Altcoin Low. Bullish into Last Phase of the cycle - 12 monthswhen do the altcoins go up? . . . basically any time in the next 12 months
and it could be 2 distinct waves.. with 2 distinct groups of crypto narratives taking the lead.
Chart shows Others vs BTC ratio. Others is everything outside of top 10
When this goes up it means that Crypto Gains spread to higher risk plays after the cycle
AKA the fun part!!!!
What will those narratives be? no clue. but now is the time to likely make those positions and get ready to hold.
Alts right now are cheap across the board (except some tech coins and chains *cough cough SOL*)
Everyone is again calling for recession and there is a chance that many will miss the first wave here (similar to BTC 2023)
The second wave is the Mania insanity WAVE. Is also the trap forming wave.
this doesn't have to be 2 waves but its good to know that there could be a major top for altcoins after months of rallying if Crypto see an uptrend between late August - DEC
What usually happens is that ppl are not interested in crypto
and those who are are not long or not LONG ENOUGH
So they miss the cheap prices and most of this first move..
they come in late with big bags and get caught at the top of that local rally.
they chase the coins and narratives that have gone up in the first wave, but they become bag holders as it retraces.
Then the second wave happens with a totally new batch of coins. and they think its a sign that its just getting started (because the coins they got from the first wave are not up big.... but that is the trap maker.
Another danger. Is for holders to abandon plays that don't move in the first wave to buy tops of other narratives.
This is just as bad, because these usually are things that get a bid in the mania phase.
either way the Way to win is Believe and get really long good plays at cheap prices (relative to your risk)..
All of this could be wrong but worth posting for future reference.
happy trades
OTHERS trade ideas
Crypto Altcoin Marketcap Altcoins have not been preforming well over the last few months.
They have been consolidating in a downward wedge. It is time for altcoins to takeoff to new all time highs.
If altcoins breakout of this wedge than we can see a big move to the upside over the next 8-12 months.
Cup and Handle PatternCup and Handle Pattern?:
A cup and handle price pattern on a security's price chart is a technical indicator that resembles a cup with a handle, where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift.
The cup and handle is considered a bullish signal, with the right-hand side of the pattern typically experiencing lower trading volume. The pattern's formation may be as short as seven weeks or as long as 65 weeks.
OTHERSEnvironment to resume longs in crypto is again positive, based on the wave structure.
The retracement retested the base channel + MA200 + Fibo zone 38-50% against the wave 3.
What is IMO not ok so far - is that both waves 2 and assumed wave 4 are zigzags. Highly likely, the wave 4 will be more complex that a simple zigzag - in order to deliver the strong wave 5 and break the ATH the scenario with the triangle is the preferred one
Altcoins, 10X in sight Morning friends, hope you start a lovely day . You witnessing total marketcap excluding top 10 in the chart which in my opinion paving a ascending channel . If we consider dec of 2022 the bottom it takes +500 days for the bullrun start as the previous cycle. It can be any moment these days and leave you behind, my tp will be more than 2 trillion dollars for its mc or more which is a 10x although not for all . For some much more and for some less and for some non or dying.
Stay safe and accumulate in steps lads .
Alt-Coins (Others) - bearish trend till end of 2024This analysis is based on 2019-2020 fractal, which is extremely similar based on price action and RSI waves.
I predict another wave of dump with another -50% on alts, then a long consolidation , next alt season, may be beginning of 2025 may be end of 2024
Summer Altcoins Bullish Wave | 3 Reasons ExplainedThe summer is here, which means vacations for a large portion of the worlds population... The Cryptocurrency market tends to move at this time of the year.
Two main reasons support a bullish wave for the altcoins market, the smaller altcoins, the "neglected" altcoins...
1) Great prices all across. As everything is trading near support or at new all-time lows. As people detach from their computers, smart money, old-traders/players, take this time to accumulate at the best possible prices. This accumulation phase can last for months.
2) The giant shakes. Bitcoin has a market capitalization of billions upon billions; actually, trillions of dollars. When Bitcoin enters correction mode, as has been happening for months, billions flow from Bitcoin to the altcoins and that's how the altcoins grow.
Those altcoins with a small market capitalization can really benefit from this dynamic and thus we will see massive growth.
3) The final reason is the upcoming, incoming bull-market... The 2025 major Cryptocurrency bull-market, starting late 2024. Many people are aware of these cycles and thus the loading phase starts now... It is already happening yet it is still early, there will be some time to buy-up, buy-in, rebuy and reload.
Are you in or are you out?
Thanks a lot for the support.
Namaste.
Altcoins - Bottom in / Recovery in ProgressAfter BTC's recent slip to $58k we have seen altcoins massively hold support in comparison. Across the board we have seen altcoins create double bottoms and bullish divergences (will be posting more charts on this later.
Right now, We are seeing a breakout on "OTHERS". Crypto market cap excluding top 10. It recently broke out of a falling wedge, retested it, and is trying to push higher.
We also see a massive bullish divergence created on the 4H and higher time frames. We saw a lower low in price action followed by a higher low on our strength index.
ALTcoin Market Has An Incomplete Impulsive CycleIf we take a look at ALTcoin market cap with ticker OTHERS, which excludes top 10 cryptocurrencies, we can see it retesting April lows due to lower ALTcoin dominance. But, the wave structure looks corrective, so it’s clearly in a higher degree wave 4 correction. Ideal support comes around 38,2% Fibonacci retracement and base channel resistance line, so around 200B area or slightly lower, from where we will expect a bullish continuation for wave 5.
Short squeeze into alt season?Bulls need to close back into the median range, preferably with a hammer and supporting volume. The current levels appear oversold, with divergence confluent in the golden accumulation pocket of this range.
In my view, the blue trajectory seems more likely, but this may ultimately depend on the FOMC. It could be the catalyst that either strengthens the bears, who have been gaining momentum and calling a top, or revives the bulls.
Predicting the future - CPI tommorrowWe have a very important CPI print as well as FOMC meeting tomorrow. Based on where the charts are at currently tells us massive volatility will appear beginning tomorrow.
As I have been posting previously about BTC & some alts most charts show that they are at extremely key levels of support. This should give us a great chance to enter positions around these levels, but we also must be aware that if these levels are lost tomorrow with a bad CPI print then it could lead to a massive liquidation waterfall to the downside.
My guess is CPI will have a good print tomorrow due to how the charts look. January, March, and May CPI prints all lead to a drop before then rally after. It could look very similar to the current situation we are in.
I also have 4 charts pulled up. BTC (top left) show that we are holding about our orange line which could be confirming a retest of old resistance into new support. Total (top right) needs to close a little higher to also confirm its old resistance level as new support. Total 3 (bottom left) shows the 0.236 liquidity level is currently being defended yet again. Others (bottom right) is holding our green level of support for the third major test around 250B.
Will update these charts once CPI numbers print. Right now the charts are leaning towards a bullish outlook, but have tight stop losses if those key level of support are broken.
Cryptocurrency Whale TalkJust the other day, less than three days ago, I sat down with some of my whale friends; in total, there were five (5) of us.
We sit down together to plan and calculate the future of this space, the Cryptocurrency market. We are not greedy at all but, there is always this feeling permeating the room as if we are God-Incarnate and, honestly, we would like to control the world.
The main topic of discussion was about the action that each of us as a managing unit would engage in next. We have billions and billions of dollars worth of Bitcoins to distribute; huge profits, not a single penny of loss and yet we wondered, "How can we extract the maximum amount of wealth from those that are clueless, from those that have a clue..."
In short, how to extract the maximum level of profits while still maintaining the highest possible level of control. You wouldn't believe who the main players are... Everything we see and experience is just an illusion, a manufactured one.
The perceived reality based on truth and direct experience, only a very small number of people outside this gathering really knows.
But, there was another topic, there is a very strong wild card.
While we whales control and manipulate everything thanks to our success and market growth, sometimes we forget to "share" or better yet, "compensate" those peasants that engage in the hardest part of the work.
So, how much information shall I reveal to you in this incredibly beautiful day?
All knowing that this post is just my imagination and for entertainment, not based on truth —because I don't want to be shot, so let's just pretend.
To keep a long boring financial story short, they decided that the best course of action was to ignore.
They will proceed with the main and usual plan —They decided to take turn.
I cannot say explicitly how the situation will unfold, but I can tell you with a high level of certainty that better prices are still ahead of us.
As for me ... I don't know.
It is not like I had a chair in the meeting, it was more like reading thoughts... Communication of the soul.
They are not willing to reward us, not even to acknowledge us in anyway but, they are very, very happy to exert on us, the market, the highest possible level of discomfort and pain.
What's the point?
These are not billionaires aiming for a brighter future and a better world, it is more of the same and the old; they just want to compete between each other for power and control, to show to each other who is the big guy, who is king, who will win, who's the boss, and for what?
We are all going to die in the end.
These people need to practice meditation ... Everybody can win —It is possible if you belief ... I am out!
P.S. I will reveal more information next time. I am learning to leave my body at will and I've already overcome the fear of death.
They can't control me anymore ...
Namaste.
Expect some PullBack as we enter the wedgeWe have been riding the top of the wedge as we enter into the narrows. I expect the market to drop down and find support toward the bottom portion of the wedge before our next run up. Followed by some bullish movement for the next couple of weeks as we prepare to test resistance levels at the previous high @ 355B. CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS
MEME COIN CYCLE - Total Meme Coin MC to $420BWe do not yet have a Meme Coin Market Cap index in TradingView but I am expecting Meme Coin Total Market Cap to reach ~$420B Market Cap at pico cycle top this cycle
Reasons:
- CRYPTOCAP:DOGE is basically playing out the 'OTHERS' market cap chart, just a cycle behind.
-Instead of CRYPTOCAP:DOGE , you can change this to the Meme Coin market cap chart ( CRYPTOCAP:DOGE was basically the only meme coin in 2020 - CRYPTOCAP:SHIB came later). Currently Meme Coin Total Market Cap as of today 5/23/2024 is GETTEX:61B Market Cap ( CRYPTOCAP:DOGE MC is currently $23B)
-2017 - #OTHERS MC peaked at GETTEX:70B MC.
-2021 - #OTHERS MC peaked at 450B MC.
-2021 - CRYPTOCAP:DOGE MC peaked at GETTEX:70B MC.
-2024 - Meme Coins MC predicted to peak at ~$420B MC.
CRYPTOCAP:DOGE , CRYPTOCAP:SHIB , CRYPTOCAP:PEPE , and CRYPTOCAP:WIF market cap index limited history, is the bright green line chart.
Price is fractal, studying Market Caps is the alpha-leak.
gl hf, make sure to book profits, NFA.
- @CryptoCurb
Total -top10 If we consider the market for pure alts, without the top 10 market caps, then we can trace a pattern at the beginning of which we are now in this cycle
If you look at the chart, you can see the first phase of pumping, then the correction, indicated by the blue area, together with the trend Ema shows that the total volume after this correction increased significantly, and if you trace the trend of the cycles using the Fibo, you can see that two cycles were adjusted globally to the area of 0.382 according to Fibo, accordingly, if you throw the expansion beyond the high, you can expect an increase in volume to the same values only in a mirror form -0.236 and -0.382
this structure was clearly repeated twice, and this time the correction was also to the values of 0.382
and if you look at the situation now, you can see how the volume is being bought up, and based on the expansion, you can expect an increase in alts by 600% from the current ones, or in the equivalent of $1.7t. now this value is 275B
📈 The Market Is In No Hurry, What About You?While many of us can be in a hurry, or better yet, excited about potential market conditions, the market does not get excited and does not care; the market is in no hurry.
The market; our market, the Cryptocurrency market, moves in cycles and within these cycles we have waves.
The market grew really strong in 2023, our recovery year and this growth continued even through early 2024. This growth period is set to continue, it is set to become even stronger and enter 2025; the best part is yet to come. But before this major bull-market we have been tracking and expecting we have a correction taking place.
It is no longer speculation, guessing or predictions, the chart here clearly shows a 40% drop, which is already big enough, but my theory is that there is more because the market is in no hurry. In fact, the market likes to take all the time it needs to grow. The longer it takes, the stronger the foundations we build to sustain our long-term success.
So don't be in a hurry and let the market do its thing.
Take this time to study, to breathe deeply; take this time to sit down and to meditate.
Making money with Cryptocurrencies, or any other venture, is all about your mentality, your state of mind, your goals, your ambitions and even your health.
You need good health to be able to enjoy wealth.
You need knowledge and wisdom to be able to make the right decisions.
You need patience for the right opportunities to develop.
We all need to wait.
It is likely that there will be another drop before the next major bullish wave.
This is just a probable scenario, but one that we should keep in mind... Don't you agree?
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Wave Count Excluding Top 10It looks like a 5 wave structure to me. Wave 1 was extended to 178.6% of Wave 3, and considering Wave 3 is not gonna be the shortest, I've set a target of 78.6% of Wave 3 for Wave 5. Wave 5 target is compatible with the midline of the top ascending channel. According to this analysis, the crypto market cap target excluding top 10 is two point three trillion dollars.
OTHERAccording to the existing structure in the 3-month time frame, it is expected that in order to complete a high-level pattern of neutral triangle type, further correction will be needed until the range of 110-143. We are going to witness an upward movement to the minimum range of 325-maximum unit of 630
Double CNH..??This is all hypothetical, but just wanted to point out the rejection at 347B with support above the 050 at 213B with rounded bottom from 4/22 make one massive CNH. Follow that with a wider view and the peak at 480B in 11/2021 followed by a second peak yet to be printed would make a second possible CNH...if they print.
Leaving this as a neutral idea since the patterns are incomplete.