You're all doomedEveryone has gone full bull again. The selloff is not over. The selloff is about to resume. The shorts are MIA. Down til Christmas. Starts this week.
SP500 trade ideas
S&P500 No signs of stopping here. Can hit 6900 before years end.The S&P500 index (SPX) has turned the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support, successfully testing it and holding and is now going for the All Time High Resistance test. Based on its 1W RSI structure and candle action, it resembles the previous times since 2023 that after a quick consolidation, it broke upwards again aggressively.
As you can see, both of those Bullish Legs that started on the 2023 Higher Lows trend-line, hit at least their 1.618 Fibonacci extension before a new 3-week red pull-back. In the case of 2024, even the 2.0 Fib ext got hit a little later.
As a result, we expect to see at least 6900 (Fib 1.618) before the end of 2025, with the good case scenario (Fib 2.0) going as high as 7500.
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S&P's 4Hr. Wave 5 North Likely in progress towards 61251). Price needs to complete 5-wave sequence @ the 1.728 Fib @ 6125). The Bonds are dropping, so there's likely not much steam left...3). BANKS ARE BUYING! 4). Volume is decreasing... 5). Trendline intersecting with target fib. level 72.8%. 6).US $ WEAKNESS AT THE MOMENT IS ALSO ADDING TO THE ANTICIPATED RISK ASSET UPWARD SCENARIO
The market still has ample room to grow!Society isn't crumbling yet.... We'll get there sure enough, but as for now, there is still plenty of spoils to be had.
US500 Will Fall! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for US500.
Time Frame: 10h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 5,979.56.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 5,838.14 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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sp500 shortI feel things.
War in the other side that justifies the downside.
It will be amazing to see powel saving the us stock by cutting rates on summer.
Lets chill and see what happens, liquidity is also a position.
Rising wedge + Bearish divergence + GAP at 5700 + new war !!!Rising wedge + bearish divergence + GAP down at 5700.
And yes, a new war in the Middle East. Higher oil prices are coming — Iran controls the Hormuz Strait, where 20–30% of the world’s oil is transported. Yes, Iran is on the sanctions list, but other countries aren’t — they trade with Iran and resell the oil to the rest of the world. Triangle trade.
But that supply of 20–30% is about to disappear due to the war. Higher oil prices mean higher expenses. A lot of the world still relies on oil as an energy source.
We’re also out of the previous trend we had before the tariffs.
DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
SPX/USD Has A Double Top Pattern On The 1Hr Hey Traders and following gang!
Hope all are raking in profits on all your trades.
I spotted this double top setup on the 1hr SPX/USD.
A break below 5980.6 triggers a short down to target-1 5926.3
A break below 5943.8 triggers a short down to target-2 5842.1
A little scuffle in the Mid East helps this market fall so, short the ticker .
Best of luck in all your trades my friends and stay profitable $$$
S&P500 INTRADAY consolidation range Boeing Crash: An Air India Boeing 787 crashed after takeoff from Ahmedabad to London, killing all 242 on board. It’s the worst accident involving this model. Boeing shares dropped on renewed safety concerns.
Trump Tariffs: Donald Trump plans to set new tariff rates within 1–2 weeks before a July 9 deadline. The EU may be last to get a trade deal. Japan is cautious about any agreement.
US-UK Trade Deal: The US and UK plan to move quickly on a trade deal. The EU is expected to face delays.
Tariff Pause: The US may extend a 90-day pause on tariffs for countries negotiating seriously.
Middle East Tensions: The US is pulling embassy staff as tensions rise. Iran warned of retaliation if nuclear talks fail. Reports say the US is preparing for a possible Israeli strike on Iran. Oil prices eased.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6060
Resistance Level 2: 6120
Resistance Level 3: 6172
Support Level 1: 5960
Support Level 2: 5900
Support Level 3: 5800
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Recession? Weak. Let's Do a DepressionS&P pulled a fast one — but the real show might be just warming up.
Markets tease, bounce, tempt. And then — they punish.
After a sharp rebound, S&P500 is still below 6,150, with weak volumes. The recent rally looks more like a bear trap than a new impulse.
Trading note:
Possible short entries can be considered from current levels, with 50% now, 25% near 6,000, and 25% at 6,100. Stop-loss only after 4H close above 6,150. No clean levels below that — only noise and traps.
This market isn't about fundamentals. It's about desperation. Participants are chasing returns in a shrinking pie, taking on absurd risks.
And now, buckle up:
We are entering what might be the most dramatic market weeks in decades. This is setting up to be a mega-short, folks. Get ready for turbulence. Fasten your seatbelts.
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Important:
This is NOT a recommendation to trade. This is an extremely high-risk scenario shared for discussion purposes only. If you've already made such a mistake and entered, respect your money and risk management. Losses are much harder to recover than gains.
S&P 500 Short Update 2: Shifting wave degreeHi all,
As I explained in this video, the previous idea was invalidated because of an issue with "degree" of wave that a fellow watcher of my idea rightly pointed out in the comments section. I did the change on this video and explain the mistake I made in the previous idea.
In this video, I also talked about the last wave, how it can still be the peak but on the bigger picture, it is still too small compared to wave 1 and 3.
I then recommend 3 "safer" entry points:
1. One reversion trade at the top of the trendline.
2. One breakdown from the diagonal trendline.
3. One breakdown from the 4th wave support price.
Which entry point(s) you choose depends on your personal preference and opportunity. The stop will be above where you identify as the peak at your point of entry.
Good luck!
$SPX // June 17 2025 // CPI Analysis & Targets for Day TradersSP:SPX // June 17 2025 // CPI Analysis & Targets for Day Traders
S&P500 INTRADAY support retest The Israel-Iran conflict has now entered its fourth day, with no signs of de-escalation. Iran launched more missile attacks, while Israel struck back, targeting a major gas field and a key military figure. Notably, Israeli strikes damaged Iran’s uranium facility in Isfahan, and an Iranian missile caused minor damage near the U.S. consulate in Tel Aviv.
While these developments added geopolitical stress, markets showed some resilience:
Oil prices pulled back after initial gains but remain volatile as the risk of supply disruption in the Middle East — a region supplying ~1/3 of global crude — persists.
S&P 500 futures edged higher, indicating investors are not fully in risk-off mode, but remain cautious.
On the political front, Donald Trump reportedly blocked an Israeli plan to assassinate Iran’s Supreme Leader. He mentioned the possibility of a future agreement between the two sides but said more conflict may come first. Trump is attending the G7 summit in Canada today, where leaders will discuss how to manage the Middle East crisis and navigate diplomacy with Trump.
For S&P 500 traders:
Monitor oil prices — a sharp spike on new escalation could weigh on risk sentiment.
Headlines from the G7 and any sign of U.S. involvement or de-escalation efforts could shift markets.
Geopolitical risk remains elevated, but the market is currently pricing in a contained conflict.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6,058
Resistance Level 2: 6,138
Resistance Level 3: 6,200
Support Level 1: 5,953
Support Level 2: 5,913
Support Level 3: 5,845
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Market at 10amSome quick notes. Everything looks choppy. Gold looks promising for an upmove. Natural gas maybe breaking out.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 13, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index has displayed both upward and downward movements throughout this week's trading session, narrowly missing the targeted Outer Index Rally level of 6073. Currently, the index is characterized by a bearish trend, warranting attention towards the Mean Support level of 5940, with additional critical support identified at 5888.
Conversely, there exists a significant potential that, upon reaching the Mean Support of 5940, the index may recover and rise to the Mean Resistance level of 6046. This upward movement could facilitate an interim rally, culminating in the completion of the Outer Index Rally at 6073 and enabling the index to address the Key Resistance level positioned at 6150.
A Potentially Dangerous Pattern Takes ShapeWhile the futures market has yet to break into new all-time high territory, the previously discussed bearish micro setup has now been invalidated. In its place, we’re witnessing a complex, overlapping advance—creeping steadily toward the prior highs in the S&P 500 (ES).
At the micro level, I currently see no compelling bearish setup. However, this grinding upward move—lacking strong conviction from either buyers or sellers—is not necessarily bullish. In fact, it’s a hallmark of a potentially dangerous pattern: a primary degree ending diagonal.
If my interpretation is correct, both the “orange” and “purple” wave counts point to the same ominous conclusion. They suggest that what we're seeing could culminate in a sharp, possibly violent reversal—one that would ultimately retrace back to where this entire primary wave began. For reference, that’s just above 4,000, marked by the conclusion of Primary Wave 4 in October 2022.
This is the moment for caution—not after the damage is done.
Yes, we may push into new all-time highs. But within this fragile and overlapping structure, that outcome is far from guaranteed. Even if we get there, the looming question remains:
At what cost?
up or down...Hello friends🙌
🔊As you can see, the US500 index has been identified with several resistance encounters and the good support that the price has been able to break the resistance and turn it into support. Now, according to today's news, it seems that the price is targeting higher targets that we have identified for you.
In case of correction, it has strong support ahead of it, which we have identified with a white line, but don't forget that buyers have entered...📈
🔥Join us for more signals🔥
Trade safely with us.
Another leg of bull market comingBeing bearish in the stock market—especially after such a big correction and a V-shaped recovery—is definitely not a good idea. Probability and past history are against you. If Trump succeeds in bringing more jobs by tarrifs and reduce government expending as he promises, it could easily keep the uptrend going for the next two years and push past the 10,000 level, just like 2018 and 2020
Elliott Wave Perspective: S&P 500 (SPX) Set to Finish Wave 3Since reaching its low on April 7, 2025, the S&P 500 (SPX) has embarked on an impulsive rally. From that bottom, the index progressed through distinct waves, as defined by Elliott Wave theory. Wave 1 concluded at 5246.57, followed by a corrective pullback in wave 2, which found support at 4910.42. Currently, wave 3 is underway, unfolding as a strong impulse with subdivisions in a lesser degree.
From the wave 2 low, the rally continued with wave ((i)) peaking at 5481.34. A brief retracement in wave ((ii)) then followed which ended at 5101.63. The index then surged higher in wave ((iii)), reaching 5968.61. A subsequent pullback in wave ((iv)) found support at 5767.41, setting the stage for further gains. The index should push to a few more highs to complete wave ((v)) of 3. This will mark the culmination of this upward phase.
Looking ahead, once wave 3 concludes, a corrective wave 4 should follow, retracing part of the rally from the April 7, 2025 low. This correction could unfold in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern before the index resumes its upward trajectory. In the near term, as long as the pivot low at 5765.74 holds, the S&P 500 is poised to achieve additional highs to finalize wave ((v)) of 3. However, if this critical support at 5765.74 is breached, it would signal the end of wave 3, prompting a larger wave 4 pullback, potentially in a 3, 7, or 11-swing structure.
SPX500 Technical Outlook: Balancing Risk and RewardPost Content:
🔍 SPX500 Analysis - 4H Timeframe
Our latest technical analysis showcases a detailed approach to the S&P 500 Index using Smart Money Concepts, Fibonacci tools, and volume dynamics. Here's the breakdown:
1️⃣ Trend Structure
The price has formed a wedge within the premium zone, indicating potential exhaustion.
BOS and ChOCH markers highlight key pivots, emphasizing a weak high and strong low.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Insights
We're observing equilibrium near 5,668.57, a critical area where price may consolidate or pivot.
Higher Fibonacci extensions suggest an upside target near 6,580.38, should momentum hold.
3️⃣ Risk-Adjusted Strategy
Short Opportunity: Bearish retracement expected toward equilibrium; target around 5,668.57.
Long Opportunity: Look for confirmations to buy at the discount zone or post-retracement breakout above the weak high.
4️⃣ Volume Dynamics
Spikes at key pivot points signal institutional activity, strengthening the validity of liquidity zones.
📊 Trade Setup Overview
Entry: Short near premium zone OR Long near equilibrium/discount zone.
Stop-Loss: Place below the strong low for longs or above weak highs for shorts.
Target: Extensions at 6,580.38 align with the broader bullish sentiment.
🎯 Key Takeaway: This model emphasizes patience, precision, and risk management. Be sure to monitor upcoming macro events and confirm entry triggers before committing to any position.
🌟 Follow WaverVanir International LLC for more actionable insights, technical breakdowns, and AI-driven strategies!
📈 Trade Safe,
Team WaverVanir International LLC
SPX500 BUYGreeting there traders this is my analysis on
📊 S&P 500 – Potential Elliott Wave 3 Formation | Long Setup
The current 4H chart of the S&P 500 suggests a potential bullish continuation based on Elliott Wave Theory. Here's the structured breakdown:
🔹 Wave 1: Initiated after a failed breakout and sharp reversal from a previous resistance zone. This impulsive move marked a key shift in trend structure.
🔹 Wave 2: A corrective phase followed, consolidating near the support area (~5,915), respecting previous demand.
🔹 Current Price Action: Price has broken above the minor resistance at 6,000, indicating the potential beginning of Wave 3, which is typically the strongest and most extended wave in the sequence.
📈 Trade Setup:
Entry: Above 6,000 (confirmation of breakout and wave continuation)
Stop Loss: Below 5,915 (invalidates bullish structure if broken)
Target Zone: 6,167 – 6,170 (aligned with prior resistance and wave projection)
🔍 Additional Notes:
The breakout is supported by a clean structure and rejection from key support.
Ideal scenario would involve increasing volume and continuation with higher highs and higher lows.
📌 Bias: Bullish – targeting Wave 3 extension.
⚠️ Always manage risk accordingly and watch for signs of exhaustion or divergence.
Dear Traders like,comment let me know what do you think?
S&P500 is Nearing an Important Support of 5,960!!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US500 for a buying opportunity around 5,960 zone, US500 is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 5,960 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
usa 500 analyse*The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
