SOLUSDT | The Final Liquidity Hunt | $250 is the Next StopSOLUSDT is currently in an uptrend after recently breaking out of its extended downtrend to $95 which took out millions of long positions. Now, we are seeing yet another extended downtrend on the lower time frame, but the overall direction is still up.
Last week, price action printed two very bullish pinbars at the $155 level which could have been considered support, where price was consolidating around late April. High leverage traders entered here and eventually got liquidated last Friday.
Following the liquidity hunt, price reversed quickly, but not strong enough to reclaim the $155 zone. Many of those who were liquidated likely re-entered on this fast move, thinking that the liquidity hunt is over and price cannot move lower.
I am anticipating one FINAL move down to $140 before the uptrend resumes. This will be the move that takes out the dumb money and where smart money will take their positions. The alternative is that the liquidity hunt never happens, and price breaks out of the falling wedge to resume its uptrend.
What about macro and micro factors?
⚖️ Ripple vs SEC Case
On 8th May, both parties agreed to settle, which ignited a massive market-wide rally. Unfortunately, their filings were rejected due to a procedural issue. The next deadline for refiling is on 16th June. Once accepted, we can expect another massive rally.
🤝 US-China Trade Talks
This week, US and China will meet at the negotiation table again. On 12th May, US & China reached a deal in Geneva and sent markets on another rally. IF (big if) they come to another deal this time, we can expect another rally.
✂️ Fed Rate Cut Expectations
The Fed talked about cutting interest rates in late 2025. They are currently in a "wait and see" stance however, due to uncertainties. Eventually we will see a rate cut, and I believe this would be a "buy the rumor, sell the news" event. Markets will price in the anticipated rate cut before it happens later this year.
Our first price target is $250.
