SILVERCFD trade ideas
Silver breakout: Bullish, but divergentIntraday Update: Silver is at the 127% extension of the March 28th highs to April 7th lows, RSI is divergent which may stall the rally, but dips back to the 35.50 level should find buyers now.
Keep in mind we trade well above the long term 61.8% retracement still at 35.48
XAGUSD (SILVER) TRADE PLANTactical Plan – XAG/USD (as of $36.46)
🧠 Bias:
🔻 Short-Term Bearish due to:
Evening Star Doji on 4H
Parabolic rally exhaustion
Weakening momentum into resistance
📋 TRADE PLAN (SWING SETUP)
Parameter Entry / Target
Entry Sell on break below $36.30 (confirmation candle close below it)
Stop Loss (SL) Above high of the Evening Star: $36.88
TP1 (short-term) $35.85 (1:1 RR)
TP2 (core target) $34.95
TP3 (extended) $33.80 (if trend fully unwinds)
🧮 Position Sizing & Risk
Aim for 2R or more
Size down if volatility spikes or CPI/FOMC
events are near (June macro data may distort flows)
🔁 Alternative Scenario
Condition Action
Price closes above $37.00 Invalidate shorts, flip bias to bullish
Price holds $36.30–$36.00 No trade (chop zone), wait for clean break
🔄 TRADE MANAGEMENT
Trail stop once TP1 is hit
Add to position only if price breaks $35.50 with volume
🧠 RISK CONTEXT: What Would Trigger a Bigger Drop?
USD strength (watch DXY reclaim 105+)
Risk-off sentiment (bond yields up, equities fall)
Any signs of Fed hawkish surprise this week
🎯 Summary of the Play
“If $36.30 fails to hold, I'm short to $35.00. If $36.00 breaks, it's a deeper unwind to $34.00. But if bulls push through $37, I’m out immediately — trend resumes upward.”
Silver Hits Upper Channel Limit — Momentum or Rejection Ahead?Silver has been following a textbook ascending channel since mid-2024, with multiple clean Breaks of Structure (BoS) confirming sustained bullish momentum. Every major correction found support at well-defined 2D demand zones, allowing bulls to re-enter with confidence.
Now, price has reached the upper boundary of the channel — a level that has historically triggered short-term rejections or profit-taking. The key question: is this a breakout or another fade from the highs?
From a macro perspective, silver’s strength has been supported by several drivers:
Renewed demand for hard assets amid persistent inflation expectations.
Falling real yields and a weakening USD in recent months.
Positioning as both an industrial metal and a monetary hedge — giving silver dual tailwinds during reflationary narratives.
If Silver breaks and holds above this channel, it could trigger a new leg higher, potentially targeting $37 to $40. There’s little technical resistance above.
However, a rejection from the current level could open the door for a pullback toward the $34–33 region, or deeper into the key 2D demand zones near $31 and $29.80. These areas have acted as major accumulation zones in the past and may attract buyers again.
This is a technically and macroeconomically critical zone — the reaction here could define Silver’s next multi-week trend.
SILVER: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 36.496 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 36.646.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Bulls Breach Key Resistance – Momentum BuildsSilver (XAG/USD) has punched through a major horizontal resistance level around the psychological $35.00 mark, marking a significant technical breakout with bullish continuation potential.
🔍 Technical Highlights
Breakout Above Multi-Month Resistance: Price has cleanly broken above the key $35.00 zone, which had capped upside since late 2023. The breakout follows a tight consolidation range, suggesting a measured accumulation phase has ended.
Moving Averages Aligned Bullishly:
The 50-day SMA is rising sharply and sits well above the 200-day SMA.
Price is comfortably trading above both averages, confirming a strong uptrend structure.
MACD in Strong Positive Territory: MACD has surged above its signal line, reinforcing bullish momentum. No signs of a bearish crossover in sight.
RSI Enters Overbought Zone: RSI is currently near 70. While this signals strong momentum, it also raises the potential for short-term cooling or consolidation before any continued leg higher.
⚙️ Outlook
The breakout above $35.00 represents a major bullish development, potentially opening the door to further upside exploration. The impulsive nature of recent gains, combined with rising momentum indicators and trend-confirming moving averages, all favor the bulls. However, the overbought RSI suggests the possibility of a short-term pullback or sideways consolidation before the next move higher.
Traders may want to monitor for a potential retest of the $35.00 area as support, which could offer a higher-probability continuation setup within the broader uptrend.
-MW
SILVER Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SILVER below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 35.598
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 34.911
Safe Stop Loss - 36.515
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 36.640 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver (XAGUSD) Breaks Out – What’s the Paths Forward?Silver has experienced a significant breakout, decisively surpassing its previous high from October 2024. This signals the start of the next upward leg in its price trajectory. From the last notable low on April 7, 2025, the rally has been unfolding as an impulsive wave with an extended structure, often referred to as a “nest.” Beginning from the April 7, 2025 low, wave (1) reached its peak at 33.684. It was then followed by a corrective pullback in wave (2), which concluded at 31.635. From this point, silver resumed its upward momentum in wave (3). The metal displays an internal subdivision characteristic of another impulsive wave.
Breaking down the progression from wave (2) low, the initial wave 1 advanced to 33.69. A subsequent dip in wave 2 found support at 32.58, as illustrated in the accompanying 1-hour chart. The metal then continued its ascent, nesting higher once again. From the wave 2 low, the sub-wave ((i)) peaked at 33.56. A pullback in wave ((ii)) then followed which bottomed out at 32.67. Silver then resumed its upward trend in wave ((iii)). Wave (i) of ((iii)) concluded at 33.49 and wave (ii) of ((iii)) ended at 32.75.
Looking ahead, silver is expected to achieve two additional highs to complete wave (iii) before encountering a corrective pullback in wave (iv). Afterwards, the upward trajectory should resume. In the near term, as long as the pivotal low at 32.58 remains intact, any dips are likely to attract buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swings, setting the stage for further upside potential. This technical analysis suggests a bullish outlook for silver, with the current structure supporting continued gains in the near future.
SILVER MASSIVE BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅SILVER is trading in an uptrend
And the price made a massive
Bullish breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 34.80$ and the breakout
Is confirmed which reinforces
Our bullish bias and we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Silver all time Cup and Handle Breakout... China has been colluding with US banks to help hold the silver price down... now that they have more than anyone else in the world accumulated over the last 30 years.. they are covering their positions to Implode the "WEST" and King Dollar for BRICS Unit... Dictators can play chesss while 4 year alternating party terms have no choice but to play checkers.Rising Gold , Central bank Buys, and Bong yields tell the truth of a quickly diminishing USD. .. SMH.. Protect yourself with MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN , Physical bullion and Silver Mining Stocks $AG...
Silver Rising on Weak Dollar, Soft NFP, and Gold StrengthSilver continues to push higher, driven by a combination of macro and technical tailwinds. The latest US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report showed weaker-than-expected job growth, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve may stay on hold or even tilt dovish. As a result, the Dollar extended its slide, providing a strong tailwind for precious metals.
Gold remains firm near record highs, and Silver is starting to catch up, gaining momentum both as a safe-haven asset and an industrial metal. The weaker Dollar environment boosts Silver’s appeal, while softer labor data raises hopes for looser financial conditions ahead.
Equity markets are also rising, reflecting a positive outlook on economic growth and demand. This supports the industrial side of silver, especially with rising consumption in solar, electronics, and EV-related industries.
Technically, silver is testing resistance near USD 37.50. A clean break above this level could open the path toward USD 39.00 and beyond. While RSI suggests short-term overbought conditions based on the daily chart, dips toward USD 35.00 – 36.00 would likely attract buyers.
The combination of soft US data, weaker Dollar, strong Gold performance, and firm equity markets points to sustained upside potential. Watch for follow-through above USD 37.50 to confirm the next bullish leg.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Where is the Next Resistance?!
What a rally on Silver this week.
The market easily violated a resistance cluster
based on the last year high.
Analyzing a historic price action, the next strong resistance
that I found is around 37.4
It is based on an important high of 2012.
That can be the next mid-term goal for the buyers.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Silver Analysis 06-Jun-25 - June Breakout MomentumDiscussing the possible scenarios on Silver that just broke above the 34.5 - 35 level, reaching around the 36.2. This breakout is fundamentally supported by:
* Weak U.S Economic Data
* Industrial demand
* Tighter Silver Supply.
* Market optimism after US and China talks.
It's important to watch-out for any reactive headlines, price action, and off-course the US Labor data we have today.
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Silver at All Time High Looks Ripe for a Pullback! Hey Traders so today was taking a look at Silver Market. It just hit an all time high exciting times in these precious metals! Seems like Gold is normally the first train to leave the station but when silver catches up man can she move!
Anyway so now that there has been a break above resistance 34.63 the momentum might really get going so should you buy it now?
Absolutely not imo first rule of trading is Buy Low Sell High! 😁
I don't believe in chasing markets let it come to you!
So where is the best place to Buy?
Well if we look at the chart we can see a very strong 3 bar uptrend line in place since April. So the best way to trade the trend is buy when it pulls back to the trendline.
Simple Enough right and No Indicators Needed.
Well yes but actually we can even try to find a better entry point. See that huge rally candle on June 2?
If we can measure that candle with the Fibonacci tool then find the 50% retracement of that candle I think it's a great place to place a buy order.
X marks the spot at $33.84!
From what I have seen over the years is that when markets retrace 50% of candle like that there is a lot of buying pressure and support at that level so it may not stay there for long. Hopefully it hits that level and then continues the uptrend.
So place an entry order at that level $33.84 and you don't even have to watch the market🤔
Place a stop loss below support at around 32.49
If bearish be very careful because this is a strong bull market. Also Gold and Silver has a Seasonal Pattern to Rise in July and August.
Always use Risk Management!
(Just in case your wrong in your analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
Silver now above $35.A Point and Figure (P&F) chart is a type of technical analysis chart used by traders to predict financial market trends. Unlike candlestick or bar charts that plot price over time, P&F charts focus solely on price movements, ignoring the passage of time entirely. This makes them useful for identifying clear support and resistance levels, trend lines, and breakouts. --chatgpt
SILVER – The Technicals Are Clear, The Fundamentals Are LoudEntry: $32.978
Current Price: $34.52
Target: Still in play, short-term and long-term upside remain
Technical Outlook:
Silver has maintained bullish structure after a clean breakout from the $32.9 zone.
- Higher lows continue
- Bullish momentum intact
- Watching $35 as next key psychological level
- Break & retest = next leg up
Short-term resistance at $35.20, if price holds above this zone, I expect continuation toward $38–40.
Long-Term Price Forecasts:
- Investing Heaven: $48–50 by 2025, up to $75 by 2027
- JPMorgan / Citi: $38–40
- Fixed supply vs. growing demand = long-term bullish imbalance
Why Silver Could Outperform (Fundamentals):
AI Boom → High silver usage in electronics
Green Energy → Critical in solar panels & EVs
Industrial Demand ⬆ while supply remains capped
This is more than a chart pattern, it’s a macro thesis with technical validation.
Trading Psychology Insight:
Most traders get shaken out before the move completes.
The real challenge isn’t spotting the setup, it’s holding through the noise.
Patience is a position.
Discipline is your edge.
I’m still holding not from hope, but from trust in my process.
Levels I’m Watching:
Break of $35 with volume = bullish confirmation
Failure to hold = possible retest near $33.8–34 zone
Long-term: Gradual climb with dips to accumulate
Agree? Disagree? Let’s talk in the comments.
If you want me to post the next phase of this trade with updates + psychology notes, drop a "Comment"
Silver is on set for another surge
After silver prices surged significantly on Monday, the market followed by a consolidation phase, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern. Typically, this pattern signals a continuation of the prevailing trend, but confirmation is required on a breakout—ideally sustaining above the previous high at 34.80.
If the price hold above 35.00, it would confirm a 12-year high, which could attract more speculative flow and drive prices even higher.
Should the breakout align with the prevailing uptrend, the projected target based on the flagpole's height is around 36.50—marking the next key target zone.
Fundamentally, the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) on Friday, June 6, could serve as a key catalyst. With broad market participation expected, the data has the potential to push silver prices to new highs.
Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe show no signs of resolution, which continues to support demand for safe-haven assets like precious metals. This provides further upward momentum for silver.
However, any signs of progress in geopolitical negotiations would pose a downside risk to this bullish outlook.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Silver Price Retreats from 2012 HighsSilver Price Retreats from 2012 Highs
As shown on the XAG/USD chart, the price of silver climbed above $37 per ounce yesterday — a level not seen since 2012. However, this morning, the price has dropped by approximately 2.5% from yesterday’s peak.
The bullish driver behind the rally has been fears that the US could become involved in a military conflict between Israel and Iran. Concerns in financial markets intensified after media reports stated that US officials are preparing for a potential strike on Iran.
Another factor influencing silver's price was the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged and maintain a cautious policy stance. Yesterday, Jerome Powell warned that President Trump’s tariffs could fuel inflation (a bullish signal for silver) and complicate the economic outlook.
Technical Analysis of the XAG/USD Chart
In our previous analysis of the XAG/USD chart, we identified an upward channel. This channel remains relevant, though its configuration has shifted.
The price of silver remains in the upper part of the channel (a sign of strong demand). However, two signals suggest a potential correction may develop:
→ A bearish divergence on the RSI indicator;
→ A sharp decline from the channel’s upper boundary (marked with a red arrow), breaking through the local line that divides the upper half of the channel into quarters.
Nevertheless, given the scale of geopolitical risks, there is a chance that the bears may struggle to significantly shift the trend — especially with markets nearing the weekend closure.
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