SILVERCFD trade ideas
Silver Holds Near 13-Year HighsSilver has surged past the $36.40 per ounce mark, reaching its highest level in 13 years after a clean breakout from a one-month consolidation phase spanning April and May 2025. The breakout targets the $37 level and aligns with a rising channel defined by higher lows since February 2024.
If silver retraces below $36, potential support levels include $35.70, $35.30, and $34.70, which may offer a base for consolidation or a recharge before continuation of the broader uptrend. A sustained hold above $37.30 could open the path toward the $40 level, further validating a larger inverted head and shoulders pattern on the monthly chart.
Are we on track to revisit 2011 highs in 2025?
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Precious metals: rotation towards silver, platinum and palladium1) GOLD, a mature bull cycle running out of technical steam
For over a year, gold (XAU/USD) has been the undisputed leader of the precious metals segment, driven by a powerful cocktail of technical and macroeconomic factors. Long-term bullish targets, identified via an Elliott wave reading, have now been reached or are very close to being reached, suggesting a possible end to the cycle. Gold's outperformance has been driven by several factors: an annual depreciation of the US dollar, robust physical demand in China and India, a rush by central banks to use gold as a strategic reserve, and increased financial demand via ETFs and futures markets. Nevertheless, this momentum may now be running out of “fuel” as the greenback approaches a technical crossroads, US interest rates stabilize, and the geopolitical environment remains uncertain but largely taken on board by the markets.
2) Silver, platinum and palladium lag far behind gold
While gold's bullish cycle appears to be coming to an end, investors are turning their attention to the other precious metals - silver, platinum and palladium - which are lagging significantly behind. This is partly due to their hybrid nature: halfway between industrial asset and safe-haven, they have not enjoyed the same enthusiasm as gold during periods of sheer financial uncertainty. However, the situation seems to be changing: the first stages of a technical catch-up can be observed, notably in silver (XAG), whose recent performance has outstripped that of gold. This comeback is supported by an optimistic reading of COT (Commitment of Traders) data, showing a reconstitution of long positions. Upside potential remains intact in the short to medium term, supported by industrial fundamentals and converging technical signals.
3) Are platinum and palladium technical opportunities or not?
Platinum (XPT) and palladium (XPD), long lagging behind, are now entering a recovery phase. These metals, widely used in automotive catalysts, have suffered from the energy transition and the decline in internal combustion engines. However, this weakness seems to have been overplayed by the markets. From a technical point of view, the current configurations suggest opportunities for a rebound. All the more so as certain players are beginning to recognize the role these metals could play in industrial value chains linked to hydrogen and clean mobility. If gold is reaching the top of the cycle, it is potentially in these “lagging” metals that the bullish leverage now lies for the months ahead.
4) The special case of copper
Last but not least, copper (XCU), although not considered a precious metal in the strict sense, deserves special attention. A true thermometer of the global economy, it has long been held back by uncertainties over Chinese growth and structural difficulties in Asia's real estate sector. But here too, the scenario seems to be changing: the gradual recovery in industrial demand, coupled with structural tensions on supply, is paving the way for a bullish phase. Copper thus represents a bridge between industrial metals and speculative dynamics, an asset in a context of accelerated energy transition. In short, while gold remains a strategic pillar, the next big move could well come from a generalized catch-up of all the metals that have lagged behind.
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SILVER: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
SILVER
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short SILVER
Entry - 35.980
Sl - 36.467
Tp - 34.940
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
XAGUSD(SILVER):To $60 the silver is new gold, most undervaluedSilver has shown remarkable bullish behaviour and momentum, in contrast to gold’s recent decline. Despite recent news, silver remains bullish and unaffected by these developments. We anticipate that silver will reach a record high by the end of the year, potentially reaching $60.
There are compelling reasons why we believe silver will be more valuable in the coming years, if not months. Firstly, the current price of silver at 36.04 makes it the most cost-effective investment option compared to gold. This presents an attractive opportunity for retail traders, as gold may not be suitable for everyone due to its nature and price.
Silver’s price has increased from 28.47 to 36.25, indicating its potential to reach $60 in the near future. We strongly recommend conducting your own analysis before making any trading or investment decisions. Please note that this analysis is solely our opinion and does not guarantee the price or future prospects of silver.
We appreciate your positive feedback and comments, which encourage us to provide further analysis. Your continuous support over the years means a lot to us.
We wish you a pleasant weekend.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx
Silver Technical Structure (XAG/USD):📈 Silver (XAG/USD) – Trading Update
Date: June 6, 2025
Timeframe: Monthly / Multi-month Swing
Market Outlook: Bullish
Key Insights:
The Gold/Silver Ratio (GSR) has rejected the upper boundary of its Balanced Price Range (102–108), indicating a potential long-term rotation in favor of silver.
A bearish GSR target of 32 is projected — echoing the 2008–2011 analog, where silver massively outperformed gold.
Current GSR: ~93
Target GSR: 32
→ This implies continued strength in silver relative to gold.
Silver Technical Structure (XAG/USD):
Current Price: ~$36.10
Short-Term Target: $59.00
→ Based on the Goldbach Dealing Range and previous 2011 highs ($50.10), this target assumes a breakout and overshoot scenario.
Momentum: Strong monthly bullish structure, with higher highs and strong closes.
Next Resistance Levels:
$38.50
$44.00
$50.00 (prior high)
$59.00 (short-term target)
Trade Strategy (Not Financial Advice):
Bias: Long Silver
Entry Zone: On retracements toward $34–$36
Stop: Below $30 (structure invalidation)
Target 1: $44
Target 2: $50
Target 3: $59 (full projection)
Macro Context:
With real yields under pressure and inflation stickiness still a concern, silver could benefit from both precious metals demand and industrial recovery.
If gold stabilizes or gradually climbs, silver's outperformance will likely widen the divergence implied by the GSR target.
Silver (XAGUSD) – Buy the Dip Toward Bespoke SupportTrade Idea
Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 3590
Target: 3721
Stop Loss: 3544
Duration: Intraday
Expires: 11/06/2025 06:00
Technical Overview
Despite signs of a short-term top forming, the overall bias has turned positive, suggesting any downside may be corrective.
Price is expected to pull back into bespoke support at 3590, providing a low-risk opportunity to rejoin the broader bullish move.
The setup aligns with a buy-the-dip strategy, targeting a retest of resistance at 3721.
Additional confirmation would come from a hold above 3630, reinforcing the short-term bullish outlook.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAG/USD (Silver) Monthly Analysis – Major Resistance Test Incomi🔍 XAG/USD (Silver) Monthly Analysis – Major Resistance Test Incoming 💥🪙
📊 Overview:
This monthly chart of XAG/USD (Silver vs. US Dollar) reveals a critical technical juncture, where price action is testing a multi-year resistance-turned-support zone around $36.27. The chart is structured with major zones of support and resistance, and it includes a potential bullish extension followed by a bearish correction scenario.
📌 Key Technical Levels:
🟧 Support Zone: $22.50 – $24.00
🟨 Resistance-Turned-Support Zone: $34.00 – $36.50
🟪 Major Resistance: $43.60 – $48.80
🔼 Bullish Scenario (Preferred Path):
Current Price: ~$36.27 is at the upper edge of a crucial S/R flip zone.
📈 A breakout above this zone could propel silver toward the next resistance target at $43.60, with a potential full extension to $48.80.
✨ Momentum and historical breakout behavior from this region suggest strong buying interest if breached convincingly.
🔽 Bearish Scenario (Rejection Path):
🔄 If silver faces rejection at the $36.27 zone, it may retrace towards:
🟥 $28.31 minor support (intermediate target),
🔻 followed by a deeper correction to the $22.50–$24.00 support zone.
🔁 This would complete a classic retest of broken support, allowing accumulation before any further long-term rally.
🧠 Strategic Notes:
⚠️ Macro-driven: Silver is highly sensitive to inflation, Fed policy, and industrial demand.
📅 Long-term chart suggests cyclical behavior, with consolidation phases followed by aggressive trends.
📌 Traders should monitor weekly closes around $36.27 to confirm breakout or rejection.
✅ Conclusion:
Silver is at a make-or-break zone 🧨. A breakout may lead to a multi-year high, but failure here opens the door for a healthy pullback. The next few candles will be decisive for long-term positioning.
📉 Watch for rejection wicks at resistance
📈 Monitor volume on breakout attempts
📊 Plan for both outcomes: breakout or retest
Another Breakout or Correction?📆 June 11, 2025 | ⏱ 2H Chart Analysis
Silver (XAGUSD) has been respecting its bullish momentum since early June, with a clean breakout above the previous wedge consolidation pattern (visible late May). But now, the market is at a critical decision point.
🔍 Key Observations:
Price is testing the 36.50–36.60 zone, which aligns with the 15 EMA and horizontal resistance turned support.
We’ve seen exhaustion signs at recent highs (~36.88), followed by lower highs — possibly forming a micro-descending channel.
Price currently hovers between two key levels:
🔺 Upside target: If bulls defend 36.50, next resistance sits around 38.00, matching the long-term upper channel.
🔻 Downside risk: If support breaks and price falls below 35.90/35.70, we may see a sharp move toward 35.00, where the larger structure would be retested.
📈 Momentum Outlook:
EMA(15) > EMA(60) still shows medium-term bullish structure.
⚖️ Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice)
🟢 Bullish Bias if 36.50 holds with confirmation → Target: 38.00
🔴 Bearish Trigger if 35.90 breaks → Target: 35.00
🎯 Risk Management Key: Wait for price action around the decision zone.
💬 What’s your bias? Do you see a continuation or pullback?
📌 Follow for more XAGUSD, Forex & Commodity insights — 2–3 fresh charts weekly.
#XAGUSD #Silver #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #Metals #EMA #BreakoutOrFakeout #PriceAction #tradingview
Silver UP but PLATINIUM MOREHello there, good ? Me Yes.
Silver vs Platinium.
So we have a silver momentum against gold. But more than this, we have a platinium momentum against silver.
Platinium against silver is historically high.
So we need a reset.
The move is probably go at the bottom (x4 against silver). So, if Silver make a x5, plaitnium make a x20.
We have also a beautiful bearish pattern (white lines). For a safety capital rotation, go on platinium when the white line is break.
Indicator show us a reversal in 3M...
Look platinium chart (15 years of consolidation).
I recommend a big caution about Stocks. When commodities rises, it's not good.
SILVERRelationship Between Silver, 10-Year Bond Yield, and DXY (US Dollar Index) as of June 2025
1. Silver Price:
Silver has surged past $35 per ounce, approaching $36, marking a 13-year high and a strong rally driven by supply deficits and robust industrial demand, especially from electronics, solar panels, and renewable energy sectors.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield:
The 10-year yield recently rose to around 4.50% to 4.55% (June 6, 2025), up about 12 basis points over a couple of days, reflecting inflation concerns and fiscal uncertainties.
US Dollar Index (DXY):
The DXY has strengthened amid hawkish Fed expectations and safe-haven flows, generally exerting downward pressure on commodities priced in USD, including silver.
2. Correlation and Dynamics
Inverse Correlation with Real Yields:
Silver prices exhibit a strong negative correlation with real interest rates (nominal yields minus inflation expectations). As real yields rise, silver tends to fall due to higher opportunity costs of holding non-yielding assets.
Impact of Rising 10-Year Yields:
The recent increase in the 10-year Treasury yield typically pressures silver prices lower. However, silver’s strong industrial demand and supply deficits have offset this effect, supporting prices despite higher yields.
DXY Influence:
A stronger dollar (higher DXY) makes silver more expensive in other currencies, usually suppressing demand and prices. Yet, silver’s recent rally suggests that supply constraints and investor interest are outweighing the dollar’s negative impact.
3. Fundamental Drivers Behind Silver’s Rally
Supply Deficits:
Silver mine production has declined since 2022, while industrial demand, especially for green technologies, continues to grow, creating persistent deficits.
Reduced Recycling:
Despite higher prices, recycled silver supply has diminished, indicating limited above-ground stocks.
Safe-Haven and Inflation Hedge Demand:
Economic uncertainties, rising government debt, and geopolitical tensions have increased investor interest in silver as a store of value alongside gold.
Gold-to-Silver Ratio:
The ratio remains elevated (~75:1), suggesting silver is undervalued relative to gold and has room to outperform.
4. Technical Outlook
Silver’s breakout above $35 is a key technical milestone, triggering momentum buying and algorithmic trading.
Overbought conditions suggest possible short-term profit-taking or consolidation near
Support levels
Conclusion
Despite rising US 10-year Treasury yields and a stronger US dollar, silver prices have surged due to persistent supply deficits, strong industrial demand, and safe-haven buying amid economic uncertainties. The usual inverse relationship between silver and bond yields/DXY is currently moderated by fundamental supply-demand imbalances and technical momentum. However, silver remains sensitive to real interest rate movements and dollar strength, which could cap gains or trigger corrections in the near term.
#SILVER #DOLLAR
Linear Projection for Silver LONG TERM Cup and Handle Pattern.Silver is perhaps one of the most under-valued assets of our time, with bubbles ragining in almost all asset classes, poor lowly silver is sitting well below historical fair value, when priced in gold. But The Gold Silver Ratio being at such extremes does not mean Silver will rise, it is indeed possible for Gold to collapse and for Silver to merely hold steady-ish, and the gold silver ratio would be back in-sync.
What makes this particular time of such undervaluations in Silver so interesting, is that on long term time frames we see some extrenely powerful chart patterns that have been shaping up for 50 years or so. It is a Bullish Cup and Handle Pattern and we're currently drawing in what could be the last few months of the handle and if we confirm this pattern, chartists would give price targets between $90 on the low end and $700 on the high end. I've show the reasons for both extremes below. Reality, likely, will wind up being somewhere between both camps (if we do confirm the pattern) and someone will get cheeky with some Fibs and say they saw the top coming all along, or something, lol.
Historically Silver has pulled back HARSHLY after these moves, as much as 80-90%, however that was when the USD still had a very high likelihood of remaining the world resere currency still moving forward. If this happens, this time that won't look so certain, but I would still expect major volatility once a top is found and a pretty wide trading range to form.
We expect governments to continue to devalue their currencies, deficit spend, take part in QE programs and other monetary tricks to inflate away the debate. They won't actually inflate it away, of course, it'll just become a more enormous monster, but that's another administration/generation's issue to deal with!
SILVER: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 36.310 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 36.139.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️