S&P500 awaits Trade Balance and Jobless Claims figuresTrump Tightens Immigration: Bans people from 12 countries, limits entry from 7 more, and blocks foreign students from attending Harvard.
Russia-Ukraine Tensions: Putin plans to strike back after a Ukrainian drone attack. Trump says Russia’s allies won’t profit from rebuilding Ukraine.
UK Housing Boom: Home sales rose 6% in May, the strongest in 3+ years, despite the end of a buyer tax break.
Germany & U.S.: German politician Friedrich Merz meets Trump today. At home, Germany faces rising public concern about tough economic times.
ECB Rate Cut Likely: The European Central Bank is expected to cut rates by 0.25% to 2%, but may slow further cuts soon.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Key trading leel is at: 6000
Resistance Level 1: 6090
Resistance Level 2: 6140
Resistance Level 3: 6200
Support Level 1: 5900
Support Level 2: 5845
Support Level 3: 5800
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SP500FT trade ideas
S&P500 Index (US500): Bullish Accumulation Pattern
I spotted a nice example of an ascending triangle pattern on a daily time frame.
To confirm a bullish continuation, we will need a bullish breakout
of its neckline.
A daily candle close above 5996 will provide a reliable confirmation.
A rise will be anticipated at least to 6080 resistance then.
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Skeptic | SPX 500 Analysis: Long Triggers Ready to Rip!Hey, what’s good? It’s Skeptic! 😎 Last week, we scored a nice R/R on SPX 500, and now it’s looking ready for another big move, super close to our long trigger. Let’s check it out with a multi-timeframe breakdown to grab those long and short triggers!
Daily Timeframe: The Big View
The SPX was riding a strong bullish wave, then hit a deep correction. Here’s what’s up:
It’s bounced back most of that drop and is nearing its ceiling at 6128.55. 🏔️
A break and hold above 6128.55 could kick the bullish trend into high gear, per Dow Theory.
Watch the daily RSI—if it goes overbought, we might see a fast, big rally. 🚀
This is our long-term play, so let’s zoom in for the short-term action!
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers
On the 4-hour chart, here’s the plan for our trades:
Long Trigger: Break above 5990.67, with RSI above 66.57 to show the move’s got juice.
Stop Loss: Your choice—put it below 5955.77, or check 1H or 15-minute charts for a tighter stop under the last low. 🎯
Short Trigger: A drop below 5856.93 lets you short, but it’s against the trend, so keep it low-risk. Take profits quick, use a small stop loss, and close when you hit a good R/R. ⚠️
Shorts are tricky here, so play it safe and don’t go all-in!
RSI Trick & Your Input
Love RSI? I’ve been using it forever, and I think most guides get it wrong. They say overbought RSI means sell, but for me, it’s a go sign for longs! Want a full RSI tutorial? Tell me in the comments, and I’ll hook you up! 📢
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this got you hyped, hit that boost—it helps a ton! 😊 Got another pair or setup you want me to hit? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for chilling with me—keep trading smart! ✌️
SPX500 — Structural Weakness Emerging on the 15-Min ChartWe may be approaching a critical inflection point.
Price action is showing signs of exhaustion after multiple failed attempts to break higher. The market structure is compressing beneath resistance, setting the stage for a potential breakdown.
🧭 Key Level to Watch:
Support at 5,790.33 aligns with previous liquidity sweeps and demand zones. A move toward this level could reflect rotation from short-term bullish euphoria into a broader correction cycle.
⚠️ Institutional traders, are you watching the same tape?
This isn’t just about price—it’s about positioning.
Market signals:
Distribution pattern forming
Liquidity void below current level
Compression likely to result in expansion (downside bias)
In markets like these, timing is everything.
Capital flows speak louder than sentiment.
#SP500 #MarketStructure #InstitutionalTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #LiquidityZones #MacroStrategy #WaverVanir #RiskManagement
All-Time Highs (3% Up) or US/China Trade Gap (4-5% Down)?It's summer time (1st week of June)
Brutally slow price action thus far, Non-Farm Payroll hits this Friday
Next week will be more US Inflation Date (CPI, PPI)
S&P and Nasdaq are only 3% (or slightly less) away from all-time highs
Melt-up momentum says it's the path of least resistance
US/China Trade Agreement Gap (that silly little Monday announcement) is 4-5% lower
Whatever we hit, there will be disappointed traders and investors - the ultimate pain trade :)
I'm not bearish, I'm ridiculously cautious as a bull and wanting to see a pullback. I can tell
because it's actually annoying watching the market grind so slow to the upside shrugging
off every bad news bite and sense of reality
The big beautiful tax bill is losing support (see Elon Musk's latest comments)
The Trump Administration has pivoted so hard the other way the market is virtually
ignoring tariff news now
Let price be your guide. I'm connecting the April 7 lows forward and if the bears cross it and price sweeps some lows, there might be some pullback potential in the cards
Plenty to watch - be patient - opportunities await. Not forcing anything for now and I'm
doing the "boring" stuff for income trading.
Thanks for watching!!!
The close - no bells ring at a topMy feeling right now is one of deja vu. Like the bottom before the president delayed tariffs, there was no volume and my assumption was we would go a bit lower. Here we have no volume and my assumption has been we will go a bit higher. Could we top here? It's possible. The bear divergences are pointing to a move down at least temporarily.
S&P500: Gearing up for a push to 6,100S&P500 is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 64.611, MACD = 85.830, ADX = 19.630) as it has been trading inside a Channel Up for over a month. Right now it is halfway through the new bullish wave. We expect it to rise by at least +4.40%, same as the previous one. Stay bullish as long as the 4H MA50 holds, TP = 6,100.
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S&P 500 is Under Pressure from Weak ADP Data, Strong ResistanceThe S&P 500 is showing signs of contraction just below the key 6000 level. The ADP employment report, which revealed the slowest pace of hiring since March 2023, has raised some concern among investors. Whether this weak labor data will significantly impact the broader stock market remains to be seen.
Tariff effects appear to be gradually surfacing, first in jobless claims, then in the ISM manufacturing data, and now in the ADP report. Inflation data will likely be affected last, probably in a few months, due to the fact that both households and businesses frontloaded purchases ahead of the tariffs. As a result, the market could first confront recession fears, followed later by concerns about stagflation.
From a technical standpoint, a short-term RSI divergence is emerging, and the 6000 level is acting as strong resistance. If the S&P 500 fails to break above this resistance, a selloff could be triggered, with the 200-hour moving average as the initial target. Should the index fall below the 200-hour level, bearish momentum could increase, potentially deepening the correction.
To invalidate this negative scenario, the index would need a clear breakout above 6000, confirmed by multiple daily closes above that level.
US500 Bullish Outlook US500 Bullish Outlook
US500 is well-positioned for another upward wave.
The price is forming a bullish triangle pattern, suggesting further gains if it breaks above the pattern or surpasses 5990.
Key upside targets are 6100 and 6240.
Investors are closely watching any new trade deal. If Trump rejects any deal or issues threats, the US500 could temporarily fall to 5930 before resuming its rise.
So far, the overall trend remains bullish, with no signs of reversal as long as key levels hold.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
SPX Key Levels to Watch Jun 4 In today’s analysis of the S&P 500 (SPX), we’ll break down the crucial levels to watch as we head into June 4th. After perfectly testing the 5929 level yesterday, the market bounced back, setting the stage for potential moves. We’ll discuss the new support range between 5954 and 5967 and what it means for traders. If this range holds, we might see a rally towards 6165, but if it falters, a drop to 5850 could be on the horizon. These levels are highly actionable, so stay sharp and ready to react!
3 drives of bearish monthly divergence = bear market incoming"A bull market is like sex, it feels best just before it ends"
would like to draw attention to the bubble stocks and crypto right now, providing a definitive definition of mania.
The argument for a lost decade is in order.
The first decline in the spx will be aprox 55% to 2800, likely to recover its highs similar to how the market traded in the 1970's
Updated Technical Analysis – SPX500 (15M)Published: June 3, 2025 @ 10:22 PST
🔍 Observations:
🔺 Price Context:
Currently trading at 5,982, right inside the premium + weak high zone
1.382 Fib extension = 5,979.73 has just been tagged
Next Fib levels:
1.618 = 6,000.33
2.0 = 6,034.13 (also long-term resistance target)
🧠 SMC & Liquidity:
BOS confirmed around 5,927
Multiple ChoCHs now invalidated = strength in the up move
Weak high at 5,980 likely acted as a liquidity magnet → now filled
📉 Risk Alert:
Low volume on the final leg up = signs of exhaustion
Price is now above key liquidity zones — perfect for a fake-out or reversal
🔁 Updated Probabilities (Intraday Outlook)
Direction Probability Reason
Bearish Reversal (today) 65% Liquidity sweep + premium zone rejection + volume divergence
Bullish Continuation (toward 6,034) 35% Momentum intact, if breakout holds and is supported by volume spike
🧠 Analyst Note:
"This was the right view, can’t believe I missed it."
— This quote fits perfectly here. The 5,902 zone (equilibrium) acted exactly as intended: a launchpad. Missing the move isn’t the problem — it’s not learning from it that is.
SPX500SPX500: Bullish Momentum Builds – 6500 in Sight?
📍 Current Price: 5977.00
📈 Bias: Strongly Bullish
🎯 Target: 6500+
📉 Invalidation Level: 5850 (Short-term support)
📊 Technical Outlook:
The SPX500 continues to show strong bullish momentum as it trades at all-time highs near 5977.00. With persistent buying pressure and supportive macro tailwinds, the index looks poised for further upside.
Key observations:
✅ Price Action: Clean breakout and consolidation above recent highs. No signs of exhaustion yet.
📈 Trend: Clearly up across all major timeframes (Daily, 4H, 1H).
🧠 Psychological Level: 6000 is within reach, and a break above could open the path toward 6500 as the next major round number and Fibonacci extension level.
💡 Market Sentiment: Risk-on tone prevails; tech and mega caps continue to lead.
🔍 Support & Resistance Levels:
Resistance: 6000 → 6150 → 6500
Support: 5900 → 5850 → 5735
⚠️ Risk Management:
While the setup remains bullish, traders should watch for:
Surprise macro headlines (Fed speeches, inflation data, geopolitical risks)
Pullbacks toward support for potential re-entries
📝 Conclusion:
SPX500 remains in a powerful uptrend. As long as price holds above key short-term support at 5850, bulls retain full control. A breakout above 6000 could trigger a fresh wave of institutional buying, driving price toward 6500 in the coming weeks.
📢 Let me know your thoughts — are we heading for 6500 next?
👍 Like & follow for more real-time market insights!
SPX500 Macro + Technical + Probabilistic AnalysisPublished: June 3, 2025
🔍 Chart Breakdown (Daily | LuxAlgo + EW + SMC)
Structure Summary:
🔶 Wave Count: Completing Wave (5), with price nearing exhaustion
🔴 Weak High Zone: ~6,100–6,200 = liquidity magnet
🟥 Premium Zone: Between current price and 6,426
🟦 Equilibrium Zone: ~4,950–5,150
🟩 Discount Zone: ~4,150 = long re-entry or cycle bottom if correction occurs
📅 Key Timing Line: June 17, 2025 = potential reversal date (time-based confluence)
Volume Analysis:
🔊 Volume spikes at Wave 2 and Wave 4 suggest reactive participation
📉 Lower volume into recent highs suggests distribution, not accumulation
🔁 Multi-Timeframe Outlook
Timeframe Direction Probability Rationale
Intraday (15M) Bearish 60% Weak high rejection, premium zone swept, liquidity-based reversal
Swing (2–3 weeks) Bullish → Bearish 70% to 6,420 → then reversal Wave 5 completion into supply zone, followed by corrective ABC
Macro (Q3–Q4 2025) Bearish 80% Likely mean reversion toward equilibrium (5,000) or discount (4,200)
📊 Key Price Zones to Watch
Level Label Strategy
6,426 🎯 Wave 5 Target Look for exhaustion, divergence, or liquidity sweep
6,150–6,200 🟥 Weak High / Premium Possible fake-out zone or reversal trigger
5,900 🔵 Short-term support Likely retest zone on first rejection
5,150–4,950 ⚖️ Equilibrium Mid-cycle mean reversion target
4,150 🟩 Discount/Strong Low Long reload zone if correction deepens
⚠️ Risk Considerations
Macro Data Watchlist: June 12 CPI + June 17 FOMC = macro catalysts for Wave 5 peak
Invalidation: If price holds above 6,450 after June 17, EW count must be adjusted
Alternative Count: Parabolic Wave 5 extensions can overshoot — be cautious shorting early