Not time to dismount yet!!!Dont get shaken off the horse...yet. There is more to come imo...this is to shake the weak hands...
SILVERCFD trade ideas
Trend reversal?If the support in the \$37–\$38 range is confirmed, a long position can be taken targeting a new all-time high (ATH).
XAGUSD Analysis : Bearish Setup 2x Supply to Next Reversal Zone🔍 Market Context & Technical Overview
Silver (XAGUSD) has recently gone through a sharp corrective phase after breaking above a key structural high and retesting previous resistance. The current price action reflects a clean MMC-patterned behavior, including volume absorption, QFL trap, and interaction with a descending trendline that has now become critical for further directional bias.
🧠 Key Observations Based on MMC Principles
🔵 1. Volume Absorption at the Triangle Breakout
After a prolonged consolidation phase inside a triangle pattern, volume absorption took place—indicating hidden accumulation.
A breakout above the structure was confirmed with momentum (also breaking a previously established “High Breaked” level).
This breakout led to a vertical move towards the 2x Channel Supply Interchange Zone, where price reversed sharply.
🟥 2. Supply Interchange Zone (2x Confirmed)
Price encountered resistance at the green supply block, which acted as a 2x supply zone—a critical confluence where previous sellers re-engaged.
This area had previously served as the channel boundary, creating a supply interchange effect.
⚠️ 3. QFL Zone Trap (Fake Momentum)
The price printed a QFL structure, where it created a flat base, faked a move up, and quickly reversed.
The QFL base acted as a trap for late buyers, which aligned with the start of a bearish phase that is still ongoing.
📉 4. Downtrend & Trendline Respect
Price has respected a strong descending trendline since the reversal at supply.
Each retest has resulted in a lower high, confirming the bearish structure is intact for now.
Currently, the price is trading below this trendline, reinforcing short-term bearish sentiment.
📦 Key Levels to Watch
Zone/Level Type Role
38.70 – 39.20 2x Supply Zone Strong resistance, reversal origin
37.40 – 37.60 Minor Level Short-term support turned resistance
36.00 – 35.40 Next Reversal Zone ✅ High-probability long area, MMC expects reaction
Trendline Dynamic Structure control, needs break for bullish shift
🔁 Scenarios Based on Structure
📈 Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal from Green Demand Block
Price is approaching the next MMC reversal zone (green box below 36.00).
MMC logic suggests a 100% probability of bullish reaction based on:
Volume cycle completion
Downward exhaustion
Proximity to previous institutional accumulation zones
Expected move: bounce toward trendline retest and minor resistance at ~37.50.
📉 Scenario 2: Break Below Green Zone = Panic Sell
If the green zone fails to hold:
A panic drop toward 34.80–35.00 is possible.
However, based on MMC mapping, this is less likely without a major macro catalyst.
💡 Strategic Thoughts (MMC Traders’ Lens)
We’re observing a classic MMC Phase 3 correction following Phase 2 expansion.
The current cycle favors reaccumulation, especially if a wick or engulfing candle forms inside the green zone.
Price action traders should wait for confirmation (e.g., break of trendline, bullish structure on 1H) before entering.
📌 Educational Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice)
Setup Entry Zone Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2
Reversal Long 35.80 – 36.20 35.40 37.50 38.70
Trendline Break Long Above 37.10 36.40 38.00 39.00
Bearish Continuation Below 35.40 36.10 34.80 33.90
🧾 Conclusion & Final Note
Silver is trading at a make-or-break point as it approaches a high-probability reversal zone, identified through MMC methodology. Watch the price action near 36.00 closely—it holds the key to whether we begin a new bullish phase or extend this bearish cycle.
✅ MMC traders will stay reactive, not predictive, and align with structure.
🚨 Patience is key—let the market show its hand before commitment.
Silver Remains a Buy on DipsIt seems the precious metals market didn’t mourn the Fed’s decision and subsequent press release for long.
The uptrend remains intact, and the previously supportive factors are still in play.
Even amid the negative news, there was no sharp sell-off — everything stayed within the trend. This clearly signals that rate cuts are on the horizon, and metals are likely to continue their upward move.
We only trade from the long side — nothing has changed.
At the moment, we've seen a pullback, and it feels strange not to take advantage of it and add more silver to the portfolio.
Stop-loss is set below yesterday’s candle low at 36.15.
We’ll see how the position develops. For now, the idea is to hold as long as the stop-loss holds. The long-term target is 48. Obviously, we won't reach it quickly, so I’ll trail the stop as the trade progresses — first to breakeven, and eventually into profit.
Silver H4 | Potential bearish dropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price reverse from the sell entry at 3.86, and could drop from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 37.63, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 35.34, which is a swing low support that lines up with th e 61.8% Fibonacci retraecment.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
HI GUYShere i have a sneak peak of how i think silver has to play out.
i expect sells now, as we form the daily double bottom.
what do u think
Silver Wave Analysis – 4 August 2025- Silver reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 39.45
Silver recently reversed from the support zone between the support level 36.20 (which also stopped wave ii at the start of July), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from May.
The upward reversal from this support zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern, Piercing Line – which marked the end of the earlier correction 2.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level at 39.45 (top of earlier impulse wave 1 from July).
Market Stuck in Limbo? XAGUSD Update & Likely Range AheadLet’s talk silver.
The market's clearly undecided — no real momentum, just hesitation.
We’re approaching overextended RSI levels, so don’t expect fireworks just yet.
Im Skeptic from Skeptic Lab and In this quick update, I’ll show you what I’m watching for both long and short triggers …
and why a range might dominate the next few days.
👉 Watch till the end to avoid getting trapped by fake breakouts.
XAGUSD--SHORT--02-08.25--looking at multime-frame (M,W), short term great short opportunity
--entry around 37.52854 and 37.32500, TP is 35.267
BUY AFTER THE PULLBACK Analyzing the daily time frame of silver, we can see that silver is in a bullish uptrend.
The price of silver is respecting a rising trend line which is acting as support in the past, only for some few times in the past did it exhibit a fake breakout which is indicated with an arrow.
I see the price of silver from its current price actions selling to our required point of interest and looking for buy liquidity to buy at our confluence which is both previous resistance which was broken to the upside which I indicated with a blue rectangle and a rising trend line.
Please look for buys at the previous broken resistance which is indicated with a blue rectangle in confluence with a rising trendline.
.............,...........................................
Please kindly share your thoughts on silver
SILVER: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
SILVER
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short SILVER
Entry - 37.026
Sl - 37.200
Tp - 36.721
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Silver Signals Pullback Risks From $40 BarrierFrom a fundamental standpoint, the strength seen in both tech and silver markets in 2025 may be supported by the structural integration of AI and innovation into global economic agendas. As AI and technology increasingly become the backbone of global infrastructure and development, demand is likely to remain strong.
Silver is currently retreating from the $40 psychological zone, the 39.50 high, which aligns with the target of an inverted head and shoulders pattern formed between August 2020 and March 2024.
• Pullback Scenario: In line with weekly overbought momentum as per the RSI indicator, a retracement may target support levels at $37, $36.20, and $35.20 before resuming its broader bullish trend.
• Breakout Scenario: A confirmed close above $40 may open the door to $42, $46, and potentially a move beyond $50.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
SILVER Is Going Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,722.4.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,685.7 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
My alternate wave count for silverBelow is a slighly altered wave count for silver...it shows we have completed wave 5(yellow) which is a wave 1 (white) and are now in the process of working out wave 2 (white)...the first leg down (a) has just completed...and wave b of the ABC should start and complete over the next few days...follwed by one more low (wave c)...around the $34-$34.50 area.
I do not expect a move below $34 due to all the support on the chart at this level (look left and you will see that the $34 was a major prior resistance zone...when resistance is broken it becomes support.
If this count is the correct one (again it is my alternate to the one posted previously), it meas a bit more patience is required over the next few weeks...before we see a major move up (above $50) will start.
SILVER SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,820.7
Target Level: 3,794.3
Stop Loss: 3,837.9
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Silver on the path of growth and developmentAs I mentioned in the previous article, silver is moving towards the desired target, which is around $40 per ounce of silver. As you can see, this three-month chart and the uptrend drawn and reproduced shows the desired price target near the top of the channel.
If there is a change and an update is needed, I will definitely check and publish it again.
Good luck.
MJ .REZAEI
(Updated) Silver Rebounds from Golden ZoneSilver dumped hard into the Golden Zone and reversed exactly where we marked it. Bulls stepping in? Now we watch for follow-through.
📌 Price respected the Golden Zone and reversed clean
📌 Bullish break and EMA shift underway
📌 Watching for continuation toward $38
⏱️ Timeframe: 1H
#silver #xagusd #fibonacci #reversalsetup #technicalanalysis #tradingview #quanttradingpro
SILVER: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 37.330 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver under pressure!Silver prices dropped sharply following a sudden plunge of over 20% in U.S. copper futures, triggered by a surprise decision from the Trump administration to cancel import tariffs on refined copper. This move caused turmoil in the markets and impacted related assets such as silver.
From a technical perspective, silver is trading in a general downtrend on the 4-hour chart, forming lower lows and lower highs, maintaining a bearish structure.
If the price rises to the 37.034 level, it is likely to reverse downward to continue the bearish trend, targeting the 36.45 and 35.60 levels in the medium to long term.
However, if the price climbs above 37.26 and closes a 4-hour candle above that level, the bearish scenario would be invalidated, and this breakout could signal a trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
XAGUSD | Silver Rebounds from 37.50 After 39.50 RejectionSilver pulled back sharply after failing at the 39.50 resistance zone. Price is currently consolidating just above the 37.50 support area, which has held firm on the initial retest.
Support at: 37.50 / 37.00 🔽
Resistance at: 39.50 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A clean breakout above 39.50 could resume the uptrend.
🔽 Bearish: A break below 37.50 opens room toward 37.00 and 36.00.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
CAN SILVER RETURN TO ITS HISTORIC HIGH OF $50?In the world of precious metals, gold has already broken its all-time high in recent months, supported by solid fundamentals. Another precious metal is now catching up: silver. Unlike platinum and palladium, silver today combines all the necessary ingredients to revisit its historic peak. Its bullish potential stems from a unique blend of market volume, correlation with gold, supportive fundamentals, and favorable technical conditions. Silver isn’t just "gold’s little brother": it is currently the only precious metal with both the technical and structural setup to aim once again for the mythical $50 mark, last reached in 2011.
1) After GOLD, silver is the most liquid precious metal and has the highest positive correlation
The first key factor is liquidity. On the precious metals market, gold remains the clear leader, with hundreds of billions of dollars traded daily. Silver comes second, far ahead of platinum and palladium, with around $5 billion in daily volume. This level of activity is crucial—adequate liquidity allows speculative and institutional flows to fully express themselves. Conversely, the low volumes of platinum and palladium limit their upside, as their markets are too narrow to support the kind of momentum seen in gold or silver.
The second strength of silver lies in its natural correlation with gold. Historically, the two metals move in sync. This behavioral alignment is reflected in a correlation coefficient close to 1. Platinum and palladium, by contrast, respond to industrial demand, particularly from the auto sector and emissions technology. Silver, however, blends industrial uses (jewelry, electronics, solar panels, etc.) with a monetary and financial role similar to gold. This dual nature makes silver a hybrid asset, with both ETF-driven financial demand and jewelry-like industrial demand.
2) Technically, the SILVER/GOLD ratio remains in a short-term uptrend from a long-term support
Technical analysis reinforces this fundamental outlook. While gold appears to be losing steam after hitting $3,500, silver still shows a medium-term bullish setup—even though short-term corrections are always possible. The gold/silver ratio, historically useful to detect when silver outperforms gold, also suggests that silver is poised for further gains. Silver’s long-term trend remains bullish as long as the $34–$35 support zone holds. The $50 mark is the natural technical target of this trend.
The following chart shows the gold/silver ratio and indicates that silver is likely to outperform gold through year-end:
And here is the monthly candlestick chart of spot silver:
DISCLAIMER:
This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions.
This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior.
Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content.
The use of any third-party brands or trademarks is for information only and does not imply endorsement by Swissquote, or that the trademark owner has authorised Swissquote to promote its products or services.
Swissquote is the marketing brand for the activities of Swissquote Bank Ltd (Switzerland) regulated by FINMA, Swissquote Capital Markets Limited regulated by CySEC (Cyprus), Swissquote Bank Europe SA (Luxembourg) regulated by the CSSF, Swissquote Ltd (UK) regulated by the FCA, Swissquote Financial Services (Malta) Ltd regulated by the Malta Financial Services Authority, Swissquote MEA Ltd. (UAE) regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority, Swissquote Pte Ltd (Singapore) regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, Swissquote Asia Limited (Hong Kong) licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and Swissquote South Africa (Pty) Ltd supervised by the FSCA.
Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law.
All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy.
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade.
Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties.
The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
Bullish bounce for the Silver?The price is falling towards the support level whch i anoverlap support that is slighly below the 61.8%Fibonacci retraecment and could bounce from this level to our takeprofit.
Entry: 37.24
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 36.28
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 39.05
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
