5 stocks that shook the market in MayMay 2025 turned out to be a landmark month for the U.S. stock market. Several top companies posted impressive gains driven by explosive demand for AI technologies, advancements in autonomous transport, and strong corporate strategy.
Here are the five market leaders that set the tone in May:
1. Nvidia – The AI Powerhouse
Nvidia (#NVIDIA) surged 25% in May, becoming the most valuable U.S. company with a market cap of $3.45 trillion — surpassing even Microsoft. The rally was fueled by stunning data center results, with revenue hitting $39.1 billion (+427% YoY). Its new Blackwell chip series has already sparked massive interest from leading AI developers. UBS analysts raised their price target to $175, predicting further growth in high-performance computing.
2. Apple – A return to growth
Apple (#Apple) saw a solid 7% gain, rebounding from earlier struggles. The company announced $500 billion in long-term investments over the next five years to create new jobs and manufacture AI servers in the U.S. This move restored investor confidence and supported the stock’s recovery.
3. Tesla – Robotaxis drive momentum
Tesla (#Tesla) jumped 25%, boosted by the announcement of its robotaxi launch in Austin, Texas, scheduled for June 12. Combined with improving market conditions and a pause in EU tariff pressure, Tesla shares reclaimed center stage. Wedbush analysts see potential for the stock to hit $500 as the company expands its autonomous and AI-driven initiatives.
4. Moderna – Biotech breakthroughs
Moderna (#Moderna) gained 7% following positive results from new cancer drug trials. The company also revealed plans to cut operational costs by $1.7 billion by 2027, aiming to boost overall efficiency. Investors welcomed the strategic pivot beyond COVID-related products.
5. Alcoa – Aluminum and geopolitics
Alcoa (#Alcoa) rose 6.5% on reports that the U.S. may ban aluminum imports from Russia. This geopolitical development, along with steady dividends and renewed investor interest in commodities, positioned Alcoa as a top-performing metals stock for the month.
May 2025 confirmed the market’s focus on AI, autonomous transport, biotech, and raw materials. Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, Moderna, and Alcoa led the charge — and FreshForex analysts recommend riding this momentum for active trading on high-performing stocks.
1AAPL trade ideas
AAPL Bounce at 200 EMA- Remains in ascending channelAAPL has been in ascending price channel since August 2020. At the end of April we saw a retest of support where it temporarily broke through, tested the 200 ema, bounced, then broke back above the previous support line. I believe AAPL will remain in this channel and price will continue to rise with an eventual retest of resistance.
AAPL Weekly Options Outlook — June 3, 2025📈 AAPL Weekly Options Outlook — June 3, 2025
🚨 AI Model Consensus: Moderately Bullish into June 6 Expiry
🧠 Model Summary
🔹 Grok (xAI)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: Price above EMAs, MACD divergence softening; resistance at $203.40
Trade: Buy $207.50C @ $0.67 → PT $1.00, SL if AAPL < $202
Confidence: 65%
🔹 Claude (Anthropic)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: Bullish reversal, rising EMAs, MACD improving
Trade: Buy $207.50C @ $0.67 → PT $1.20–$1.80, SL $0.35
Confidence: 70%
🔹 Gemini (Google)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: Above EMAs, MACD histogram rising; resistance $203.46–$203.81
Trade: Buy $207.50C @ ~$0.65 → PT $0.97–$1.14, SL $0.32
Confidence: 65%
🔹 Llama (Meta)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: Above EMAs, MACD crossover building
Trade: Buy $207.50C @ $0.67 → PT $0.80, SL $0.335
Confidence: 70%
🔹 DeepSeek
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Setup: MACD still negative; resistance at $203.81
Trade: Buy $200P @ $0.93 → PT $1.86, SL $0.46
Confidence: 65%
✅ Consensus Highlights
🔼 Bullish Momentum on short-term EMAs
📉 Max Pain at $200 could limit upside by Friday
📊 Strong liquidity on both $207.50C and $200P
🔁 Most models plan to exit midweek; only DeepSeek expects a breakdown
🎯 Recommended Trade Setup
💡 Strategy: Bullish Single-Leg Weekly Call
🔘 Ticker: AAPL
📈 Direction: CALL
🎯 Strike: $207.50
💵 Entry: $0.67 (ask)
🎯 Profit Target: $1.17 (+75%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.34 (−50%)
📏 Size: 1 contract
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-06
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
📈 Confidence: 68%
⚠️ Risk Factors
📉 Max pain gravity could limit upside later in the week
🔼 Resistance zone at $207.50–$210 may stall momentum
⌛ Rapid theta decay — needs early move to profit
📰 Any negative macro or tech headlines could invalidate setup
Apple Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 060225Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 200/61.80%
Chart time frame:D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Why $200.85 is Pivotal for a Bullish Move Targets:
- T1 = $205.50
- T2 = $210.75
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $198.00
- S2 = $195.50
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Apple.
**Key Insights:**
Apple's share price has recently faced resistance at higher levels due to ongoing macroeconomic concerns, including rising interest rates and the slow recovery in global demand for technology hardware. However, Apple’s fundamental strengths in services revenue and its ecosystem of consumer loyalty continue to position it as a premium brand with solid growth potential. The stock has maintained technical support near the $200 price range and has shown a balanced relative strength index (RSI), suggesting potential for consolidation before moving upward. Investors have been increasingly bullish as Apple reaffirms its focus on innovation and sustainable revenue generation.
Another key factor supporting Apple's bullish outlook is its ability to maintain high margins during supply chain disruptions. The company’s plans for expanding high-margin categories, such as services, augmented reality technologies, and wearables, continue to appeal to both institutional and retail investors, further underpinning its price trajectory.
**Recent Performance:**
After a brief decline from its peak in the last trading weeks, Apple’s price exhibited resilience near psychological support levels at $200.85. The stock is trading dynamically within a narrow range, with minor fluctuations suggesting accumulation by value-oriented investors. Apple's ability to retain a steady price range amidst sector-wide softness highlights its popularity as a safe haven in the tech space.
**Expert Analysis:**
Technical analysts are closely watching key levels at $205.50 and $210.75 as critical resistance points which, if breached, could signal a strong upside move. Furthermore, Apple's steady cash flow and growth initiatives continue to provide a favorable outlook for long-term investors. Fundamental analysts see Apple's focus on bolstering its service components and integrating new technologies as pivotal drivers that could catalyze broader revenue streams over the next few quarters. Combined with a sector poised for recovery, Apple stands out as a high-potential asset.
**News Impact:**
Recent news about Apple’s enhancements in the AI front and augmented reality has garnered attention, positioning it among peers like Microsoft and Nvidia in the race for innovation supremacy. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and trade concerns with China have affected supply chain stability but reinforced Apple's decision to diversify its manufacturing facilities to reduce risk exposure. This strategic expansion supports a long-term bullish case for the stock while mitigating risk.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Based on Apple’s fundamental strength combined with solid technical indicators at its current price of $200.85, traders might consider a long position as the stock appears to be in accumulation mode. The targets at $205.50 and $210.75 offer significant upside potential, with stop levels at $198.00 and $195.50 to mitigate possible downside risk. Apple’s ability to maintain profitability across volatile market conditions further strengthens confidence for long-term investors. Prepare for an upside breakout if the stock sustainably surpasses the $205 resistance level.
AAPL: Key Levels to Watch for Price DevelopmentAAPL: Key Levels to Watch for Price Development
Apple's stock (AAPL) has been range-bound between $193 and $212.50 for the past two months, repeatedly testing support near $193 on three occasions.
Each time, the price has rebounded strongly, pushing back toward $212.50—the upper boundary of this trading range.
Given this pattern, the likelihood of another move toward $212.50 remains high.
If AAPL successfully breaches $212.50, it could signal a larger bullish breakout, with upside targets at $224.50 and $240, as highlighted in the chart.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
AAPL Defends Key Zone – But Is It a Bullish Trap or Baounce?📊 GEX Daily Chart (Options Sentiment Breakdown)
Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) closed at $200.85, right on top of the HVL (Highest Volume Level) and slightly under the first GEX resistance zone at 202.5–204. The daily chart shows price rebounded off a strong confluence support zone, but gamma exposure suggests more chop ahead unless bulls push decisively.
GEX Structure Insights:
* 🟩 Positive GEX up to 207.5–215, with 202.5–204 acting as gamma resistance.
* 🟥 Strong put interest builds under 195 → 192.5 → 190 (–13% to –23% GEX), marking critical downside zones.
* 🧊 IVR at 27.8, IV is still low enough to build long premium trades without getting crushed by theta.
💡 Options Trade Ideas (Based on GEX):
* Bullish Breakout: If we reclaim and hold above 204, consider Jul 19 210c or 205c/215c debit spread.
* Bearish Rejection: If AAPL loses 197.5 support, look at Jul 19 195p or 200p/190p vertical spread to catch any gamma flush toward 192.
Dealer hedging likely keeps AAPL pinned between 197.5–204 unless market momentum shifts.
🕵️♂️ 1H Chart Breakdown (Swing & Intraday Outlook)
Zooming into the 1-hour, AAPL gave us a bullish defense at 197.5, with multiple CHoCH signals printing off the demand block. However, we’re still stuck under a short-term trendline and near a red SMC supply box around 204–207.9.
Highlights:
* ✅ CHoCH formed at demand, suggesting short-term bullish attempt.
* ⚠️ Overbought signals showing up again — MACD and BBP topping.
* 📐 Rising channel still intact unless price breaks below 198.5–197.5 again.
📈 Swing Plan:
* Long setup: Hold above 200.25 + reclaim 202.5 = possible push to 207.
* Short setup: Fail at 202.5–204 and break below 198.5 = bearish continuation to 195/192.
📊 Intraday Setup:
* AM bounce off 199.5–200 = scalp long toward 202.5.
* Rejection at 202.5 with weakness = scalp short down to 198.5 and scale out near 197.5.
Volume profile and structure say we’re in a retest phase, not confirmed breakout yet. Let price lead.
🧠 Final Thoughts
AAPL is sitting in a classic indecision zone between put support and call walls. There’s potential for a squeeze higher — but only if bulls clear 204 and hold above. Gamma compression suggests limited range unless macro volatility or sector strength gives it juice. Perfect setup for risk-defined options spreads this week.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is for educational use only. Always do your own research and risk assessment before trading or investing.
Apple Stock Analysis: A Potential Surge to $225 by June 9, 2025!At Vital Direction, we continuously analyse market trends to provide our clients with cutting-edge insights. Today, we’re focusing on Apple Inc. (AAPL), a stock that has been attracting significant attention from investors worldwide.
Current Analysis: The Bottom and the Upswing
Since the bottom of April 8, Apple stock has shown promising signs of recovery, bouncing back from the $169 level. This upward movement appears to be the initial phase of a larger trend. Our technical analysis suggests that this uptrend corresponds to an A wave in the Elliott Wave Theory.
Consolidation Phase: The ABCDE Triangle
Following this initial surge, Apple stock entered a consolidation period, which we interpret as a contracting triangle pattern—an ABCDE formation. This pattern indicates a period of indecision in the market, often preceding a significant price move. Our analysis indicates that the E wave of this triangle concluded around the $193.47 mark.
Future Outlook: Aiming for $225
As we look ahead, our projections for Apple stock are optimistic. We anticipate a potential rise to $225, provided the $193.47 level remains unbreached. This target is based on our technical analysis and market conditions. Our forecast suggests that this upward movement could materialise around June 9, 2025. However, it’s essential to remain vigilant, as broader market dynamics, particularly with the S&P 500, could influence Apple’s stock performance in the longer term.
Conclusion: A Great Risk-Reward Opportunity
In summary, Apple stock presents an exciting risk-reward opportunity. As long as the $193.47 support level holds, we expect significant upward movement towards the $225 mark by mid June 2025. Stay tuned to Vital Direction for more expert market insights and updates.
AAPL Long Trade Setup – 15.7% Upside PotentialApple (AAPL) just printed a clean breakout from consolidation, setting up a favorable long opportunity.
🔍 Trade Details:
Entry: ~$210.97
Target: $244.28 (+15.76%)
Stop: $192.12 (-6.86%)
Risk/Reward: 2.2R
Volume: Holding strong
Ichimoku: Price pushing above the cloud with bullish sentiment building
🔧 Why it matters:
Price reclaimed the pivot zone and is hovering above key support
Clean upside to R1 resistance with minimal overhead supply
Broader market strength + earnings season could provide the catalyst
📊 Strategy:
Holding above $205 keeps this trade intact. Watch for confirmation on the next daily close. Could see momentum pick up fast if tech leads.
Are you riding this one up? Drop your AAPL thoughts below 👇
#AAPL #TradingView #LongSetup #Ichimoku #TechStocks #SwingTrade #RiskReward
Apple I expect to grow back to 260 after this correction.Looking to the Fibonacci sequence, I'll expect Apple to return to 260.
The bottom is strong and was tested after Trump announced the tariffs.
The market lookout is also good, I see large banks advise 270 even.
Now it's a good time to buy Apple.
AAPL 2025 Strategic Outlook: Overview of Primary CatalystsAfter trading around $200 intraday on May 27, Apple shares closed at $200.21—up 2.5% despite broad market headwinds and lingering investor skepticism.
Technical outlook remains bullish, as price action is still defined by
a rising bullish channel on higher time frames. expecting AAPL to bottom
out heading into Q3/Q4 2025 and then another bull run of 70-80%.
Here are the primary catalysts shaping Apple’s stock price in 2025, ranked 0–10:
AI integration and Apple Intelligence
Strength: 9/10
Rollout of on-device AI features (upgraded Siri, generative image tools, ChatGPT integration) expected to drive a renewed iPhone upgrade cycle.
Services segment growth
Strength: 8.5/10
App Store, Apple Music, iCloud and other services projected to grow double-digits, with new AI services adding billions in revenue.
Gross margin expansion and cost efficiencies
Strength: 8/10
Shift toward higher-margin services and anticipated memory price declines could boost overall gross margin by roughly 50 basis points.
iPhone 17 product cycle
Strength: 7.5/10
Rumored polymer battery improvements and possible foldable models may spur meaningful hardware upgrades versus Android peers.
Vision Pro and hardware diversification
Strength: 7/10
Mixed-reality headset upgrades under Apple Intelligence will broaden appeal, though high price and modest enterprise traction limit near-term impact.
Share buybacks and dividend policy
Strength: 7/10
A planned $100 billion buyback in 2025, plus steady dividends, underpins valuation, though recent pullbacks hint at caution amid cost headwinds.
Supply-chain diversification and trade policies
Strength: 6.5/10
Ongoing U.S.-China tensions and potential tariffs create uncertainty; pivoting assembly to India and Vietnam helps mitigate risk.
Regulatory and antitrust pressures
Strength: 6/10
New EU rules may force Apple to open parts of its ecosystem, potentially weighing on Services revenues.
Macro and interest-rate environment
Strength: 5/10
A “higher-for-longer” Fed rate outlook raises discount rates on growth, tempering valuations for tech leaders.
Smartphone market competition
Strength: 5/10
Samsung and fast-growing Chinese OEMs intensify price and feature competition, especially in emerging markets.
⭐️Catalyst Strength Rankings (May 2025)
✅AI integration and Apple Intelligence: 9
✅Services segment growth: 8.5
✅Gross margin expansion and cost efficiencies: 8
✅iPhone 17 product cycle: 7.5
✅Vision Pro and hardware diversification: 7
✅Share buybacks and dividend policy: 7
✅Supply-chain and trade policy risk: 6.5
✅Regulatory and antitrust pressures: 6
✅Macro and Fed policy: 5
✅Smartphone competition: 5
AAPL summer breakoutFriday 5/23, Tues 5/27, Wed 5/28 - bullish
Targets up to 225-230 maybe... not all this week (summer)
*looks like AAPL has already moved toward the 207-208 level overnight.
*hope we are blessed with a pullback to buy back up. 202-203
*NVDA earnings propping market = good
*Catalyst conversations mounting:
finance.yahoo.com
Apple - Please look at this chart!Apple - NASDAQ:AAPL - is just wonderful:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Last month, Apple created a quite strong bullish rejection wick of about +25%. It was actually no surprise at all, because market structure was perfectly pushing price higher. Following the bullish break and retest pattern, new all time highs will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $200, $300
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
$AAPL laggard to the upside?All of the tech stocks recently have had a large moves to the upside, yet Apple has yet to have one. I think Apple is lagging the other names and is likely to have the same kind of move to the upside.
I rarely trade short term, but this one seems like a good setup.
I took a trade for 6/6 $235C to express this view.
Let's see if it plays out.
Apple Stock Heist Blueprint – Precision Buy Setup Unlocked!🏴☠️ Apple Stock Heist: The Stealthy Long Setup
🎯 Entry Zone – Loot the Dip!
Current Price: $200.21
Action: Initiate long positions now or target pullbacks near the $193–$190 support zone.
Pro Tip: Place buy limits near swing lows/highs. Utilize chart alerts as your secret weapon.
🛡️ Stop Loss – Guard the Treasure!
Swing Traders: Position stop loss below the $190 support level.
Day Traders: Adjust stop loss according to your risk tolerance and order count.
TECHi
💰 Profit Target – Escape with the Loot!
Primary Target: $210 resistance zone.
Secondary Target: $227–$230 range.
⚔️ Scalpers vs. Swing Traders – Choose Your Weapon!
Scalpers: Focus on quick strikes. Enter long positions and exit swiftly.
Swing Traders: Trail stops and lock in gains as the price moves in your favor.
🌪️ Market Pulse – Bullish Winds Blowing!
Technical Indicators: Price is supported near $201, with potential to bounce back toward local resistance at $213.
RSI: Approximately 35 on the 1-hour timeframe, indicating oversold conditions and potential for a rebound.
TradingView
⚠️ News Trap Warning!
Upcoming Events: Monitor for any high-impact news that may affect Apple's stock price.
Strategy: Freeze trades or tighten stops ahead of major announcements.
🚨 Join the Trading Crew!
Engage: Like 👍 or Boost 🚀 this idea to fuel our next raid.
Support: Your engagement keeps the strategies alive!
🤑 Stay Locked In – The Next Big Score is Coming…
Timing: Watch the charts closely.
Action: Strike hard. Exit smarter.
APPLE Index Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 052625Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 200/61.80%
Chart time frame:D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
APPLE On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
APPLE looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 195.23 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 208.29
Recommended Stop Loss - 187.61
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Apple: Wave [2] Correction We now consider the dark green wave to be complete and thus place AAPL in the intermediate corrective movement of wave , which can be further subdivided into waves (A), (B), and (C) in magenta. Currently, only the last part of this (C) wave should be missing before the next impulsive uptrend unfolds towards the previous all-time high. We must still weigh our alternative scenario with a 34% probability: If the price falls below support at $168, this scenario with a new low for the blue wave alt.(IV) would be confirmed, although in this case, the price should not fall significantly below our previous Target Zone.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
AAPL Stock Trading Plan 2025-05-25AAPL Stock Trading Plan (2025-05-25)
Final Trading Decision
Models’ Key Points
DS Report
Technical: Strong bearish—price ($195.27) below all EMAs (10/50/200) on M30/daily/weekly; RSI oversold but in downtrend; bearish MACD; hugging lower Bollinger band. Sentiment: Rising VIX (22.29), negative tariff news, heavy institutional distribution. Trade: Short at $195.27; target $189.56; stop $197.50; 3–4 week hold; confidence 70%.
LM Report
Technical: Bearish price vs EMAs; RSI near oversold; Bollinger lower‐band touch hints at bounce; bearish MACD. Sentiment: Elevated VIX; negative headlines. Trade: No trade—mixed oversold/bearish signals; confidence 55% (below 60% threshold).
GK Report
Technical: Bearish across daily/weekly; RSI approaching oversold; MACD bearish but weakening; Bollinger lower‐band proximity. Sentiment: Rising VIX; tariff news headwind. Trade: Short at $195.00; target $189.56; stop $200.35; 4 week hold; confidence 65%.
GM Report
Technical: Multi‐timeframe bearish—price below EMAs M30/daily/weekly; RSI oversold short‐term; strong bearish MACD. Sentiment: VIX up; negative tariff/profit‐risk headlines; 5-day −7.6% drop. Trade: Short at $195.00; target $187.50; stop $198.90; 3–4 week hold; position sizing example 25 shares on $10k equity; confidence 85%.
CD Report
Technical: Bearish across timeframes; RSI oversold; lower Bollinger band; MACD bearish but showing early convergence. Sentiment: Elevated VIX; tariff threat. Trade: Short at $195.27; target $189.56 (secondary $185.00); stop $202.41; 3–4 week hold; confidence 72%. Agreement and Disagreement
Agreement
Broadly bearish technical setup: price below key EMAs; bearish MACD; lower‐band Bollinger action. Negative fundamental catalyst: potential tariffs and geopolitical risk. Rising VIX supports risk‐off bias. Recommendation skewed toward shorting AAPL shares.
Disagreement
LM sees too much mixed signal (oversold + bearish) to trade; all others recommend a short. Entry divergences: $195.00 vs. $195.27. Stop‐loss levels range from $197.50 up to $202.41. Take-profit levels range from $189.56 down to $185.00 (secondary) or $187.50. Confidence varies 65%–85%. Conclusion
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Strongly Bearish
Recommended Trade
Strategy: Short AAPL shares Holding Period: 3–4 weeks Entry Timing: At market open (~$195.00) Position Sizing: Risk 1% of trading capital (e.g., 25 shares on a $10 000 account; scale accordingly) Entry Price: 195.00 Stop‐Loss: 198.90 (≈2% above entry; sits above recent resistance) Take‐Profit: 187.50 (below key support for a ~3.8% move) Confidence Level: 85%
Key Risks and Considerations
Severe oversold conditions could trigger a technical bounce. AAPL’s strong balance sheet may limit downside if market stress eases. Tariff news or policy reversal could abruptly shift sentiment. Monitor VIX and major support at $189.56 for early signs of exhaustion.
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "AAPL", "direction": "short", "entry_price": 195.00, "stop_loss": 198.90, "take_profit": 187.50, "size": 25, "confidence": 0.85, "entry_timing": "open" }
📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: AAPL 📉 Direction: SHORT 💰 Entry Price: 195.0 🛑 Stop Loss: 198.9 🎯 Take Profit: 187.5 📊 Size: 25 💪 Confidence: 85% ⏰ Entry Timing: open
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
Apple: Fading The First Bounce After A New Momentum LowPrice momentum made a new low on 9 April 2025. There is a positive expectation in fading the first bounce after with at least a target to retest that last swing low. A possible extension past it and start of a new leg lower also can occur as momentum tends to lead price.