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CL1! trade ideas

CRUDE OIL PULLS BACK AND RE-ENTERS BUY ZONE!Hey Traders so looking at Crude Oil today still showing signs of strength. I think it's still bullish because Dollar is still showing weakening signs at the moment. Plus a few daily closes above $68. Also we are still in Summer which is normally a Seasonally Bullish time for Crude and energies. Not to mention still lots of uncertainty as always. 🙄 So I say if your bullish continue to buy in the zone $64.80-$66.00 place stop under support around 63.50 which looks like it could be safe place to not get stopped out. However if bearish wait for close below 63.50 before selling the rally. Or better wait until September when the Seasonally Weak period begins in energy markets. Good Luck & Always use Risk Management! (Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by TradeTheIndex
Crude oil ----- Sell near 67.50, target 65.00-63.00Crude oil market analysis: Crude oil has been falling recently, but the decline is not large, and the rebound will not be large. Consider selling crude oil if it rebounds slightly. The crude oil idea is bearish. It is difficult for crude oil to rise sharply without fundamentals, but we insist on taking losses in operation. If there is no loss, a piece of news will make it take off directly. Crude oil focuses on 64.00 support, and suppresses 67.50 and 69.50. Consider selling opportunities when the Asian session rebounds to 67.50. Fundamental analysis: Tariffs have not affected the market recently, and no major news has been announced. The market is relatively calm. Operational suggestions: Crude oil ----- Sell near 67.50, target 65.00-63.00
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by NicolaZhu
Crude Oil- Bull Flag formation Trade PlanNYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:MCL1! Big Picture: Let the price action and market auction be your guide What has the market done? The market has consolidated and pushed higher. There is an excess high at 67.87 from July 14th RTH. Market pushed lower, leaving behind excess with single prints above this showcasing strong area of resistance. What is it trying to do? The market is accepting prices in this range and building value. It has been in price discovery mode with a multi-distribution profile since June 24th. How good of a job is it doing? The market is currently forming a bull flag formation and attempting to push higher on the hourly time-frame. What is more likely to happen from here? Key Levels: Neutral Zone 1: 67.16-67 Neutral Zone 2 : 66.45-66.30 Yearly Open: 66.34 Neutral zone 3 : 65.23-65.03 2025- Mid Range : 64.14 Scenario 1: False break, pull back and push higher In this scenario, we expect prices to attempt to break bull flag formation, fail, however, neutral zone 3, acts as support for buyers to step back in to push prices towards yearly open and neutral zone 2. Scenario 2: Break but fail to sustain push higher In this scenario, we expect prices to break out of bull flag formation, however, fail around the 66 zone. Price reverts lower towards neutral zone 3 to further consolidate.
NYMEX:CL1!
by EdgeClear
Crude oil-----sell near 67.50, target 65.00-63.00Crude oil market analysis: Crude oil has started a new contract. The new contract is still not moving much at present, and the contract spread is not much. The daily line has begun to decline. Today's idea is to sell at a rebound of 67.50. The suppression position is 67.50 and 69.00, and the support is around 64.00. If this position is broken, there will be a greater room for decline. Fundamental analysis: There is no major news in the recent fundamentals. The situation in the Middle East is still relatively stable. There is no new rest on tariffs, and the impact on the market is limited. Operational suggestions: Crude oil-----sell near 67.50, target 65.00-63.00
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by NicolaZhu
WTI(20250721)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Waller refused to comment on whether he would dissent at the July meeting, saying that the private sector was not performing as well as people thought, and said that if the president asked him to be the chairman of the Federal Reserve, he would agree. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 66.42 Support and resistance levels 68.00 67.41 67.02 65.81 65.43 64.84 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 66.42, consider buying, and the first target price is 67.02 If the price breaks through 65.81, consider selling, and the first target price is 65.43
NYMEX:CL1!
by NicolaZhu
4-Tap Rejection. Compression. Breakdown Incoming?This is a mechanical short setup mapped out ahead of the Sunday futures open. It’s based on clean structure, distribution signals, and a confirmed internal shift in trend via iBOS but it’s not a blind breakdown short. The setup respects demand proximity, prior lows, and the risk of early-week traps. Read on. Structure Breakdown Over the last two weeks, price has rejected four times from a defined supply zone ($67.50–$68.50). On the 4th tap, we saw a classic stop hunt price wicked just above previous highs, then failed to hold. That failure led to an internal break of structure (iBOS), as price dropped through a prior key low and is now compressing just above a rising daily trend line. This forms the classic "liquidity grab → structure shift → compression" model and we’re now watching for the final leg lower. Short Setup Summary Entry Zone - 66.00–65.90 (on break & retest) Stop Loss (Kill Switch) - 67.50 above structural trap high TP1 63.80 - front-run of demand TP2 61.40 - full extension to macro demand This is a structure-first play no indicators, no guesswork. Only confirmed breaks, trap recognition, and clean execution. Demand + PDL Conflict It’s important to note, the short trigger area (around 66.00) sits very close to both a demand zone and the Previous Day’s Low (PDL). This makes it a high-probability bounce zone if price stalls. It also means the first move might be a fake out before the real leg begins. That’s why the short is only valid if we get a clean break, retest, and failure, not just a trend line touch or spike. Kill Switch Logic The stop is placed at 67.50, just above the stop hunt wick.. If price breaks above this, the setup is off plain and simple. The market would be shifting toward re-accumulation, and we won’t fight that. Sunday Futures Open Considerations This plan is published before the Sunday 6PM open. Crude is notorious for weekend-induced volatility. Thin order books and macro news = unreliable early moves. Three Potential Scenarios: 1. Spike into Kill Switch 2. Watch for a fast trap above $67.00 3. If price rejects back under $66.80, it becomes a higher-quality short Wait for confirmation no entry on open. Gap Down / Immediate Breakdown. If price breaks through $65.90 fast, wait for the pullback into structure on Monday to short safely. Push and Hold Above 67.50 Setup invalidated - Structure rotates bullish, we stand aside - Stay mechanical. Let the market confirm bias before executing. Staakd Model Checklist 1. Quad Rejection in Supply 2. Stop Hunt Confirmed (Tap #4) 3. iBOS (Internal Break of Support) 4. Daily Trend line Compression 5. Clean Risk Control via Kill Switch 6. Demand and PDL Caution Integrated This is how we structure high-conviction trades no emotion, no indicators, just mechanics.
NYMEX:MCL1!Short
by stakkd
Micro WTI Swing Breakout Setup – Robbing Liquidity the Smart Way🛢️ "Crude Ops: The WTI Energy Vault Breakout Plan" 🛢️ (A Thief Trader Swing Setup | MA Breakout Trap Heist 💰💥) 🌍 Hola! Bonjour! Marhaba! Hallo! Hello Robbers & Market Movers! 🌟 Welcome to another high-voltage heist mission straight from the Thief Trading Den. This ain’t just a chart—this is an Energy Market Extraction Plan based on real smart money footprints 🔎. 🔥 Master Robbery Setup: MICRO WTI CRUDE OIL FUTURES 🎯 We got a bullish breakout alert from the shadows! This is not a drill. 💣 ENTRY STRATEGY 💼 "The Heist Begins Above 68.50" Watch the Moving Average (MA) zone closely—this is where weak hands get trapped and we slide in with stealth limit or breakout orders: 🛠️ Plan of Entry: Buy Stop Order: Just above 68.500 (after confirmation of breakout ✅). Buy Limit Layering (DCA): On pullbacks around 15m/30m swing lows for precision entries. 🧠 Pro Tip: Use alerts to catch the exact entry ignition spark—don't chase, trap with patience like a true thief. 🛑 STOP LOSS (SL) ⚠️ "No SL? That’s a rookie mistake." SL should only be placed post-breakout using the 8H wick-based swing low (around 66.50). 💡 SL is your personal vault door—set it according to: Lot size Risk appetite Layered entry strategy 📌 Reminder: No SL or order placement before breakout. Let the market show its hand first. 🎯 TARGET ZONE (Take Profit) Primary Target: 76.00 🏁 But hey... the smartest robbers escape before alarms ring — so trail that stop, secure your profits, and vanish like smoke 🥷. 💥 FUNDAMENTAL & SENTIMENT CATALYSTS 🔥 Current bullish energy comes from: 📉 USD weakness 🏭 Crude inventory drawdowns ⚖️ Geopolitical supply shocks 🐂 Hedge funds scaling long per latest COT data 📊 Intermarket cues from risk-on assets 🧠 Do your diligence: Go check fundamentals, COTs, and macro narratives before entering. Info = Edge. 📢 RISK MANAGEMENT NOTE 🚨 Don't go wild. Market is volatile, especially around: News drops 📉 Fed or OPEC speeches 🎙️ Crude inventory reports 🛢️ Pause entries during news events. Use trailing SLs to lock the vault behind you. ❤️ SUPPORT THE ROBBERY MISSION 💣 Smash that BOOST button if this plan hits your nerve. Let’s keep robbing liquidity zones together and growing the Thief Trader Brotherhood 🕵️‍♂️💰. 📡 Stay tuned for the next stealth heist drop. We rob the market with class. 💎🚀
NYMEX:MCL1!Long
by The-Thief
Pre-Market Prep 7.18.2025What it do, everyone! Here’s my pre-market prep for Friday, July 18th. Just to give you a quick overview, I'm using my prior value areas, the prior day's high and low, and the CVA levels from my market profile. I use all this history to help me plan my trades for the day. So, starting with the S&P, as of now we’re green across the board. We’re in balance up from the prior day’s range, value area, and the CVA. My main plan is to look for acceptance and a pullback to a confluence area for longs. If we get rotational and break out of that area, I’m ready to go short. For the NASDAQ, it's a similar story. We’re rotational in the prior value area and range, but we’re balanced up from the recent CVA. Right now, I’m waiting to see if we can confirm acceptance and then I’ll look for a short from that rotational area down to the prior value area low. In the Russell, I’m seeing clear acceptance above all levels, so a pullback to the confluence area for a long would be ideal. For Gold, I’m also seeing it in balance up on all fronts. My first move would be a long from the prior day’s high. If we drop a bit lower, I’ll be looking at that CVA and PVA area for another long. The Euro is a bit more mixed. We’re rotational in the prior day’s range but balanced up in the value area and CVA. I want to clear the prior day’s high before taking any big moves. The Yen is also rotational, so I’m looking to trade the extremes, maybe some scalps while we’re balanced in the prior value area. For the Aussie Dollar, we’re in balance up from the PVA, but rotational in the prior day’s range and CVA. I’m looking for shorts near the top area and longs at the bottom, staying out of the middle for now. And finally, Crude Oil is rotational on all fronts. My first plan is to look for shorts from the confluence area down to the prior day’s range. That’s my pre-market prep for today. Let’s trade smart. Happy Friday, peace!
NYMEX:CL1!
by JBradleyTrades
Crude oil---sell near 67.50, target 65.00-60.00Crude oil market analysis: Crude oil has also started to fluctuate recently. Pay attention to the impact of contract delivery on the trend of crude oil. The daily line of crude oil does not show the strength of its rebound. In terms of operation, it is still a rebound sell. Crude oil continues to be bearish. The situation in the Middle East has not made any major moves temporarily, and the support for crude oil is limited. Pay attention to the selling opportunities near 67.30 today. Operational suggestions: Crude oil---sell near 67.50, target 65.00-60.00
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by NicolaZhu
1
Crude oil-----Sell near 66.80, target 65.00-62.00Crude oil market analysis: The recent crude oil daily line began to decline, but a small V appeared last night, which was also caused by the situation in the Middle East. Israel bombed Syria and crude oil began to rebound. Overall, crude oil is still bearish. We consider continuing to sell it when it rebounds. It has not broken near 64.00, and it is difficult to form a large unilateral. The suppression position is near 66.80. Consider selling it near it. Fundamental analysis: Trump’s dissatisfaction with Powell has not been a day or two. Conflict is inevitable, and the impact on gold is also short-term. Yesterday’s pull-up and dive is a case in point. Operational suggestions Crude oil-----Sell near 66.80, target 65.00-62.00
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by NicolaZhu
MCL Just RAN the Highs and Died. Beautiful. You ever watch price grind into a supply zone like it’s got no clue what's coming, then slap the trend line like it owes it money? That’s what MCL did this morning. It ran the previous day high, tapped into a juicy supply zone, gave us a textbook order block rejection and I said, “bet.” I’m not here for 300 IQ Fibonacci spirals or Jupiter retrograde entries I just want clean structure, manipulated highs, and a breakdown that pays the bills. Let’s dig in. Setup Overview (15-Min Chart) Bias: Bearish Setup Type: Liquidity Run ➝ OB Retest ➝ Trend Continuation Context & Narrative: PDH (67.01) was swept early. Liquidity grab? Price got yeeted from supply after faking momentum. We got a clean Order Block Retest at 66.59, respecting the descending EMA and HTF structure. Entry Structure: - Entry - 66.39 Retest rejection + momentum shift - TP1 - 66.10 Intra-day structure low - TP2 - 65.80 Demand zone front-run - PDL - 65.40 Potential deeper fade if momentum holds Confluence Checklist: - Sweep of prior highs (PDH liquidity grab) - Strong supply reaction + OB retest - Bearish EMA slope holding price down - Momentum shift + clean intraday structure - Entry gives >2R to TP1, >4R to TP2 Risk Notes: If price reclaims 66.70+ and closes above OB → bias invalidated. Don’t marry the trade this is oil, not Tinder.
NYMEX:MCL1!Short
by stakkd
WTI(20250717)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The annual rate of PPI in the United States in June was 2.3%, lower than the expected 2.5%, the lowest since September 2024, and the previous value was revised up from 2.6% to 2.7%. Federal Reserve Beige Book: The economic outlook is neutral to slightly pessimistic. Manufacturing activity declined slightly, and corporate recruitment remained cautious. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 65.20 Support and resistance levels: 66.59 66.07 65.74 64.67 64.33 63.83 Trading strategy: If it breaks through 65.74, consider buying in, and the first target price is 66.07 If it breaks through 65.20, consider selling in, and the first target price is 64.67
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by NicolaZhu
Crude Oil Trade Plan Scenarios and Key Levels NYMEX:CL1! It’s Wednesday today, and the DOE release is scheduled for 9:30 a.m. CT. This may provide fuel—pun intended—to push prices out of the two-day consolidation. Also, note that the August contract expires on July 22, 2025. Rollover to the September contract is expected on Thursday/Friday. You can see the pace of the roll here at CME’s pace of roll tool . The chart shows that rollover is about 70% complete, and CLU25 has higher open interest. Note, the front-month August contract is still trading at higher volume. What has the market done? Crude oil is in a multi-distribution profile since the peak witnessed during the Iran-Israel conflict. Crude oil formed a strong base above the 64s and traversed towards the 69s. Prices were rejected at these highs and have since reverted back towards the monthly Volume Point of Control, monthlyVPOC. What is it trying to do? The market is in active price discovery mode and has formed multi-distributions since June 23. The market has been consolidating after prices at highs were rejected. How good of a job is it doing? The market is active and is also providing setups against key levels. Patience to take trades from these higher time frame levels is what is required to trade crude oil currently. Otherwise, there is a lot of volatility and chop that can throw traders off their plan. Key Levels: • Yearly Open: 67.65 • Neutral zone: 67.15–67.30 • 2-Day VAL (Value Area Low): 66.40 • Neutral zone: 66.40–66.20 • 2025 Mid-Range: 65.39 • Key Support: 64.40–64.70 What is more likely to happen from here? Scenario 1: An initial attempt to push higher, pVAL and onVAL finds aggressive sellers pushing prices towards mcVPOC and yMid confluence Scenario 2: pVAL provides support for further consolidation and break back above yesterday's high and price moves towards yearly Open. Glossary: pVAL: Prior Value Area Low onVAL: Overnight Value Area Low yMid: 2025 Mid-Range mcVPOC: Micro Composite Volume Point of Control
NYMEX:CL1!
by EdgeClear
WTI(20250716)Today's AnalysisMarket news: ① The annual rate of the overall CPI in the United States in June rose to 2.7%, the highest since February, in line with market expectations, and the monthly rate was 0.3%, the highest since January, in line with market expectations; the annual rate of the core CPI rose to 2.9%, the highest since February, lower than the expected 3%, but slightly higher than 2.8% last month, and the monthly rate was 0.2%, lower than the market expectation of 0.3%. ② Interest rate futures still show that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates this month, but there is a high possibility of a 25 basis point cut in September. ③ Fed mouthpiece: The CPI report will not change the Fed's policy direction. ④ Trump: Consumer prices are low and the federal funds rate should be lowered immediately. The Fed should cut interest rates by 3 percentage points. ⑤ Fed Collins: The core inflation rate is expected to remain at about 3% by the end of the year, and the Fed should maintain active patience. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 65.66 Support and resistance levels: 66.49 66.18 65.98 65.34 65.14 64.83 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 65.66, consider buying, the first target price is 65.98 If the price breaks through 65.34, consider selling, the first target price is 65.14
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by NicolaZhu
Oil Futures Approaching Key Reversal Zone – Bullish HarmonicOil futures may be forming a bullish Shark harmonic pattern, with price approaching the potential reversal zone at point D. This pattern suggests a possible bounce if buyers step in around this area. If price action shows signs of support or a shift in momentum, it could offer a solid long opportunity. Look for confirmation like bullish candles or indicators turning up before entering. If the pattern plays out, it could provide a strong risk-to-reward setup.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by FreedomBuilder
WTI(20250715)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Sources said that after Trump's latest trade tax threat, the European Central Bank will discuss a more negative scenario next week than expected in June. The ECB is still expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting on July 24. Discussions on rate cuts are still postponed to September. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 66.63 Support and resistance levels: 69.20 68.24 67.62 65.65 65.02 64.06 Trading strategy: If it breaks through 66.63, consider buying in, the first target price is 67.62 If it breaks through 65.65, consider selling in, the first target price is 65.02
NYMEX:CL1!
by NicolaZhu