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Raydium / Tether USD PERPETUAL CONTRACT

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RAYUSDT.P trade ideas

RAY Outlook: Is a -60% Drop the Reset We Need?RAY marked its bottom in December 2022 at just $0.133, entering a prolonged accumulation phase that lasted nearly a year. Then, in late 2023, it broke out into an explosive bull run, skyrocketing +6421% over 756 days and peaking at an impressive $8.70. This run completed a full five-wave Elliott Wave structure. After topping out, RAY dropped -84% down to $1.388 — likely marking the Wave A correction. A strong relief rally followed into the $4 region before facing rejection at the yearly VWAP, possibly completing Wave B. Now, all signs point toward us being in the final Wave C of the larger corrective structure. So, where could Wave C bottom out? 🔍 Fibonacci Confluence Zones (Log Scale) Let’s assess the key levels with log-scaled Fibonacci tools: 🔹 Fib Retracement (from $0.133 low to $8.7 high): The 0.618 fib retracement lies at $0.658 🔹 Trend-Based Fib Extension (Wave A → B projection for Wave C): 1.0 TBFE sits at $0.617 ✅ These two levels align nearly perfectly, giving us a strong confluence zone between $0.62 and $0.66 Additional Confluences Anchored VWAP Bands: The 0.618 VWAP band multiplier also aligns with this $0.6 zone Liquidity Perspective: This level would wipe out long positions built over the past 550 days — clearing and potentially resetting the market 🚨 Fair Value Trend Model (FV Trend Model): According to my Fair Value Trend Model indicator, the fair value for RAY currently sits around $0.78 — right in line with the broader confluence zone. This model uses log-log regression to estimate Bitcoin’s and other assets’ fair-value over time. 👉 Feel free to use the indicator Just head over to my profile, click on the “Scripts” tab, and you can add the Fair Value Trend Model to your charts to experiment with it yourself. Together, these technical elements form a compelling high-probability zone for long setups around $0.6–$0.8. 💡 Educational Insight — Why 0.618 is a Critical Fib Level In Elliott Wave theory and harmonic trading, the 0.618 retracement is known as the "Golden Ratio" — often serving as a magnet for price during corrections. When paired with a 1.0 trend-based fib extension, it can mark exhaustion zones where Wave C concludes. 🔭 Summary: What’s Next for RAY? Potential bottom zone: $0.61–$0.78 Watch for reversal signals like bullish candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or divergences A drop to this zone would represent a -60% drawdown from current levels Remember: High-probability setups don’t come every day — patience is your edge Set alerts. Stay prepared. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
Short
by SiDec
5
RAY Technical Analysis on a Weekly Timeframe.Hello Traders, Today, let’s analyze RAYDIUM (RAY) on the weekly timeframe. RAY has been one of the more consistent projects in the market. The price is currently sitting at the support trendline and just below the 21 EMA resistance. At this point, it’s clear that for a bullish move, the price must hold the support trendline and rebound above the 21 EMA. On the other hand, a bearish move would require a breakdown below the support trendline. The lower support at $0.90 is another level to watch if we see further downside on RAY. That’s the update on RAY. Let’s see how it plays out. As always, do your own research and analysis before making any final decisions. Regards, Dexter
Long
by Dexter_The_Trader
1
RAY the end or just the start?To first look at Ray we can start with RAYUSDT and move to RAYSOL and RAY BTC. RAY is not sitting below all of the moving averages. Not an ideal position. So far MACD cross down does not mean much as the week has not ended yet. Ideally to stay bullish it need to end the week not crossed down. Stoch RSI cross down Below 0.015 there is elevated risk that RAYSOL puts in a lower local low. RAYBTC also not looking great. With these charts it's pretty hard to make the case why I am long RAY. Let's try some long term fundamentals and see if that is a better picture. Ray is all about the saying own the shovels. As an exchange the better Solana does the better Ray likely does. It's a widely known DEX it's weaknesses are Solana not getting trade volumes again. Competitors where other DEX are better. Also DEX aggregators have risks the volume does not get sent to Ray. Disclaimer: The information provided in this post is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, market, or trading strategy does not guarantee future results. I am not a financial advisor. Please conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. You are solely responsible for any investment decisions you make.
Long
by JamesRennie
1
RAY (Raydium) – Long Swing Trade Setup from Major SupportRAY is trading at a major support zone between $2.85 – $3.25, which historically has acted as a base for significant upward moves. With strong support beneath and favorable upside targets, this presents a solid long swing opportunity with clear invalidation. 🔹 Entry Zone: $2.85 – $3.25 (key support and previous accumulation range) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 🥇 $4.23 (previous resistance and psychological level) 🥈 $5.00 (key breakout level and round number target) 🛑 Stop Loss: $2.84 (tight invalidation just below support zone)
Long
by Richtv_official
RAYSOL/USDTKey Level Zone: 2.1600 - 2.1780 HMT v8.1 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis HMT v7 : Date : 20/03/2025 - Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment HMT v8 : Date : 16/04/2025 - Fully restructured strategy logic HMT v8.1 : Date : 18/04/2025 - Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
1
#RAY Double Top Bearish Structure📊#RAY Double Top Bearish Structure 📉 🧠From a structural perspective, the goals of the bullish structure have all been achieved, and the target area overlaps with the blue resistance area, and we have built a bearish double top structure in the overlapping resistance area, so we are likely to enter the adjustment phase, be cautious about bullishness! Let's see 👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:RAYUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888
RAYSOL/USDT – READY TO BLAST OFF? PRIME LONG SETUPThis is where smart money is likely to reaccumulate before pushing price higher. We're targeting internal liquidity levels and prior highs with a clean risk-reward structure. Confirmation can come from a bullish reaction or engulfing candle within the zone. Entry Zone: 2.25 – 2.28 Targets: TP1: 2.365 TP2: 2.485 TP3: 2.660 Stop Loss: 2.151 DYOR: This idea is for educational purposes and reflects a personal trading plan. Always do your own research, use strict risk management, and wait for confirmation before executing. #RAYDIUM #RAY #RAYSOL #RAYUSDT
Long
by Heruprabowo
Raydium Medium Sized +545% Wave Mapped (Trading Strategy)This is one of those pairs that grew in astonishing ways since late 2023. Raydium managed to grow by 5,372% from October 2023 through January 2025. Simply amazing. I was very surprised when I found this pair as it moved beyond all expectations. The last advance was preceded by a six months long consolidation phase. The whales used this period to accumulate. When one phase is long, the next one is short. This means that RAYUSDT can start to grow soon. This is based on the law of alternation. Needless to say, the chart is full of higher lows and the action continues to be strong. I am tempted to open some LONGs. This is a solid trade setup. It has low risk vs a high potential for reward. This one can turnout into something good but please keep in mind that we have a little over two weeks before the market becomes full time bullish. Right now it is still early for the upcoming bullish wave. The reason I am all in now is because my group likes to enter early. Some other people prefer waiting and confirmation. We like early because it allows for maximum profits potential. The risk is higher but also the reward. If you are uncertain or have doubts, you can always wait. The thing about Crypto is that when it moves it does so strongly, by the time we have confirmation the market is always several levels up. It can make a huge difference. How you approach the market depends on your trading style, your risk tolerance, your capital, your goals. If you want to get in and get out, it is wise to wait until the action is hot. If you want relaxation, peace of mind and easy profits, it is better to buy and hold. If you have lots of time and energy to invest in this game, you can use all the different methods at the same time; a stack for long-term, a stack for passive hold, a stack for short-term and another portion of your capital for leveraged trades. It is also smart to leave some funds behind because good opportunities come out of nowhere. If we have funds available just because, we might end up with something that does better than our best choice. It is a big game. It can be entertaining and profitable. There is lots to learn as well. You cannot hide here, if your ego is too strong, you will see the results in your funds. If you cheat yourself, if you lie to yourself, you will know it because your money will be gone. If you are honest with yourself and accept your mistakes, the market will give you as much as you can take. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
2
Breaking: Raydium ($RAY) Reclaims $2 PivotRaydium's ( NASDAQ:RAY ) which is an automated market maker (AMM) and liquidity provider built on the Solana blockchain for the Serum decentralized exchange (DEX)'s native token has reclaimed the $2 pivot albeit the crypto market is in a general market correction. The asset surge 6%, and is gearing up for a breakout to the $3 resistant as a breakout above the $2.3 region would cement the grounds for a bullish continuation move to the $3 point. Unlike any other AMMs, Raydium provides on-chain liquidity to a central limit orderbook meaning that funds deposited into Raydium are converted into limit orders which sit on Serum’s orderbooks. With the RSI at 60, Raydium is poised for the breakout move as momentum builds up. However, should NASDAQ:RAY fail to pull up the stunt, a consolidation move to the $1.8 support point will be vehemently tested. Raydium Price Live Data The live Raydium price today is $1.99 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $98,068,751 USD. Raydium is up 1.71% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $578,910,409 USD. It has a circulating supply of 290,814,662 RAY coins and a max. supply of 555,000,000 RAY coins.
Long
by DEXWireNews
2