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JAPANESE YEN / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR

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AUDJPY LONG & SHORT – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W29 | Y25💼 AUDJPY LONG & SHORT – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W29 | Y25 📊 MARKET STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT AUD JPY is currently reaching for a key higher time frame supply zone, looking for price action to show weakness at premium levels. Structure and momentum are now aligning for a short opportunity backed by multi-timeframe confluence. 🔍 Confluences to Watch 📝 ✅ Daily Order Block (OB) Looking for Strong reaction and early signs of distribution. ✅ 4H Order Block Break of internal structure (iBoS) confirms a short-term bearish transition. ✅ 1H Order Block 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. 🏁 Final Thoughts from FRGNT 📌 The structure is clear. The confluences are stacked. Let execution follow discipline, not emotion.
Long
by JCFRGNT
FOREX: Weekly Review: The week starting Monday 7 was a fairly sanguine week. With limited US data on the agenda, all eyes were on commentary surrounding the July 9 tariff deadline. Ultimately, any tariff concerns were be brushed aside when a 'fresh deadline' of August 2 was announced. Any attempts at fresh escalation following the announcement were met with ambiguity, as the market continues to hold the view that the president's bark is worse than his bite. It was very pleasing to see the JPY weaken so much, without reading about a particular cause for JPY weakness, I put it down to a possible re-emergence of the 'carry trade'. Which is hopefully good news moving forward. It was also nice to see the AUD so strong. A data dependent hold, combined with the overall positive risk environment and the rising price of copper, all contributed to AUD JPY long being a very viable trade all week. The RBNZ also held rates, but with not as hawkish a narrative as the RBA. The GBP continues to remain under pressure, the narrative surrounding the fiscal competency of the government compounded by 'soft' GDP data. And if anyone thinks a 'relative fundamental' GBP AUD short is a good idea, I wouldn't disagree. I'm finding it difficult to have faith in the direction of the USD, caught between the post NFP strength / higher for longer narrative. And the overall market consensus that rate cuts will be coming soon. All in all, I'll begin the new week keeping an eye on the tariff narrative, but, barring any 'strong negativity' (I'll let the VIX decide how negative the news is), I'll continue to hold a view that 'risk on' trades are viable. And with US CPI in the limelight, 'hopefully' a 'soft number' will compound the 'risk on narrative'. On a personal note, it was a week of two trades, both AUD JPY long. The first hit profit and the second trade stopped out, interestingly, I was a lot more confident in the stop loss of the second trade, which goes to show no matter how confident we feel, we can only ever expect a 50% win rate. Please excuse my lack of narrative at end of the week. On Thursday I suffered a strong migraine, which wiped me out for 48 hours. And is a reminder to myself to get my eyes tested, and perhaps to drink more water in this unusually hot UK weather. But if anyone did continue to short the JPY on Thursday and Friday, I would suggest it was a very valid trade idea. Results: Trade 1: AUD JPY +1.2 Trade 2: AUD JPY -1 Total = +0.2%
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
AUDJPY 4Hour TF - July 13th, 2025AUDJPY 7/13/2025 AUDJPY 4hour Bullish Idea Monthly - Bullish Weekly - Bearish Dailly - Bearish 4hour - Bullish Looking good on AJ! Last week’s analysis played out perfectly and we can see going into this week we have a similar scenario. Here are the two potential trade paths for the week ahead: Bullish Continuation - This is the most likely scenario going into this week as we just broke our 96.500 resistance and are now testing it as support. If we can confirm a higher low with strong bullish conviction we can look to enter long and target higher toward major resistance levels. Bearish Reversal - For us to consider AJ bearish we would first need to see a break back below 96.500. If we can spot a clear trend change and some lower highs below 96.500 we can begin looking short. Target lower toward major support levels if this happens.
Long
by ForexLeague
"AUD/JPY: Bulls About to Raid Tokyo? (Long Plan)"🎯 AUD/JPY BULLISH BANK HEIST! (Long Setup Inside) - Thief Trading Strategy 🚨 Yen Carry Trade Alert: Aussie Loot Up For Grabs! 💰 🦹♂️ ATTENTION ALL MARKET PIRATES! To the Profit Raiders & Risk-Takers! 🌏💣 Using our 🔥Thief Trading Tactics🔥 (a deadly combo of carry trade flows + risk sentiment + institutional traps), we're executing a bullish raid on AUD/JPY—this is not advice, just a strategic heist plan for traders who play by their own rules. 📈 THE LOOTING BLUEPRINT (LONG ENTRY PLAN) 🎯 Treasure Zone: 92.700 (or escape earlier if bears attack) 💎 High-Reward Play: Neutral turning bullish - trap for yen bulls 👮♂️ Cop Trap: Where bears get squeezed at support 🔑 ENTRY RULES: "Vault Unlocked!" – Grab bullish loot on pullbacks (15-30min TF) Buy Limit Orders near swing lows OR Market Orders with tight stops Aggressive? Enter at market but watch JPY news 🚨 STOP LOSS (Escape Plan): Thief SL at nearest swing low (4H chart) ⚠️ Warning: "Skip this SL? Enjoy donating to yen bulls." 🎯 TARGETS: Main Take-Profit: 92.700 Scalpers: Ride the Asian session momentum 🔍 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works) Before raiding, check: ✅ BOJ Policy (Yen weakness continuing?) ✅ Commodity Prices (Iron ore/coal supporting AUD?) ✅ Risk Sentiment (Stocks rally = carry trade fuel) ✅ Interest Spreads (AUD-JPY yield advantage) 🚨 RISK WARNING Avoid BOJ/RBA speeches (unless you like volatility torture) Trailing stops = your golden parachute 💎 BOOST THIS HEIST! 👍 Smash Like to fund our next raid! 🔁 Share to recruit more trading pirates! 🤑 See you at the target, rebels! ⚖️ DISCLAIMER: Hypothetical scenario. Trade at your own risk. #AUDJPY #CarryTrade #TradingView #RiskOn #ThiefTrading 💬 COMMENT: "Long already—or waiting for better entry?" 👇🔥 P.S. Next heist target already being scouted... stay tuned! 🏴‍☠️
Long
by The-Thief
AUDJPY Technical Breakout - Targeting 97.400 Next?TRADENATION:AUDJPY has recently broken decisively above a key resistance zone that had previously capped price for several months. This breakout was preceded by a period of compression and range-bound price action, where bullish momentum steadily built up, indicated by higher lows pressing against the resistance level. This type of structure typically leads to an explosive breakout, which we are now seeing unfold. After the breakout, price came back for a clean retest of the broken resistance zone, which has now flipped into support. The retest held firmly, suggesting strong buyer interest at this level and confirming the validity of the breakout. With this structure in place, the bullish momentum is likely to extend further toward the next target zone around 97.400, provided price remains above the current support. As long as the price holds above the retested zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. A breakdown back below this area, however, would be a warning sign and could open the door to a deeper pullback. Remember, always wait for confirmation before entering trades, and maintain disciplined risk management.
Long
by TrendDiva
33
AUDUSD Technical Analysis: Bullish BreakoutAUDUSD has recently broken decisively above a key resistance zone that had previously cape price for several months. This bullish breakout followed a period of compression and range-bound price action, signalling strong accumulation and building momentum. As long as price holds above the retested resistance zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. With the current structure and upward momentum, AUDUSD is likely to extend higher towards the next major target near 0.97006. You can see more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Long
by MrMartin_11
AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 11 July 2025 - AUDJPY broke resistance zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 98.00 AUDJPY currency pair recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 95.30 (which has been reversing the price from March) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from July. The breakout of this resistance zone continues the active impulse wave 3, which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (C) from May. Given the strongly bearish yen sentiment seen across the FX markets today, AUDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 98.00 (target price for the completion of wave 5).
Long
by FxProGlobal
AUDJPY continues vigorously to five-month highsThe yen has declined in most of its widely traded pairs in recent days as trade tension between the USA and Japan escalated again. JPY’s appeal as a haven appears to be lower compared to the situation early last quarter. Meanwhile the RBA unexpectedly held its cash rate on 8 July. Although the BoJ is fairly likely to hike to 0.75% at the end of July, it seems unlikely the differential in rates for AUDJPY will go below 2% for the foreseeable future. Much like AUDUSD, volume and ATR have declined significantly here and the stochastic signals overbought, but the shape of the chart is quite different and the latest high was accompanied by a significant uptick in momentum. The 50% weekly Fibonacci retracement around ¥97.70 is an obvious possible resistance. A sustained move lower seems less favourable based on the current situation of both fundamentals and the chart. The 38.2% Fibo slightly below ¥95 might now flip to being an area of support. However, there’s a significant amount of important data for AUDJPY coming out in the next few days: Australian consumer confidence on 15 July, then Japanese balance of trade and inflation on 17 and 18 July respectively. Surprising results might significantly change the technical picture. This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
by Michael_Stark_Exness
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDJPY Ready To "Drop A Shoulder"? Multi-Timeframe May Help!OANDA:AUDJPY is beginning to form a very convincingly strong Reversal Pattern, the Head & Shoulders! Starting with the Daily Chart we can see that Price is Forming a Doji Candle just after trying to Breakout of a Major Resistance Zone created from the Highs of March 18th and if Price is unable to close above this level, this strengthens the Bearish and Reversal Bias. Now the 4 Hr Chart shows both the "First Shoulder" or Previous Higher High that was surpassed by the "Head" which is the New Higher High, has formed quite quickly with a slightly Ascending "Neckline" or Support Line where Bulls were able to make their Last Stand. With a Reversal Pattern, you want to see a Change in Trend, in this case, would be a Lower High then that of the Higher High or "Head" @ 96.204. *If Bulls are able to Push Price above the "Left Shoulder" or Previous Higher High @ 95.952, this will Invalidate the Head & Shoulders Set-up! **If Bulls are unable to Break Above 95.952 and Price is pushed back down to the Confirmation or "Neckline" for a 3rd time, this Confirms the Head & Shoulders Set-up!! Based on the Distance between the Head and Neckline, we can project a potential drop down to the next Support Level as a Price Target @ 95.00 once: 1) Pattern is Confirmed 2) Breakout is Validated
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
2
AUD/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! The BB upper band is nearby so AUD/JPY is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 95.252. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1