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JAPANESE YEN / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR

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JPYAUD trade ideas

Trade Idea: Sell AUD/JPY## 🟠 Trade Idea: **Sell AUD/JPY** **Bias**: Bearish **Date**: June 16, 2025 --- ### 🔻 Why I’m Selling AUD/JPY **1. AUD is Weakening** * Australia’s economy is slowing. * Business and consumer confidence are falling. * The RBA may **cut interest rates** soon. * Exports are under pressure due to **China’s slowdown**. **2. JPY is Strengthening** * The Yen gains in **risk-off markets** (like now). * The Bank of Japan is holding firm — and may turn more hawkish. * Japan’s inflation is still above target. --- ### 📊 The Setup This pair reflects **opposite forces**: * AUD = Risky, weakening * JPY = Safe haven, steady or strengthening --- ### 🔍 What I’m Watching * RBA’s policy signals * Japan’s inflation data (June 20) * Global tensions — which help JPY * China’s economic updates --- ### ⏳ Short-Term Outlook * Potential move lower if Aussie data weakens or global risk grows. * Target zone: Watching for downside toward recent support areas.
Short
by Wainainarobert
1
AUDJPY Forming A Bullish Set-upAUDJPY is recovering very nicely after touching the 86 support level, which goes back to the 2023 low. That was clearly an important zone from there we’ve seen a sharp and impulsive bounce in the last two months, even breaking above the trendline resistance connected down from the 2024 highs. This breakout suggests that bulls may be back in control and could still drive the pair toward the 98–100 area later this year. If we get a retracement in the near term, keep an eye on the 91.70 - 90.00 zone as potential support. GH
Long
by ew-forecast
AUDJPY 4H Short Setup📕 Smart Money Trade Breakdown 🔻 AUDJPY 4H Short Setup This is a short entry on AUDJPY, taken from a premium price zone within an Order Block (O-B) and Supply & Demand (S&D) area, showing strong bearish rejection after internal market structure shift. 📉 Entry: 94.096 🎯 Take Profit: 90.136 🛡️ Stop Loss: 95.399 ⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 🔍 Key Confluences: Entry within a well-defined Order Block and S&D zone Price reacted to upper supply with a visible wick rejection Break of internal structure (M15-H1) shows bearish intent Bearish engulfing on confirmation candle Trendline break suggests end of bullish wave This setup aims to catch the institutional distribution phase before price retraces to discount demand around the 90.100 zone or lower. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes. Apply proper risk management and strategy validation before live execution.
Short
by sksglobaltraders24on
AUDJPY SELL SIGNAL – GLOBAL HORNS🦘 AUDJPY SELL SIGNAL – GLOBAL HORNS 🕰️ Timeframe: 4H 📉 Direction: SELL 📍 Entry: 94.40 (active) 🎯 Target: 93.94 ⏳ Duration: usually within a few days max 📊 Context: Price surged into a key reaction zone and is now stalling. I'm looking for a short-term pullback to the 93.94 area, which aligns with recent structural retests (see arrows). Trade is already active. 📌 No stop loss — this is managed by time and price behavior. If target isn't hit by the window, I’m out. 🧠 As always, this is not financial advice. Just showing what I’m doing. #GlobalHorns #AUDJPY #Forex
Short
by GlobalHorns
AUDJPY Will Go Higher! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for AUDJPY. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 94.496. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 95.595 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D17 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D17 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order block rejection ✅15' Order block ✅Daily order block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUD/JPY Bulls Eye 95+ After Bullish ReversalAUD/JPY bounced sharply on Thursday, snapping a 3-day losing streak with a solid bullish-range session. The rally kicked off from a bullish pinbar above 92, where the higher low reinforces support and the broader bullish case. The 1-hour chart shows a clean breakout from an inverted head and shoulders pattern, pointing to a target around 95.50. With resistance at the April high (95.30), March high (95.75), and the 96 handle, there’s still room for bulls to run. Dips toward 94 may offer opportunities to join the trend — but a break back below the neckline would shift the tone back to risk-off. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex
AUD_JPY MOVE DOWN AHEAD|SHORT| ✅AUD_JPY made a retest of The strong horizontal resistance of 93.900 Level of 106.083 and as you Can see the pair is already Making a local pullback from The level which sends a clear Bearish signal to us therefore We will be expecting a Further bearish correction SHORT🔥 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅ 

 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by ProSignalsFx
1
AUDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for AUDJPY. Time Frame: 30m Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 93.507. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 93.232 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
3
AUDJPYAUDJPY: 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rates, Bank Lending Rates, and Carry Trade Advantage (June 2025) 1. 10-Year Government Bond Yields Australia (AUD): The 10-year Australian government bond yield is currently around 4.48%–4.53%. Japan (JPY): The 10-year Japanese government bond yield is about 1.48% as of June 16, 2025. 2. Central Bank Interest Rate Decisions Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA): The RBA cut its cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.85% in May 2025, citing progress in reducing inflation and global uncertainties. Bank of Japan (BOJ): The BOJ held its key short-term policy interest rate steady at 0.5% at its June 2025 meeting, maintaining the highest level since 2008. 3. Bank Lending Rates Australia: The average overdraft bank lending rate is 10.51% as of April 2025. Japan: The long-term prime bank lending rate is 2.05% (April 2025), while the average commercial bank lending rate is reported at 1.625% as of February 2025. 4. Interest Rate Differential Policy Rate Differential:3.85%3.85% (RBA) − 0.5%0.5% (BOJ) = 3.35%. 10-Year Bond Yield Differential:4.48%4.48% (Australia) − 1.48%1.48% (Japan) = 3.00%. 5. Carry Trade Advantage Mechanism: Investors borrow in the low-yielding Japanese yen (JPY) and invest in higher-yielding Australian dollar (AUD) assets, profiting from the interest rate differential. Current Advantage: The wide gap in both policy rates and bond yields makes AUDJPY one of the most attractive carry trade pairs in 2025. The 3.35%–3.00% differential offers steady potential returns, especially in a stable or risk-on market environment. Risks: If global risk sentiment deteriorates, the yen can strengthen rapidly as a safe haven, unwinding carry trades. Sudden shifts in RBA or BOJ policy could narrow the differential and reduce the carry trade's appeal. 6. Summary Table Factor Australia (AUD) Japan (JPY) Differential / Impact 10Y Bond Yield 4.48–4.53% 1.48% 3.00% (AUD advantage) Policy Rate 3.85% 0.5% 3.35% (AUD advantage) Bank Lending Rate 10.51% 1.625–2.05% AUD much higher Carry Trade Outlook High yield, attractive Low yield, funding Strong incentive for AUDJPY long Conclusion The AUDJPY pair is strongly supported by a wide interest rate and bond yield differential, making it a favored target for carry trade strategies in 2025. The RBA’s relatively high rates and the BOJ’s ultra-low rates, combined with stable economic conditions, provide a consistent yield advantage for investors holding long AUDJPY positions. However, traders should monitor global risk sentiment and central bank policy shifts, as these can quickly change the carry trade landscape
Long
by Shavyfxhub
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D16 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D16 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order block rejection ✅15' Order block ✅Daily order block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
PRICE ACTION IN MY VIEW 1. 4-Hour Chart: ○ You identify a clear uptrend (making HH and HL). ○ You mark a significant 4-hour Support Level where price has bounced strongly multiple times in the past. ○ Confluence: Strong uptrend + major support. Your bias is to buy. 2. 30-Minute Chart: ○ Price pulls back from a recent high and approaches your identified 4-hour support level. ○ As price touches the 4-hour support, a large Bullish Engulfing Bar forms and closes. The body of this candle completely engulfs the previous bearish candle. ○ Confluence: Price at 4H support + Bullish Engulfing Bar + aligns with 4H uptrend. This is your potential setup. 3. 5-Minute Chart: ○ After the 30-minute Bullish Engulfing Bar closes, you switch to the 5-minute chart. ○ You see that after the engulfing bar, the 5-minute chart has formed a new higher low and then broken above a short-term 5-minute resistance level, with a strong bullish 5-minute candle closing above it. ○ Entry: You enter a long trade immediately after the 5-minute confirmation candle closes. ○ Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just below the low of the 30-minute Bullish Engulfing Bar (or slightly below the 4-hour support). ○ Take Profit: Identify the next major 4-hour resistance level as your target. ○ Confluence: 30M signal confirmed by 5M structure break + tight stop loss placement.
Long
by excellentcool1234
1
AUDJPY Rejects Resistance – Bearish Momentum May ResumeHey Traders, AUDJPY has recently reversed from the key resistance zone near 94.60, showing signs of short-term weakness. Price action has broken below the previous structure and is now attempting a retest of the 93.80 area, which could act as fresh resistance and trigger the next bearish leg. Current Market Conditions: The pair rejected a major resistance zone (94.60) after forming a swing high and printing consecutive bearish candles. Currently retesting the broken support-now-turned-resistance at around 93.80. A confirmed rejection here may accelerate the move toward the next support around 93.05, and further down to 92.30. Fundamental Analysis/Outlook: AUD is under pressure following weaker-than-expected Chinese data, Australia’s largest trading partner, raising concerns about reduced demand for Australian exports. Meanwhile, the JPY is seeing slight safe-haven bids as global equities show mixed sentiment ahead of the U.S. CPI and FOMC decision. This macro setup favors a bearish bias on AUDJPY as risk appetite cools and the yen regains some strength. Targets: TP1: 93.05 TP2: 92.30 TP3 (extended): 91.80 if downside momentum intensifies Risk Management: Stop-Loss: Above 94.20 to protect against bullish breakout Confirm rejection at 93.80 before committing to position sizing Risk no more than 1-2% per trade; stick to your plan. Technical Outlook: Strong bearish rejection from resistance Retest of key level aligns with structure-based entries Downward price channel may be forming if support breaks Conclusion: AUDJPY appears ready for further downside if 93.80 holds as resistance. Watch for more bearish confirmation before entry—this setup offers solid R:R potential for both day and swing traders. Sign-off: "Patience in trading is not waiting without action, but waiting with purpose." I would love to hear your thoughts in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and profitable trading to you all!
Short
by SignalSage_Ben
AUDJPY Bullish Breakout supported at 92.00The AUD/JPY pair is currently maintaining a bullish bias, underpinned by an ongoing uptrend. Recent price action shows sideways consolidation, typically a sign of trend continuation when occurring within an established bullish structure. Key Level: 91.50 This level marks a prior consolidation zone and now acts as a critical support area. Bullish Scenario (bounce from 91.50): A corrective dip to 91.50 followed by a strong bounce would support the bullish continuation. Upside targets include: 94.20 – Immediate resistance 94.90 – Previous swing high 95.90 – Longer-term resistance Bearish Scenario (break below 91.50): A daily close below 91.50 would weaken the bullish outlook. In this case, downside support levels include: 90.50 – Initial retracement target 89.40 – Deeper support zone Conclusion The outlook for AUD/JPY remains bullish while price holds above the key 91.50 support level. A successful bounce from this zone could lead to a retest of higher resistance levels at 94.20 and above. However, a confirmed break below 91.50 would shift sentiment to neutral-to-bearish, potentially triggering further declines toward 90.50 and 89.40. Traders should monitor price behavior at 91.50 for near-term directional cues. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
AUD_JPY LOCAL SHORT| ✅AUD_JPY  made a retest of the Strong horizontal resistance level of 94.800 And as you can see the pair is already Making a local pullback from The level which sends a clear Bearish signal to us therefore We will be expecting a Further bearish correction SHORT🔥 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅ 

 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by ProSignalsFx
1