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WTI Cash (or Spot) ContractWTI Cash (or Spot) ContractWTI Cash (or Spot) Contract

WTI Cash (or Spot) Contract

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Can Crude Oil Spike to 150 USD / bbl ? Scenario Analysis.With Mid East tensions rising and overall unpredictable situation around Strait of Hormuz, let's review potential scenarios for the Crude Oil Prices. I've outlined three scenarios with projected oil prices for each scenario below. 🚨 Market Alert: Israel-Iran Conflict Impact Forecast 📈 🔴 Worst-Case Scenario: Regional War + U.S. Military Involvement 🚢 Oil (Brent): Soars to $150–$200+ if Strait of Hormuz closes 🥇 Gold: Skyrockets to $4,500–$5,000 (safe-haven rush) ₿ Bitcoin: Initial volatility; settles at $80k–$100k 📉 SPX: Crashes to 4,000–4,500 💻 NDX: Drops sharply to 15,000–16,000 🟠 Base-Case Scenario: Protracted Tension, No Major Disruption 🛢 Oil: Stabilizes at elevated $75–$95, occasional spikes 🥇 Gold: Moves higher, trading $3,500–$3,800 ₿ Bitcoin: Trades steady, $90k–$110k range 📊 SPX: Pullback moderate, around 5,200–5,500 💻 NDX: Moderately lower, 18,000–19,000 range 🟢 Best-Case Scenario: Diplomatic De-Escalation 🌊 Oil: Eases down to $65–$75 🥇 Gold: Mild decline, holds at $3,300–$3,500 ₿ Bitcoin: Positive sentiment, lifts to $100k–$120k 📈 SPX: Slight dip; stays strong near 5,800–6,200 💻 NDX: Minor correction, remains high at 20,000–22,000
TVC:USOILLong
by ProjectSyndicate
38
USOIL FUNDAMENTALS AND TECHNICALS USOIL (WTI Crude) is currently trading near the 72.00 level and is setting up for a potential breakout from a long-standing descending channel on the higher time frame (3D chart). Price has approached the upper boundary of this bearish channel after a strong bullish rally in recent sessions. This indicates growing bullish momentum, and any sustained breakout above the descending trendline could open the path toward the 98.00 zone, a major structural target based on previous price action and Fibonacci projections. The recent bullish surge in crude oil prices has been fueled by a combination of supply-side constraints and renewed optimism around global demand. OPEC+ continues to show discipline in supply management, and geopolitical tensions in oil-producing regions are adding risk premiums. Furthermore, the Fed’s recent signals of a potential pause in tightening, combined with an improving outlook for Chinese demand recovery, are creating a supportive environment for commodities, particularly oil. These fundamental tailwinds align with the technical structure hinting at an upside breakout. Technically, USOIL has broken back above a critical mid-channel support level and is now challenging the descending resistance line. The most recent impulsive candles suggest strong buyer conviction. If this momentum holds, we could see a retest followed by continuation toward the 98.00 psychological level. The structure also supports a higher low formation, which is another bullish signal for long-term traders watching the macro channel breakout. From a trading standpoint, this setup is high probability with a well-defined invalidation zone below 65.00. The confluence of macro catalysts, technical breakout formation, and seasonal demand trends makes this a compelling bullish opportunity. I am closely monitoring price action for confirmation to go long on the breakout and ride the potential wave toward the upper supply region near 98.00. U
TVC:USOILLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
6
Oil’s Reaction to Geopolitical DevelopmentsOil’s Reaction to Geopolitical Developments We must be cautious when trading oil. Despite the unexpected attack by Israel on Iran last week, gold prices did not rise beyond $77.50. In my view, oil prices remain largely under the influence of the U.S. and OPEC+, with Trump opposing any significant price increase. Iran ranks as one of the world's top oil producers, holding the fifth position in daily output. However, it is surprising that prices did not exceed $77.50, especially considering past instances of major price surges during the Russia-Ukraine war. Even if oil rebounds toward $80, this movement could be purely speculative, with a high likelihood of a pullback, as indicated by the technical chart. Key target zones: 67.00 ; 64 and 56.50 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TVC:USOILShort
by KlejdiCuni
16
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Technical Analysis & Important pattern to WatchHere’s my latest analysis on ⚠️USOIL price action. The price has recently finished a correction, followed by a brief consolidation in a horizontal range and an ascending triangle pattern A bullish breakout above the intraday resistance levels would suggest a likely end to the accumulation phase. The chances are high that the pair is returning back to a bullish trend, with a target of 77.00. Strong fundamentals back this bullish outlook.
FX:USOIL
by linofx1
5
KOG - OILQuick look at Oil. There is a pivot here in the golden zone around the 70.5 level which we can dip into. Above that level, we would be looking for higher oil with the potential target level on the chart. Note, oil is due a huge pull back, so rejection from one of these resistance levels can give us that pull back in order to get better pricing to long. We've added the red boxes from the indicator to help you navigate the move. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
TVC:USOIL
by KnightsofGold
10
OIL 2 Best Places For Buy Very Clear , Don`t Miss This 1000 PipsHere is my opinion on oil , we have a very aggressive movement to upside and this is normal right now , i`m looking to buy this Pair if the price go back to retest my support and this will be the best place to buy it for me , and if the price moved directly without retest it i will wait the price to break the other res and then i can enter a buy trade and targeting the highest level the price touch it , also if the price go back to retest my support and go up and closed above the other res i will add one more entry with the same target.
TVC:USOILLong
by FX_Elite_Club
15
Iran announced the blockade of the Strait! Crude oil may soar!‼️‼️‼️ The Iranian parliament approved the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, but the highest security agency needs to make the final decision on this measure. The Strait of Hormuz is located between Oman and Iran, connecting the Gulf of Oman in the east and the Persian Gulf in the west. It is the only sea route for oil from the Gulf region to be transported to all parts of the world. About one-third of the world's seaborne crude oil trade passes through the Strait of Hormuz! If Iran really blocks the Strait of Hormuz, the transportation cost of crude oil will soar, and oil prices will also soar, even reaching new highs! (Wall Street analysts have preliminarily calculated that if the Strait of Hormuz is blocked, the price of crude oil will soar to $120! Even $150!)
TVC:USOILLong
by ArlenAlfred
5
WTI Crude Oil Regains Bullish MomentumWTI Crude Oil Regains Bullish Momentum WTI Crude oil prices climbed higher above $70.00 and might extend gains. Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today - WTI Crude oil prices started a decent increase above the $65.00 and $68.50 resistance levels. - There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at $71.50 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen. Oil Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a decent upward move from $65.00 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $68.50 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. The bulls pushed the price above the $69.50 and $71.50 resistance levels. The recent high was formed at $74.80 and the price started a downside correction. There was a minor move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $69.55 swing low to the $74.83 high. The RSI is now below the 60 level. Immediate support on the downside is near the $71.50 zone. There is also a major bullish trend line forming with support at $71.50 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $69.55 swing low to the $74.83 high. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near the $69.50 zone, below which the price could test the $67.90 level. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $65.20. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $63.75 support zone. If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $72.50. The next major resistance is near the $74.80 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $78.50 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by FXOpen
4
Oil prices could rise due to high geopolitical uncertaintiesOil prices could rise due to high geopolitical uncertainties The price of OIL has been waiting all these days with hopes for negotiations between Iran and Israel. Currently, diplomacy is dead, so for now, the market has to absorb the news that the US has attacked Iran. The price of oil is normal to rise and it is also very risky because it reacts quickly and does not keep the bullish momentum. The price may rise as I showed in the chart, but the risk remains high. Please be careful. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TVC:USOILLong
by KlejdiCuni
5
Strait of Hormuz risk priced in—or not yet?Iran has repeatedly threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz during periods of heightened tension with the U.S., notably in 2011, 2018, and 2020. The Strait is considered the world’s most critical oil chokepoint, with nearly 20 million barrels passing through daily. Several banks warn that a full closure could push crude prices above $120–$150 per barrel, or higher if the disruption is prolonged. Still, most analysts view a complete shutdown as unlikely, since Iran also depends on the Strait to export its own oil. Technically, recent WTI candles suggest that the risk premium may be fading. Price action near $74 shows hesitation, raising the risk of a developing double top—particularly if support at $70 fails. Unless tensions escalate materially, such as the U.S. becoming more directly involved, WTI may consolidate between $70–$74.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by BlackBull_Markets
2
OILThe proposed closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran's parliament is a significant development because the strait is a vital global energy artery, handling a substantial portion of the world's oil and gas. If closed, it would disrupt global energy supplies, potentially leading to a surge in oil prices and impacting international trade. While the plan is not yet finalized, the mere possibility of such action introduces significant geopolitical risk and could have far-reaching economic consequences.
TVC:USOIL
by Dbnite-wp2022
2
WW3 Scenario - Bull flag potentialWe bottomed at the gap fill at $57, a long term target I had been expecting. A bullish retest at the golden pocket followed, now all we need is a clean break above $80 to end the lower high downtrend. I don't want to comment on politics, but suffice to say the price of oil will tell us what's really going on. A supply shock has the potential to send oil to the $200 level. I don't know what the world will look like in that scenario, but I can assure you it will be a global catastrophe. Inflation will reignite, the interest rates will likely go up. This is the single most important chart to be watching now. Forget Apple, forget Nvidia. Oil and the DXY is where the chart will reveal the news. Pay attention!
BLACKBULL:WTI
by NoFOMO_
4
Bullish continuation?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 73.41 1st Support: 70.19 1st Resistance: 77.67 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by ICmarkets
1
Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps youThe Middle East currently resembles a barrel filled with gunpowder, ready to explode at any moment. Israel and Iran continue to attack each other—Israel bombed Iran's nuclear facilities, while Iran fired missiles at Israeli cities. More worryingly, the U.S. may decide to join the conflict within the next two weeks, and five U.S.-UK aircraft carriers are converging on the Middle East, akin to lighting a match beside the powder keg. However, Iran has also held talks with European nations in Geneva, stating that if Israel halts its attacks first, it is willing to discuss nuclear issues. This creates a paradox: while the risk of war grows, there is also hope for negotiations—similar to two market factions, one fearing war will drive oil prices higher, and the other believing talks could push prices down. The Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil transport corridor, sees massive oil shipments pass through daily. Iran has repeatedly threatened to block the strait, and if it does, oil prices could skyrocket like a rocket. So far, however, Iran has not taken such action, and the market is watching closely to see if it will. Trading Strategy If oil prices rebound to the $74.5–$75 range and candlestick charts show prices stalling (forming consecutive long upper shadows) with trading volume decreasing rather than increasing, consider opening light short positions with 25% of funds. When prices retreat to $73.5, close 40% of short positions to take profits. If prices continue to fall, hold the remaining short positions for a target of $72.5. However, if prices break through $76, immediately trigger a stop loss to prevent further losses from a potential upward trend. Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps you USOIL sell@74.5~75 SL:76 TP:73.5~73
TVC:USOILShort
by David_Wilson1
1
WTI CRUDE OIL: There is no better time to sell that this.WTI Crude Oil has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 71.048, MACD = 2.830, ADX = 41.529) and this is technically the most efficient level to sell on the long term. Not only is that the top of the dotted Channel Down but last week the price got very close to the 1W MA200, which has produced the last 3 major rejections since the week of August 12th 2024. Technically the market still has some room to move upwards and test it but since it rose purely on the latest Middle East conflict, it is more likely than not to see an equally quick price deflation and rebalancing. The earlier bearish waves (September 2023 onwards), initially targeted the 0.786 Fibonacci level and then bounced. That translates to TP = 61.00 (at least) towards the end of the year. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILShort
by InvestingScope
1
WTI OIL Overbought RSI = best time to sell!WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Down pattern and due to the recent Middle East geopolitical tensions, the price catapulted near its top (Lower Highs trend-line). That made the 1D RSI overbought (>70.00) and every time that took place since September 2023, the pattern priced its Lower High and started a Bearish Leg. As a result, an overbought 1D RSI reading has been the strongest sell signal in the past 2 years. The 'weakest' Bearish Leg after such sell signal has been -25.29%. As a result, we have turned bearish on WTI again, targeting $58.20 (-25.29%). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:WTIShort
by TradingShot
US oil Oil prices could rise due to high geopolitical uncertainties Prices Poised to Rise Amid Heightened Geopolitical Tensions Oil prices have remained steady in recent days, driven by the anticipation of potential diplomatic resolutions between Iran and Israel. However, with diplomacy now off the table and news emerging of a U.S. strike on Iran, the market is reacting swiftly. Given the current geopolitical climate, it’s normal to expect a surge in oil prices. However, traders should be aware that oil is highly volatile—it tends to spike rapidly but often struggles to maintain upward momentum. While a price increase is likely, as illustrated in the attached chart, the level of risk remains elevated. Please exercise caution when trading under these conditions. More details are provided in the chart. Thank you, and good luck!
TVC:USOILLong
by m4yaseen