Tesla Forming an ApexTesla is tightening up into an Apex formation. We are seeing volume spikes at the lows which could signal a breakout to the upside, but still need confirmation of this.
1TSLA trade ideas
Tesla - A story of an underdogSeveral of the Mag 7 are getting over heated, so I like to look at the ones that haven't caught up.
Since I don't have a crystal ball, I must consider the bearish and bullish scenarios.
As an investor I must pivot accordingly as one of these scenarios gets invalidated.
So on my charts you'll always see both scenarios. Today I'm leaning towards the bull.
Tesla just needs a narrative shift (ie -new invention etc), & price action changes in a heart beat.
Yet, price action really has less to do with the news making Elon a hero, then a villain and then back and forth...but moreso to do with price action patterns that just keep repeating.
So if we don't get a dead cat bounce, I believe Tesla could eventually head towards it's ATH, if this bull market continues.
TSL PatienceTSL Fractal. Another several months of accumulation until December 2027 Chop then Parabolic. Chop Chop Chop. Dollar Raising Risk Off. Bitcoin Topping. Dollar Bottoming.
SLA Moderate Bullish Setup – Weekly Play for 08/01 Expiry
## ⚡ TSLA Moderate Bullish Setup – Weekly Play for 08/01 Expiry
🎯 *"Volume confirms it. RSI supports it. Time to strike—or stand by."*
---
### 🔍 Market Intelligence Snapshot:
📊 **Consensus**: Moderately Bullish
📈 **Weekly RSI**: Rising
📉 **Daily RSI**: Still Neutral (momentum building)
📉 **VIX**: Low → Great environment for call buying
📦 **Volume**: Strong institutional activity across models
---
### ✅ Recommended Trade Setup:
**TSLA \$340 CALL (Exp: Aug 1)**
💰 *Entry*: \~\$0.88
📈 *Target*: \$1.38
🛑 *Stop*: \$0.35
📆 *DTE*: 3 Days
🎯 *Entry*: Market Open
⚖️ *Confidence*: 65%
---
### 🔧 Model Blended Strategy Notes:
* Meta & Anthropic: Suggest ATM/ITM (\$327.50–\$330) → safer, higher cost
* Google & xAI: Prefer \$340–\$342.50 for a better risk/reward
* DeepSeek: Targets \$320 but with heavier premium
🧠 *Takeaway*: \$340 offers a balanced shot — affordable, but still responsive to upside flow.
---
### ⚠️ Risk Notes:
* ⏳ Time Decay → Quick exits = better outcomes
* 📰 External news or earnings reactions = watch for sudden volatility
* 🎯 Position size = keep light due to only 3 DTE
---
### 📊 TRADE SNAPSHOT (JSON):
```json
{
"instrument": "TSLA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 340.0,
"expiry": "2025-08-01",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 1.38,
"stop_loss": 0.35,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.88,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-07-29 10:16:14 UTC-04:00"
}
```
---
### 🧠 Quick Captions for Social:
* “TSLA bulls waking up? \$340C looks lit for the week 📈🔥”
* “Call volume surging. RSI rising. Low VIX. This \ NASDAQ:TSLA 340C might run 💥”
* “Risk-managed breakout shot — in and out fast 🎯”
TESLA POST EARNING 24 JULY 2025This is Post earning analysis for Tesla . I have clearly explained all the levels. Please trade carefully & try to stick to your plan.
NOTE: FOLLOW THE LEVELS
Tesla in the waiting room as revenue slidesTesla is a global innovator that is changing the world. As a general rule, many investors have a saying: Never bet against Elon. They're not wrong. Elon delivers. But the short term is messy.
The stock is hovering around its 200-day moving average, a critical test. Break lower and we could see $290, maybe $260. That’s not panic, it's just price catching up to reality.
The auto business is deep in a downcycle. Q2 deliveries fell 14%, with revenue down 12%. Profits squeezed. Classic cyclical move. Nothing new here. But it’s weighing on momentum.
The upside isn’t about cars, it's autonomy, robotaxis, AI (Grok in cars). That’s where Tesla becomes a $2 trillion company. Musk knows it and is building for the future (100,000 GPU super cluster). He’s already shifting the story.
But that future is 6–12 months out, maybe longer.
In the meantime, we sit in the waiting room. Auto volumes need to stabilise. Robotaxi needs scale. Optimus requires proof and some definitive timeframes to get the market excited. That creates a 3–6 month narrative gap. Markets hate gaps.
Earnings last week were among the softest (though expected). EPS fell 23%. Free cash flow almost vanished. No real catalysts until next quarter. If the broader market sells off, which looks likely, Tesla takes more heat.
But let’s not lose the plot. Tesla is still Tesla. Long-term vision remains. Musk’s execution record is unmatched. Bet against him and you lose, eventually.
Short term, expect weakness. Patience required. If the stock breaks $315 with conviction, we’d expect further weakness before the real upside re-emerges.
Wait, watch, then pounce.
The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
Unpack the Range, How to buy TeslaHello, I’m The Cafe Trader.
As part of our MAG 7 series, I’m going to show you how to find good pricing on TSLA for your long-term portfolio.
There’s a lot of hype surrounding Tesla right now — and for good reason. From a long-term investment standpoint, the future looks promising. But we still want to enter at the right price.
In my previous article, I gave TSLA a strong buy at $210–$220, and there were multiple opportunities in that range. But that was a few months ago. Let’s take a look at what the charts are telling us today.
⸻
🔲 In the Middle of a Big Range
With a range from $212 to $488, Tesla offers plenty of opportunity for traders — but for investors, it can stir up anxiety.
If you’re holding shares around $330+ and considering selling just to break even, here are three reasons you may want to reconsider:
⸻
1. 🚀 Future Prospects
Tesla is packed with upcoming catalysts:
• Grok AI release
• The highly anticipated Model Q
• Megapack energy storage scaling on an industrial level
These innovations, along with strong brand momentum, could drive the stock 2x, 3x, even 5x over the next few years.
⸻
2. 📈 Trending Up
While some may argue we’re forming a double top, a deeper look at the weekly or monthly chart shows no real signs of weakness. If you’re investing — not just trading — you need that longer-term perspective.
Tesla remains in an uptrend with healthy structure and plenty of strength in the larger timeframes.
⸻
3. 🛡️ Learn to Hedge Your Position
Even if we see 20–30% downside from supply zones, there are ways to protect yourself.
Hedging with options — such as buying puts — can reduce downside risk without selling your shares. If done correctly, you can turn a large drawdown into a smaller loss or even a profit on the hedge.
⚠️ Only do this if you understand how options pricing and time decay work.
⸻
🧠 Passive vs. Aggressive Sellers
Today (July 21st), TSLA tapped into a supply zone and rejected quickly — a sign that sellers are still active around $330, while buyers lack confidence to push through.
🔹 Passive Selling
These are quiet, standing orders — often from large sellers who don’t want to move the market. They sell gradually to avoid spooking buyers.
🔹 Aggressive Selling
This is intentional unloading — where sellers push to exit their position quickly, even at the cost of driving the stock down.
What we saw today looked like passive selling — I’ll cover this in more detail in my short-term TSLA article.
⸻
📊 My Buy Zones for TSLA
Fair Price: $296–$310
• $296 is the top of recent buying liquidity
• $310 is the bottom of the current uptrend
• This is where aggressive buyers may show up if sellers ease off
Good Price: $270–$284
• $284 is a strong support level where reinforced buyers have stepped in
• This has been a hot zone and a likely area for long entries to return
Steal Price: $220–$235
• Not marked on the chart, but this zone is high-demand territory
• Even with bad press or short-term issues, this would be a great long-term value buy
⸻
That's All for TSLA Long Term. Follow and stay tuned for a short term analysis.
@thecafetrader
Safe Entry Tesla1h & 4h Green Zones are safest entry Zones.
Stop loss Below.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock (safe way):
On 1H TF when Marubozu/Doji Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu/Doji Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
Two Trades to go Bullish on TSLAHello, I’m The Cafe Trader.
We’ve been tracking the MAG 7, and Tesla is the next focus for our short-term options or swing trade strategy.
I’m looking at two scenarios that are likely to play out with TSLA over the next few weeks.
For fundamental and long-term analysis, check my other article on TradingView.
⸻
Even though we’re sitting near the middle, bulls have just pushed into a bearish liquidity level (marked “Bottom of Supply”). We don’t know how much supply is left here, but the fact that bulls are pressing in suggests the bears are losing steam. This doesn’t mean price won’t pull back—it just means bearish follow-through may be weaker.
With that in mind, here are the two main scenarios:
⸻
1. Green Arrow — Bullish Test of Sellers
– Stock
If bulls keep the pressure on, we may see a test of the “Big Sellers” zone. The reaction there will tell us a lot.
If we see a sharp rejection (a quick tag followed by a flush) or a fake breakout that reverses, I’d approach longs more cautiously.
However, an aggressive entry long around the “Top of Demand” (around $321) could make sense, especially considering how buyers have been stepping in. This setup is primed to retest highs.
– Options
Pricing will be key here—especially post-earnings (EOD).
I’d look 2 weeks out. If you can snag a 335C for $5.00–$7.00, that’s solid.
Target profit would be into the Big Sellers zone. If we get a strong move before then that nets 3R–5R, I’d take it.
⸻
2. Red Arrow — Bearish Reaction + Big Buyer Support
– Stock
If earnings disappoint, we could see a shift in momentum. That said, big buyers should step in around $295.
This is actually the more likely scenario in my view.
From there, I’d look for a swing back up into the 330–350 range.
We’ll need to see how sellers handle the drop—are they aggressive, or is it just a lack of buyer interest?
Either way, this could align well with long-term buy zones.
– Options
On a flush to $295, I’d look for 3–5 day expiration calls around the 305 strike. @ a price between $1.50–$1.70 (look for 2-3R)
After the bounce, I’d expect a pause or retest of the uptrend line.
Then I’d look 2–3 weeks out for the 325C or 330C, ideally between $3.00–$5.00.
I’ll keep an eye on option pricing and update if we reach that level.
⸻
That’s all for short-term TSLA.
Follow for more charting and trade ideas.
📲 @thecafetrader
TSLA - LONG Swing Entry Plan NASDAQ:META - LONG Swing Entry Plan
Entry Zone 1: $307.00 – $302.00
→ Open initial position targeting +8% from entry level.
Entry Zone 2: $294.00 – $288.00
→ If price dips further, average down with a second equal-sized entry.
→ New target becomes +8% from the average of Entry 1 and Entry 2.
Edit Zone (Aggressive Demand): $247.00 – $243.00
→ If reached, enter with double the initial size to lower the overall cost basis.
→ Profit target remains +8% from the new average across all three entries.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss:
Risk is capped at 12% below the average entry price (calculated across all executed positions including the Edit Zone).
Position Sizing Approach:
Entry 1: 1x
Entry 2: 1x
Edit Zone: 2x
→ Total exposure: 4x
→ Weighted average determines final TP and SL calculations.
______________________________________
Legal Disclaimer
The information provided in this content is intended for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice or recommendations of any kind. The provider of this content assumes no legal or financial responsibility for any investment decisions made based on this information. Users are strongly advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with licensed financial advisors before making any financial or investment decisions.
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Expected to go in Bearish Mode - Keep watchDaily candle clearly says, retracement from the triangle breakout line completed. It showing as reversal.
A Strategic Long Opportunity Amid VolatilityCurrent Price: $316.06
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $324.00
- T2 = $328.50
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $312.50
- S2 = $308.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Tesla.
**Key Insights:**
Tesla’s stock presents both short-term risks and long-term upside opportunities. Despite recent earnings misses and margin compression, its pivot into AI and robotics offers significant growth opportunities. Upside resistance zones near $325-$330 create favorable price targets, while support levels at $307-$310 suggest strong buying interest. This environment could favor a long trading strategy, provided disciplined risk management is maintained.
**Recent Performance:**
Tesla recently experienced notable sell-offs following disappointing earnings, attributed to compressed margins and weaker EV demand. However, the stock rebounded 3.5% from last week’s lows, signaling resilience amid uncertainty. Year-to-date, Tesla remains one of the top-performing stocks with a 54% price increase, reflecting strong underlying investor confidence in its long-term story.
**Expert Analysis:**
Market experts are divided on Tesla’s trajectory. Near-term fundamentals appear challenging with declining revenue (-12% YoY) and price cuts impacting profitability. However, bullish projections from analysts such as Kathy Wood highlight Tesla’s potential for disruptive innovation in AI and robotics. Its ambitious initiatives like robo-taxi deployment add speculative appeal but also introduce scaling and regulatory risks.
**News Impact:**
Tesla’s upcoming robo-taxi launch in San Francisco is poised to impact market sentiment significantly. While safety drivers will be required during the initial rollout, scalability and regulatory challenges could limit the project’s immediate impact. Meanwhile, recent disappointing earnings results may weigh on sentiment in the short term while providing an opportunity for potential retrishments off support levels.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Given the current setup, Tesla appears poised for long-term growth, with upside resistance levels suggesting a viable rally opportunity. Investors should consider taking a bullish position while maintaining stops near key support zones to mitigate downside risks. This balanced approach aligns well with Tesla’s speculative appeal and broader investor sentiment.
Tesla (TSLA) | Short-Term Compression, Long-Term ExTesla’s daily chart is coiled, with price currently trading at $316, sitting along the 200-day moving average. This looks like a consolidation phase with significant moves building up.
Price Action Snapshot
TSLA sold off last week, rejecting the $335 resistance level before finding footing around $300. The previous range of $280 and $365 is now tightening.
Immediate resistance sits at $335 with a clean breakout above that zone likely triggering momentum back toward the upper range of $365.
The recent drop does not seem like a capitulation move; it's likely institutional redistribution. Smart money is repositioning, not exiting.
Market Is Focused on the Wrong Data
Tesla’s Q2 earnings were objectively weak. Revenue fell 12%, deliveries dropped, and operating margins got clipped.
But this correction isn't all about fundamentals. It is about the market adjusting to a company evolving beyond traditional valuation models.
While most investors are trying to value Tesla like a car company, it’s spending this entire phase retooling itself into an AI and autonomy-first enterprise. That transition doesn't show up in EPS yet (but it will).
The Bigger Picture is Being Missed
The robotaxi rollout in Austin is live. Expansion into California, Phoenix, and Florida is on the roadmap.
Tesla is building a vertically integrated, owner-driven ride-hailing model that could eventually bypass both Uber and legacy OEMs entirely.
Optimus is no longer a lab prototype—it’s moving toward scalable production by 2026.
If Tesla even partially succeeds in general-purpose robotics, it will unlock a Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) that dwarfs the current EV narrative .
Daily Technical Outlook
We’re currently in a bullish compression, with higher lows forming against the resistance area of $365. If $280 holds and the price continues to grind within this wedge, it sets up a volatility breakout scenario.
The breakout level to watch is $335. A daily close above that reopens $365. And beyond that, the resistance level is at $426.
My View
Tesla is compressing, both in price and narrative.
The long game is quietly coming into focus, where the risk/reward skews asymmetrically in favor of the upside.
This daily compression won’t last forever, and when it resolves, the move will likely be outsized.
$TSLA is in an accumulation phase.A classic Wyckoff scenario is playing out, offering a prime opportunity if you have the nerve for it.
Support: The key support zone is $300 - $305. As long as this holds, the bullish thesis is intact.
Resistance: The primary target is the top of the multi-month accumulation range, around $370 - $380. A breakout above this would signal the start of a major new markup phase.
CUP AND HANDLE $TSLA TO $515 MINIMUMThe cup and handle is a bullish chart pattern commonly used by traders to spot potential buying opportunities. It features a rounded "cup" formation followed by a slight downward drift forming the "handle." This pattern typically signals a continuation of an upward trend once the handle completes its consolidation phase.
ROBOTAXI BOOM
BUY NOW NASDAQ:TSLL NASDAQ:TSLA
TSLA BUY+++ WEDGE FORMING $339 first targetTSLA, like AAPL, is forming a bullish wedge which likely will break to the upside. First target is $339 at wedge resistance then will reevaluate
A to 236 or B killing A to 420Tesla is one of those stocks that is heavily manipulated algorithmically. When we were in an uptrend and needed a little push, a large fractal was created that could break a previously formed structure which should have taken us to $236(A). Interestingly, a very strong symmetrical triangle has emerged, influencing this upward movement, and the final price—due to some mystical reason—seems to be $420(B). It’s also worth noting that this whole move is being influenced by another similar structure whose target is above $600. So, if we analyze everything that’s happening, a 12% drop in sales means nothing compared to what Tesla will gain from robots, restaurants, and robotaxis, which I call RRR
Cup & HANDLE + Mini Double Bottom: $TSLA to $610 ScenarioI maintain a bullish stance on Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ), supported by a compelling combination of technical patterns and strong fundamental drivers. The current chart setup reveals a Cup and Handle formation complemented by a Mini Double Bottom, both of which are classic bullish continuation patterns. These suggest a potential breakout scenario that could drive NASDAQ:TSLA to $610 by year-end.
Technical Roadmap:
Gap Fill to $408: Anticipated earnings momentum, particularly from the Robotaxi segment, is likely to propel the stock to fill the previous gap at $408.
Consolidation at $450: Following the gap fill, I expect a consolidation phase forming a “box” around the $450 level.
Breakout to $610: A decisive breakout above $450 could trigger a strong rally toward the $610 target.
***Current Key Catalysts Supporting the Bullish Thesis:
Robotaxi Expansion: Tesla’s autonomous driving initiative is gaining traction, with Robotaxi developments expected to significantly boost revenue and margins.
India Market Entry: Tesla’s upcoming launch in India opens access to one of the world’s largest and fastest-growing EV markets.
In-House Chip Development & Dojo 2 Expansion: Continued investment in AI infrastructure and custom silicon enhances Tesla’s competitive edge in autonomy and robotics.
Tesla Diner Launch: The near-completion of Tesla’s themed diner adds to brand visibility and customer engagement.
Global EV Adoption: Tesla continues to benefit from rising EV demand across multiple international markets.
Optimus Robot Hype: Growing interest in Tesla’s humanoid robot project could unlock new revenue streams and investor enthusiasm.
Favorable Macro Trends: A declining interest rate environment supports higher valuations for growth stocks like Tesla.
Institutional Accumulation: Recent trading activity suggests that institutional investors are accumulating shares within the current range.
Grok AI Integration: The integration of Grok AI into Tesla vehicles could enhance user experience and differentiate Tesla’s infotainment ecosystem.
Investment Strategy:
I recommend initiating or increasing exposure to NASDAQ:TSLL (leveraged Tesla ETF) ahead of the upcoming earnings report. This could offer amplified returns if the bullish scenario plays out. Consider accumulating further on any dips, particularly during the consolidation phase around $450.
BUY NOW NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:TSLL
Next Volatility Period: Around August 21
Hello, traders.
Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
#TSLA
We need to see if it is rising along the rising channel.
The key is whether it can rise with support near 311.48 to break out of the downtrend line.
The key is whether it can rise along the short-term uptrend line and break through the short-term downtrend line after passing through this volatility period around July 25.
Therefore, we need to see whether it can rise above the 347.21-382.40 range with support near 311.48.
The next volatility period is expected to be around August 21.
-
The important thing is to maintain the price above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If not, there is a possibility of a long-term downtrend.
Therefore, if it shows support in the 268.07-311.48 range, it is a time to buy.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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$TSLA Bad earnings reactionI was lucky to sell before earnings. Rebuying here. NASDAQ:TSLA had a bad earnings reaction, but otm calls getting bought at the open today 8/8 315c @8.3 for $2 million
TSLA: 305.30
This idea is supported by entry price and institutional rebound.
Strong institutional breakout. Bullish Entry 2 — Institutional breakout + momentum.
Entrada: 310.00/317.00
SL: 308.00
TP1: 314.00
TP2: 316.00
Bearish Entry 2 — Strong institutional breakout
Entry: 300.00
SL: 302.00
TP1: 296.00
TP2: 292.00
