NASDAQ 100 Long 21,900Target to the upside 21,900. We initially highlighted NASDAQ will reach 22,000 then see a bearish turn. Refer to linked Idea.
NAS100 trade ideas
NAS100USDNAS100USD It’s still downtrend
If break support 19963 below then It’s going down till 16174, (extention is 15325)
The stock market is highly volatile. Please be very careful with your investments.
US100 is Currently trading in a clear bullish zoneUS100 Technical & Fundamental Outlook (4H Timeframe)
The US100 is currently trading in a clear bullish zone on the 4-hour chart. Despite underlying pressure due to cautious market sentiment, the index shows signs of resilience Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East persist but have yet to spark panic selling. Market uncertainty remains high ahead of this week's anticipated Federal Reserve outlook.
Technical View:
The index is showing strength, and a 4H candle close above the 22,000 level would be a significant bullish signal. A confirmed breakout above this level opens the door to the next potential target at 22,500
If you like this idea if find more better analysis from our team we need support from You Guys.
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument (Part 40)Since creating the Lowest point of 2025 (monthly HL) on 4/6/2025 @7:10 pm...The low for the NAS100 has closed higher every single week for the past 10 weeks.
This week will not be any different as the market heads continues to head back to the ATH and beyond.
As you look at the charts...the blue lines are my weekly boundaries and the visual is using the H4 chart so as to show you the progression over the last 10 weeks...absolutely no LH to LL trends are seen as continuous.
Do not get fooled into thinking that this market is in a downtrend.
Any sells on the NAS100 are only temporary retracements in order the make the HL on the larger timeframe.
As always, I stand by my stance that the NAS100 will continue to make HL's to HH's guaranteed.
Have a great trading week...
#oneauberstrategy
NASDAQ: Close to a strong bounce.Nasdaq is about to turn overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.736, MACD = 505.460, ADX = 18.046) as it is extending an uptrend since the 4H MA50 test/bounce. Such low paced price increase typically precedes strong breakouts. Since the long term pattern is a Channel Up, we are still on its 3rd bullish wave overall. The prior ones were +9.50% on avg, so we remain bullish on the short term, TP = 22,500.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
US100Correlation Between US100 (Nasdaq 100), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Bond Prices
1. Relationship Between 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield and Bond Prices
Inverse Relationship:
Bond prices and yields move inversely. When the 10-year Treasury yield rises, bond prices fall, and vice versa. This is because the fixed coupon payments become less attractive when yields increase, causing existing bond prices to drop to offer comparable yields to new issues.
Current Data (June 13, 2025):
10-Year Treasury yield is around 4.40%, with the bond price near 98.81 (below par), reflecting recent yield increases.
Term Premium:
The term premium on the 10-year Treasury has risen sharply since early April 2025, reaching the highest level in over a decade. This premium compensates investors for risks that short-term yields may not evolve as expected, keeping long-term yields elevated and bond prices suppressed.
2. US100 (Nasdaq 100) and 10-Year Treasury Yield Correlation
Negative Correlation Generally Observed:
The Nasdaq 100 (US100), a tech-heavy equity index, often shows a negative correlation with 10-year Treasury yields. When yields rise, borrowing costs increase, discount rates for future earnings rise, and equities—especially growth stocks—tend to decline. Conversely, falling yields often boost equities.
Recent Trends:
In 2025, rising yields have put pressure on equities, including the Nasdaq 100, as investors demand higher returns from riskier assets. However, periods of yield stabilization or decline can support equity rallies.
Risk Sentiment:
The correlation can vary with market sentiment; during risk-off episodes, both equities and bond yields may fall as investors flock to safety.
3. US100 and Bond Prices
Indirect Relationship via Yields:
Since bond prices move inversely to yields, and yields often move inversely to equities, bond prices and equities like US100 often show a positive correlation in risk-off environments (both falling) and a negative correlation in risk-on environments (equities rising, bond prices falling).
Safe-Haven Demand:
In times of market stress, investors may sell equities and buy bonds, pushing bond prices up and yields down, while equities like US100 decline.
4. Yield Curve and Market Implications
The US yield curve has steepened recently, with the 10-year yield (~4.40%) above the 2-year yield (~3.95%), reflecting expectations of higher long-term inflation and growth risks.
A steepening curve can signal improving growth prospects but also higher financing costs, which can weigh on tech stocks in the US100.
Conclusion
The 10-year Treasury yield and bond prices move inversely, with recent yield increases pushing bond prices below par.
The Nasdaq 100 (US100) typically moves inversely to 10-year yields, as higher yields raise borrowing costs and discount rates, pressuring growth stocks.
The relationship between US100 and bond prices depends on market risk sentiment: in risk-off periods, bond prices rise while equities fall; in risk-on periods, the opposite occurs.
The current steepening yield curve and elevated term premium suggest ongoing volatility and cautious investor positioning affecting both bonds and equities.
#NAS100 #DOLLAR
Nasdaq 100 Trade idea for the day and bias.This is what I'm expecting Nas100 to do today looking at the higher timeframe structure.
NASDAQ ShortLooking for the short on Nasdaq been trading this long and short through out the week. Check the linked publications. Shouted out 22,000 before seeing the short.
NASDAQ PRICED IN GOLD FORMING A MASSIVE TOP.NASDAQ PRICED IN GOLD FORMING A MASSIVE TOP.
If history rhymes… tech could bleed value while Gold continues to shine.
Final breakdown nearing, where you would expect the Nasdaq to fall as this gets confirmed.
NASDAQ Pullback or Reversal? Watching 4H Support ZonePrice is reacting from the 1D resistance zone around 21,950 and now hovering near a 4H support zone at ~21,520.
• 1D Chart: Long wick rejection from resistance.
• 4H Chart: Break of rising wedge and rejection from 1H trendline.
• 1H & 23m Chart: Clear bearish order block formed. Price consolidating under broken structure.
Key Zones:
• Support: 21,500 / 21,325
• Resistance: 21,900 / 22,000
Bias: Bearish below 21,750. Retest of support expected.
US100 / NASDAQ TodayUS100 / NASDAQ Today is still bearish
My SSM Reversal Pattern is comming.
This is just my view of course
long trade in NQ100 Simple analytics and quant analyticsDaily time frame we have area of accumulation .
4h TF realty market structure bullish .
30 TF we have multi area of resistance to support, Its mean
a signal of market next time go up .
Wait for the NAS100 to break the parallel lines before shortingPEPPERSTONE:NAS100 - Need the price on the 1H TF to break down the parallel lines before taking any short position. After than we could see the index going to 21,450. But till then hold your shorts.
NASDAQ The bearish bias is supported by the COT data showing the majority of non-commercial traders are increasing their short positions. Sell/Short: Consider entering a short position at current levels, with a stop above the resistance zone (preferably just above the recent swing high).
Triple Top Trouble? NAS100 May Be Losing SteamThe NAS100 has formed a potential triple top, and key trendlines are starting to break to the downside. This could signal a short-term correction before bulls attempt another push for new highs. A temporary drop might offer a better long setup if momentum resets.
Sell US100 Now US 100 made the equal highs and wait till reach the OB and rejection confirmed then can sell the SL is above the OB and the TP is 21690 and second TP is 21660
Macro enviornment effects on equities - Flat to Bearish The current macro-geopolitical environment presents several quantifiable bearish pressures on the Nasdaq. Housing markets are showing real signs of deterioration, with home listings in Florida and other regions down 15–20% from peak prices, and many individual properties seeing $100K+ price cuts—foreshadowing a broader 24–30% drawdown in real estate that could significantly erode consumer wealth and confidence. Labor market weakness is emerging beneath the surface, with rising layoffs in tech and new graduates facing difficulty securing jobs, even as the Fed is projected to cut rates twice by year-end. While disinflation supports policy easing, it is being outweighed by the drag from labor and housing stress. Geopolitically, the escalation risk in the Iran–Israel conflict introduces volatility and commodity price spikes, while the Ukraine war, though stagnating, remains unresolved. U.S. foreign policy appears increasingly erratic, adding further uncertainty premium. These elements combine to create a risk environment where upside in the Nasdaq is capped, and downside exposure remains
Flat to Bearish for the next 12 months, drawdown up to 25% to December 2021 high on NDX and support line during recent tariff crashes. long sustained drawdown would sustain for a while if we get into situations like housing collapse, or entering into a war, even indirectly like we did for Ukraine.
significant. NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY
NDX its a short for like month?this is only an Idea !
due to many fvg's and gaps this is more likely to happen
you can see the long 30d / 40d target on chart
BUY POSITIONToday im looking at buy positions to the highlighted target continue to make higher highs
NAS - TIME TO MAKE ACTIVE TRADER ROOM GREATER AGAIN!Team, last week we got a good entry on both DOW/US30 AND NAS100/TEC100
Yes, i do know about the situation with ISRAEL AND IRAN.
This will drag on for at least 3-6 months for the solutions
however, I expect the cease fire should be stop within next week as President Trump's is negotiation with Iran
There are two strategy to trade for the NAS- NASTY market
Rule: make sure you calculate how much position and volume you are taking risk on the trade. Every time you enter, ensure you are understood each trade risk.
As I always do.
The last 90 days we have not losing a single trade - check my new video release soon.
OK, lets get back to the trade set up again
entry small volume at market now.
If market falling down during US session, buy more at the second setting
However, I expect the 1st setting likely to recover soon.
Jump on board now.
See you to the moon
