ORCL IS A SELL SELL SELL HERE! way overbought!ORCL sell the news on this rally! Breached an all time high running out of steam. As most traders know a new ATH is heavy resistance, and we usually "check back" underneath this level once breaching in some cases they will go higher (after a correction). This combined with screaming overbought indicators name your favorite, it's a SELL. First target is $183.64 then it should fall below $183. I would not be surprised to see a complete gap fill before this can print another new ATH
ORCL trade ideas
ORCL heads up at $212 then 220: Double Golden Fibs may STOP runORCL has been flying off the last Earnings report.
About to hit DUAL Golden fibs at $212.67-220.21
Ultra-High Gravity objects in its price-continuum.
It is PROBABLE to consolidate within the zone.
It is POSSIBLE to reject and dip to a fib below.
It is PLAUSIBLE but unlikely to blow thru them.
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My last Plot that caught the BreakOut EXACTLY:
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Oracle (ORCL) shares surge 24% in a week, hitting all-time highOracle (ORCL) shares surge 24% in a week, hitting an all-time high
Last week, Oracle (ORCL) shares:
→ rose by approximately 24% — marking the strongest weekly gain since 2001;
→ broke through the psychological level of $200 per share;
→ reached an all-time high, with Friday’s session closing above $215. It is possible that a new record may be set this week.
What’s driving Oracle (ORCL) shares higher?
The main catalyst was the quarterly earnings report released last week:
→ Earnings per share ($1.70) exceeded analysts’ expectations ($1.64);
→ CEO Safra Catz projected revenue growth of 12–14% in upcoming quarters;
→ Company founder Larry Ellison highlighted “astronomical” demand for data centres, as well as Oracle’s competitive edge in building and servicing them.
Notably, Oracle provides infrastructure services for both OpenAI and Meta Platforms.
Technical analysis of ORCL shares
ORCL shares have shown high volatility throughout 2025, largely influenced by news surrounding Donald Trump. His promises to strengthen the US position in AI served as a bullish signal, while plans to impose international trade tariffs had a bearish impact.
As a result, a broad upward channel has formed on the chart, with the following key observations:
→ the price has repeatedly bounced sharply from the lower boundary (1), indicating strong demand;
→ by early June, the price had risen and stabilised near the channel’s median line (2).
Currently, the ORCL chart shows that the earnings-driven rally has pushed the price into the upper quartile (3) of the channel.
With the RSI indicator at extreme highs, it is reasonable to assume that ORCL may be vulnerable to a pullback. However, if a correction does occur, it is unlikely to be deep — perhaps testing the psychological $200 level — given the company’s strong fundamentals.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
ORCL Earnings Play – Riding AI Momentum (2025-06-11)📈 ORCL Earnings Play – Riding AI Momentum (2025-06-11)
Ticker: NYSE:ORCL (Oracle Corp)
Event: Earnings Report — 📆 June 11, After Market Close (AMC)
Bias: ✅ Moderately Bullish | Confidence: 70%
Strategy: Call Option | Expiry: June 13, 2025
🔍 Market Snapshot
📍 Price: Trading near recent highs
📈 RSI (Daily): 87.66 — Extremely overbought
📊 IV Rank: 0.75 → Implied volatility is high
📦 Options Market: Bullish skew; max pain at $170 suggests risk, but not dominant
🧠 Narrative Drivers: AI/cloud strength, institutional accumulation, strong uptrend
🧠 AI Model Consensus Summary
✅ Bullish (3/4 Models):
• Grok/xAI, Llama/Meta, Gemini/Google → all recommend a long call
• Favor upside potential due to strong trend + favorable sentiment
• Strike debate: $195 vs. $200 → $200 favored for cost/leverage
⚠️ Bearish (1/4 Models – DeepSeek):
• Flags overbought RSI + $170 max pain
• Recommends buying puts (contrarian sell-the-news play)
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: CALL
📍 Strike: $200
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
💵 Entry Price: $0.86
🎯 Profit Target: $1.00 (+16%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.25 (–71%)
📈 Confidence: 70%
⏰ Entry Timing: Before earnings close
📏 Size: 1 contract (limit to ~1% of capital)
⚠️ Risk Factors
• ❗ Binary Event: IV crush or weak results can kill premium
• 🧊 RSI > 87 → potential for short-term correction
• 🔁 If no move materializes, you may lose full premium
📣 Will NYSE:ORCL deliver an AI-fueled beat or flop on IV crush?
💬 Share your take ⬇ | Follow for daily earnings plays and AI-backed trade alerts.
ORCL SELL SELL SELL NEVER EVER EVER EVER UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCE DO YOU BUY A STOCK WITH AN 89 RSI!!! NEVER ORCL is a strong sell here, once it corrects it might be a buy again based off the blowout earnings and forecasts. But today, we be way ahead of ourselves boys and girls. We should easily retrace to fib .5 $184.35 and next Fib .618 $176.91 possibly a complete gap fill in coming days/ weeks but no matter what the pumpers say it's not a buy here!!!!! Today
ORCL at a Critical Zone: Will the Eagle Strike?
Oracle (ORCL) just completed a parabolic +20% move. Now it's flashing clear signs of exhaustion:
Bearish candle forming just below the EMA21
RSI spiked above 80 and is now curling down
Volume is fading while price stalls
Long upper wicks = visible selling pressure
This setup fits perfectly with my strategy: “The Eagle Trap” 🦅 — designed to catch short-term tops after euphoric rallies.
🔻 PUT thesis:
If price breaks below $212 with strong volume, targets are:
$208 → $202 → $198.
🎯 Invalidation:
If it reclaims $217 with heavy volume, the trade is off.
I don’t force trades — but I’m ready to strike if the breakdown confirms.
🔔 Follow me for real setups, weekly traps, and full strategy breakdowns.
Oracle Financial Outlook and Strategic Analysis (June 2025)
📈 Robust Growth Amid Strategic Shifts
Oracle Corporation has solidified its position as a leader in enterprise software and cloud infrastructure, with a strategic pivot toward AI and cloud computing. Over the past five years (2020–2024), Oracle has shown consistent financial growth, driven by its Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) and recurring revenue streams. Key financial metrics from 2024 highlight its strength:
Revenue Growth: From $39.07B in 2020 to $52.96B in 2024, Oracle has achieved a CAGR of ~7.9%, fueled by cloud subscriptions and software support contracts.
Net Income Surge: Net profits reached $10.467B in 2024, up 23% from 2023 ($8.50B), reflecting improved operational efficiency.
Free Cash Flow (FCF): Oracle generated $11.807B in FCF in 2024 (from $9.62B in 2020), with a 22% FCF margin, showcasing its ability to fund investments while returning value to shareholders.
EBITDA Margin: At 28.08% in 2024 (up from 26.5% in 2020), Oracle maintains strong profitability.
Return on Equity (ROE): A remarkable 120% in 2024, driven by a low equity base due to aggressive stock buybacks.
Shareholder Returns: Oracle paid $2.44/share in dividends and repurchased significant shares, with buybacks reducing equity from $12.72B in 2020 to $8.704B in 2024.
The company’s growth is anchored in its recurring revenue model (~70–75% of revenue from software licenses, support, and cloud subscriptions) and its aggressive expansion into AI-driven cloud services, positioning it to compete with industry giants.
🌍 Global Exposure and Currency Tailwinds
Oracle’s 45–50% international revenue (Europe ~25%, Asia ~15–18%) provides a hedge against US-specific economic pressures. A weaker US dollar boosts reported revenues when converting foreign earnings:
In 2022–2023, a strong USD caused FX headwinds of $1.3B–$1.6B, reducing reported revenue.
In 2024, stabilizing currencies (EUR, JPY) neutralized these effects, enhancing margins.
Long-term contracts (often 5+ years) lock in pricing in local currencies, ensuring stable cash flows even in volatile FX environments.
This global diversification, combined with multi-year deals in healthcare, government, and defense, reduces Oracle’s exposure to trade tariffs and supports its resilience in economic uncertainty.
⚠️ Critical Challenges and Risks
Despite its financial strength, Oracle faces significant hurdles that could derail its trajectory if not addressed:
1. Heavy Leverage and Liquidity Constraints
Oracle’s balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with historical trends showing increasing debt:
Total Debt: Grew from $69.23B in 2020 to $86.869B in 2024, driven by acquisitions (e.g., Cerner) and cloud investments.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: Improved from negative equity (-$2.14B in 2022) to 9.98x in 2024, but remains alarmingly high.
Net Debt/EBITDA: At 5.12x in 2024 (up from ~3.5x in 2020), Oracle’s leverage is above investment-grade comfort levels (3x).
Liquidity: A cash ratio of 0.34 and current ratio of 0.72 indicate limited ability to cover short-term obligations, with $10.661B in cash dwarfed by debt.
ROIC vs. WACC: Oracle’s ROIC of 8% is below its WACC of 9.2%, signaling value destruction if investments don’t yield higher returns.
2. Critical Dependence on NVIDIA GPUs
Oracle’s AI strategy hinges on NVIDIA H100 GPUs for its OCI Superclusters, used for training and running large language models (LLMs). Key details:
Strategic Partnership: Oracle collaborates with NVIDIA to deliver AI cloud services to sectors like banking (e.g., JPMorgan for risk modeling), healthcare (e.g., Mayo Clinic for diagnostics), and AI startups (e.g., Cohere, Mistral AI). These deals are multi-year but early-stage, with revenues (~$1B in 2024) not yet covering costs.
Cost Burden: NVIDIA GPU costs are estimated at $1–2B annually, contributing to Oracle’s $6.866B CapEx in 2024. Supply constraints and rising H100 prices (up ~20% since 2023) increase financial pressure.
Limited Alternatives:
AMD MI300 GPUs: Oracle is testing these, but they lag in performance for large-scale AI training.
Intel Gaudi2: Suitable for inference but not training, limiting scalability.
In-house Accelerators: Unlike Google (TPUs) or Meta, Oracle lacks proprietary AI hardware, locking it into NVIDIA dependency.
Risk: If NVIDIA raises prices further or supply tightens, Oracle’s margins could shrink, especially since cloud pricing is locked in long-term contracts.
3. Premium Valuation
P/E Ratio: At 48.11x, Oracle trades at a significant premium to the S&P 500 (~25x).
P/B Ratio: 56.34x reflects a disconnect from its book value ($3.16/share).
P/FCF Ratio: 15x+ suggests the stock is not cheap, limiting upside unless AI/cloud growth accelerates.
📊 Competitive Landscape: Oracle vs. AWS, Azure, Google Cloud
Oracle’s OCI competes with AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud, but trails in market share and AI maturity. A comparative analysis highlights Oracle’s position:
Metric
Cloud Revenue (2024)
YoY Growth
Market Share
AI Capabilities
Operating Margin
Strength
Weakness
Oracle’s Edge: OCI’s 50% YoY growth outpaces competitors, driven by enterprise deals in regulated industries (e.g., healthcare, government). Its hybrid cloud solutions appeal to clients needing on-premises integration.
Gaps: Oracle’s 2–3% market share lags far behind AWS (31%) and Azure (20%). Its AI offerings rely heavily on NVIDIA, unlike AWS (in-house chips) or Google (TPUs). Azure’s OpenAI partnership gives it a lead in generative AI.
Google Cloud Comparison: Like Oracle, Google Cloud is a late mover but benefits from proprietary TPUs and stronger AI R&D. Oracle’s higher margins (29% vs. 17%) give it a financial edge, but Google’s innovation pace is faster.
Oracle must scale its AI services and diversify GPU sources to close the gap with these giants.
📉 Historical Resilience and Recession Risks
Oracle’s recurring revenue model has historically cushioned it during downturns:
2008–2009 Recession: Revenues dipped slightly (~2%), but profits held steady due to software support contracts.
COVID-19 (2020): Revenues grew to $39.07B, and Oracle accelerated cloud investments, unlike competitors who cut back.
2022–2023 Inflation: Despite FX headwinds, Oracle increased CapEx to $8B+, doubling down on data centers.
However, its current high leverage and CapEx intensity make it more vulnerable in a recession:
Reduced enterprise IT spending could slow new cloud deals.
High debt servicing costs ($86.9B) could strain liquidity if FCF drops below $5B.
NVIDIA costs and locked-in cloud pricing could squeeze margins if demand falters.
📊 Future Outlook: Earnings Drivers and Catalysts
Oracle’s 19.76% earnings growth in 2024 is driven by:
Cloud and AI Expansion: OCI’s ~50% YoY growth and $60B+ in contracted revenue (multi-year deals) ensure stable cash flows.
Global Diversification: International revenue and a weaker USD could boost margins by 2–3% by 2027.
AI Scale-Up: If AI revenues reach $5B+ by 2026 (from $1B in 2024), margins could expand significantly.
Catalysts:
Enterprise AI Deals: Scaling partnerships (e.g., JPMorgan, Mayo Clinic) could drive revenue.
Debt Refinancing: Lower interest rates could reduce debt costs, freeing up FCF.
Buybacks/Dividends: Continued shareholder returns support stock stability.
Risks:
NVIDIA Dependency: Rising GPU costs or supply issues could erode margins.
Recession Pressure: A deep downturn could test Oracle’s liquidity, despite its recurring revenue buffer.
Competition: AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud’s scale and innovation threaten Oracle’s market share.
🛠️ Strategic Recommendations
Buy-the-Dip: Purchase below $140/share (fair value $140–$200) for a margin of safety.
Monitor NVIDIA: Track Oracle’s GPU diversification efforts and AI deal closures to assess cost coverage.
Interest Rates: A decline in rates could ease debt pressure; rising rates would exacerbate risks.
Long-Term Play: Oracle’s AI and cloud pivot requires patience, with significant returns likely post-2026.
📌 Conclusion
Oracle is a financial powerhouse with strong growth, robust FCF, and a strategic focus on AI and cloud. Its global exposure and long-term contracts provide stability, but high debt, premium valuation, and NVIDIA dependency pose risks. In a recession, Oracle’s resilience will be tested, but its recurring revenue offers a buffer. For long-term, risk-tolerant investors, Oracle is a compelling opportunity, especially at a discount.
Oracle Just Frickin Exploded ....What the Hell Just Happened?!!When you hear the name Oracle, what comes to mind?
Chances are, you're thinking of old-school databases, big enterprise contracts, or maybe Larry Ellison’s yacht. And you're not wrong — Oracle has been a software giant for decades. But behind the legacy, there’s a transformation underway that’s catching serious investor attention:
Oracle is becoming one of the most quietly powerful cloud infrastructure players in the AI boom.
So the real question smart investors should be asking right now isn’t:
“Is Oracle still relevant?”
It’s this:
“Is Oracle still a smart investment at this price?”
As a value investor who combines deep fundamental analysis with AI-powered tools, I’m going to walk you through a comprehensive breakdown of Oracle from a true value lens — one that cuts through the noise and gets to the numbers that actually matter.
Whether you're learning how to value a stock or looking for your next long-term compounder, this guide will change how you see companies like ORCL.
Let’s dive in.
🧩 First: What Even Is Oracle?
To understand whether Oracle is a good buy, you first need to understand what it actually does — and how it’s reinventing itself in the AI era.
👇 TL;DR – Oracle in 3 Sentences:
💲It builds the databases that power much of the world’s enterprise software and runs mission-critical infrastructure for governments and companies.
💲It’s pivoting fast into cloud computing — and now claims cloud growth of over 70%, driven by demand from AI startups and enterprises alike.
💲With nearly 80% of its revenue coming from recurring cloud services, Oracle is quickly becoming an AI-first infrastructure provider.
Oracle isn’t just the old guard anymore — it’s quietly competing with AWS and Azure for the future of cloud.
🧠 Understanding Value: What Makes a Stock Undervalued or Overvalued?
Before we talk stock prices, let’s clarify something:
Value investing isn’t about buying cheap stocks.
It’s about buying great businesses for less than they’re worth.
To determine whether Oracle is undervalued or not, I ran it through six institutional-grade valuation models — then created a weighted average fair value to account for both opportunity and risk.
These models include:
✅ Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
✅ Price-to-Earnings Multiples
✅ PEG Ratios
✅ Graham Formula
✅ Dividend Discount Model
✅ Forward Earnings Forecasts
Let’s walk through them — simply and clearly.
💵 Market Snapshot (as of June 14, 2025)
🔹 Current Stock Price: $215.22 (All-time high)
🔹 Consensus Analyst Target: ~$230–240 (some stretch targets at $275)
🔹 My Fair Value Estimate (weighted model): $217.50
🔹 Upside Potential: ~1% base case, with a bull case of ~28%, bear case of -5-10%.
📊 Let’s Break Down the Valuation Models — One by One
1️⃣ Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
This model asks:
“How much cash will Oracle generate in the future — and what is that worth today?”
Assumptions:
- Revenue grows at ~11% CAGR
- 10% discount rate
- Terminal growth at 2%
Fair Value from DCF: $235.00
2️⃣ P/E Multiples (Price-to-Earnings)
We look at how much investors are paying per dollar of earnings — adjusted for Oracle’s industry average.
Fair Value from P/E: $220.00
(Oracle trades near 19× earnings vs. industry ~20×)
3️⃣ Forward P/E Valuation
Forward P/E accounts for future earnings projections — critical for growth pivots like Oracle’s cloud expansion.
Fair Value from Forward P/E: $240.00
4️⃣ Graham Formula
Ben Graham’s method values a company based on conservative earnings and growth expectations.
Fair Value from Graham Formula: $200.00
5️⃣ PEG Ratio (Price/Earnings/Growth)
A PEG near 1.0 means the price matches growth. Oracle’s growth-adjusted valuation looks compelling.
Fair Value Estimate from PEG: $250.00
6️⃣ Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
Oracle pays a dividend, but it’s modest. This model gives a lower valuation since most profits are reinvested.
Fair Value from DDM: $180.00
📊 Final Verdict: Weighted Average Fair Value = $217.50
At a current price of $215.22, Oracle is fairly valued — with more upside if growth exceeds expectations. BUT, I'd 100% wait for a pull-back.
⚖️ How I Weighed the Models (And Why It Matters)
Some valuation models work better for mature dividend payers. Others capture future growth. For Oracle — which straddles both — we need a balanced lens.
Here’s how I weighed the models:
🔹 Discounted Cash Flow (25%)
Oracle’s predictable cash flows and stable margin profile make DCF highly reliable.
🔹 Price-to-Earnings (20%)
Solid earnings and long-term contracts make the P/E model effective here.
🔹 Forward P/E (15%)
We factor in strong earnings guidance and cloud growth momentum.
🔹 Graham Formula (15%)
Good for conservatively modeling a legacy-heavy but evolving business.
🔹 PEG Ratio (15%)
Captures Oracle’s accelerating cloud growth and valuation premium.
🔹 Dividend Discount Model (10%)
Minor weighting — the dividend is nice but not central to the investment thesis.
Result: A composite valuation of $217.50 — right around current prices, but with a stretch case closer to $275.
📚 Book Value Growth: Quiet Compounding in Action
Oracle’s Book Value Per Share (BVPS) is often overlooked — but it's telling a quiet growth story.
Here’s how it’s evolved:
🔹 2020: ~$52
🔹 2024: ~$80
🔹 5-Year CAGR: ~11%
If this trend holds, BVPS could reach $142 by 2029.
At the current P/B ratio of 2.7×, that implies a future price target of ~$384 — long-term investors, take note.
This isn’t just noise. It’s what compounding looks like beneath the surface.
🔍 The Metrics That Matter
Here’s what’s driving my conviction:
🔹 P/E Ratio ~19× — Slightly below industry average. Not overvalued.
🔹 Forward P/E ~18× — Sign of efficient earnings growth.
🔹 ROE ~25% — A solid return on shareholder equity.
🔹 Debt/Equity ~1.2× — Manageable leverage, not excessive.
🔹 PEG Ratio ~1.3× — Growth-adjusted value looks reasonable.
🔹 Free Cash Flow: $20.8B — Plenty of ammo for buybacks, dividends, or reinvestment.
🔹 Cloud Revenue Growth: Expected to surge 40–70% next year.
This isn’t a sleepy old tech company anymore. Oracle is moving — fast.
📰 What’s Happening Right Now?
🔹 Q4 FY2025 Beat: $15.9B revenue (+11%), EPS beat
🔹 FY2026 Outlook: $67B revenue target, cloud growth >70%
🔹 Stock Surge: +29% YTD; +14.5% in a single day — best in 3 years
🔹 Record RPO: $138B — 41% YoY growth, signaling backlog strength
🔹 Some Analysts Cautious: Concerned about margin pressure and stretched valuations
Oracle is executing. But it's also priced for near-perfection — which means entry timing matters.
📈 Technicals: What Do the Charts Say?
Even fundamental investors should watch the chart.
🔹 Pattern: Inverse head & shoulders breakout
🔹 RSI: Overbought (~85) — signals short-term overheating
🔹 Support Levels: $180 and $154 — key zones to buy on dips
🔹 Next Resistance: ~$275 — stretch target on breakout continuation
🔹 Momentum: Strong buy signals from moving averages
📌 Recommendation: Wait for pullbacks between $180–200 for best risk/reward.
🧠 Bottom Line: Should You Buy Oracle?
Let’s be real:
Oracle isn’t flashy — but it’s doing something very rare:
✅ Accelerating growth in a legacy business
✅ Winning cloud infrastructure deals in the AI race
✅ Generating enormous cash flow
✅ Reasonably priced vs. peers
If you want exposure to AI infrastructure without the megacap premiums of NVIDIA or Microsoft — Oracle might be the play. It’s not undervalued by much, but pullbacks offer a great long-term entry. Disclaimer: this is for informational purposes only. Do your own due diligence.
🚀 Want To Analyze Stocks Like This Without Doing All the Math?
I built Wallstreet Alchemist AI to help investors cut through hype and analyze real value — using the same models I use professionally.
🎯 Try it for free (LINK IN PROFILE) — and let AI do the math, so you can focus on conviction.
Oracle’s Chart Shows Bullish Signs Ahead of EarningsSoftware giant Oracle NYSE:ORCL , the hyper-scaling competitor in the artificial-intelligence race, plans to report fiscal Q4 numbers next Wednesday (June 11) after the bell. Let’s check out what it’s chart and fundamentals show heading into earnings.
Oracle’s Fundamental Analysis
You know how to tell that earnings season is just about complete? Just wait for ORCL to report, as it’s usually among the last of the Big Tech names to release numbers.
For the three months ended in May, Wall Street is looking for Oracle to report $1.64 of adjusted earnings per share on $15.58 billion of revenue.
If realized, those numbers would translate into 9% year-over-year revenue growth from the same period last year, along with a 0.6% improvement over the year-ago quarter’s $1.63 in adjusted EPS.
That said, all of the 24 sell-side analysts I could find that cover Oracle have revised their earnings estimates for the quarter downward since the period began.
But beyond the headline numbers, some investors might be watching for Oracle’s cloud revenues and cloud-infrastructure sales even more closely.
After all, while Oracle’s total revenues rose just 6.4% year over year in Q3, total cloud revenues grew 23%. Meanwhile, cloud-infrastructure sales gained a whopping 49% during Q3.
Oracle’s Technical Analysis
Now let’s look at ORCL’s chart:
Readers will see that Oracle is still in the final stages of completing a so-called “inverse head-and-shoulders pattern” that stretched from late February to the present, as marked with the purple curved lines above.
This pattern has a so-called “pivot” or “neckline” that runs through the $163 level vs. the $173.87 ORCL’s was trading at midday Friday.
Traders more often than not see an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern as bullish, and that's not all that appears technically positive for Oracle in the above chart.
The stock’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart’s top) has just started to scratch what can be seen as technically overbought territory, but Oracle has retaken its 200-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked with a red line above).
This happened in just the past few days, after the stock hit some resistance at the 200-day line.
The 200-day SMA is key here because it’s the one moving average above all others that typically forces portfolio managers to increase or decrease long-side exposure -- often under pressure from their risk managers.
Meanwhile, Oracle’s retake of the 200-day SMA also came after a mid-May crossover by the stock's 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with a green line) over ORCL’s 50-day SMA (the blue line above).
That’s traditionally a bullish sign that technicians refer to as either a “mini golden cross” or “swing traders' golden cross.”
There's even more technical positivity in the above chart if you look at the stock's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or “MACD,” marked with black and gold lines and blue bars above).
The histogram of the stock's 9-day EMA (the blue bars) is above zero, while the 12-day EMA (the black line) runs above the 26-day EMA (the gold line) -- with both in positive territory.
Traders historically see this combination of conditions in the MACD as bullish.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in ORCL at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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ORCL A POTENTIAL PIGGYStock Overview: Looks like Oracle Corporation is on the chart! We’re seeing a wild ride with some key patterns popping up.
Recent Trend: The stock’s been climbing steadily, but that shaded triangle (a descending wedge?) suggests a potential reversal or breakout. Keep an eye on it!
Resistance Level: That red line around 130-140 looks like a tough ceiling. Price has bounced off it a few times—might struggle to break through without strong momentum.
Support Zone: The green line sloping down shows a support trend. If it dips below, watch for a bounce around 100-110.
Indicators: Those lower charts (RSI and TRENDS) are wiggling a lot. RSI might be hinting at overbought conditions lately, so a pullback could be due.
Volume Check: Hard to tell without clear volume bars, but if volume spikes with a breakout above resistance, that’s a bullish sign!
My Take: This could go either way—breakout to new highs or a slide back to support. I’d wait for a clear move past 140 with volume to jump in, or a dip to 110 for a safer entry.
Next Steps: Let’s watch how it behaves this week (June 16, 2025). Want me to edit the chart or dig deeper? Just ask!
Careful, very few top side numbers left with lots of downside targets showing.
Price targets and trends marked on chart.
Follow for more charts like this.
$ORCL Overextended After Hitting 423.6% Fib ExpansionOracle had a post earnings run up not ever seen before in the Companies history. As of now price has moved up nearly ~$100 since the April 8th lows, and now sit at the 423.6% expansion level off a 78.6% retracement. Time to look for Oracle to come in.
Good Entry Zone OracleStock in Up Movement.
A Safe Entry would be Re-test the Red Zone which will act as Strong Support level.
Stock Showing Significant Up-Movement.
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Oracle Triangle Breakout: Targeting $182+"🔥"
📝 Caption/Description:
✅ Long Trade Setup on ORCL (30-min Chart)
🔹 Entry: $177.58
🔹 Stop Loss: $175.97
🔹 Target: $182.14
🔹 R:R Ratio: ~1:2.8
🔸 Symmetrical triangle breakout following strong uptrend
🔸 Immediate resistance: $179.80 — watch for breakout continuation
📊 Strategy: Pattern Breakout + Momentum Play
🦅 Chart by ProfittoPath
ORCL looking at a new returned upsideRising momentum is seen for ORCL L after mid-term stochastic oscillator performs an oversold crossover and rising momentum. Furthermore, the 23-period RSI has rose steadily above the zero line.
Meanwhile, price action saw continued upside coming after forming a pair of higher high and low. Ichimoku's conversion and base line has performed a crossover, indicating an early signs of uptrend returning. Will buy spot or wait for a small retracement until 1433.00. or 128.00 to enter a buy. 1st target at 180.00
ORCL - Weekly - The PlayClick Here🖱️ and scroll down👇 for the technicals, and more behind this analysis!!!
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📈Technical/Fundamental/Target Standpoint⬅️
1.) The most recent two earnings reports came in slightly below expectations, but not enough to warrant a significant sell-off reaction.
2.) Annually, the company has shown consistent revenue growth since 2019 and net income growth since 2020.
3.) Its financial health has been in good standing and has remained so since 2019.
4.) Market manipulation has been apparent since March 24, 2025, which leads me to believe that Oracle's true value is closer to $148.
5.) My analysis suggests that the earnings report on June 17, 2025, will be a positive surprise, potentially resulting in a short squeeze if there isn't a significant run-up in price before the announcement.
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ORACLE: On a 3 year bottom. Buy opportunity for 240 long termOracle is bearish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 35.862, MACD = -4.360, ADX = 42.565) as this week it reached almost the same levels of correction as the 2022 Bear Market (-42.72%). This is also nearly a HL bottom for the 3 year Channel Up and as the 1W MA200 is right below, a great long term buy opportunity. The bullish wave after the 2022 bottom almost reached the 1.382 Fibonacci, so we have a technical level to target this time also (TP = 240).
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ORCL for BuyOracle Corporation (ORCL) has recently reported its fiscal third-quarter earnings, with adjusted earnings of $1.47 per share on sales of $14.1 billion, slightly below Wall Street forecasts of $1.49 per share on $14.4 billion in sales. Despite this, the company provided a strong sales forecast for the upcoming fiscal year, driven by high demand in artificial intelligence (AI), expecting a 15% increase in overall revenue.
INVESTORS.COM
Analysts have a positive outlook on Oracle's stock. The consensus price target is approximately $194, suggesting a potential upside of about 30% from current levels.
INVESTOPEDIA.COM
Additionally, the company's involvement in the $100 billion AI infrastructure initiative, Stargate, which could expand to $500 billion, is viewed as a significant growth opportunity.
INVESTORS.COM
Oracle's advancements in AI and cloud-based software have also been notable. In 2024, Oracle shares surged by nearly 60%, influenced by its progress in these areas.
INVESTORS.COM
The company's cloud infrastructure sales increased by 49% in the recent quarter, and it has secured significant cloud agreements with companies like OpenAI, Meta Platforms, Nvidia, and AMD.
INVESTORS.COM
However, it's important to note that Oracle's stock has experienced a 12% decline year-to-date, reflecting current market challenges and uncertainties.
INVESTORS.COM
Investors should also consider the competitive landscape and broader market conditions when making investment decisions.
In summary, Oracle's strong sales forecast, involvement in significant AI initiatives, and positive analyst outlooks present compelling reasons to consider investing in ORCL now. However, potential investors should weigh these factors against recent stock performance and market dynamics.