Nio to Drive Lower? NIO - Short Term - We look to Sell at 27.16 (stop at 29.98)
We look to sell rallies. Previous support, now becomes resistance at 28.00. We have a 61.8% Fibonacci pullback level of 28.26 from 33.80 to 19.31. 20 1day EMA is at 26.50. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 27.00 level.
Our profit targets will be 19.36 and 16.80
Resistance: 28.00 / 34.00 / 45.00
Support: 20.00 / 15.00 / 10.00
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9866 trade ideas
Nio Analysis 02.02.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
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NIO ELIOT WAVESNIO Inc. is a pioneer and a leading company in the premium smart electric vehicle market. Founded in November 2014, NIO’s mission is to shape a joyful lifestyle. NIO aims to build a community starting with smart electric vehicles to share joy and grow together with users. NIO designs, develops, jointly manufactures and sells premium smart electric vehicles, driving innovations in next-generation technologies in autonomous driving, digital technologies, electric powertrains and batteries.
Short $NIO $29.30Short $NIO $29.30. Falling channel. Downtrend will continue in my opinion. Price was rejected at 200 SMA early December 2021. Made lower lows since then. Recently Tried to break above $34 area but failed to maintain the momentum. Soon will test $27 area for support. Any further sell off in this name, going to push the price down my short target of $22 area.
NIO ShortTechnical Analysis behind my short position on NIO. I have been watching this triangle channel for a while now and with this last week, it appears it has strongly broken out of that candle. Before entering a position I am waiting for it to retest the bottom support of the triangle.
Just speculation :)
My *BIASED* hopeful hypothesis for NIO - Opinions WelcomeThis is my hopeful outlook on NIO over earnings.
I'm stuck in 3 x $70 03/19 calls, but have accepted I may need to close at a very uncool loss if we break a new low tomorrow.
Hoping recent catalysts (CNBC Fast Money, Barron's report on Korean investment, new factory etc.) can run us up over the next week prior to earnings. Also hoping SPY can put in a few solid days to help us build momentum and give wind behind our sails
Hard to predict what will happen after earnings. If I can get out of my calls at small loss or breakeven before ER I probably will take 2 of my contracts off, and only leave one to ride through Earnings. This is largely because in retrospect I personally oversized my position relative to my account size on this play, and even with expected positive earnings it still doesn't guarantee the stock price will push higher. At this point I just want my money off of the table for the most part
I am not a financial advisor, nor a guru, and I'm still learning, this is purely my hopeful, biased hypothesis.
Would love to hear input from people so please let me know what you think of my analysis, happy to take criticism as it will be something I may be able to learn from.
NIO Is A BUY - RISKING A LOT ON IT BEFORE $50NIO is fundamentally different than Chinese Tech delisting concerns. NIO wants to be more global in the west and listing alone in HK will be a concern for them. Like others, Chinese EV Makers, NIO's upside remains $50+ whereas the downside risk is 20% below EMA100 on weekly. If NIO ever awards $20, I will put all of my money on it. Where as I am holding a large sum of shares at various prices. I am an investor for NIO not a traders so the realized losses do not hurt me for now.
All the bubbles are bursting one after the other..!Some people think I am
Stubborn
Some think I am
Arrogant
Some believe I am
Lucky
But I know I am not here to listen to these things..!
I started this to shine a light on the bubbles and I think I did my job:
I really feel proud that I started publishing a short analysis for NIO when it was 57, ARKK when it was 143, etc.
I strongly recommend all the traders to read George Soros's book "The Alchemy of Finance".
I can hear GROWLING BEARS coming and please do not try to fight back..!
This is a recommendation of a man who did these analyses:
NIO:
DOCU:
RIVN:
WKHS:
Luna:
AMD & NVDA:
TSLA:
MSFT:
VIAC:
ARKK, ARKG, ARKW, ARKF, Print, ..etc
Ethereum:
I may not know anything but I know the difference between the Bullish and bearish trends!
If you have doubt, check all my new analyses, never publish a bullish idea after January 2nd, 2021, close the trade on January 11th, and then just published a short analysis since then!
My specialty is to detect bubbles, do not forget even a decent business may become overpriced for a while!
I like to finish this George Soros quote:
“The reality is that financial markets are self-destabilizing; occasionally they tend toward disequilibrium, not equilibrium.”
So equities have the chance to become undervalued as well..!
I will review this in a couple of weeks (months)..!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NIO might gain more ground. NIOWell we are willing to take a chance on the high likelihood that it might. Short term outlook.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in green with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
Chinese Investment flight riskNio is deemed the Tesla of China. Sadly their macroeconomic environment is far different than the USA. Even with increasing profit and sales, without a stable global presence and Chinese accounting practices far from global standards, this stock is poised to continue it's downtrend following the descending triangle pattern confirmation. Should see this stock in the teens by Q1 2022 end.
personal analysis = not investment advice.
Best of Luck!