US30 trade ideas
DOW Might Recover From Today's LossesIsrael's attack on Iran's nuclear facilities has unsettled the markets. After a weak start, the indices, such as the DJIA, initially made little headway and were unable to recover their losses.
We do not expect the markets to plunge to their doom now, but to recover soon.
For the Dow, we initially expect new lows in the entry area shown and then a recovery to the target zone in the coming week.
US30 Stabilizes Above Key Support Amid Geopolitical TensionsUS30 – Overview
The price reacted modestly to ongoing Middle East tensions, reaching our previously mentioned pivot zone at 42160, then reversed and stabilized within the bullish territory.
Technical Outlook:
As long as the price holds above 42160, bullish momentum is expected to continue toward 42410.
A 1H close above 42410 would confirm further upside toward 42610 and 42810.
🔻 To shift into a bearish trend, the price must close below 42160 on the 1H or 4H timeframe, which could lead to a move down to 41780.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 42310
• Resistance: 42410 / 42610 / 42810
• Support: 42160 / 41970 / 41780
US30 – Bearish Bias Amid Escalating Middle East TensionsUS30 – Bearish Bias Amid Escalating Middle East Tensions
U.S. indices, particularly the Dow Jones (US30), are under sustained bearish pressure due to intensifying geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. With no signs of de-escalation or negotiation, market sentiment remains risk-off.
Technical Outlook:
As long as the crisis continues, US30 is likely to maintain its downward momentum. The price appears set to test the 41770 level, with potential continuation toward 41310.
Only a clear signal of de-escalation or diplomatic engagement may reverse this trend, possibly triggering a recovery toward 42810.
For now, the directional bias remains bearish.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 42160
• Support: 41770, 41310, 40700
• Resistance: 42410, 42810, 43210
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DOW JONES 15 year Cycles are coming to play.Dow Jones (DJI) is consolidating on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the past month. Based on a remarkable cyclical frequency as the Time Cycles show, every time this 1W MA50 consolidation takes place since October 2011, it turned into the long-term Support that supported rallies of at least +40.94%.
As their 1M RSI readings also sync, we can expect the current consolidation to end soon and drive the market to at least a +40.94% rise from the 1W MA50. Our long-term Target on this is 59000.
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Quick take US indices and the Fed's interest rate decisionQuick look at what can we expect from the Fed's rate decision and press conference on Wednesday.
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possibility of correctionAs long as the indicator below the green resistance range fluctuates, the continuation of the correction trend will be likely. With the consolidation above the resistance range, the continuation of the upward trend will be likely.
DOW JONES: Turning sideways for summer. Massive rise afterwards.Dow Jones is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.389, MACD = 425.040, ADX = 23.083) but 1W is neutral, a natural outcome of the ranged trading within the 1D MA200 and 1D MA50in the last 3 weeks. It is possible to see the index staying sideways until the end of August and then attempt to complete a +39.50% rise from its bottom, like both prior bullish waves did. Regardless of this a test of the Channel Up top trendline, gives us a fair TP = 48,000 for the end of the year.
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US30 Technical Analysis – 8th June 2025c US30 Technical Analysis – 8th June 2025
🔍 Chart Overview:
The chart shows a classic range-bound structure with clearly defined support and resistance zones.
📍 Key Zones:
🔼 Resistance Zone: ~$42,900 – $43,000
Marked by multiple rejections (🔴 red arrows).
Price has failed to close above this area convincingly.
Sellers are actively defending this level.
⚠️ Bearish pressure likely to increase if price stays below this level.
🔽 Support Zone: ~$41,750 – $41,850
Marked by strong bullish reactions (🟢 green arrows).
Buyers have stepped in consistently in this demand zone.
A breakdown below this level could trigger further downside momentum.
📈 Current Price Action:
The price is hovering around $42,781.3, just below the resistance zone.
The latest candlestick shows rejection from the top, forming a bearish wick, indicating potential reversal pressure.
The large downward arrow (⬇️) on the chart suggests a bearish bias is expected by the analyst.
📉 Outlook & Strategy:
🔻 Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
If price fails to break and sustain above $43,000, expect a move back down towards the support zone at ~$41,800.
A breakdown below support could lead to deeper downside, targeting $41,500 or lower.
🛑 Invalidation:
A clean breakout and daily close above $43,000 would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest potential continuation higher.
🎯 Trading Tips:
🔹 Short Bias: Look for short entries near resistance with tight stops above $43,000.
🔹 Target: $42,200 → $41,800
🔹 Risk Management: Always maintain a good risk-to-reward ratio and use proper stop-loss.
📌 Conclusion:
⚠️ The chart favors a bearish reversal from resistance unless bulls can push decisively above $43,000. Traders should watch for rejection patterns or breakdown confirmations to align with the bearish move
Buy for R/R1Buy or Buy Limit @ 42615
SL: 42377
TP1: 42850
Signal from a backtested strategy with a win rate of 60 %.
Manage your risk...
US30(Dow Jones)The combination of the COT data showing a shift towards more short positions and the technical picture suggests that bearish momentum could continue. Sell/Short: Consider entering a short position at current market levels, ideally on any retracement or rally towards the resistance zone.
US30 Analysis: Liquidity Dip or Deeper Correction?📉 US30 (Dow Jones) Trade Idea 📉
Currently analysing US30 – the Dow Jones Index 🏛️, and there are some key developments worth noting…
On the 4-hour timeframe, we’re observing a clear shift in market structure, with price breaking through previous lows ⚠️. This raises two possibilities:
🔹 It could be a liquidity grab before a rally 🚀
🔹 Or, it may be the beginning of a deeper end-of-week sell-off targeting levels below 🔻
At this stage, I’m watching for a potential counter-trend short position — but only if the conditions outlined in the video are met with precision 🎯.
🧠 As always, it’s about waiting for confirmation, not jumping in early. Disciplined execution is key. 🧩💼
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and manage risk accordingly.
DOW - H&S is getting progressed. 📉 DOW JONES – Head & Shoulders Pattern Formation (Right Shoulder in Progress)
The chart illustrates a clear Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a classic bearish reversal signal, forming on the higher timeframe.
🧠 Pattern Breakdown:
Left Shoulder: Formed in early March.
Head: Sharp dip and recovery formed during early April.
Right Shoulder: Currently in the making, aligning with a weekly resistance near 42,880 levels.
Price is expected to reject this resistance and complete the right shoulder.
📌 Technical View:
Strong rejection expected near the weekly horizontal resistance.
If the right shoulder completes and breaks below the neckline (around 41,500–41,600), it may trigger a measured fall.
Fibonacci levels also align, with the 0.382 and 0.5 retracement acting as potential reaction zones.
🎯 Target:
Target: 40,900 levels (Right Shoulder support zone).
This is a confluence zone where buyers may reappear.
Also forms a neckline test, critical for breakout confirmation or reversal.
🔔 Trade Setup Insight:
Short bias activated near 42,880 resistance zone.
Watch for confirmation via bearish engulfing candles or lower time frame breakdowns.
Targeting 40,900 initially. Further downside possible if neckline breaks decisively.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. All trading involves risk. Please perform your own due diligence or consult a certified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
US30 Update bullish📊 US30 Update 🚀
Great job team! ✅ Our first TP was hit 🎯 and we’ve now secured our second entry after a solid retracement back to our initial zone. This is a strong buy-back opportunity, and momentum is building up again! 🔥
We’re now expecting a push towards our second TP at 43,300. 📈 Stay sharp and remember:
🧠 Trade smart,
📉 Manage your risk,
💰 No oversized lot sizes — let the setup do the work.
Let’s keep winning! 💪
#US30 #CPI #TP1Hit #SecondEntry #ForexTraders #SmartTrading #TeamWork
This weeks #US30 outlook. High Probability Trade Zones
A. Short Setup – Fade the Grind Into Resistance
Zone: 42,900–43,200 (confluence of R1, previous highs, sell rejection zone).
Trigger: Slow grind + bearish engulfing / break of structure on 15M–30M.
Stop: Above 43,250
Target: 42,400 > 42,150 > 41,800
B. Long Setup – 4H Breaker Block Retest
Zone: 42,050–42,200 (OB + support + 30M demand)
Trigger: Sweep of 42,000, followed by bullish engulfing or displacement candle
Stop: Below 41,770
Target: 42,600 > 42,900 > 43,193
C. High-Risk Fade Long – Deep Discount Sweep
Zone: 41,750–41,800 (S1 proximity, previous accumulation base)
Trigger: Wipeout + bullish PA on 15M with volume spike
Stop: 41,670
Target: 42,200 > 42,500
US30 TodayUS30 Today is still bearish
My SSM Reversal Pattern is comming.
This is just my view of course
US30 Trade Update – 06/16/2025🚨 US30 Trade Update – 06/16/2025 🚨
📊 Market Structure & Key Levels
US30 is rebounding after holding above the 42,102 demand zone. Price is now reclaiming EMAs with short-term bullish momentum, approaching the 42,605 resistance level.
✅ Key Observations:
Strong bounce off 42,102 ✅
Reclaimed 42,341 EMA support
Bullish momentum building toward 42,605
📍 Key Levels:
Resistance: 42,605 → 42,793
Support: 42,248 → 42,102
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔹 Long Setup:
Buy above 42,605
→ Target: 42,793 → 43,021
🔻 Short Setup:
Breakdown below 42,248
→ Target: 42,102 → 41,947
⚠️ Market flipping short-term bullish – watch for breakout and confirmation above 42,605!
Bulls game over now 35697 incoming Short from 43000 Tp 35697.. weekly TF down move incoming.. Bulls Fasten your seatbelt please... Good luck and safe trade
US30 Breakout Watch: 43,300 or Bust?US30 (Dow Jones) — Price Tests Key Fib Support with Breakdown Risk
Technical Outlook — 12 June, 2025
Current Market Condition:
US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is currently trading around 42,661 on the 4-hour timeframe, up +0.17% for the session. After rejection at the Previous Day High (43,121), price is now pulling back and testing the Previous Day Low around the 42,660 region, which also aligns with a Fibonacci confluence zone and the 50 EMA. This zone is acting as a last line of defence for bulls — if held, a push toward new highs remains on the table. However, a confirmed break could see the index slide further toward deeper support levels.
Key Technical Highlights:
Price is testing a major fib-based support cluster around 42,600–42,700, aligning with the Previous Day Low and 50 EMA.
The Stochastic Oscillator has crossed bearish from the overbought region and is now heading down, indicating short-term bearish momentum.
Resistance is now PDL and next one at 43,121 (PDH) and a break above this level would confirm bullish continuation.
Trade Plan:
✅ 1. Bullish Breakout (Long) – Most Probable if Support Holds
Trigger: Bullish candle or engulfing pattern above 42,660–42,700 zone with volume confirmation
Target: 43,121 (PDH) → 43,300
Stop Loss: Below 42,500
⚠️ 2. Bearish Rejection (Short) – Viable if Fib Zone Breaks
Trigger: 4H candle closes below 42,600 with bearish confirmation
Target: 42,300 → 42,100 → 41,900
Stop Loss: Above 42,800
📉 3. Dip Buy Setup – Least Probable but High RR Opportunity
Trigger: Price dips into 42,100 or 41,900 zone and forms a strong bullish reversal pattern (e.g., pin bar, bullish divergence on Stochastic)
Target: Bounce back toward 42,600–42,800
Stop Loss: Below 41,800
Risk Management:
Use conservative lot sizing and set clear stop losses to avoid whipsaw risk. With macroeconomic data and news expected this week, watch for volatility spikes. Always let the setup confirm before entry, especially near fib-based support or resistance zones.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
DowJones INTRADAY important support retest Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 43190
Resistance Level 2: 43620
Resistance Level 3: 44290
Support Level 1: 42100
Support Level 2: 41420
Support Level 3: 40990
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Tuesday Outlook #us30Tuesday Outlook #US30. As we head into the Fed's Decision. Be careful trading today.
