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US100 trade ideas

NASDAQ 100 at Heavy Supply – Time to Sell the Top?The US100 (NASDAQ) has entered a strong supply zone near 21,800, and history suggests this is no time to get greedy… 🧠 Key Observations: Price is now inside a critical resistance area marked by LuxAlgo’s Supply & Demand indicator. We've had multiple rejections at this level going back to March. Momentum is slowing even as price pushes higher — divergence alert 🚨 📉 Potential Drop Zones: 21,765 = immediate resistance-turned-support to watch 19,185 = former consolidation + breakout base (likely bounce zone) 16,948 = demand cluster where bulls are likely to reload 📆 Timing Is Key: With macro catalysts (⚡🌍📰) scheduled in the coming week — including inflation and Fed signals — volatility could spike and force a sharp move down if sellers take control. --- 📌 My Setup: If price fails to break and hold above 21,800, I’m watching for bearish confirmation to short, targeting 19,185 short-term and 16,948 mid-term. --- 💬 What’s your take on NASDAQ? Do you trust this breakout or is it just another bull trap? 👉 Comment below, leave a ❤️ if this helped, and follow for more chart breakdowns.
FX:NAS100Short
by FrankFx14
USNAS100 – Bearish Bias Below 21780 Ahead of CPI and Trade TalksUSNAS100 – Bearish Pressure Below 21780, CPI & Trade Talks in Focus Overview: USNAS100 remains under downward pressure ahead of a key macro week, including US-China trade talks and the upcoming US CPI data. Technically, price remains bearish while below the pivot level at 21780. A break below 21635 may lead to further downside toward 21470 and potentially 21360. On the upside, a 1H close above 21780 could invalidate the bearish view and open the path toward 21920 and the ATH at 22200. Key Levels: Pivot: 21780 Support: 21635, 21470, 21360 Resistance: 21920, 22200
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
A Nasdaq Black Hole - Unprecendented yes, Impossible no Before anyone says anything...yes Elliot Waves are completely subjective BUT IMHO i have drawn these correctly.... The NAS made a violent move from 22100 down 16300 in a very short space of time. So what? It will just make another ATH right? Well, of course. It almost certainly will, the real question is when. If this pattern plays out, it won't be in 2025. After every impulse on any timeframe, long or short, you'd naturally expect a pullback. However, not all pullbacks are the same. Usually, the first significant pullback for a corrective wave is no more than 50%. However, if you have a pullback that is 61.8% or more, it is usually considered an impulsive wave. What the difference? Corrective waves have3 waves, ultimately trending in one direction, and impulsive waves have 5 waves trending in one direction. If the Nasdaq falls beneath 20900, with increasing volume, this will signify confirmation to me at least, that we could be starting one of the most violent impulsive bearish waves in the history of financial markets.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TheTradeBorough
7
US100 Weekly: Bullish Pullback or Breakdown at 21,000? US100 – Weekly Technical Outlook Week ending: 06 June 2025 ⸻ 📊 Big Picture Summary: The NASDAQ 100 is still in a larger uptrend, but it’s facing resistance at the 22,000 level. Rejection there has triggered a short-term pullback. As long as price holds above 21,000, the bullish structure remains valid. Below that, we risk a deeper correction. ⸻ 🕰 Multi-Timeframe Snapshot: • Weekly: 21,488 | Small up-bar | Higher Low > prior | Re-testing February supply • Daily: 21,472 | Long upper wick | Higher High | Rejected 22k supply • 12H: 21,474 | Outside-bar pullback | Expanding | Closed into 0.382 Fib • 4H: 21,474 | Large bear bar | Higher Low | Lands on 100 SMA • 90M: 21,474 | Momentum flush | Lower Low | Tags 0.618 Fib + trendline ⸻ 📈 Trend & Structure Analysis: • Weekly: Strong uptrend with rising SMA stack; price above Ichimoku cloud. As long as 21,000 holds, pullbacks are buyable. Key support: 20,350–19,140. • Daily: Uptrend intact but overextended. Rising wedge structure broke at 22k, risk of pullback to 21,070 or 20,750. • 12H: Bullish while above 21,160, but channel loss warns of potential dip to 21,000. • 4H: Rising wedge break confirmed; testing 100 SMA. Needs to reclaim 21,700 to resume strength. • 90M: Bearish flush with momentum reset. Needs quick reclaim of 21,630, else risk of continuation to 21,300. ⸻ 📊 Momentum & Flow: • Weekly RSI: 58 | MACD + | CMF +0.08 • Daily RSI: 62 | MACD – | Bearish divergence developing • 12H RSI: 55 | MACD – • 4H RSI: 44 | MACD – | Hidden bullish possible • 90M RSI: 35 | MACD – Interpretation: Higher timeframes show strength but momentum is cooling off. Lower timeframes show bearish pressure, but it looks corrective, not a trend reversal—unless 21,000 fails. ⸻ 📉 Volatility Overview: • Weekly: Mild expansion, %B at 0.66 • Daily: Expansion pausing, %B from 0.93 → 0.75 • 12H: Post-squeeze contraction • 4H: Mean reversion phase • 90M: Lower-band flush, ready for new drive ⸻ 📍 Key Levels to Watch: • 22,200–22,900: Weekly + Daily supply zone (strong resistance) • 21,804–21,718: Intraday bear OB (90M) • 21,661–21,627: Bull OB on 90M – key battle line • 21,468–21,396: 4H order block + Fib cluster • 21,130–21,000: Major 12H support + rising trendline • 20,750–20,420: Strong Daily demand zone • 18,306–17,800: Weekly macro support ⸻ 🔥 Confluence Hotspots: • 22,200 – Multi-timeframe supply, channel top = strong sell zone • 21,660 – 90M bull OB + Fib 0.382 = minor support • 21,468 – 4H Fib + wedge retest = neutral • 21,130 – 12H OB + trendline + 100 SMA = major support • 20,750 – Daily demand + 200 SMA = deeper buy zone ⸻ 🧠 If / Then Logic: • If 90M closes above 21,660 + 4H prints HL → Bull continuation • If price ranges 21,660–21,350 for 24h → Expect pause • If 90M closes below 21,350 → Bearish extension likely ⸻ 🎯 TradingView Alert Grid: • US100 crosses 22,200 → “Weekly supply breached – reassess bias.” • US100 crosses 21,804 → “Intraday bear OB reclaimed – review short bias.” • US100 crosses 21,660 → “Primary bull trigger activated – watch for long setups.” • US100 crosses 21,000 → “Critical support broken – full re-analysis needed.” • US100 crosses 20,750 → “Testing demand – reassess buy zone.” ⸻ 🎲 Scenario Odds: • Breakout above 22,200 → 25% • Range between 21,800 ↔ 21,000 → 50% • Dip below 21,000 then reclaim → 25% ⸻ ✅ Final Summary: The trend is still bullish at the macro level, but we’re in a corrective pullback. As long as 21,000 holds, this remains a healthy reset. Watch 21,130 for long setups, and 21,660 as the first reactivation trigger for upside. If 21,000 fails, brace for deeper demand tests at 20,750 and possibly 18,800.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by EliteMarketAnalysis1
NAS100 Technical Analysis – Bearish Rejection at ResistanceNAS100 Technical Analysis – Bearish Rejection at Resistance 🚨 📅 Date: June 6, 2025 📈 Instrument: NAS100 (US Tech 100 Index) 🔍 Chart Overview: The price action shows a clear rejection from the 21,800 USD resistance zone, marked by two strong bearish wicks (indicated by red arrows 🔴). This level has proven to be a strong supply zone, as sellers repeatedly step in to push prices lower. 🔵 Key Zones: 🔺 Resistance Zone: 21,750 – 21,800 USD ✅ Multiple rejections and bearish pressure. 🔻 Support Zone 1: 21,100 – 21,200 USD 📍 Acts as a mid-range demand zone and a potential take-profit level for short positions. 📉 Support Zone 2 (Major): 20,700 – 20,850 USD 📦 High-probability bounce area due to historical demand. 🔄 Price Action Insight: The chart outlines a bearish double rejection pattern at the resistance level. The current candlestick setup suggests bearish momentum, with a potential drop toward the mid-support zone. If the price breaks below the mid-support, it could cascade down toward the major support near 20,800 USD. 📌 Projected Move: 🔻 From current levels (~21,750), expect: Pullback from resistance, Target 1️⃣: 21,100 USD zone, Target 2️⃣: 20,800 USD major support. 🚫 A clean break and close above 21,800 invalidates the bearish outlook and may trigger a bullish continuation. ✅ Conclusion: The chart favors a short bias below the resistance zone. Patience is key—wait for confirmation (like a bearish engulfing or break of structure 📉) before entering positions. 📊 Always use risk management. Set stop-loss above resistance in case of reversal.
BLACKBULL:NAS100Short
by MrStellanSight
nasdaq. a good time to sellIn my view, it’s time to sell the Nasdaq. We’ve reached new highs, and last month was the best May in over 30 years — statistically, this alone calls for caution. Even though the economy appears strong on the surface, and market fears around DAS and Trump have faded, investors are ignoring the real issue: U.S. public debt. This is the elephant in the room. With recent labor data pointing toward potential weakness, the risk of a major recession is increasing. If employment starts to deteriorate, the U.S. won’t be able to refinance its ever-growing debt. Trillions in interest payments are coming due soon — around $3 trillion, which is equivalent to the entire Italian public debt. The U.S. needs to roll over roughly a third of its debt, and fast. Given all this, I don’t see any solid reason to be buying Nasdaq at current levels. It’s rallied extremely fast, and I see a retracement toward 20,000 as a realistic scenario — potentially even lower if upcoming economic data disappoints.
BLACKBULL:NAS100Short
by marcoZarde
Hanzo / Nas100 15 Min Path ( Tactical Bearish Break Out Zone )🔥 Nas100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) Bias: Waiting For Break Out Time Frame: 15 Min Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out 👌Bearish After Break : 21720 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations. 🩸 Momentum Signature Detected: Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active. — If upward: Bullish momentum burst. — If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
FX:NAS100Short
by Path_Of_Hanzo
NASDAQ at Weekly Supply Zone – Bearish Breakdown Ahead? (READ)By examining the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading within the supply zone around 21,400. If it manages to close and stabilize below 21,100, we can expect further downside for this index. The potential bearish targets are 21,000, 20,700, 20,200, and 19,150. The key supply zone ranges from 21,400 to 22,200. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
IG:NASDAQShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
11
NASDAQ Analysis Stalking shorts on the Daily - nearby. My weekly sentiment is bearish cause of technical factors. Among the catalysts is bullish performance on the US Dollar index and price action compared to the US30 & US500. Look to sell near 4H swing high, entry using the 15M bearish ChoCh only after three legs of bullish correction on the 1H frame into the highlighted levels of the swing high. Anticipation is for the third leg to react bearish and the fourth leg to deliver impulse to the sell side.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by RickoMillenialMarkits
US100 – Bearish Shift (Positional Short Setup Active)US100 Trendline Breakout Suggests Bearish Setup The US100 has broken below a key ascending trendline on the 4H chart, signaling a possible end to the recent uptrend. Price is now trading below the Ichimoku cloud, confirming a bearish bias and activating a positional short setup. 🔹 Pattern: Trendline Breakout (Bearish Signal) 🔹 Current Price: ~21,590 🔹 Target: 20,678 🔹 Resistance Zone: 21,743 – 22,088 🔹 Technical Outlook: Bearish momentum building below trendline and cloud 🔹 Fundamental View: Rising rate concerns and tech sector pressure could weigh on US100 Short trade in play—selling pressure expected to increase below resistance. Manage risk accordingly. 📉📊 Note :If you found this helpful, like and follow for more trade ideas! Share My Idea With Your Firends Mention Your Feed back Comment Section This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Hellena_Fx
NASDAQ 100 Under Pressure –Watching 21470 Break for ContinuationUSNAS100 – Technical Overview USNAS100 has reached the support level we highlighted yesterday and continues to trade within a bearish trend, especially after confirming a 1H close below 21635. Bearish Outlook: As long as the price remains below 21635, the next target is 21470. A break below 21470 would confirm further downside toward the support zone at 21375 and 21250. Bullish Scenario: Bullish momentum may return if the price breaks above 21635 on the 1H timeframe, targeting 21780 and potentially 21930 and 22090. • Support: 21470 / 21375 / 21250 • Resistance: 21780 / 21930 / 22090
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
1