SILVER trade ideas
Buy SilverAs long as there is no break in the uptrend on the daily chart, a long position can be attempted from the current level with a target of the previous highs at 34.80-35.00
Since the trade is taking place during a period of high volatility and the entry is not the most stable, it is better to trade with a stop-loss, adjusting it throughout the day as the price moves up.
The first stop is at 31.70. Then, if 32.50 is broken, move it to 32.10, and so on.
Silver- sell on rallies (breaks major trend line support)
Trend line support- $31.95 (trend line joining $28.79 and $30.81)
Silver crashed more than 7% after Tariff announcement. It hit a intraday low of $31.40 and is currently trading around $31.65.
The gold/silver ratio climbed to 95.50, reflecting silver's relative weakness compared to gold.
Trading Strategy and Key Levels for Silver
The commodity is trading below short term (34 and 55 EMA) and long-term moving average (200- EMA) in the 4-hour chart. The near-term support is around $31.25 and any violation below will drag the commodity to $30.75/$30/$29.60/$29/$28.40. The immediate resistance is at $32.60 any breach above targets $33/$35/$36.
It is good to sell on rallies around $32 with a stop-loss at $32.60 for a TP of $30/$28.40.
Bearish drop?The Silver (XAG/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 31.91
1st Support: 30.92
1st Resistance: 32.68
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Fri 4th Apr 2025 XAG/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a XAG/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Silver Breakdown: Rising Wedge Bearish Move Towards Target1. Chart Overview
This 4-hour (H4) chart of Silver (XAG/USD) shows a clear Rising Wedge Pattern, a bearish technical formation. The price action recently broke below the lower support trendline, confirming a downside move. Several key levels, indicators, and trading strategies can be derived from this setup.
2. Identified Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal)
A Rising Wedge is a pattern that forms when price consolidates between two upward-sloping trendlines, with the support line rising at a steeper angle than the resistance line. This pattern is considered bearish because it signals weakening buying pressure and an impending breakdown.
Uptrend Formation: The price had been moving within a wedge, forming higher highs and higher lows.
Volume Considerations: A wedge breakout is often accompanied by increasing volume, further confirming the trend shift.
Breakout Confirmation: The price has decisively broken below the lower boundary of the wedge, indicating that sellers are taking control.
3. Key Technical Levels & Trading Strategy
Resistance Level (Rejection Zone) – $34.00 - $34.50
The upper boundary of the rising wedge acted as strong resistance.
Multiple price rejections confirm sellers' dominance in this area.
Any future retest of this level may provide a new opportunity for short entries.
Support Level (Broken & Retested) – $32.50 - $32.80
This zone previously acted as strong support, preventing price from falling lower.
Now that price has broken this support level, it could act as resistance if a retest occurs.
A confirmed rejection here will further validate the bearish outlook.
Stop Loss Placement – $34.16
A logical stop-loss placement is slightly above the previous swing high and resistance area.
If price moves above this level, it would indicate that the breakdown has failed, invalidating the bearish setup.
Bearish Target – $30.76 (Measured Move Projection)
This level is derived from the height of the rising wedge pattern projected downward.
The area around $30.76 aligns with a previous support zone, making it a reasonable target for the current breakdown.
4. Price Action & Future Expectations
Current Market Sentiment: Bearish
The break below the wedge confirms a bearish sentiment.
A slight retracement to the previous support (now resistance) around $32.80 - $33.00 is possible before further downside.
If selling pressure remains strong, Silver is likely to reach the $30.76 target in the coming sessions.
Alternative Scenario: Bullish Recovery
If the price moves back above $34.16, the bearish outlook is invalidated.
A sustained move above this level could indicate a false breakdown and may push Silver toward new highs.
5. Trading Plan Based on This Setup
🔹 Entry Strategy:
Look for a retest of the broken support zone ($32.80 - $33.00) to enter short positions.
A rejection from this level with bearish confirmation (e.g., a bearish engulfing candle) strengthens the trade setup.
🔹 Stop Loss:
Placed above the wedge resistance at $34.16 to protect against false breakouts.
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
First Target: $31.50 (intermediate support level)
Final Target: $30.76 (measured move projection of the wedge)
6. Conclusion
This Rising Wedge Breakdown on Silver’s H4 chart presents a strong bearish trading opportunity with a well-defined risk-reward ratio. The break below key support signals continued downside, with $30.76 as the next major target. However, traders should monitor any retest of the broken support zone to confirm further selling momentum before entering new positions.
Silver H4 | Overlap support at 50% Fibonacci retracementSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 32.69 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 31.70 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 34.02 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Silver Golden butterflyThe silver butterfly's decline from the 34.57 level is being observed as a golden Fibonacci level. This particular point holds significance for analysts and enthusiasts who closely monitor Fibonacci retracement levels in various contexts, whether in nature, art, or even financial markets.
It’s fascinating how these mathematical patterns appear in diverse areas, sparking curiosity and deeper exploration.
SEYED.
Silver Wave Analysis – 2 April 2025- Silver reversed from the support area
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 34.50
Silver recently reversed up from the support zone between the support level 33.50 (former monthly high from February), 20-day moving average, support trendline from February and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from March.
The upward reversal from this support area continues the active impulse waves iii, 3 and (C) – inside which Silver has been moving since December.
Given the strong daily uptrend, Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 34.50 (the former monthly high from last month).