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S&P 500 & Indexes Breakdown + Trade SetupsIn this video, I dive into the S&P 500 and other major indexes to share my current market outlook. Right now, price action is stalling and volume continues to dry up — a signal that we could be due for a deeper pullback before any continuation to the upside. 📌 With global fundamentals such as: US–China trade tensions Russia–Ukraine war Broader geopolitical risks …it’s hard to ignore the pressure building. That’s why I lean bearish in the short term, expecting potential downside before any breakout to new highs. ⚠️ Of course, trying to short in this slow grind can feel like catching a falling knife — but I’ve prepped a few setups, all broken down in the video based on solid technical confluences. Watch the full breakdown and let me know your thoughts. Thanks for tuning in! 🙏 👇 Drop a comment, like, and subscribe for more market breakdowns. #SP500 #IndexBreakdown #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeSetups #BearishBias #VolumeAnalysis #GeoPolitics #SwingTrading #TradingCommunity #TradingView
ICMARKETS:US500Short
by GonzooTrading
SPX500 weekly overviewThis 6,136.54 calculated by 4821.59 and 3506.64 and worked really well as top of the SPX500! Expect the zone around that line! All zones could be chosen to long the instrument. 4821.59 * 2 - 3506.64 = 6,136.54 The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC. SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings. TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels. ******************************************************************* Role of different zones: GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them. RED: Just Short trades allowed on them. BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them. WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
FX:SPX500Long
by AliSignals
S&P500 INTRADAY uptrend continuation supported at 5960Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6120 Resistance Level 2: 6170 Resistance Level 3: 6220 Support Level 1: 5960 Support Level 2: 5900 Support Level 3: 5800 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P 500 update from last week📉 Lesson Learned – The Way of a Trader 📈 Well… this time I jumped the gun. Thought the market would break lower from a compression point, but I was wrong. Price pushed higher, broke the ascending channel upwards — and I paid the price 💸 Not much volume behind the move, but still... up is up. I acted on a gut feeling, and that didn’t work out. The mistake? ⛔ Tried to predict the top ⛔ Didn't wait for a confirmed break with volume Now it’s time to: ✅ Review ✅ Re-evaluate ✅ Learn ✅ Come back stronger We’re not always going to be right — and that’s part of the game. Discipline beats ego. Welcome to the life of a trader. Let’s keep improving 🔁
ICMARKETS:US500
by GonzooTrading
US 500 Index – All Time Highs Back in SightFresh optimism regarding trade negotiations between the US and China, coupled with confirmation on Friday that the US labour market is cooling down slowly and not indicating an imminent US recession, has seen the US 500 index open this morning at 4 month highs, bumping up against the psychological 6000 again, with its all time peak of 6144 (February 19th) back in sight. Looking forward, this could be a pivotal week for the US 500, with a variety of risk events for traders to consider, all of which may have the potential to impact the direction of risk sentiment into the Friday close. First up, later today, traders will be eagerly awaiting updates from the second round of trade talks between US and Chinese trade teams, who are tasked with defusing tensions regarding the supply of rare earth minerals and advanced technology. Then, on Wednesday (CPI 1330 BST) and Thursday (PPI 1330 BST) the next round of US inflation updates for May are released. These could be relevant to traders who have become more sensitive to potential price rises due to the impact of President Trump's trade tariffs. Any surprise deviations from expectations in either of these releases could see an increase in US 500 index volatility. Putting this all together with any fresh reports outlining progress on trade deals between the US and Japan or the EU, and it could be a volatile week in store. With this in mind, it can be helpful to consider the technical indicators and trends. Technical Update: Focus on the Bollinger Mid Average While some may have argued for a slowing in upside momentum of the recent US 500 index advance, price weakness has continued to be limited in both time and extent. Importantly, as the chart above shows, when short term setbacks in price have recently materialised, it has been the rising Bollinger mid-average that has marked a support focus. This maintains the potential of a more constructive picture and positive price trend, where buyers have been happy to pay a higher price each time that weakness is seen, and have been able to push the index above previous peaks in price, to new recovery highs. Of course, there is no guarantee this pattern of higher highs and higher lows in price will extend further, but traders may well be focusing on this type of pattern as having the potential to lead to a more sustained phase of price strength. What are the potential support and resistance levels that traders may be watching this week for clues to the direction of the next possible price move? Potential Resistance Levels: Further evidence that a positive trend in price could still be in place came on Friday, as a new recovery price high at 6017 was posted. Traders may now be watching how a previous price high at 6049, which was posted on February 24th is defended, as closing breaks may see further attempts to push to higher levels. Such moves could then lead to further price strength towards 6144, the February 19th all-time high. Potential Support Levels: Having held and turned price activity higher over previous tests, it may well still be the rising Bollinger mid-average, which currently stands at 5916 that represents a possible support focus this week. Closes below this level while not confirmation of a more extended phase of price weakness, may see a deeper decline to test 5842, the May 30th session low, even on to the 5742 level, which is equal to the low posted on May 23rd. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by Pepperstone
RKLB Weekly Options Trade Plan – 2025-06-07🚀 RKLB Weekly Options Trade Plan – 2025-06-07 Bias: Moderately Bullish Holding Period: 3–5 trading days Catalyst: Trump–Musk headline cycle + strong short-term momentum Timeframe: Expiry June 13, 2025 🔍 Multi-Model Consensus Summary Model Direction Strike Entry Stop Target(s) Confidence Grok No Trade – – – – 0% Claude Long Call $30 $0.76 $0.38 $1.50 75% Llama Long Call $30 $0.76 $0.57 $1.14 70% Gemini Long Call $31 $0.49 $0.24 $0.74–$0.98 65% DeepSeek Long Call $30 $0.76 $0.38 $1.52 70% ✅ Consensus: Buy $30 call expiring 2025-06-13 💬 4 of 5 models bullish; 3 aligned on same strike and premium ⚠️ Max pain at $26 and overbought daily RSI are top risks 📈 Technical Snapshot Price Trend: Bullish short-term (price > EMAs on 5-min & daily) RSI: Nearing overbought (RSI ~69) MACD: Bullish short-term, weakening daily Resistance: $29.00–$29.50 Support: $28.70–$28.75 ✅ Trade Setup Parameter Value Instrument RKLB Direction CALL (LONG) Strike $30 Entry Price $0.76 Profit Target $1.14 (≈50% gain) Stop Loss $0.38 (≈50% loss) Size 1 contract Expiry 2025-06-13 (Weekly) Confidence 70% Entry Timing At market open ⚠️ Key Risks Max Pain Gravity: $26 could act as price magnet by end of week Overbought Setup: Daily RSI + Bollinger breach may cap further upside Exhaustion Signs: Bearish MACD divergence could lead to snap pullback Momentum Trade: Must act quickly; trail stops if resistance nears
SP:SPXLong
by quantsignals
S&P500 tests the upper border of the rangeThe S&P 500 index is concentrating in the massive triangle below the psychological level of $6000, and given the overall neutral to good market sentiment, it’s not expected to plummet from this area before testing the area of $6000-6200. Should the breakout of this zone happen, it’s not expected to be sustainable and may quickly revert back to the range, as traders are quite cautious right now and the market is prone to liquidations and quick profit taking. Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
SPX is overheated, a correction is necessary📉 Market Update: No, It Has Nothing to Do with Trump This move has nothing to do with Trump’s dramatic announcements. The reality is simple: the MACD on the daily chart is overheated, and a healthy correction is needed — likely down to the 5,520 level — before resuming the uptrend. Now, does it surprise anyone that Trump acts like a PR agent for his investors? He always seems to drop “bad news” at the exact moment the charts call for a pullback. My guess? They're shorting right now. 🪙 Bitcoin Stalling CRYPTOCAP:BTC is also losing momentum, and looks like it’s in need of a short-term correction as well. This suggests a week of consolidation ahead for the whole crypto market. But let’s be clear: 🚀 The Bull Market Is Not Over The weekly charts remain very bullish, and this trend could last another 4–6 months. The macro bullish structure for crypto remains intact. However, in TradFi, there are cracks: 🔻 20-year bonds sold at 5.1% — a major recession red flag 💸 Tariffs are putting pressure on global trade 📉 The entire traditional market is starting to de-risk 🔮 What to Expect Short-term correction to ~5,518 (first bottom target) A possible rebound after healthy consolidation A continued uptrend in crypto unless key support breaks I’ll publish a new update when conditions change. 📌 Follow me to stay ahead of the market. And as always: DYOR. #CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCorrection #BullishTrend #RecessionWarning #TradFi #Altcoins #BTC #MarketUpdate #TrumpEffect #DYOR
SP:SPXShort
by CryptoNikkoid
3
SPX500 H1 | Heading into an overlap resistanceSPX500 is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 5,967.36 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 6,012.00 which is a level that sits above a multi-swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 5,909.96 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:SPX500Short
by Tradu
06/02 Weekly GEX Analysis - 6000 Looks EasyThe biggest event last week was undoubtedly the court ruling involving Trump. The market responded with optimism, and on Thursday premarket, SPX surged toward the 6000 level — only to get instantly rejected. That strong rejection suggests this is a firm resistance zone. From the GEX expiry matrix, it's clear that the market is hedging upward for this week, but downward for next week. To me, this indicates that while the near-term GEX sentiment remains slightly bullish, the market may be preparing for a pullback or retest in the medium term. This week, SPX has already entered a GEX zone surrounded by positive strikes — up to around the 6000 level. That makes 6000 an “easy target” for bulls, and we’ll likely see profit-taking here, just like we did last Thursday premarket. ⚠️ However, if we look more closely at the weekly net open interest: ...we can see a strong bullish net OI build-up starting to emerge around the 6100 level — a price zone that currently feels distant and even unreachable. But if the 6000 resistance breaks, we could see a fast gamma-driven squeeze up to 6050 and possibly 6100 before the next wave of profit-taking kicks in. As is often the case during bullish moves, the market seems blind to the bigger picture — no one’s looking down, only up. The mood is greedy, and momentum favors the bulls... for now. Never underestimate FOMO — but also never underestimate Trump. He’s unlikely to accept the court’s decision on tariffs quietly. Any new negative headline could shake the market, no matter where price is sitting…
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
2
US & Global Market Breakdown | Profits, Losses & Bearish TradesIn this video, I break down the current state of the US and global economy, and why I believe we’re heading into a bearish phase. 📉 Fundamentals: I cover the key macroeconomic factors influencing the markets — including Trump’s proposed new tariffs, slowing GDP growth, and ongoing supply chain constraints. These all point toward increasing pressure on the global economy. 📊 Technical Analysis: I go over the major indexes and highlight their recent behavior. We’ve seen reactions from resistance levels, contraction patterns forming, and a significant volume dry-up — followed by today’s spike in volume, which occurred right at resistance. These are potential signs that the market may be shifting toward a bearish trend. That said, we could still just be witnessing a deeper pullback within a longer-term uptrend. Markets are unpredictable, and no one knows for sure — which is why it’s important to always do your due diligence. 💰 I also review the profits and losses I’ve taken on recent bullish trades, and why I’ve now positioned myself in select short opportunities based on what I’m seeing. If I’m sharing this, it’s because I’m personally investing my capital based on my conviction — so always use your own judgment and risk management when making decisions. If you found value in the breakdown, leave a like, comment, and subscribe for more timely updates.
ICMARKETS:US500Short
by GonzooTrading
Come on SPX! Let's cross back over 6,000Stop playing with me SPX. So far this week, we've seen a slowwww drift up. Ok, Monday and Tuesday did put in some solid bars, but now here we are, babying this 6,000 psychological area. Below is my write up from Sunday. While I always state different scenarios, I've been leaning bullish...though some of my individual stock plays have retested my stop levels this week. (They have been a bit more sideways) SPX (written Sunday 06/01/25) Still above key weekly MAs, trend remains intact The weekly chart still shows an uptrend. We're above the 10EMA, 20EMA, and 50SMA, and those moving averages are turning up. So while the pace of the uptrend has slowed, the broader structure hasn't broken down. This past week was a digestion of the recent April and early May run, and so far, not an unraveling of it. Friday's dip was likely just a shakeout. Friday gave us a candle that flushed below the daily 20EMA then quickly reversed. That kind of action often traps early shorts and clears out weaker long hands…a classic shakeout. If this theory holds, we should see strength early next week. But if we break below the 5750-5725 area, that thesis gets invalidated. At that point, I'd treat the move as something more structurally weak, not just a pullback. Confluence zone still holding for now We're sitting right on a layered area of support above all moving averages, and a horizontal support and resistance level from earlier this year. So far, it has held. If it continues to hold, it gives the index a platform to try the upside again. Trendlines matter, but not more than the overall structure I was asked about trendlines this week, and it was a good reminder to step back and recognize how I was sharing my use of them. Trendlines are helpful, but they’re just one part of the picture. Same goes for moving averages, volume, and other tools. They only hold weight relative to the context. In a choppy, indecisive market, over-focusing on any single signal can do more harm than good. I'm aiming to keep my analysis well-rounded, zoomed out, and centered on structure. What would confirm the upside? A clean move back above 6,000 and a push through the February all-time high would help strengthen the case for continued upside. Not just because it’s a technical level, but because it’s psychological too. If we’re breaking out into new highs, especially after the chop and hesitation of the last few weeks, that’s when retail traders tend to feel like we’re “in the clear.” That can bring in more participation, more confidence, and more momentum. Ideally, we’d see a higher low hold on any dips, and then a strong push through 6,000 with follow-through, not just a quick tag and pullback. That kind of behavior would tell me buyers are stepping in with conviction again. What would shift the bias more bearish? A breakdown and hold below 5725 (not just a quick flush) would suggest deeper downside potential. From there, 5600 (around the daily 50SMA) becomes the next level I’d watch for support. But so far, I’m not leaning toward this as the main scenario. What do you all see? Will we break 6,000 and get an increase in momentum?
SP:SPXLong
by emanuelaelias
Volume Droughts and False Breakouts: Your Summer Trading TrapsThe market’s heating up — but is your breakout about to dry up? Here’s a word about the importance of summer trading success (helped by volume — the main character). ☀️ Welcome to the Liquidity Desert Summer’s getting ready to slap the market with a whole flurry of different setups. Picture this — the beaches are full, your trading desk is half-abandoned, and the only thing more elusive than a decent breakout is your intention to actually read that big fat technical analysis book you bought last year. And yet, here you are — eyes glued to the chart — watching a clean breakout above resistance that’s just begging for you to hit “buy.” Everything looks perfect. Price rips through the level like it’s made of butter. But there’s just one tiny problem: no volume. None. Nada. Niente. Congratulations. You’ve just bought the world’s most attractive false breakout. 🏝️ Summer Markets: Where Good Setups Go to Die Let’s set the scene. It’s June. The big dogs on Wall Street are golfing in the Hamptons and sipping mezcal espresso martinis, interns are running the order flow, and every chart you love is doing just enough to get your hopes up before crushing them like a half-melted snow cone. This isn’t your usual high-volatility playground. Summer markets — especially between June and August — are notorious for thin liquidity . That means fewer participants, smaller volume, and a much higher likelihood of being tricked by price action that looks strong… until it’s not. And it’s not just stocks. Forex, crypto, commodities — even the bond boys — all face the same issue: when fewer people are trading, price becomes more fragile. And fragile price = bad decisions. 🚨 Why False Breakouts Love Quiet Markets False breakouts happen when price appears to break above resistance (or below support), only to reverse sharply — often trapping late traders and triggering stop hunts. But in summer? It’s a whole different beast. Here’s why: No liquidity cushion : In normal markets, you need strong volume to fuel a breakout. Without that, the breakout doesn’t necessarily have the gas to keep going. Market makers get bored : Thin markets mean it’s easier for a few big orders to push prices where they want. Welcome to manipulation season (there, we said what we said!). Algos go wild : With fewer humans around, algorithms dominate. And they love playing games around key levels. 🧊 The Mirage Setup: A Cautionary Tale Let’s say you’re watching GameStop NYSE:GME stock. Resistance at $30. Price hovers there for days, teasing a breakout. Then — boom — a sudden 6% pop above. You buy. Everyone buys. The trading community goes nuts. “This is it bois!” But there’s a problem. Look at the volume: a trickle. Not even half the average daily volume. Ten minutes later, NYSE:GME is back below $30, your stop loss is hit, and you’re left explaining to your cat why you’re emotionally invested in a ticker. Moral of the story? Don’t trust breakouts when no one’s trading. 📉 Volume: Your Summer Lie Detector Volume is more than just a histogram under your chart. It’s your truth serum. Your smoke alarm. Your buddy who tells you to think twice before jumping in that trade. Here’s how to read it right when everyone else is checking out: Confirm the move : If price breaks out, but volume doesn’t spike at least 20–30% above the average — be suspicious. Look for acceleration : Healthy moves gather steam. You want to see volume growing into the breakout, not fizzling. Watch for volume cliffs : A sudden volume drop right after a breakout often signals that the move is running on fumes. Add Volume Profile Indicators : Just to be safe, you can always add Volume Profile Indicators to your chart — they analyze both price and volume and can highlight what your keen eye might miss. Remember what happened last summer? And how we all learned the downside of something called "carry trade"? Those who were short the Japanese yen remember . 🧠 Context Over Candles: Be a Liquidity Detective Let’s say you see a double top pattern — your favorite. Clean lines. Tight price action. Perfect setup. But now zoom out. It’s July 3. Pre-holiday half-day. No volume. And the S&P 500 SP:SPX has moved 0.04% all day. Still want in? Technical analysis doesn’t work in a vacuum. Chart patterns lose their predictive power when the environment they live in is compromised. And thin liquidity is a compromised environment. 🐍 Snakes in the Sand: How Market Makers Bait Traps Market makers (and large players) are like desert snakes — quiet, patient, and very good at making you move when you shouldn’t. Here’s how they bait traders in illiquid markets: Run stops above resistance to trigger breakout buyers. Dump shares immediately after breakout to trap retail. Ride the reversal as trapped longs scramble to exit. They’re so powerful some say they run the game — and can stop it anytime it’s not going their way (remember the GameStop freeze? ) It’s a psychological game — and in the summer, it’s easier to do shenanigans because most players aren’t watching. Don’t be the one jumping at shadows. Be the trader who expects the trap. 🛠️ How to Survive (and Thrive) in the Summer Slump Not all is lost. You can still trade — smartly. Here’s your Summer Survival Toolkit : Wait for volume confirmation on every breakout. Lower your position size . Less liquidity = more slippage risk. Set wider stops , or better yet, sit out the chop. Focus on trending names with relative strength and solid weight (think: tech titans, oil plays, or financials). Use alerts instead of staring at charts . Don’t mistake boredom for opportunity. And most importantly: Know when not to trade . Discipline is a position too. 🔚 Final Word: This Isn’t the Off-Season. It’s the Setup Season. Summer might feel slow, but it’s not dead. Smart traders know that the best trades of Q3 and Q4 often begin in July — as early trendlines form, consolidation patterns develop, and institutional footprints quietly appear in the tape. So use this time wisely. Don’t force trades. Watch volume like a hawk. And never forget: the best breakouts don’t need hype — they bring their own thunder. Stay cool, stay patient, and trade smart. The mirage may be tempting, but the oasis always belongs to the ones who go far enough and don’t give up. Off to you : How are you navigating trading during the summer months? Staying poolside with one eye on the charts or actively seeking out opportunities while folks catch a break? Share your insights in the comments!
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
14