NVDA trade ideas
Is Nvidia really going to play out this H&S?I hate formation trading. I love a H&S on RSI, but on the price chart - they're just so obvious that I can convince myself they "must" play out, which has hurt me in the past.
With that said, this one is pretty nice. Sure... you'd prefer the right shoulder to be lower than the left, but I think that's just being picky. So then...IS Nvidia REALLY going to play out this 25% total H&S dump while the rest of the tech sector makes new ATHs day after day? I THINK SO, YEA
As TQQQ made new ATHs today, NVIDIA continued with the girthy red candle party and officially broke the most optimistic bull's daily neckline, and so gun to my head I'd say yes, the H&S measured move to $120-$115 is where the smart money is. First sign NDQ pulls back and NVIDIA is going to the dump.
With that said, I love to make small counter trades of my own expectations to try to keep my head honest. So while I am currently big account short, I have a speculative scalp long based on the following bullish hopium:
As you can see, the .382 fib got front run, which I ALWAYS consider bullish until proven otherwise. I would expect a retest of the .382. premarket tomorrow, and bounce or not will decide vector. Nvidia also respected the daily 200ema, which is the last line of hope on any chart I markup. The weekly 20ema is being respected thus far, which is often the line in the sand in bull markets. You also have hourly and 4 hour oversold bullish divergence on RSI. Oh and finally... rising rides and all... No healthy charts are red right now.
Scalp long entry is 130.5, SL is an hourly close below the .382 fib which is 129.6, TP is .618 138.6🤙
Current short calls for entry at 129.5 once .382 confirms failed, then enjoy a complete local retrace to $115🤙
NVDA out of gas?H&S on the daily with 132.67 as the neckline. We also have another H&S that has played out and was followed by a double top, now failing once again under support. I'm in puts now with a stop-loss at 133. This is also where i would flip bias for potential squeeze at 133 after a backtest of 132.67
nvda orderflowThe average price target for Nvidia is $176.14. This is based on 40 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months. The highest analyst price target is $220.00 ,the lowest forecast is $135.00. The average price target represents 28.25% Increase from the current price of $137.34.
NVDA Falling Wedge Pattern Setup: $127 SL - $153 TargetA falling wedge pattern has formed on NVDA's daily chart, with price action contained between two converging downward trendlines. The stock shows a potential bullish reversal setup after reaching recent highs around $145. Volume has been declining during the pattern formation, which is characteristic of a falling wedge. The setup offers a clear risk-reward with stop loss at $127 and target at $153, with entry planned on a break above the upper trendline.
Understanding Market Dynamics: When Effort Meets Resistance and volume dynamics. For instance, there are moments when stocks rise with high volume, yet the price barely moves. This phenomenon can be a critical signal for traders, reflecting the market's internal mechanics.
In general, there are four key states to observe in the relationship between price and volume:
High Volume, Low Price Movement – A potential sign of resistance or distribution.
Low Volume, High Price Movement – Indicates lack of conviction or speculative activity.
High Volume, High Price Movement – Suggests strength or accumulation.
Low Volume, Low Price Movement – Reflects consolidation or market indecision.
These dynamics highlight the importance of not just looking at price charts, but truly understanding the story they tell. Sometimes, the market signals "buy" during peak momentum, but soon after, prices find their way downward effortlessly, leaving behind effort without result—a classic sign of exhaustion or distribution phases.
Take NVIDIA as an example. While I currently avoid trading it due to its strong fundamental standing and lack of immediate alternatives, sometime fools can become smart when it's punpy ride. the chart itself reveals fascinating patterns. These patterns often follow the laws of physics—momentum, inertia, and resistance—all playing out visually in the markets.
Remember, this is not trading advice but an invitation to explore how combining technical and fundamental analysis can provide deeper insights into market behavior. Every trader should develop their own system and evaluate risk accordingly.
i don't know if it will go up or down, but as i see from the behavior of the price i can only guess :) let's find out
SHORT NVIDIA for a 15% Profit Target from yesterdays close...**NIVIDA** Failed to create a new High and Broke Support in yesterdays session on higher Volume circled below, see the stock falling at least another 15% from here dragging the S&P index with it, first target would be $110 with stop loss placed above all time high $152.90 ...
NVDA in H&S & falling wedge patterns, and potential ST supportsNASDAQ:NVDA Swing Trading
Bearish short-term (no position) but bullish medium-long term.
Current Patterns
First, we see the price crossing the neckline of the Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on daily chart. The target price is at 110$, but not sure we reach this level. A close below the neckline would strongly confirm the bearish move with good volume. This is a good setup for short selling investors.
Additionally, there is a falling wedge forming (as shown in the chart), which is a potential bullish reversal pattern once it breaks up. This will be interesting to watch.
If the downtrend continues, the 20MA crossing below the 50MA on the daily chart, known as a death cross , would be a strong bearish signal. This indicates that the price is likely to face further downward pressure, as it reflects weakening short-term momentum compared to the longer-term trend. Historically, a death cross is associated with the beginning of sustained declines in price.To confirm this, watch for the daily close to solidify the crossover and be alert for other bearish indicators like the RSI and MACD showing continued weakness.
Strong support levels are found at $130, which acted as resistance in August, and the 100-day moving average (MA) on the daily timeframe at $127.90.
What I am watching for the next bull run
Volume has shown a slight increase, surpassing the 20-day moving average (MA) of volume yesterday, indicating growing interest. Today's close will be key to confirming the validity of the H&S pattern. Momentum indicators are bearish , with RSI under 39 and MACD in the red. However, I remain bullish on the short- and medium-term, so I’m watching for strong support levels and a potential reversal signal (RSI up, MACD green) with a solid bull volume.
What's crucial now is patience—I won’t enter when signals are bearish, and the next bullish setup isn't in place yet.
tradingview.sweetlogin.com
Nvidia: Gradual ProgressNvidia’s stock has made slight progress toward fulfilling our primary scenario. We still anticipate -wave sell-offs down to the support level at $90.69, where the blue wave (IV) correction should finally conclude. However, our alternative scenario of an already finished wave alt. (IV) remains in play. In this case, the stock would resume its ascent as part of blue wave alt. (V), pushing well above the resistance at $152.89 to reach new highs and, thus, complete the overarching green wave alt. (probability: 37%).
$NVDA #HeadNShoulders #Top ? Monday Poopy? #PlungerTimeTechnical Analysis, Keep It Simple
Head and shoulder top into the weekend.
NASDAQ:AVGO stealing some of the pie? NASDAQ:NVDA hitting some #speedbumps?
Next week puts could be worth the #squeeze.
#TreadLightly it's still Nvidia, but I read patterns primarily.
- Prophecies
PS; Could have a similiar-ish "build" to the NASDAQ:TSLA #BreakOUT #Re-Test #Go0o0o ...
NVDA ...Fishy things Smell when you dig deeperThink about this for a second...To make things like engines, there are tons of people cramming ideas onto boards and CAD systems then employing CNC's to construct the first engine of your PROTOTYPE.
Even though every Formula one to Toyota Camry has an engine...the mounts, the fuel system, the weight ratios, etc are so drastically different- you could say, the car is built around it.
Now...relating ^ that to chips. You have to do tons of research to fit chips onto things. We arent talking a simple- pop the AMD out of Mr. Gamer's Tower and switch with the NVidia one....Thats as simplistic as it gets. You have data centers that need to have parameters as to heat dissipation, electrical usage, maximum safe tolerance for chip load, etc.
Yet you release something new that is like, hey guys- just pop out the old and slip this bad boy in. I find that hard to believe. How could you have newer power hungry projects that the utilities would have to be informed of to calculate load and transfer line/sub station tolerances, given these things arent located in the boonies. The engineers would have to come up with ways, in how short of a time, to dissipate the higher heat...while calculating what the operating temps of the whole system they are installed in can handle before things go a little burn-outy.
Again....I may just be completely oblivious to it...but like the neighbor who says, "You sure thats a good idea not roping that ladder to the tree" to the 20 year tree pro- its both an inquiry for thought, but also a possible reminder if everyone gets to far up their own whatever to come back to reality.
NVIDIA Update: Big Levels to WatchHere’s the deal with NVDA right now:
1)If it keeps dropping, we’re looking at a move down to $130–$127.
2)But if it can break above $139, we could see it climb to $145 or higher.
It all comes down to whether $139 holds strong or if the price slips lower. Just keep an eye on those levels and let the market do its thing!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See