WaverVanir DSS Trade Plan – JPYUSD=X (July 6, 2025)🧭 Directional Bias: Bullish Reversal from Discount Zone
📉 Current Price: 0.006919
🧠 Thesis:
Price reacted strongly from the Discount Wick Low Zone (≈ 0.006885–0.006856).
The current structure shows:
✅ CHoCH to the upside near the EQ
✅ Volume cluster support at 0.00691
🟦 Liquidity sweep occurred at prior lows.
Expecting a reversal back into Premium zone toward Fibonacci extension clusters near 0.00707–0.00711.
🎯 Trade Setup: Long JPY/USD (Short USD/JPY)
Element Value / Zone
Entry Zone 0.00691–0.00692 (Equilibrium / 0.618 Fib)
Stop Loss (SL) 0.006875 (below recent Discount Low / 0.786 Fib)
Take Profit 1 0.006978 (0.886 Fib / SMC Break level)
Take Profit 2 0.00707 (1.236 Fib / major OB target)
Take Profit 3 0.007112 (38.2% extension – long-term target)
Risk-Reward TP1 ≈ 2.3:1, TP2 ≈ 3.6:1, TP3 ≈ 5.4:1
🔍 Volume Profile Insight:
Heavy accumulation at:
0.00691 (high confluence of OB, Fib, and volume)
Above 0.00695, price enters "inefficient" zone → price may accelerate rapidly.
Most volume near 0.00692 confirms institutional interest.
🔐 Risk Management:
Max 1–2% capital exposure per position
Position sizing should reflect SL width of ~4.4 pips
Trailing stop once TP1 is reached to protect profits
🔄 Alternate Scenario (Invalidate if):
Price breaks and closes below 0.006875 with high volume
Then, revisit 0.006758 (Golden Zone) as next long accumulation zone
Consider reversing bias if a CHoCH to the downside occurs post TP1 rejection
⏱️ Timeframe:
Holding Period: 2–5 days (swing scalping opportunity)
Suitable for: CFD traders, JPY futures traders (e.g., J6), or FX options buyers
🔗 Suggested Option Strategy (for FX traders using options):
Bull Call Spread on JPYUSD=X or inverse Put Spread on USDJPY
Strike range:
Expiry: July 12–19
✅ Summary:
Execute long from Equilibrium zone (~0.00691) toward 0.00707–0.00711. Strong confluence from Fib extensions, SMC structure, and volume profile validates a reversal.
Protect with tight SL under 0.006875. Scale out at key premiums.
JPYUSD trade ideas
Heading into pullback resistance?The USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 148.44
1st Support: 143.24
1st Resistance: 151.23
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
YEN CARRY TRADE TICK TICK BOOM WAVE E The chart posted is my work on the yen trade I have maintained the same labeling and as you can see What I think is rather near . I am major bearish the US stock market and I am starting to reposition for a MAJOR DOWN TURN into mid OCT the 10th best of trades WAVETIMER
USDJPY H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 147.36, a pullback support that aligns closely with the 161.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 145.99, a pullback support.
The stop loss is placed at 148.70, above the 161.8% Fib extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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USDJPY Structural Analysis : Breakout Demand Play + Target🗺️ Market Structure & Key Technical Zones
On the USDJPY 4-hour timeframe, the market is clearly respecting smart money levels and giving us an ideal case study of institutional demand, trend continuation, and liquidity engineering.
🔰 1. Major Support Zone (142.500 – 143.200):
This zone acted as a high-value area where price consolidated previously before rallying. It has been tested multiple times and each touch has led to a strong bullish reaction, indicating accumulation by large players.
Think of this zone as the market’s base camp — when price visits it, big money steps in to reload longs.
🔰 2. Channel Formation & Breakout:
A clean bullish channel formed mid-June, with price respecting both bounds while gradually climbing. Once the channel was broken with strong volume (noted by the breakout candle), it suggested a shift from controlled bullish flow to an impulsive move — a change in pace that often indicates smart money is active.
🧱 Institutional Concepts in Action
🔵 QFL (Quick Flip Level):
This area marks a prior consolidation or sideways action that gets aggressively broken. In this chart, price dipped to a QFL zone then sharply reversed — suggesting a trap for early shorts and a liquidity grab before moving up. A classic “manipulation → accumulation → expansion” sequence.
🟦 Breaker Demand (BR Demand):
This is where previous resistance has flipped into new support. Breaker blocks are extremely important in identifying where institutions may re-enter positions. Price respected this area before continuing higher — confirming bullish control.
Price tapped into this BR demand, showed low-wick rejections, and moved strongly, signaling confidence from large orders.
📊 Volume Burst Zone (~147.2–147.7):
This zone has historically seen high volume and sudden price acceleration. Price is re-approaching it now. This is where a lot of pending orders and take-profits are likely clustered — expect strong reactions here.
📈 Current Price Action
Price is climbing along a clean bullish trendline, reinforcing current momentum.
Price has broken previous structure highs and is now making higher highs and higher lows — a textbook bullish trend.
Buyers are in control as long as the price continues to respect:
The bullish trendline
The BR demand zone (~145.5)
🔮 Projection & Potential Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Continuation Case:
If current momentum holds, the price is likely to push toward the Next Reversal Zone (148.500–149.000).
This zone aligns with multiple confluences:
Fibonacci extension targets
Previous high liquidity trap zone
Potential institutional profit-taking level
Expect this zone to cause a reversal or deep pullback.
🔴 Bearish Breakdown Case:
If price breaks below the BR Demand Zone and closes under the trendline, expect a drop back toward the Central Zone (~144.8–145.0), or even deeper into the Major Support Zone.
This would shift market structure back to neutral or bearish depending on volume and rejection patterns.
📌 Summary:
✅ Bias: Bullish
🎯 Short-Term Target: 147.5 (volume burst area)
🧱 Key Support: 145.50 (breaker demand)
❗ Trendline Break = Red Flag
🏁 Final Reversal Zone: 148.500–149.000
💬 Final Thoughts
This chart is a brilliant example of smart money accumulation and market engineering. USDJPY continues to respect well-defined zones, presenting high-probability opportunities for traders who understand structure and patience.
This setup is NOT about chasing price — it's about following the footprints of volume, breakout structure, and institutional intent. Stick to the plan and manage risk around key invalidation zones.
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 145.21, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 146.70, aligning with the 100% Fibo projection.
The stop loss is placed at 144.01, a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD JPY ACa possible scenario it should hit for tomorrow .
I'm so lost in this market nothing seem to work .still try to survive. a strategy that works for days or even a month dosent have a guarantee to work for next month ,every thing is like gamble . im trying so hard too many ways too see the holy grail yet till now i can say it with trust there is not a easy peasy holy grail of trading ... be ready to looose and be ready to maybe not to gain anything ,, this trading stuff is like an art as u drown in it it only cuase insanity . right now i gotta go ill use trading view as journal now on to see what im doing good luck have fun trading
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 7 July 2025
- USDJPY reversed from long-term support level 142.50
- Likely to rise to resistance level 148.00
USDJPY currency pair recently reversed up from the support zone located between the long-term support level 142.50 (which has been steadily reversing the price from August of 2024, as can be seen from the daily USDJPY chart below) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the previous short-term ABC correction 2 from the end of June.
Given the strength of the support level 142.50 and the strongly bearish yen sentiment seen today, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 148.00 (top of the previous waves 4, (1) and 1).
USDJPY POSSIBLE LONG TRADE PLANThe pair has been trading in a bearish trend for sometime now. It has recently rejected near a key zone and broke out a falling trend line. It looks like it is now retesting this zone before initiating a bull movement.
Please do your own analysis before placing any trades.
Cheers and happy trading !!!
Potential bullish continuation?USD/JPY has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 143.37
1st Support: 142.78
1st Resistance: 144.50
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the price drop from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 145.36
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 146.21
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slight above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 144.16
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.