DXY Asia delivery to London Delivery Analysis DXY
Asia delivery to London Delivery Analysis
JUNE 10 FRAMEWORK
*Monday was a sell off
*Current range is premium
*Previous range is a discount
*Minor buy side taken in dealer range
*Sell side liquidity was taken at open of Asia
Is today a raid the equal lows and a buy day?
*Asia expanded rallied to equal highs
*Retraced to the session .618 and consolidated
*Previous session discount coming into London
*I suspect that dxy might make a high of the week today and attack the major buy side
Great analysis and great delivery. This is builds my confidence. Where I struggle to trust it when it comes time to react and make the trade I see rather than the noise I get stuck in.
Very happy price played out to the Asia expansion and the highs I felt at 5 am I suspected for price to take. Celebrate what you can and keep going.
DOLLARINDEX trade ideas
Dollar - Still going for TargetAs mentioned in the video on Friday 2 min before NFP. We could run higher on the dollar and i didnt want it to take out the 4 hour candle as shown here.
Go back and see the video for reference. Link below
We should head towards the Target now and im still bearish dollar. Very Bearish
Eur, Gbp & DXY Dynamics: We have reached fair valueWith equilibrium being established we are stuck in an internal liquidity range. We do expect the trending targets to be hit although we are seeing a preliminary shift in structure.
If there was anything I missed in this analysis please let me know. Share this with anyone who may be interested 🙏🏾
DXY next trading set upHi traders I decided to share with you DXY n next possible move that can take place anytime as you can see we've been dropping and it's most about time for recovery in order to simple follow my set up don't play short games and be controlled by small move that's why you fail,you cant come with H1 N H4 analysis while am showing a big picture of the trend the reason why I don't loose trade easily is because I follow right trend not spikes or short move,that's why I laugh sometimes wen I see horrible graphs in short time frames but I've realized that they cant see what am seeing and I must just leave them in peace until they understand how market moves,I did 5 ninets n 25 minets all less than daily but they always wrong n just change meaning they are weak n fake, real shit daily n weekly you are following right trend the only way is to generate liquidity into position and they will give you right point of your entries,if you are addicted into gambling it might take you years to realize how easy it is to follow the trend,first identify the trend you want to trade know if it's uptrend or down trend or range check how it moves in bigger time frame,am not gonna entertain 5 minets trade while am using weekly n monthly time frame we are not seeing the samething,just start to position yourselfs from here until 96 if possible but is likely to gain in few days but that double buttom it looks nasty n not strong soo a bit manipulation n you'll see dxy raising again this is not a gambling my friends were you get money by mistakes you get it by knowing how to follow the system I wish you all profitable week,I will never give you entries soo that you can learn to generate liquidity into positions I do not control the market soo telling you straight point what if market won't reach those point it's useless,soo best is to shows point of interest you counter them n jump in why should I supposed to lie n talk many things that it won't even happen lols,traders I wishy you all the best n profitable week be blessed.
DXY NPF delivery and Week Ahead IdeasDXY NPF delivery and Week Ahead Ideas
F DELIVERY RETRACE
Sell side taken expected buy day to which price delivered
*20:00 expands from equilibrium to minor buy side
*22:40 judus swing fake to the down side
*0:00 expands to session equal highs, previous session equal highs, and FVG
*5:00 small retrace
*7:30 expansion to take equal highs liquidity
*8:30 ND sell side and buy side scoop
*8:35 expansion to buy side
*small retrace
*9:00 expansion to buy side take buy side liquidity
*10:00 silver bullet retraces to .70 taking session equal lows
*10:30 reverses to buy side and rebalance a FVG
consolidates
*11:20 retraces to .618 bounces off
consolidates on the 50
*1:00 expansion and then a back and forth as price moves narrowly into a consolidation to close NY
JUNE 9 Ideas
*Price takes key equal highs in NY
*Parent bias is bear -this week bias is looking for higher prices over all
*possible target for the week is the 50 at price 99.474
*Price is delivering to a premium previous session
*I would expect an expansion to seek sell side liquidity in noted equal lows Monday’s delivering, if Sunday consolidates?
I will watch for reactions at the session 50 just below the equal lows and go from there.
Remember this can all change with Sundays delivery.
US Dollar Analysis - by MMFX This is not a prediction, it never is.
My bullish anticipation on the instrument is rooted from many catalyst of course, though the proof of the pudding is communicated on the charts itself.
I zero in on the Weekly to Day bias on price action looking for: Market Structure, Inducement, CISD, Candle Stick Patterns, Voids/Gaps, SMT, Liquidity Sweeps, Bullish ChoCH, BOS, etc.
On the 4H - 30M scope i look to refine and define the narrative.
Monitoring fundamentals & lending rates on the global and domestic scale I pair this with
barometers related to the index such as Treasury's, GOLD and other securities to identify if my Bullish suspicions are true..
Thank you.
Just got the May NFPs... Let's have a lookWe just received the May NFPs, which, overall, are not bad. Let's dig in.
TVC:DXY
TVC:DJI
FX_IDC:USDJPY
FX_IDC:USDCAD TVC:GOLD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
DXY June 6 Over all notesDXY
June 6
Over all notes
Parent bias is bear
Discount range current/previous
MONDAY-EXPANSION
*Expands to equal lows
TUESDAY REVERSAL
*gaps lower
*Rally to retrace
*Creates equal highs
WEDNESDAY REVERSAL-CONSOLDATION
*Gaps lower
* takes equal highs
*Expands lower creates equal lows
THURSDAY CONSOLIDATION-EXPANSION
*Asia retrace to minor buy side, taps a bearish order block, CE of hourly FVG
*London 2 macro expansion sell off
*classic 7 macro retrace fake out
*NY 8 macro ND Price expands to target of the week equal lows
*NY 10 macro SILVER BULLET reversal
*Consolidation
*dealers range retraces to 50 level
F DELIVERY RETRACE
Sell side taken expected buy day
*Asia on the 50 level previous session-sign that price is seeking buy side liquidity
*20:00 expands buy side
TAKE AWAYS- REMEMBER THIS
Parent bias is KING
*4 hour is bias and order flow
*1 hour confirm cycle where price has delivered to and what liquidity taken
*5 equal lows/highs and candle formations
TRADE CHECKLIST
confirming bias, direction, liquidity taken, previous session fib levels, and time of day are the keys
In hindsight price delivered perfectly to a equilibrium to premium logic, back tested logic for direction on Wednesday, Thursdays speculation for new driver. Wow it must be random ICT 2022 model
USDX-NEUTRAL BUY strategy Daily chart Reg.ChannelThe index is still under pressure, but am slightly cautious on SELL as we are near support 98.40 area, and as long it holds we should expect some recovery. Channel wise we have room further down.
Strategy BUY 98.60 - 98.75 and take profit near 99.75 for now. However, break below mentioned support opens 96.50 and lower.
DOLLAR INDEX The higher-than-expected US Unemployment Claims (247K actual vs. 236K forecast) suggest emerging softness in the labor market, increasing the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025. Here’s how this data impacts the Fed’s policy outlook:
Key Implications for the Fed
Labor Market Cooling:
The uptick in claims aligns with recent trends of slowing payroll growth (Q1 2025 average: 152K jobs/month vs. Q4 2024: 209K) and a stagnant unemployment rate near 4.2%.
Fed projections already anticipate unemployment stabilizing around 4.3% in 2025, but persistent claims increases could signal risks to their "maximum employment" mandate.
Rate Cut Probability:
The Fed has maintained rates at 4.25–4.50% since May 2025 but emphasized data dependence. Weak labor data strengthens the case for cuts, with markets now pricing in a ~60% chance of a September rate cut (up from ~50% pre-data).
The Fed’s March 2025 projections flagged rising unemployment as a risk, with some participants favoring earlier easing if labor conditions deteriorate.
Inflation Trade-Off:
While unemployment claims rose, wage growth remains elevated (ADP reported 4.5% YoY pay gains in May). The Fed will weigh labor softness against sticky inflation, particularly in services (ISM Prices Paid index at 68.7).
A cooling labor market could ease wage pressures, aiding the Fed’s inflation fight and enabling cuts without reigniting price spikes.
Market Impact
DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to weaken further as rate cut expectations rise. Immediate support at 98.40, with a break targeting 97.00
Equities/Gold: Potential gains as lower rates boost risk assets and non-yielding gold.
Bond Yields: 10-year Treasury yields may retreat below 4.40% if markets price in dovish Fed action.
What’s Next?
June 6 NFP Report: A weak jobs number (<150K) would solidify rate cut bets.
June 11 CPI Data: Lower inflation could give the Fed confidence to cut sooner.
Fed Decision (July 31): Odds of a cut rise if labor data continues to soften.
Conclusion
The Fed is likely to prioritize labor market stability over inflation concerns if unemployment claims persist above 240K. While a July cut remains possible, September is the most probable start date for easing, contingent on confirming data.
#DOLLAR #GOLD #DXY
DXY: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 98.335 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 98.090..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DXYDXY price is near the support zone 98.74-97.87. If the price cannot break through the 97.87 level, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
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DOLLAR INDEXCorrelation Between DXY, Bond Yields, and Bond Prices
1. Bond Prices and Bond Yields: Inverse Relationship
Bond prices and bond yields move inversely: when bond prices rise, yields fall; when bond prices fall, yields rise.
This happens because bonds pay fixed coupons; if market interest rates rise, existing bonds with lower coupons become less attractive, pushing their prices down and yields up.
2. DXY and 10-Year Treasury Yield: Generally Positive Correlation
The US Dollar Index (DXY) and the US 10-year Treasury yield typically move in the same direction. When the 10-year yield rises, the dollar tends to strengthen, and vice versa.
This is because higher yields attract foreign capital seeking better returns, increasing demand for the dollar.
Historically, this correlation has been strong, with a rolling correlation averaging around 44.5% and recently rising to about 75% in early 2025.
However, this relationship can break down temporarily due to shifts in market sentiment or safe-haven flows. For example, in mid-2025, the correlation briefly turned negative amid changing investor preferences.
3. DXY and Bond Prices: Indirect Inverse Correlation
Since bond prices and yields are inversely related, and yields and DXY are positively correlated, DXY tends to move inversely to bond prices.
Rising bond prices (falling yields) often coincide with dollar weakness, while falling bond prices (rising yields) support dollar strength.
4. Interest Rates and Their Role
Central bank interest rates influence bond yields and the dollar.
Rate hikes generally push bond yields higher and strengthen the dollar, while rate cuts do the opposite.
Interest rate expectations are a key driver behind the bond yield-DXY relationship.
Summary Table
Relationship Direction/Correlation Explanation
Bond Price ↔ Bond Yield Inverse Fixed coupon bonds lose value when rates rise
10-Year Yield ↔ DXY Positive (usually) Higher yields attract capital, boosting USD
Bond Price ↔ DXY Inverse (indirect) Bond prices up → yields down → USD weakens
Interest Rates ↔ Yield & DXY Positive Rate hikes raise yields and strengthen USD
Conclusion
The US Dollar Index (DXY) generally rises with increasing 10-year Treasury yields because higher yields attract investment flows into US assets, boosting demand for the dollar. Conversely, bond prices move inversely to yields, so rising bond prices tend to coincide with dollar weakness. While this relationship is strong historically, it can fluctuate due to market sentiment, safe-haven demand, and geopolitical factors.
#DOLLAR #DXY
DXY BANK VAULT BREAK-IN: Your Dollar Index Profit Blueprint🚨 DXY BANK HEIST: Dollar Index Breakout Robbery Plan (Long Setup) 🚨
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Using the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, we’re plotting a DXY (Dollar Index) bank heist—time to go LONG and escape near the ATR danger zone. Overbought? Yes. Risky? Absolutely. But the real robbery happens when weak hands panic. Take profits fast—you’ve earned this loot! 🏆💵
📈 ENTRY: BREAKOUT OR GET LEFT BEHIND!
Wait for DXY to cross 99.300 → Then strike hard!
Buy Stop Orders: Place above Moving Average.
Buy Limit Orders: Sneak in on 15M/30M pullbacks (swing lows/highs).
Pro Tip: Set a BREAKOUT ALARM—don’t miss the heist!
🛑 STOP LOSS: DON’T GET LOCKED UP!
For Buy Stop Orders: Never set SL before breakout—amateurs get caught!
Thief’s Safe Spot: Nearest swing low (2H chart).
Rebels: Place SL wherever… but your funeral! ⚰️
🏴☠️ TARGET: 102.300 (Bank Vault Cracked!)
Scalpers: Long only! Trail your SL like a pro thief.
Swing Traders: Ride this heist for maximum payout.
💵 MARKET CONTEXT: DXY IS BULLISH (But Traps Await!)
Fundamentals: COT Reports, Fed Plays, Geopolitics.
Intermarket Sentiment: Bonds, Gold, Stocks—all connected.
Full Analysis: Check our bio0 linkks 👉🔗 (Don’t trade blind!).
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