a key watershed between bulls and bears, and the validity of its breakthrough will determine the trend inflection point: if prices effectively hold above 3,400 after the data release, it indicates that gold will break out of its weak pattern, with the potential for an accelerated rally ahead. Conversely, if prices remain suppressed below 3,400, it is highly likely to trigger further downward exploration. It is recommended to closely monitor the breakthrough signal at the 3,400 threshold after the data release, using this as the operational basis for trend switching. XAUUSD buy@3370-3380 tp:3400-3420-3450 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanField
2
Chart Pattern: Ascending Channel / Rising WedgeChart Analysis Breakdown : Price Channel (Ascending): A rising wedge or ascending channel is drawn, showing higher highs and higher lows. The upper and lower white trendlines are converging slightly, suggesting a potential breakout or breakdown soon. Key Support and Resistance Zones: Orange Resistance Zone (Top Left): Marked as a supply zone where price previously reversed (around 3,420–3,430). Orange Support Zone (Bottom Center): Around 3,320–3,330, possibly acting as demand or a retest area. Price Levels (Right Scale): Current price is around 3,386.36. Several price markers are noted (green for potential bullish targets, red for bearish zones). Projections/Scenarios (White Arrows): Bullish Scenario: Price breaks above the upper channel line and targets levels like 3,423 or 3,440. Bearish Scenario: Price fails at resistance, retraces back to the support zone, possibly to 3,360 or lower (near 3,320 zone). EMA 50 (Blue Line): An EMA (Exponential Moving Average) is lightly visible and used for trend confirmation. Price is currently above it, indicating bullish bias. Other Chart Elements: Time shown is UTC+3. The local weather is 30°C and hazy. Timestamp: June 13, 2025, at 1:35 AM. 📈 Interpretation: The chart suggests a watch for breakout scenario in XAUUSD: If price sustains above the rising channel, it could rally further. If it breaks below, look for a retest of the 3,320–3,330 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by King_Maker_FX
1
XAU/USD: Next Week's Trend Analysis and Trading SuggestionsI. Global Central Banks' Gold Purchases Continue to Support Long-Term Gold Uptrend For instance, China's central bank has increased gold reserves for 7 consecutive months, India's gold reserve ratio has doubled compared to 2021, and countries like Thailand and Brazil followed suit in May. Central banks' gold buying, driven by reserve structure optimization and geopolitical risk hedging, provides long-term support for gold prices via sustained demand growth. II. Technicals Show Intense Range Battle at $3,400 Key Level Gold prices, after breaking through $3,400, are oscillating near $3,430. Short-term bulls dominate, but $3,450 acts as a significant resistance. The $3,400 level has turned into strong support— a breakdown could trigger pullbacks. While moving averages show a bullish alignment, overbought technical signals warrant correction vigilance. III. Geopolitical Conflicts Escalate Sharply Israel's precision strikes destroyed Iranian nuclear facilities and decapitated high-ranking officials, prompting Iran's immediate retaliation. With multiple Middle Eastern nations now involved, escalating geopolitical risks strongly underpin the rally in gold and crude oil. Conclusion Geopolitical tensions will sustain short-term upward momentum for gold, but investors must monitor Middle East developments and Fed policy shifts. Prudent position management based on risk tolerance is advised, with caution against excessive leverage in volatile markets. Next Week's XAU/USD Trading Strategy buy@3410-3420 tp:3440-3450 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
1
HelenP. I Gold can rise to resistance level and drop to $3325Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a steady climb, the price began to lose momentum and eventually corrected back to the trend line. This zone acted as dynamic support and initiated a new wave of upward movement. However, unlike the previous impulse, the price started consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, signaling indecision and weakening bullish pressure. Now the structure is tightening near the resistance zone, where the price has already been rejected multiple times. The market appears to be preparing for another interaction with the resistance level around 3430. Given the overall context, fading bullish energy, repeated rejections, and the triangle formation, I expect the price to test the resistance one more time before reversing downward. My goal is the trend line support, which aligns with 3325 points. This zone offers a logical area for the price to move next, especially considering the limited momentum above and the growing risk of breakdown inside the triangle. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
4
Time for the Hammer?” – When Price Breaks, Then Breathes🧠 What Just Happened? The chart opens with a classic market behavior: Price runs above recent highs — triggering a wave of emotional entries and stop hunts. Right after, it drops sharply, hinting that something deeper is at play. This sequence reflects how markets often: Bait retail traders with a breakout Break structure suddenly Then pull back — not for mercy, but to reload 🔍 Why This Pullback Matters After the aggressive drop, price didn't just fall aimlessly. It paused and returned to a zone of imbalance , a gap where liquidity is still waiting. That retrace isn’t weakness — it’s intent. This kind of setup teaches a key concept: “The real move comes after the aggressive move — not before.” 📚 A Lesson in Patience Most traders enter on the breakout (the sweep) Smart traders enter on the pullback into value Pros wait for the reaction + structure shift before doing anything This isn’t about being first. It’s about being right when it matters. 🧭 Final Thought The hammer doesn't fall until the trap is fully set. Study these moves. Study the emotion behind the candles. That's where edge lives. 💬 Drop your thoughts — did you catch this behavior on Gold today? 🔁 Follow for more thought-driven, story-based chart breakdowns.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Crusade1Jay
5
Smart Money Zones Revealed (XAUUSD) Is Gold Just Breathing or Breaking? Smart Money Zones Revealed (XAUUSD) 🔍 Macro & Sentiment Overview Gold faced a sharp correction after a strong Asian session rally, which caught many traders off guard... While the US Dollar gained 0.7% due to safe-haven flows and Fed anticipation, gold's dip seems more like a liquidity sweep than a structural reversal... 🌍 Rising geopolitical tensions — especially Iran–Israel and Trump’s comments about Tehran — keep the fear premium alive… 🛢️ Meanwhile, oil prices are surging, and institutional funds might be rotating capital between commodities and equities... 📝 All eyes are now on the Fed’s rate decision and the US retail sales report — a potential "horror print" that could shock rate expectations and trigger high volatility across markets. 📉 Technical Breakdown (M30 Perspective) Price pulled back sharply after an overextended bullish move from Asian FOMO… EMAs (13, 34, 89, 200) show early signs of potential crossover — signaling caution for buyers… Liquidity gaps (FVG zones) below current price indicate a magnet for institutional fills… 🎯 Trade Setup 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3345 – 3343 Stop-Loss: 3339 Take Profits: 3350 → 3354 → 3358 → 3362 → 3366 → 3370 → 3380 → 3400 → ??? 🧠 Look for confirmation through price action and rejection candles during London/NY sessions before entering. 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3442 – 3444 Stop-Loss: 3448 Take Profits: 3438 → 3434 → 3430 → 3425 → 3420 → 3410 → 3400 ⚠️ Only short upon clean rejection and strong bearish confirmation patterns — avoid blind entries in this volatile phase. 🧠 Final Thoughts Gold is moving within a smart money playbook — triggering stop hunts and liquidity grabs. With macro uncertainty ahead, patience and precision matter more than ever. Let price come to your zones. Don’t chase. Let volatility serve you — not shake you. 📌 Follow this idea for live updates during the Fed press conference and NY session.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
2
High-level chasing risk warningObservation of the hourly gold K-line pattern shows that the current price is still in a fluctuating upward channel. Based on this technical feature, if subsequent data is favorable and pushes gold prices further up, it may form a trading opportunity to arrange short orders at a staged high level. It is important to note that although the gold price surged rapidly after the data was released, it has shown a significant first-line resistance effect in the historical trading intensive range of 3400-3410. Considering that the bullish momentum has not yet broken through the technical conditions of this key pressure zone at this stage, the technical correction of the price after the surge is in line with the logic of price behavior. At the specific operational level, it is recommended to adopt a trading strategy of low-long and high-short with the trend. In the short term, it is recommended to establish short orders when the gold price rebounds to the 3405-3410 area Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to short gold near the rebound of 3405-3410, with a stop loss at 3418 and a target of 3380-3360;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BarnettWolf
1
XAU/USD Technical Analysis 📊 XAU/USD Technical Analysis (June 18, 2025) 🟢 Current Market Overview Price: $3,381.19 The market is currently trading within a defined range, showing consolidation above a strong support zone. 🔍 Key Technical Levels Support Zone: $3,360 – $3,375 This level has been tested multiple times and held firmly, indicating strong buying interest 📈. Resistance Zone: $3,435 – $3,455 Price has previously rejected this zone, suggesting active sellers in this area ⚠️. 🧠 Price Action Insight The recent price structure shows a pullback into support after a strong bullish move. The current consolidation suggests accumulation before a potential breakout. A bullish reversal pattern seems to be forming near support, pointing toward a possible rally toward resistance. 📈 Projected Move 📍 Scenario: Bounce from support zone → Break toward resistance. The marked projection curve suggests price may retest support, then rally to the $3,440–$3,455 resistance area. 🧾 Trading Outlook Bias: Bullish (above $3,360) Entry Zone: $3,365 – $3,375 Target: $3,440 – $3,455 Invalidation: Break and close below $3,355 (would indicate weakness) 🚫 📅 Fundamental Context Multiple high-impact USD events are approaching 🇺🇸 (noted at the bottom of the chart). These could cause volatility and may act as catalysts for the breakout. ✅ Conclusion The market is currently in a bullish accumulation phase above strong support. As long as this level holds, a move toward the resistance zone remains the high-probability scenario. Monitor closely for confirmation via bullish candlesticks or volume increase.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MQL_CodedPips
2
GOLD Gold (XAU/USD), DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Interest Rate Correlations As of June 2025, the relationships between these assets reflect a mix of traditional dynamics and evolving market forces. Below is a breakdown of their correlations and current data: 1. Gold (XAU/USD) and DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Traditional Inverse Relationship: Gold is priced in USD, so a stronger dollar (higher DXY) typically makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar supports gold prices. Recent Anomaly (2023–2025): Geopolitical tensions (e.g., Iran-Israel conflict, U.S.-China trade disputes) and central bank gold purchases (notably by China and Russia) have driven simultaneous strength in gold and the dollar. For example: Gold hit a record high of $3,500/oz in April 2025 despite DXY hovering near 98.43. Central banks bought 1,037 tonnes of gold in 2024, offsetting typical dollar-driven headwinds. The inverse correlation is reasserting as Fed rate-cut expectations grow, but geopolitical risks still support gold. 2. Gold and 10-Year Treasury Yield Inverse Correlation Typically: Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Inflation Hedge Exception: When real interest rates (nominal yield - inflation) are negative or low, gold rises despite higher yields. For example: 10-year yield: 4.450% (June 2025) U.S. inflation: 3.1% (May 2025) → real rate ~1.26%, reducing gold’s appeal but not eliminating it. Current Driver: Market focus on Fed policy (potential cuts) and inflation persistence keeps gold supported even with elevated yields. 3. DXY and 10-Year Treasury Yield Positive Correlation: Higher yields attract foreign capital into U.S. bonds, boosting dollar demand (DXY↑). Divergence Risks: Geopolitical tensions can decouple this relationship (e.g., safe-haven dollar demand outweighs yield changes). 4. Interest Rates and Gold Fed Policy Impact: Higher rates strengthen the dollar and dampen gold demand, while rate cuts weaken the dollar and boost gold. 2025 Outlook: Fed funds rate: 4.25–4.50% (held steady in June 2025). Geopolitical Risks: Safe-haven demand for gold and the dollar persists. Real Interest Rates: Gold’s performance hinges on whether real rates stay subdued. Central Bank Demand: Record gold purchases (1,200+ tonnes in 2024) provide structural support. Conclusion While traditional correlations between gold, DXY, and yields persist, structural shifts (central bank buying, geopolitical fragmentation) and evolving Fed policy are redefining these relationships. Gold remains bullish in the medium term. WATCH MY GREEN BAR ZONE FOR BUY.
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
5
GOLD SELL 3390Several key factors are contributing to the current bearish sentiment in XAUUSD (Gold/USD): 1. Easing Geopolitical Tensions Gold is widely considered a safe-haven asset, attracting demand during periods of heightened geopolitical risk. Recently, concerns about escalating conflicts in the Middle East have subsided, leading to a reduction in safe-haven demand and a shift of capital toward riskier assets. Reports of potential diplomatic engagement between major world powers (e.g., US and Russia) and a lack of escalation in ongoing conflicts have further reduced the urgency to hold gold for safety. 2. Hawkish Federal Reserve and Interest Rate Expectations The Federal Reserve's minutes revealed policymakers are hesitant to cut interest rates and are even considering further hikes due to persistent inflation. Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making it less attractive to investors. This expectation of prolonged higher rates has strengthened the US dollar and pressured gold prices downward. 3. Technical Breakdown and Bearish Chart Patterns Gold recently failed to break above key resistance at $3,440 and is now correcting lower toward support at $3,400. A break below this level could trigger further downside, with technical targets at $3,350 and $3,340. Technical indicators, such as the MACD and RSI, are signaling strong bearish momentum. The price has broken below important moving averages (EMA 200, Ichimoku cloud), and a "death cross" (EMA 50 below EMA 200) has formed, all pointing to further bearish pressure. Chart patterns, including a bearish double top and a break below the regression channel, reinforce the negative outlook. 4. Reduced Demand from Key Buyers If global economic uncertainty fades and central banks slow their gold purchases, demand can weaken, further weighing on prices. Easing US-China trade tensions and a potentially weakening Chinese economy could also reduce gold demand from one of its largest consumers
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SachitMaskey
1
Gold 100% Trading SignalsAfter the changes in the first four trading days of this week, everyone is convinced that gold will rise after adjustment. Now that the trend has been strengthened, today we will discuss where the strength of this bullish trend can reach this week. This week, it has been emphasized that the expected rising space within the week will be 3370-3400. It has almost reached 3375. The target of the next wave of gold rise is 3400. From a technical point of view, the daily line appeared on Wednesday, standing firmly above the middle track of Bollinger, and the moving average system diverged upward. In the 4-hour chart, the golden cross of the random indicator MA5-MA10 continued, which was good for intraday fluctuations and rises; MACD continued to hit the red kinetic energy column. In terms of form, it continued to rise slowly, which was a bullish signal; then it is expected to rise to the upper track high of Bollinger near 3400 under strong pressure. After this round of rising and pulling up, Bollinger opened in the 4-hour chart. Today may be a one-sided trend, and the intraday support is near 3342. After adjusting to 3342 during the day, you can go long and see today's rising space. Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go long at 3345-3350, stop loss at 3340, target at 3360-3370; it is recommended to go short at 3400, stop loss at 3410, target at 3380-3370.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RodneyBridges
1
XAUUSD 4H Analysis – Key SMC Levels in PlayPrice has been respecting market structure with multiple Breaks of Structure (BoS) and a confirmed Change of Character (ChoCh) from bearish to bullish. After sweeping a Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) and reacting off an Order Block (OB), price is currently consolidating above a bullish OB. We're now at a decision point : Bullish Scenario : If price holds this OB and shows a clear intent to push higher, we could target the previous highs near 3420+. Bearish Scenario : If the OB fails and we get a clean break below the structure, I'm eyeing the next OB + FVG zone around 3315–3303 as the next point of interest. Price action inside this range will confirm the next move. Keep an eye on rejections and reaction from the OB zone to decide entry. 🧠 Marked levels : OBs, FVGs, BSL, IDM block Key structural breaks (BoS, ChoCh) Bias remains neutral-to-bullish until OB fails 📌 Wait for confirmation before entry – patience is profit. #XAUUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #OrderBlock #GoldAnalysis #BreakOfStructure
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SMC_trader_xau
1