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NVDA trade ideas

Nvidia - 100% new all time highs!Nvidia - NASDAQ:NVDA - is just too bullish now: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Honestly it was not unexpected that Nvidia is now the most valuable company in the world. The chart is just so strong and perfectly following structure; it seems to be just a matter of days until Nvidia will create a new all time high. If this happens, a breakout rally will follow. Levels to watch: $150 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by basictradingtv
13
NVDA: Options GEX & Technical Setup for Jun 161️⃣ Options Gamma Insights * Strongest gamma resistance sits in the 140–145 zone, with a hefty 3rd CALL wall (~79%) and consistent NETGEX/Call shelf near 145. * IV is ultra low (~6.4 vs avg 46.5), meaning traders benefit from moves more than decay—especially as price nears gamma protection levels. * GEX exposes (call $5.8 put $94) show mild call skew, favoring small upside tilt. * Trade idea: Look to buy short-dated (~5DTE) calls or a call spread below 140–142, targeting fade/exercise pressure at 145; or consider put protection if NVDA breaks below 140 with bearish momentum. 2️⃣ 15-Minute Chart Analysis * Price anchored near top of short-term consolidation range (140–145), after breaking below previous range high. Structure shows lower lows & lower highs → bearish tilt. * Resistance: 142–145 overhead zone. * Support: Near 140 (stop level), followed by 137 and previous BOS at ~140.86. * Trend direction: Downward pullback within afternoon range. 3️⃣ Trade Setup Suggestion * Bias: Bearish if price fails to reclaim above 142–145 gamma region. Bullish only on reclaim + clear BOS structure. * Options plays: * Buy 5DTE–10DTE put spread below 140, targeting 137–135 with tight risk. * Alternatively, buy call spread if price breaks and holds above 145 with volume. * Stops & Sizing: Risk 1–2% per trade; place stop-loss just outside your entry trigger zone. 🧠 My thoughts? * Gamma alignment: Gamma walls act as structural support/resistance—145 is reinforced by call wall. * Low IV: Minimizes premium decay and makes directional moves more profitable. * Chart context: Lower-highs structure gives bearish edge; bearish setup aligns with downside call-to-put skew. 🚨 Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. All trades carry risk. Manage position size carefully and be aware that options are risk assets—especially with low IV.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
3
Is NVDA Building Strength Before a Breakout?After cooling off from its $150 highs, NVIDIA (NVDA) is consolidating in the $140–$145 zone. While some traders fear the AI hype has peaked, others see this as the calm before another rally. With solid fundamentals, continued leadership in AI, and strong institutional backing, NVDA remains a name to watch closely. 🎯 Trade Setup: Entry Points ✅ $142 – Current price zone (speculative buy) ✅ $135–$130 – Strong support (ideal swing entry) ✅ $125 (only if market-wide pullback occurs) Profit Targets 📈 TP1: $149 – All-time high retest 🚀 TP2: $160 – Extension target 💰 TP3: $175+ – Long-term bullish scenario if momentum returns 💡 Strategy: This is a “buy-the-dip, trade-the-breakout” setup. Wait for confirmation above $146 if you're conservative, or accumulate gradually into weakness with a clear risk plan. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and use proper risk management. I'm sharing my personal view for educational purposes.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Robert_V12
NVIDIA stock : (Inverted H&S) We are confirmed bullish📈 NVIDIA Stock Analysis: Bullish Reversal Ahead! 🚀 🔍 Overview: Today, we’re analyzing NVIDIA's stock chart, which presents a powerful inverse head and shoulders pattern—a classic bullish reversal signal! 🛠 Key Components of the Pattern: - 🫳 Left Shoulder: Formed after a downtrend. - 🧠 Head: The lowest point, indicating strong support. - 🫴 Right Shoulder: Shows buyers stepping in, confirming momentum shift. - 📏 Neckline Breakout: If price crosses this resistance level with volume, we expect an upward movement! 📊 Technical Details: - 📉 Current Price: $144.78 - 🔝 Resistance Levels: $160.00, $152.77, $148.60 - 📉 Support Levels: $131.46, $121.08, $110.00 - 📢 Volume: 125.83M, validating market sentiment. 📈 Expected Market Behavior: If NVIDIA maintains momentum above the neckline, traders could anticipate further price appreciation 💰✨. Strong volume will confirm the trend, making it an attractive opportunity! 🧐 Final Takeaway: This bullish pattern suggests that investors might consider strategic entries 📊💡. Whether holding or entering positions, keeping an eye on market reaction & volume is key!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TSXGanG
NVDA $148 VS $139 NVDA competing at the moment with bullish momentum dominating. am looking for rebound tomorrow from where it is to determine after ORB if price will head to next key level at $148 where previous buy and sell orders were withheld. If price fails to utilize this key level at $143 you can expect a quick cash grab for $139 with continuation to my level imbalance of $131 as mentioned before. Both key levels will be retested at some point. But for now, looking up with the trend.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by soymundo21
Key Catalysts Driving Nvidia’s Stock Growth 2025 and BeyondKey Catalysts Driving Nvidia’s Stock Growth (Mid-2025 Onward) Nvidia (NVDA) has solidified its position at the center of the AI computing boom, with record fiscal 2025 revenue of $130.5 billion (114% year-over-year growth) driven by surging demand for its AI chips. Looking ahead from mid-2025, multiple fundamental catalysts are expected to power further stock price growth. Below, we identify 10 primary forward-looking growth drivers for Nvidia, each ranked by expected impact (0 to 10) and analyzed with recent data, forecasts, and developments. 1. AI Chip Dominance – Strength: 10/10 Nvidia is the undisputed leader in accelerated AI hardware, commanding a dominant market share in data-center GPUs and AI chips. Its GPUs have become the backbone of modern AI – Nvidia “holds the pole position” in the AI ecosystem, with industry estimates showing it controls over 90% of the data-center AI processor market. This chip supremacy gives Nvidia tremendous pricing power and a virtuous cycle: more developers adopt its CUDA platform and hardware, further reinforcing its lead. As advanced AI models grow ever more complex, Nvidia’s top-of-the-line silicon (from the current Blackwell GPUs to upcoming architectures) remains the default choice for training and deploying cutting-edge AI, positioning the company to capture the lion’s share of the AI revolution. 2. Explosive Data Center AI Demand – Strength: 10/10 Skyrocketing demand from cloud giants and enterprise data centers for AI compute is a core growth engine for Nvidia. The company’s data-center segment has experienced exponential growth – in calendar 2023, Nvidia’s data center revenue surged by 409%– as hyperscalers raced to build out AI infrastructure for large-scale training and inference. This upward trend is expected to continue into 2025 as companies pour capital into AI-driven services. Notably, tech titans like Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, and Google have collectively pledged over $300 billion in 2025 AI-related capex, reflecting no slowdown in spending on AI servers. Nvidia directly benefits, as its high-end GPUs (e.g. H100 and Blackwell) are heavily deployed for these AI workloads. In its latest quarter, Nvidia reported data center revenue of $39.1 billion (up 73% year-on-year – an astonishing run-rate driven by relentless orders from cloud providers. With customers reportedly maintaining or increasing their 2025 AI infrastructure plans, data-center demand remains an unparalleled catalyst for Nvidia’s growth over the next several years. 3. Mainstream AI Adoption Across Industries – Strength: 9/10 AI is rapidly becoming ubiquitous in business processes and consumer applications, translating to broad-based demand for Nvidia’s technology beyond the hyperscalers. “AI has gone mainstream and it’s being integrated into every application,” CEO Jensen Huang noted – from logistics and e-commerce to healthcare and finance, organizations are embedding AI to gain efficiency and insights. This everyday AI usage sustains high growth for Nvidia as enterprises large and small invest in AI capabilities, often via cloud services powered by Nvidia GPUs. The company is banking on this pervasive adoption (“AI…in delivery services everywhere, shopping services everywhere”) to drive continued revenue expansion. Crucially, as AI moves into normal operations – such as automated customer service, supply chain optimization, and data analytics – demand shifts from one-off experimental projects to ongoing, scaled deployments. This creates a steady, secular tailwind for Nvidia’s AI platforms (both hardware and software) across virtually every industry. Analysts expect Nvidia’s revenue to keep rising at a healthy clip (UBS projects ~$147 billion by 2026, up from ~$27 billion in 2023f) precisely because AI adoption is broadening into a long-term, multi-industry growth cycle. In short, the “AI everywhere” era means sustained demand for Nvidia’s solutions well beyond the tech sector. 4. Strategic Partnerships & Alliances – Strength: 8/10 Nvidia has forged high-impact partnerships across tech, industry, and even nations, which amplify its market reach and create new revenue streams. Robust alliances with virtually all major technology players are central to Nvidia’s strategy, enabling it to deliver solutions at massive scale. For example, Nvidia expanded collaborations with cloud providers and enterprise software firms: Snowflake now integrates Nvidia’s full-stack AI platform to help customers build AI applications in the Data Cloud, and ServiceNow is co-developing enterprise AI agents with Nvidia’s tools to transform business workflows. These deals embed Nvidia’s AI technology into popular platforms, driving indirect adoption of its chips and software. On the global stage, Nvidia is also partnering with governments and sovereign investment funds to supply AI infrastructure. In May 2025, Nvidia announced a major partnership with Saudi Arabia’s AI firm Humain (backed by the Saudi Public Investment Fund) to build out national AI infrastructure. In the first phase, Humain will purchase 18,000 of Nvidia’s advanced Grace Blackwell AI superchips for new Saudi data centers. Such large-scale deals not only yield immediate chip sales but also cement Nvidia’s position as the go-to provider for strategic AI projects. Overall, by teaming up with influential cloud vendors, software companies, automakers, and governments, Nvidia is seeding long-term growth opportunities far beyond what it could achieve alone. 5. Automotive & Autonomous Systems – Strength: 8/10 Nvidia’s push into automotive AI is expected to become a significant growth driver as the auto industry evolves toward self-driving, electrification, and software-defined vehicles. Nvidia’s automotive segment – which provides AI chips and software (Drive platform) for driver assistance and autonomous driving – grew 27% year-over-year recently and is considered the company’s next billion-dollar business line. The pipeline is robust: more than 25 vehicle makers (including EV leaders BYD, NIO, Lucid and stalwarts like Mercedes-Benz, Volvo, Jaguar Land Rover) have adopted the NVIDIA DRIVE system-on-chip for their next-generation cars. Starting in 2025, all new Jaguar Land Rover models will be built on Nvidia’s Drive AI platform (from cloud training to in-car chips), and Mercedes is rolling out Nvidia-powered “Hyperion” AI computers in its 2024 models. These design wins translate to multi-year revenue streams in hardware and software (through NVIDIA’s DRIVE OS and AI cockpit software). As vehicles become “computers on wheels” requiring sophisticated AI for perception and decision-making, Nvidia is uniquely positioned with its automotive-grade Orin/Atlan chips and full software stack. Additionally, Nvidia’s technology is expanding into robotaxis, trucking, and autonomous industrial machines, tapping markets beyond passenger cars. While automotive AI revenue is smaller today than data center, its growth trajectory (with a design-win pipeline exceeding $11 billion over 6 years makes it a strong catalyst moving forward – effectively adding a new vertical to Nvidia’s growth profile as self-driving capabilities proliferate. 6. Expanding Software Ecosystem & Platforms – Strength: 9/10 A critical (and often underappreciated) driver of Nvidia’s success is its full-stack software ecosystem, which greatly extends its reach and creates a sticky moat around its hardware. Nvidia has spent years developing software frameworks, libraries, and tools (from the CUDA programming platform to AI frameworks like TensorRT and NVIDIA AI Enterprise) that are custom-built for its chipsets. This tight integration means anyone building AI, HPC, or graphics applications can leverage Nvidia’s optimized software to get superior performance – but in doing so, they become tied into Nvidia’s platform. For example, CUDA has become the de facto standard for GPU computing, with countless applications and machine learning models written for Nvidia GPUs. The result is a virtuous ecosystem: over 4 million developers now work with Nvidia’s SDKs, and the company continually updates its software (e.g. CUDA Toolkit, cuDNN, Triton inference server) to support new AI breakthroughs. Beyond enabling hardware sales, software is becoming a direct revenue stream. The NVIDIA AI Enterprise suite – a cloud-native AI software platform dubbed the “operating system for enterprise AI”– is sold via licenses and subscriptions to corporations deploying AI. Likewise, Nvidia’s DGX Cloud offering provides its AI infrastructure “as-a-service” via cloud partners, contributing to nearly $1 billion in annual recurring revenue already. By expanding its software stack and services, Nvidia not only locks in customers, but also moves up the value chain. This software-centric strategy is a powerful catalyst: it boosts margins, fosters customer loyalty, and opens Nvidia to growth beyond chip sales – for instance, through AI cloud services, enterprise support contracts, and developer platform fees – all of which support a higher long-term valuation. 7. Omniverse and Digital Twin Leadership – Strength: 7/10 Nvidia is spearheading the use of AI and graphics in simulation, positioning its Omniverse platform as the standard for industrial metaverse applications and digital twins. Omniverse is a real-time 3D simulation and collaboration platform that enables companies to create virtual worlds – “digital twins” of products, factories, cities, and even data centers – with physical accuracy. This initiative is forward-looking and strategic: it drives demand for Nvidia’s professional GPUs and AI software as more industries embrace simulation for design, engineering, and operations. Recent developments underscore Omniverse’s momentum: at GTC 2025, Nvidia announced an expansion of Omniverse with major partners like Ansys, Siemens, SAP, and Schneider Electric integrating it into their solutions to build smarter factories, robots and AI-driven facilities. In other words, leading industrial software providers are embedding Nvidia’s metaverse platform to help enterprise customers digitize their operations. The Omniverse allows engineers to visualize complex systems and test scenarios virtually – for example, designing a gigawatt-scale AI data center in simulation (including cooling and electrical systems) before building it in reality. Automakers use Omniverse to simulate autonomous driving; architects create virtual building models; manufacturers test production line changes in a risk-free virtual space. As this “industrial metaverse” trend grows, Nvidia’s early lead could yield a new ecosystem (and revenue source) of Omniverse software subscriptions, cloud services, and associated hardware sales. While still emerging, the platform’s potential is significant – it extends Nvidia’s reach into every field that uses simulation or 3D design, leveraging its core strengths in graphics and AI. In the coming years, Omniverse-driven demand for GPUs (for rendering and physics simulation) and software could become a notable catalyst augmenting Nvidia’s more mature segments. 8. Continuous Innovation and Product Roadmap – Strength: 9/10 Nvidia’s planned GPU hardware roadmap through 2027 (Ampere/Hopper to Blackwell to Rubin architectures) demonstrates its aggressive cycle of innovation, with each generation delivering major leaps in AI performance. A key reason Nvidia maintains its edge is relentless R&D yielding regular leaps in performance – a pipeline of new GPUs and systems that keep customers upgrading. The company’s roadmap beyond mid-2025 is packed with heavyweight launches. Its current flagship data-center GPU family, Blackwell, only ramped production in early 2025, yet Nvidia is already preparing the next architecture, codenamed “Rubin,” for 2026. CEO Jensen Huang has affirmed that Blackwell Ultra GPUs (a mid-cycle upgrade with faster memory and networking) will debut in late 2025, followed by the next-generation Rubin GPU platform shortly thereafter. Partners are “getting up to speed” on Rubin, which is expected to provide a “huge step up” in AI capability. In fact, Nvidia has outlined a cadence of major launches every even year (2024 Hopper → 2026 Rubin → 2028 Feynman, etc.), with incremental updates on odd years. This rapid pace matters for the stock: each new generation spurs a replacement cycle as cloud firms, enterprises, and supercomputing centers upgrade to unlock higher efficiency. For instance, the Blackwell-based systems offer up to 1.5× the performance of the prior Hopper chips, and Rubin is expected to jump even further, enabling more advanced AI models (critical as the industry chases artificial general intelligence). Nvidia’s ability to consistently deliver order-of-magnitude improvements – e.g. through more memory (HBM4E), faster interconnects, and specialized AI cores – encourages customers to expand their Nvidia-powered infrastructure. In turn, it deters competitors who struggle to match Nvidia’s R&D breadth. This continuous innovation cycle ensures that as AI workloads grow, Nvidia will have the cutting-edge products ready – keeping demand (and revenue growth) on an upward trajectory. 9. Full-Stack Expansion (CPUs, DPUs & Networking) – Strength: 8/10 Nvidia is evolving from a pure GPU vendor into a full-stack data center platform provider, expanding into CPUs, networking, and data processing units (DPUs). This strategic broadening of its product portfolio substantially increases Nvidia’s addressable market and lets it capture more value per system. Notably, Nvidia’s homegrown CPU (central processor), codenamed Grace, began shipping to customers in 2024–2025. Grace is a high-performance Arm-based CPU designed to pair tightly with Nvidia GPUs, capable of handling enormous data flows between chips – a crucial advantage for AI and HPC workloads. By offering its own CPU, Nvidia can sell complete server platforms (CPU+GPU) and optimize the whole system for AI. Jensen Huang highlighted that integrating GPUs with CPUs can boost computing speeds by 100× while only tripling power usage, underscoring the efficiency gains of Nvidia’s full-stack approach. Alongside CPUs, Nvidia has invested in networking and interconnects (acquiring Mellanox in 2020) and now leads in ultra-fast data center networks. Its latest Spectrum-X switches and ConnectX/BlueField SmartNICs (DPUs) are built to alleviate data bottlenecks in AI supercomputers. Industry analysts predict rapid growth in this DPU/SmartNIC space (a ~$5.5 billion market by 2031), and Nvidia is well positioned to dominate it with BlueField. By selling DPUs and switches alongside GPUs, Nvidia ensures that AI clusters can scale out efficiently, which is a key selling point for cloud providers. Importantly, these moves encroach on traditional CPU and networking incumbents – every Nvidia Grace CPU or BlueField DPU sold potentially displaces a competitor’s chip, consolidating more of the data center stack under Nvidia. The full-stack strategy thus acts as a force-multiplier for growth: Nvidia can address virtually every component of AI infrastructure, from processing to networking to storage acceleration. As customers increasingly prefer integrated solutions, Nvidia’s ability to provide the “entire package” drives incremental revenue and strengthens its competitive moat in the AI infrastructure market. 10. Global AI Infrastructure & New Markets – Strength: 8/10 Nvidia’s growth is set to benefit from international expansion and a wave of government-driven AI infrastructure investments. Around mid-2025, export policies began to favor Nvidia’s business, widening its reachable market. The U.S. Commerce Department’s rollback of certain AI chip export rules in May 2025 removed restrictions on which countries Nvidia can sell advanced AI chips to, easing a headwind that had weighed on the stock earlier. This policy shift, coupled with surging interest in AI globally, has unlocked huge orders from new regions. For instance, the Middle East is emerging as a major AI hub: the United Arab Emirates reached a preliminary agreement with the U.S. to import up to 500,000 of Nvidia’s high-end AI chips per year starting in 2025 – a massive volume aimed at making the Gulf a “third AI power center” alongside the US and China. Similarly, Saudi Arabia has announced plans to invest hundreds of billions in tech and is buying a TON of Nvidia chips for its own “AI factories” as part of a $600 billion investment pledge in U.S. and AI infrastructure. These moves reflect a broader “sovereign AI” trend: governments and enterprises worldwide are building domestic AI supercomputers (for national security, research, or competitive advantage) – and Nvidia is the go-to supplier for the requisite hardware. Additionally, markets like India, Southeast Asia, and Latin America are ramping up cloud data center builds and AI initiatives, representing new growth frontiers for Nvidia’s datacenter GPUs. Even in China – despite ongoing export controls – Nvidia has navigated restrictions by offering modified chips (like the A800/H800) to continue serving demand. Altogether, the global arms race in AI computing acts as a tailwind for Nvidia: it guarantees a steady stream of orders from across the world. With geopolitical allies now explicitly allowed (and eager) to procure Nvidia’s top chips, the company stands to fill the AI compute gap globally, driving revenue growth beyond the traditional U.S. customer base. In summary, expanding international markets and large-scale AI infrastructure projects are a catalyst that could propel Nvidia’s next phase of growth. Sources: The analysis above incorporates information from recent Nvidia financial reports, press releases, and expert commentary, including Nvidia’s FY2025 earnings, CEO Jensen Huang’s statements on AI demand, analyst insights on spending and growth forecasts, and news of key deals and policy changes affecting Nvidia. These catalysts underscore Nvidia’s unique positioning at the intersection of AI hardware, software, and global adoption, suggesting that from mid-2025 onward, the company has multiple powerful growth drivers supporting its stock’s long-term trajectory.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ProjectSyndicate
49
NVDA SELLSELL NVDA at 149.00 to 163.00, riding it back down to 93.00 to 77.00 as Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 172.00! If anyone likes long mumbo jumbo garbage analysis, than this is NOT for you. Also, if you are afraid of risk, failure, and want only a 100% sure thing, than run as fast as you can from the markets, because the markets are NOT a sure thing, so it is definitely NOT for you. WARNING: This is just my opinions of the market and its only for journaling purpose. This information and any publication here are NOT meant to be, and do NOT constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Trading any market instrument is a RISKY business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by pstock123
Nvidia - The breakout will eventually follow!Nvidia - NASDAQ:NVDA - will break out soon: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Over the course of the past couple of days, we saw a quite strong rally of +50% on Nvidia. Considering the market cap of this company, such a move is quite impressive. Following this overall very strong bullish momentum, an all time high breakout is quite likely to happen soon. Levels to watch: $150 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by basictradingtv
18
Nvidia - Weekly Volatility SnapshotGood Afternoon! Let's talk NASDAQ:NVDA Last week we saw HV10 (24.96%) increase above HV21 (23.67%) after starting what could be a regression towards HV63 (39.13%). IV (37.37%) entering this week reflects within 6% of it's sliding yearly lows and resonating around quarterly means. This could be showing a fair prediction to the regression potential and a volatility spike. Here, the RSI has room but is elevated and hinged down with the MACD crossed red -- lagging indicators showing trend reversal. If bi-weekly values can find regression to quarterly; the implied range I would be watching is $135.47 - $148.47 with IV increasing affecting premium positively. If the grind up continues slowly, expect IV to melt and be watching for contracting HV10 ranges between $137.82 - $146.12 -- Keep an eye on the news, it will ever affect the broader markets and any underlying within. Follow along through the week as we track our volatility prediction -- I will pull the charts back in at the end of the week to review! CHEERS!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by splitmyIVandmelt
NVDA Swing Trade – Overbought Reversal Setup (June 12, 2025)📉 NVDA Swing Trade – Overbought Reversal Setup (June 12, 2025) Ticker: NASDAQ:NVDA | Bias: 🔻 Moderately Bearish Strategy: Short-Term Swing | Timeframe: ~2 weeks Confidence: 75% | Entry Timing: Market Open Expiry: June 27, 2025 🔍 Market & Technical Snapshot • Price: ~$144.67 • Trend: Weekly and M15 uptrend still intact • RSI (Daily): ~70.63 → Overbought • MACD: Bearish crossover on Daily • Options Data:  – Heavy put OI at $140 (14,803 contracts)  – Max pain at $135 → potential pull lower  – High call OI at $145–$150 caps upside 🧠 AI Model Breakdown 🔼 Grok/xAI (Bullish Swing): • Calls out strong technicals, 5-min momentum • Suggests $155C for upside play 🔽 DeepSeek (Bearish Swing – Preferred): • Overbought daily RSI + bearish MACD • Strong put volume + options market pressure • Targets pullback to $138–$140 → PUT @ $140 ✅ Recommended Trade Setup 🎯 Direction: PUT 📍 Strike: $140 📅 Expiry: 2025-06-27 💵 Entry Price: $2.09 🎯 Profit Target: $3.10 (+48%) 🛑 Stop Loss: $1.25 (–40%) 📈 Confidence: 75% 📏 Size: 1 contract ⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open ⚠️ Risk Considerations • Weekly chart still bullish → risk of trend continuation • Low VIX (17.26) = slower option premium movement • Positive news surprise could cause upside gap • Use tight risk controls and monitor intraday structure 💭 NASDAQ:NVDA : Extended or just gearing up for another breakout? 📉 Drop your play below — Put buyers vs. breakout chasers 👇
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by quantsignals
NVDA (NVIDIA) False Breakout and Synchronized Pullback with SPYNVDA printed what appears to be a false breakout at the 1.0 Fib extension level ($143.49), now reversing sharply — potentially aligning with SPY's projected retracement. This presents a high-probability mean reversion setup. 📉 Technical Breakdown Current Price: $135.13 False Breakout Zone: 1.0 Fib extension ($143.49) Key Breakdown Zone: 0.786 Fib ($133.12) Probable Retest Zones: 0.618 Fib: $124.98 0.5 Fib: $121.25 Target: $119.25 (confluence with SPY's demand zone) 🔍 Probabilistic Trade Outlook ⚠️ False breakout + bearish engulfing = 80% probability of continued downside. 📉 Targeting $119.25 = 65% probability as it aligns with institutional levels and SPY’s projected retrace. 💡 Volume and momentum suggest profit-taking and supply absorption. 🌐 Macro Context (May 31, 2025) AI bubble cooling: Rotation from AI mega caps into broader market value plays. SPY & NVDA correlation: NVDA typically leads tech-heavy indices — the confluence here could signal broader market pullback. Fed Policy Uncertainty: No rate cut priced in for June; July will be key. 🧠 Institutional View This setup echoes the "buy-side trap" — liquidity engineered above previous highs, now reversing to collect resting orders below. This is textbook Smart Money Concepts (SMC) in play. 🧭 Trade Setup Entry: On confirmed breakdown below 0.786 ($133.12) Target: $119.25 Stop: $143.60 (above fakeout zone) Optional Re-entry: Near 0.618 ($124.98) on confirmation 📌 If NVDA hits the $119–121 zone in confluence with SPY’s bounce region, a high-R:R reversal trade may follow. #NVDA #FibonacciLevels #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #TechStocks #MarketReversal #AIStocks #TradingView #WaverVanir
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
NVDA at Gamma Cliff! Will Buyers Defend $143 or Drop to $140?🔬 GEX (Options Sentiment) Breakdown: * Key Gamma Levels: * CALL Walls / Resistance: * $146.18 = Gamma Wall (currently rejected) * $148.84 → 2nd CALL Wall * $150+ = Higher GEX levels but unlikely short-term without breakout * PUT Support Zones: * $143 → active support (currently being tested) * $140 → key gamma flip zone (GEX8) * Below $140 → $138 / $135 → deep gamma pit * GEX Metrics: * IVR: 2.6 (extremely low = possible vol expansion coming) * IVx avg: 38.8 * Calls Flow: 7.9% (weak call interest) * GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 (neutral-to-bullish positioning) * Interpretation: * NVDA is struggling at $146–147 gamma wall — rejection could cause dealer de-hedging toward $143 or even $140. * IV is extremely suppressed → any large move could expand volatility and create rapid price shifts. 📊 15-Minute SMC Chart Breakdown: * Current Price: $145.20 * Structure: * Price broke bullish structure early session and reached supply near $146.18 → then CHoCH triggered at the top. * Now pulling back into a minor demand box ($143.68–144.27). * If demand fails here → eyes on deeper demand at $141.97 and $140.86. * Major volume spike on pullback shows institutional selling near top. * Trendline: * Broke rising wedge → momentum flattening. * Volume divergence (price up, volume down) followed by breakdown = warning. 🧭 Trade Setups: 🟥 Bearish Setup: * Trigger: Break below $143.50 * Target 1: $141.97 * Target 2: $140 (GEX zone) * Stop-loss: $146.20 (back inside supply = invalid) Dealers could unwind hedges if price stays under $144, accelerating toward gamma-supported downside. 🟩 Bullish Reclaim Setup: * Trigger: Reclaim and hold $146.20 * Target 1: $148.84 (2nd CALL Wall) * Target 2: $150+ * Stop-loss: $143.60 This would trap late shorts and could cause a gamma squeeze toward $149–$150. 🧠 My Thoughts: * NVDA is at the inflection, sandwiched between dealer defense at $146 and GEX vacuum under $143. * If SPY/QQQ break lower tomorrow, NVDA could lead downside toward $140. * Volatility is cheap (IVR 2.6), making options attractive if directional bias is strong. * Ideal trade: wait for confirmation at $144–143 area before entering PUTs. 📌 Conclusion: NVDA is showing short-term weakness under heavy gamma resistance at $146. A clean breakdown below $143.50 opens the door to $140 fast. Only a reclaim above $146.20 flips bias bullish again. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always trade your own plan and manage risk accordingly.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights