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KGD1! trade ideas

Shorting gold again Well, it does look like there is still some room for a short trade that might actually hit. Personally, iam not 100% confident in this trade, but i would have liked to see more confirmations before taking the short entry, yet still i think it is still worth the risk. if you want more confirmations then here is the thing, wait the price to close below this yellow line, and i mean a close not a wick, then wait the price to pullback and take a short position. my confidence in this setup is 6 out of 10.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by lojjkkjvvv
1
Compression Structure at Key Inflection PointDescription: GC is currently trading within a high-probability inflection zone defined by confluence between structural demand, a well-defined fair value gap, and multi-timeframe descending trend line resistance. The asset is compressing between key volume thresholds and macro trend lines, presenting a binary scenario with favourable asymmetry in either direction. Context & Market Structure Chart Basis: 4H Instruments Used: GC1! (COMEX Gold August 2025 Futures) 20 & 50 EMA for short-term dynamic structure Manual markups: S/D zones, FVGs, trendlines Session Data: NY session highs/lows (previous day) Key Technical Elements Descending Trendline (Macro): Initiated from swing high on July 5th, currently acting as dynamic resistance. Confirmed via 3+ touchpoints. Linear regression indicates slope remains intact. Rising Trend line (Structural Support): Originates from June 26th low supporting current bullish attempts. Intersection with demand and session low adds weight to this level. Demand Zone (3280–3286): Structurally valid with absorption wicks and bullish reaction. Volume clusters indicate localized buyer interest. Rejecting this zone twice already. Fair Value Gap (FVG) (3297–3304): Formed post-impulsive leg. Statistically, ~78% of FVGs in gold futures are filled within 2 sessions when no continuation candle follows which is the current setup. Supply Zone (3314–3318): Defined from previous consolidation pre-selloff. Aligns with ORB high + unfilled inefficiency, creating layered resistance. Previous NY Session Levels: High: 3310.0 Low: 3277.5 Price trading midpoint of this range increased probability of expansion after compression. Scenario Mapping Bullish Scenario: Trigger: Break and 15-min hold above 3305 Validation: Acceptance into FVG zone + reclaim of previous session high Target: 3316–3320 (supply zone + inefficiency fill) Extended Target: 3334 swing high (mean reversion area) Bearish Scenario: Trigger: Breakdown below 3277.5 session low Validation: Failure to reclaim demand zone; increased volume on breakdown Target: 3250 (local HVN & previous accumulation node) Extended Target: 3227 structural low (trend continuation) Bias Model: Volatility Compression: 3-day ATR declining; tightening range. Mean Reversion Probability (MPR): 58% if price returns to mid-FVG before rejection. Expansion Probability (EXP): 64% post-session high/low sweep. Trend Alignment Bias: Bearish until > 3305 is sustained. Below 3280, short bias accelerates. Summary: GC1! is currently in compression between confirmed demand and a clean FVG/supply stack, with trend lines boxing in price from both directions. A breakout from this tri-zone structure is statistically likely in the next session. I remain neutral-biased with actionable directional triggers above 3305 or below 3277. Not a market to guess, wait for confirmation. High-quality setups require patience at the edge of structure. Staakd Rating: ★★★★☆ (4.6/5)
COMEX:GC1!
by stakkd
Gold LongsSolid daily structure for Gold heading into the holiday weekend. Bullish going into next week if price closes bullish on the week. Daily discount SSL swept and closed back inside the range on Monday. Daily OB confirmed on Tuesday. FVG created and inversion fvg confirmed on Wednesday. Anticipating Thursday to possibly pull back and offer a prime continuation to the upside. I'd like to see the inversion be respected. Price can wick into the BISI but I don't want to see price close below the BISI. That's a red flag. Targeting Equal Highs.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by CEOTraders
GOLD - Lovers Elliott wave - looking strong Short/Medium termGOLD-----Daily counts indicate Excellent bullish wave structure. Both appear to be optimistic and this stock invalidation number (S L) wave 2 low target short / long term are already shared as per charts correction wave leg seems completed (C) Investing in declines is a smart move for short/ long-term players. Buy in DIPS recommended Long-term investors prepare for strong returns over the next two to five years. one of best counter Every graphic used to comprehend & LEARN & understand the theory of Elliot waves, Harmonic waves, Gann Theory, and Time theory Every chart is for educational purposes. We have no accountability for your profit or loss.
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by wavesmonk
Gold Holds Ground as Bulls Eye $3,410 Volume ZoneGold built support at $3,337.2 in today's trading session. However, the uptrend is capped, and the price remained below the Bearish Fair Value Gap. From a technical standpoint, XAU/USD outlook remains bullish above $3,337.2. In this scenario, the target is likely to be the next high volume area, which stands tall at $3,410.0. Please note that the bullish outlook should be invalidated if Gold closes and stabilizes below the $3,337.2 support.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by FenzoFxBroker
Gold LongsBullish weekly bias for Gold. Classic Expansion Weekly profile in play. Price opened lower first, Im treating this as the possible manipulation for the week. Tuesday swept key ssl and closed back inside the range. Drop to a 4h and OB is confirmed. 1h CISD aligned with 4h. Execution off 4h OB with stop at OB Low / Tuesday low. If BSL is the draw, I would like to see Tuesday low be protected. LRLR is first low hanging fruit objective. 3420 roughly, with equal highs at 3476 being final target.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by CEOTraders
Agree to disagree... Gold is topping right now.My price path seen above is a complete guess but it stems from long term trend lines and more importantly order flow from last week. On Thursday there was a #1 trade on AMEX:PHYS for $200+ Million at the green levels in my chart above (Equivalent levels). PRICE WILL 100% go to my green lines by end of this week 04/25. We are over shooting the dark pool sale but a lot, however, this is always to trap retail and create fomo/peak fear. In the correction/recession cycles, gold ALWAYS TOPS LAST before the crash...
COMEX:GC1!Short
by LeapTrades
7