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Natural Gas (Henry Hub) Last-day Financial Futures (Dec 2033)Natural Gas (Henry Hub) Last-day Financial Futures (Dec 2033)Natural Gas (Henry Hub) Last-day Financial Futures (Dec 2033)

Natural Gas (Henry Hub) Last-day Financial Futures (Dec 2033)

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HHZ2033 trade ideas

Natural Gas – Bullish Rebound Expected Towards 285–288Natural Gas is currently showing signs of a short-term bounce after testing key support around the 267–258 zone. My view remains bullish in the short term with potential upside toward 285–288, which aligns with the downward purple trendline and both the 50 EMA (around 292.3) and 200 EMA (around 288.9). This confluence zone is expected to act as strong resistance. Once the price reaches that level, I’ll look for bearish confirmation to re-enter short positions, in line with the broader downtrend marked by the falling black trendline. 📌 Levels to watch: Support: 267 / 258 Resistance: 285–288 (EMA + trendline)
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Long
by raulgunjal28
1
U.S. Natural Gas Poised for Rebound After Steep July DropU.S. natural gas prices sank in July due to mild weather, strong supply, and LNG export disruptions. The EIA cut its price outlook but expects a recovery by winter. While technicals hint at a short-term rebound, oversupply and weak summer demand keep pressure on prices. A sustained recovery depends on tighter balances and rising LNG flows. MILD WEATHER AND STRONG SUPPLY DRAGGED U.S. NAT-GAS PRICES CME Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures fell 10.1% in July, marking the steepest monthly decline since April (-19.3%). For the week ending 25/Jul, prices dropped 12.8%, marking the sharpest weekly fall since the week ending 31/Jan (-24.4%). The selloff was fuelled by milder-than-expected summer weather, robust production, reduced LNG exports, and strong storage builds. July typically sees lower U.S. gas demand compared to the winter months, and in 2025, cooler conditions curbed electricity use for air conditioning, softening demand for gas-fired power generation. Meanwhile, U.S. natural gas output remained robust through H1 2025, with supply growth outpacing consumption. With production still high and power sector demand underwhelming, the EIA expects prices to remain under pressure until the winter withdrawal season (November to March). LNG EXPORT DISRUPTIONS DEEPEN PRESSURE ON U.S. GAS PRICES AMID STRONG SUPPLY U.S. LNG export flows declined in July 2025, primarily due to maintenance and operational delays at major terminals. These disruptions significantly reduced gas deliveries to export facilities, limiting outbound volumes despite the U.S. maintaining ample export capacity. At the same time, domestic natural gas supply continued to rise. According to S&P Global , for the week ending 30/Jul, total supply increased by 0.2% week-over-week. While modest, this supply growth added to an already well-supplied market. The reduced export activity amplified the bearish impact of weak summer demand, contributing to the sharp price decline seen in July. RISING U.S. GAS INVENTORIES ADD PRESSURE AS PRODUCTION OUTPACES DEMAND Another drag on prices has been the steady build-up in U.S. natural gas inventories in recent weeks, driven largely by increased domestic production. Source: EIA As of the week ending 25/Jul, U.S. natural gas inventories are 6.7% above the five-year average (2020–2024) despite ending the previous withdrawal season 4% below the five-year average, the lowest in three years. Source: EIA Injections have exceeded the five-year average as U.S. natural gas production has increased in Q2 2025 compared with Q1 2025. The EIA expects inventories to end the injection season on 31/Oct with 3,910 Bcf of natural gas in storage, 5% more than the forecast it made previously and 3% more than the five-year average. EIA LOWERS GAS OUTLOOK BUT STILL EXPECTS A REBOUND IN PRICES The EIA has revised its natural gas price outlook downward in its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), citing stronger-than-expected storage builds. The agency now forecasts Henry Hub prices to average USD 3.67/MMBtu in 2024 (down 8.7%) and USD 4.41/MMBtu in 2025 (down 9.6%) compared to the previous month’s estimates. Source: EIA STEO Despite the lower near-term outlook, the EIA still sees prices gradually rising from Q3 2025 through Q1 2026. As maintenance at major LNG export facilities concludes, export volumes are expected to recover, helping to absorb excess supply. Additionally, structural demand from Europe remains strong. The EU has committed to purchasing USD 750 billion worth of energy—including LNG, crude oil, and nuclear fuels- from the U.S. over the next three years. BEARISH PRESSURE PERSISTS, BUT TECHNICAL INDICATORS HINT AT REBOUND Henry Hub has traded below its 9-day and 21-day moving averages since 21/Jul, signalling sustained bearish pressure. On 01/Aug, it showed signs of breaking above the 9-day average, hinting at a potential shift. RSI and MACD indicators are suggesting fading bearish momentum for Henry Hub, pointing to a potential short-term price rebound. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Henry Hub prices saw a steep monthly drop in July, weighed down by multiple factors mentioned above. However, several signs point to a potential rebound. Despite the recent slide, technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggest fading bearish momentum. With bearish drivers priced in and both technical and fundamental signals hinting at stabilization or a short-term bounce, traders may consider going long CME Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures. These contracts, sized at 1/10th of the standard futures, offer efficient capital deployment and precise risk control, making them ideal for expressing directional views or scaling into a larger position as confirmation builds. This paper posits a long position in CME Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures (Sep 2025) expiring on 26/Aug (MNGU2025) with the following trade setup: • Entry: 3.10/MMBtu • Target: 3.46/barrel • Stop: 2.86/barrel • P&L at Target (per lot): +360 ((3.46 – 3.10) x 1,000) • P&L at Stop (per lot): -240 ((3.10– 2.86) x 1,000) • Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 1.5x The same view can be expressed using standard CME Natural Gas futures, which offer 10x larger notional sizes and deep liquidity. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by mintdotfinance
Natural Gas Cooling Near Support Zone – Bounce Ahead!Natural Gas Technical Overview (2-Chart Analysis): Chart 1 – Parallel Channel Formation: Natural Gas is moving within a well-defined parallel channel. The lower support boundary of this channel is observed near 250, indicating a potential bounce zone. Chart 2 – EMA-Based Support Structure: Price is currently sustaining above key EMAs, reflecting short-term strength. The last EMA support lies around 252, acting as an additional support confluence. If this level is sustain then we may see higher prices in Natural gas futures. Thank you !!
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Long
by FiveCircles
NG1! Bearish Break to $3.00-$2.82 by Tuesday?tradingview.sweetlogin.com NYMEX:NG1! Update - Bears Pushing, Turnaround Looms Short-Term Odds: ~60% pullback to $3.00-$2.99, ~40% chance to $2.82 - Key Signal: Low volume on 1000-tick chart, holding below VWAP ($3.134). Third test at $3.10 done—$3.00 next if support breaks. - Trend Hint: Bearish with high storage (3,075 Bcf). August heat (Dallas 104°F) looms but not flipping yet. Expect a potential dump Monday (July 28), turnaround Tuesday (July 29). lets see how it plays out - Enjoying these updates? Good hunting! #NaturalGas #Trading #NG1
NYMEX:NG1!
by jimbo1968
The Great Gas Heist: Load Your Longs Before It Blows💎🚨“Operation Gas Vault: NG1! Breakout Robbery Blueprint”🚨💎 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Welcome to all my Market Hustlers & Silent Robbers 🕵️‍♂️💼💰 Today’s target: NG1! Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures 📍Strategy: A bullish heist mission with a calculated escape plan. 🔥Thief Trading Blueprint: Gas Market Heist🔥 🎯 Entry Gameplan “The vault cracks open at 3.630 – That’s your cue.” Wait for resistance breakout 🧱 (around 3.630) – that’s the signal. Set Buy Stop orders above the Moving Average. Or, use a layered DCA entry via Limit Orders near swing highs/lows (15m or 30m timeframe). Thief Tip: Set an alert/alarm so you don’t miss the breakout bang 🔔💥 🛡 Stop Loss Setup (Post-Breakout Only!) “Don’t be reckless. No SL before breakout — wait for confirmation.” SL Location: Swing low (4H) near 3.370. Set SL after breakout happens, not before. Adjust based on your risk tolerance, lot size & number of open entries. ⚠️ Placing early SL = triggering the trap before the door opens. 🏴‍☠️ Loot Target 🎯 Take Profit Zone: 4.100 Escape Tip: No need to be greedy. Take profit before the police arrive (resistance)! 🧲 Scalper’s Shortcut Only go Long – avoid fighting the current. If you’ve got cash flow, strike early. If not, ride with the swing crew. Use trailing SL to protect your stack 💼📉 📊 Fundamental Clues Behind the Heist The gas vault is heating up thanks to: 🔥COT Reports 🛢 Inventory & Storage data 📈 Seasonal trends 💹 Sentiment flows ⚖ Intermarket linkages Checkk your own global indicators 🌍🔗 – don’t enter blindfolded. 🗞️ News Traps & Position Protection Avoid new entries during major news releases 📰🚫 Trail stops to guard running positions Markets react fast. Adapt even faster. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is educational info, not personal investment advice. Your money, your risk, your decisions. 💥 Support the Robbery Squad 💥 If you vibe with the Thief Trading Style, smash that Boost Button 💖 Grow the gang, expand the vaults, and master this money maze together! 🤑🏆🚀 Stay tuned – another heist plan is on the way. Until then, trade smart, trade sharp. 👊🕶💼 🔒#NaturalGas #ThiefTrading #BreakoutStrategy #SwingTrade #FuturesHeist #NG1Plan #RobTheMarket
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by The-Thief
13
NATGAS Trading Opportunity! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the NATGAS next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 3.567 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 3.480 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by AnabelSignals
1