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SPOTCRUDE trade ideas

WTI OIL Might be close to the end of correction or finished it.there are definetly more than 1 posibilities in this one, 1 more down wave can occur and that is why i have a invalidation level. long term definetly buy but short and mid term is just not very clear, i am thinking it s time to buy. what i am going to do is keep track of it a bit more in short term and if it gives me good buying opportunity near the below i will enter the trade with a stop loss. and if it upbrakes possible impulse wave will occur and i will buy again to mid term target. so for now keep an eye on it and buy if the opportunity arise.
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDELong
by artisticDog29915
USOIL Will Go Down From Resistance! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 64.869. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 63.448 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILShort
by SignalProvider
1
$USOIL & $XLE: Sustainable bull run or short-term bounce?Recently the commodities and the commodity stocks are having a bull run. Oil being one of the largest categories within the Bloomberg Commodity Index Futures is late to the party after the AMEX:GLD rally. In my recent posts I made the case that the TVC:USOIL will remain range bound, and we will see 55 $ in $USOIL. But since then, TVC:USOIL has gone through a small rally with price currently @ 65 $ which has taken it closer to the 0.5 Fib retracement level. AMEX:XLE , which represents the S&P500 energy sector stocks, is also attempting to post a rally. In the short-term markets have diverged from our last predictions. Let’s be honest in the short term such rallies might be accompanied by short covering and the weakness in TVC:DXY is also helping the Energy rally. But now the question comes where do we go from here? TVC:USOIL and AMEX:XLE can have a bull rally due to short covering and momentum pushing it across the 0.5 Fib level. If TVC:USOIL breaks above 0.5 then the next stop 0.618 will take us 80 $ indicating a 25% upside form here. And a similar upside in the AMEX:XLE will take us 131 $, which is also 25% up from its current value and the upper range of the upward slopping channel indicative from the chart. Verdict: Short term probable bounce in TVC:USOIL and $XLE. Long term bearish on TVC:USOIL with target 55 - 60 $.
TVC:USOIL
by RabishankarBiswal
USOIL🛢️ USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) – Technical Outlook & Forecast Current Price: $64.55 Bias: Bullish Only Forecast Levels: $82.00 → $85.00 → $90.00+ 🔍 Market Overview: Crude oil (USOIL) is currently trading around $64.55, showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal from multi-month lows. Despite recent volatility and macroeconomic uncertainties, the technical structure indicates the formation of a solid accumulation base, potentially preparing for a significant upward move. 📈 Technical Perspective: Price Action: Oil is attempting to reclaim key support zones that have held historically during large-scale recoveries. Momentum: Oscillators (like RSI/MACD) may be turning up from oversold territory (subject to chart confirmation), further supporting the bullish scenario. Volume Profile: Accumulation at lower levels hints at smart money interest around the $60–$65 zone. 🎯 Bullish Targets: $82.00 – Psychological and technical resistance $85.00 – Previous swing high / Fib extension zone $90.00+ – Medium-term projection if momentum sustains 🧭 Conclusion: The bias for USOIL remains bullish only while the $60–$62 zone holds firm as support. Breakout above near-term resistances could open the way for a strong move toward $82, $85, and even $90+. Keep an eye on macro events and inventory data for short-term volatility. 🟢 Trade Setup Idea (For Reference Only): Long bias above $64–$65 support zone, targeting $82–$90 over the coming weeks/months. Use proper risk management.
TVC:USOILLong
by Al-Reshad
USOIL Is Very Bullish! Long! Take a look at our analysis for USOIL. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 73.546. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 79.365 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Technical Analysis: Bullish Reversal FacesOf course. Here is a detailed analysis of the provided financial chart for USOIL (WTI Crude Oil). ### Executive Summary This is a **weekly (1W) Heikin Ashi chart** for CFDs on WTI Crude Oil (USOIL). The chart displays a long-term view, with a prominent downtrend from a peak in 2022. However, there has been a very strong bullish reversal in the most recent weeks. The analysis points to a critical juncture where the price is testing a key long-term resistance level. The bullish momentum is strong, but it faces significant hurdles ahead. ### Detailed Breakdown #### 1. Asset and Chart Type * **Asset:** USOIL (WTI Crude Oil), traded as a Contract for Difference (CFD). * **Timeframe:** 1W (Weekly). Each candle represents one week of price action. This chart is used for analyzing long-term trends. * **Chart Type:** Heikin Ashi. Unlike standard candlesticks, Heikin Ashi candles are calculated using averages, which smooths out price action and makes trends easier to identify. Long green candles with no lower wicks indicate strong buying pressure, while long red candles with no upper wicks indicate strong selling pressure. #### 2. Current Price Action * The last visible candle is a **strong green Heikin Ashi candle**, indicating significant bullish momentum during that week. * The data for this candle shows: **Open 69.22, High 77.10, Low 69.22, Close 75.41**. This represents a gain of **+4.19%** for the week. * The price has bounced sharply from a recent low and is now in its third consecutive week of gains. #### 3. Key Technical Indicators **a) Fibonacci Retracement:** * This tool is drawn from a significant low (marked as 1 at **$68.01**) to a major high (marked as 0 at **$123.24**). It's used to identify potential support and resistance levels. * The price has been trading between the 0.618 and 1 levels for a prolonged period. * The recent low was found just below the `1` level ($68.01), indicating a potential double-bottom or failure to break lower. * The price has since reclaimed the `0.786` level ($79.83) and is currently trading around the **$75.41** mark. The next major resistance levels based on this tool are: * **0.786:** $79.83 * **0.618:** $89.11 * **0.5:** $95.63 **b) Moving Average (MA):** * A **50-period Moving Average (MA 50)** is present on the chart (the blue line), with a current value of **69.89**. * On a weekly chart, the 50-week MA is a critical long-term trend indicator. * The price has been consistently below the 50-week MA since late 2022, confirming the long-term bearish trend. * **Crucially, the current price is attempting to break above this moving average.** A sustained close above the 50-week MA would be a strong bullish signal. Conversely, if this level acts as resistance and the price is rejected, it could signal a continuation of the downtrend. **c) Relative Strength Index (RSI):** * The RSI (14) is shown at the bottom. The purple line (RSI) is currently at **63.33** and its moving average (yellow line) is at **41.95**. * The RSI is pointing upwards and has decisively crossed above its moving average, indicating **building bullish momentum**. * It is not yet in the "overbought" territory (typically above 70), which suggests there could be more room for the price to move higher before becoming extended. **d) Fibonacci Time Zones:** * The vertical blue lines numbered 0, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8 are Fibonacci Time Zones. They are used to forecast potential turning points in the market based on time intervals. * The recent major low occurred very close to the "8" time zone marker, which may have contributed to the timing of this reversal. ### Synthesis and Potential Scenarios * **Bullish Scenario:** The combination of strong green Heikin Ashi candles, a rising RSI, and a bounce from a key long-term low points to strong short-term bullish momentum. If the price can decisively break and hold above the **50-week MA (around $70)** and the **Fibonacci 0.786 level ($79.83)**, the next major target would be the **0.618 level at $89.11**. * **Bearish Scenario:** The long-term trend remains bearish as long as the price is below the 50-week MA. This level, combined with the psychological resistance at $80, could prove to be a formidable barrier. If the price fails to break through, it could be rejected back down to test recent lows around the **$68.00** area. In conclusion, the chart shows a classic battle between short-term bullish momentum and a long-term bearish trend. The price's interaction with the **50-week moving average** in the coming weeks will be critical in determining the next major directional move for WTI Crude Oil.
TVC:USOILLong
by Lantos
Crude Oil Trade Setup – Macro Narrative Aligned | WaverVanir DSS📍Instrument: WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) 📊Timeframe: 15M | Methodology: Smart Money Concepts + Fibonacci + Volume Profile + ORB 🔍Framework: VolanX DSS | WaverVanir International LLC 📈 Trade Thesis While much of the world remains fixated on short-term rate expectations and gold/oil volatility, this chart reflects clear SMC structure aligned with the macro backdrop: Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East and strategic energy hoarding by global players continue to apply pressure to oil supply narratives. Inventories remain tight while BRICS+ nations move toward commodity-backed currency talks—oil being the anchor. The Fed’s neutral stance combined with softening global PMIs points to a fragile growth phase, supporting rebalancing trades into tangible assets like oil. 🧠 Technical Breakdown Premium/Discount Model in Play: Current price retraced after rejecting the premium zone at 77.10 with strong bearish volume and confluence at the 1.0 Fib level. Buy Zone 1: Around 75.26, near 0.618 retracement—ideal for short-term scalpers with tight invalidation. Buy Zone 2: 74.18–73.85 marked as Discount OB zone + ORB LOD + VWAP deviation. Liquidity engineered below BOS—favorable risk-reward for swing re-entry. Volume Spike Confirmation near 73.90 during London session sweep = high-probability demand. 🧭 Trade Plan ✅ Entry #1: 75.26 – Speculative order flow entry ✅ Entry #2: 74.18 – Confirmed bullish OB zone 🛑 SL: Below 73.70 (invalidates BOS reclaim + OB) 🎯 TP: 77.10 (weak high) and partials at 76.00–76.50 ⚠️ Trailing stop after reclaiming 75.70 🧠 Narrative Alignment As the world shifts toward resource realism, oil becomes more than a trade—it's a proxy for power, policy, and protectionism. This isn’t just a chart—it's a window into the realignment of global influence. 📌 Volatility will be harvested. Order will emerge from imbalance. — #CrudeOil #SmartMoneyConcepts #WTI #MacroTrading #WaverVanir #VolanX #OrderFlow #EnergyMarkets #BRICS #FibonacciStrategy #LiquiditySweep #TradingView #TraderMindset
TVC:USOILLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Trump’s “ambiguous” statement, where will oil prices go? 💡Message Strategy Trump's remarks are repeated, and the geopolitical premium still limits the downward space of oil prices Trump said that the United States "may or may not" join Israel's actions against Iran. Analysts pointed out that if the United States is officially involved in the conflict, oil prices may rise by $5; if peace talks are launched, they may fall by the same amount. The geopolitical focus is still on the Strait of Hormuz Iran produces 3.3 million barrels of oil per day, but more importantly, about 19 million barrels of crude oil are transported through the Strait of Hormuz. The escalation of the conflict may threaten the safety of the waterway. The Fed's policy turn to dovish failed to effectively support oil prices Although the Fed hinted that it may cut interest rates twice this year, Chairman Powell emphasized that the decision still depends on inflation data, and Trump's upcoming new round of import tariffs may push up prices and limit the boost in oil demand brought about by loose policies. 📊Technical aspects From the daily chart level, crude oil prices in the medium term broke through the upper resistance of the range and tested a new high of 75.50. The moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, and the medium-term objective trend is in the direction. The current trend is in the upward rhythm of the main trend. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines overlap with the bullish column above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is currently full, and it is expected that the medium-term trend is expected to usher in a wave of rising rhythm. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:73.00-73.50，SL：72.50 The first target is around 75.50 The second target is around 76.50 If the situation in the Middle East escalates, the room for crude oil to rise will be enlarged
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
Today's crude oil trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to 1. Technical Support at the $74 Safety Cushion Current prices sit squarely in the $74-$78 trading range, with $74 acting as a proven safety cushion—history shows prices rebounding each time they test this level. The $75.03 dip is a hair's breadth from this buffer, testing its resilience. 2. Why the Pullback? - **Geopolitical Fatigue**: Markets are shrugging off Iran's Strait of Hormuz blockade threats, like crying wolf too often. - **OPEC+ Supply Jitters**: Despite Saudi Arabia potentially limiting exports due to domestic power demand, the group's production hike announcement has fueled oversupply concerns. 3. Underlying Tensions Remain Iran's rhetoric may be empty so far, but the standoff resembles two foes clutching weapons mid-argument—any escalation could send prices surging. This dip likely reflects market indecision, as traders await the first move. 4. Trading Strategies for Different Styles - **Aggressive Traders**: Consider light long positions near $75, like resting your foot on the gas before a stoplight turns green. Set stop-loss below $74 (breaching the safety cushion signals a trend shift) and target $78 initially, eyeing higher levels on a breakout. - **Conservative Traders**: Stick to range trading: buy near $74-$75 and sell around $77-$78, like cruising on a flat road for steady gains. Keep position sizes small and take profits promptly. 5. Key Watchout: Strait of Hormuz Realities Monitor for concrete disruptions—oil tanker attacks or navigation system glitches would confirm the "wolf has arrived." Adjust positions decisively based on pre-set plans: add to longs on threats, or cut losses if diplomacy defuses tensions. The market resembles a ship in choppy waters—opportunities and risks coexist. Stay vigilant and flexible, like a driver scanning the road ahead while ready to brake or steer. In this game, survival outpaces quick profits. Today's crude oil trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you USOIL buy@74~74.5 SL:73 TP1:75.5~76.5 TP2:77~78
TVC:USOILLong
by David_Wilson1
Crude Oil Market Trend Forecast for Next WeekThe oil price continued its upward trend this week, despite a brief correction on Friday. As of Friday's Asian session, Brent crude oil futures dropped by $1.57, or 2%, to $77.28 per barrel. However, the cumulative weekly gain reached 3.9%, marking three consecutive weekly increases. Geopolitical risks continued to fuel market sentiment. Oil prices surged nearly 3% on Thursday after Israel bombed Iranian nuclear targets, following Iran's missile strikes on Israel after its earlier missile attack on an Israeli hospital. The focus of the current crude oil market has shifted entirely from supply-demand fundamentals to geopolitical risks. Although Iran's crude oil exports have not been substantially disrupted, investors have started to price in the worst-case scenario. If the situation further deteriorates and affects shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz, global energy prices may face a new round of sharp volatility. In the short term, oil prices still exhibit upward potential, with the current trend maintaining an overall upward trajectory. The MACD indicator's fast and slow lines overlap with bullish bars above the zero axis, signaling robust bullish momentum. This suggests that the medium-term trend is expected to usher in an upward rally. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results. Trading Strategy: buy@72.0-72.5 TP:75.0-75.5
FX:USOILLong
by MyronWilson
USOIL:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉 The U.S. strike on Iranian nuclear facilities Saturday may trigger an instinctive reaction in global markets upon reopening, pushing oil prices higher and sparking a safe-haven rush. Technicals show oil has broken above previous highs while holding above prior lows, forming a volatile rebound with persistent bullish momentum. The key focus next week is whether oil can sustain its upward breakout. Overall, crude oil remains range-bound at elevated levels, with $76 resistance overhead and $72 support below. Trading Strategy for Next Week: Prioritize long positions on pullbacks. buy@72-73 TP:75-76 Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now! 👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
TVC:USOILLong
by MonicaLongman
Crude Oil Market: Geopolitical Risk Premium Soars Sharply Crude Oil Market: Geopolitical Risk Premium Soars Sharply (1) Strait of Hormuz: Global Energy Artery in Crisis As the gateway for 20% of global crude oil transportation, every disturbance in the Strait of Hormuz grips market nerves. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard has now deployed missile boats and mine-laying vessels at the strait's narrowest point (just 33 km). The UK Maritime Security Agency warns that Iran may adopt a "gradual blockade"—first causing shipping chaos through electronic jamming, then escalating to mine blockades. Historical experience shows that even partial blockades can drive tanker insurance premiums up by over 900% and increase transportation costs by 50-100%. Current ultra-large crude carrier (VLCC) freight rates have risen 22% from last month, with many shipping companies evaluating routes around the Cape of Good Hope, which would extend Asian crude oil arrival times by 15-20 days. (2) Supply Side: Production Increase Plans Meet Geopolitical Storm Although OPEC+ plans to continue increasing production by 411,000 bpd in July, market focus has fully shifted to Middle East supply disruption risks. Iran currently maintains exports of 1.1 million bpd, but if the conflict escalates, this figure could drop to zero within 48 hours. More crucially, alternative export channels for Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and other countries (such as the East-West Pipeline) have a total capacity of only 3.5 million bpd, unable to fully compensate for the shortfall from the Strait of Hormuz blockade. U.S. shale oil also can't solve the urgent problem: although production just hit a record 9.33 million bpd, labor shortages and rising drilling costs have caused new well investments to fall by 12%, and analysts expect production growth to slow to below 3% in the second half of the year. (3) Demand Side: Risk Aversion Overshadows Real Weakness Despite U.S. gasoline demand hitting a five-year seasonal low and European imports falling 5.1% year-on-year, geopolitical risks have triggered panic buying. The near-month contract price of Shanghai crude oil futures jumped 12% this week, and the SC-WTI spread turned to a premium of $3.16/bbl for the first time, reflecting Asian market concerns about regional supply disruptions. More notably, Brent crude net long positions have increased to a ten-week high, with speculative funds wildly betting on geopolitical premiums. Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps you USOIL buy@74~74.5 SL:72 TP:75.5~76.5
TVC:USOILLong
by David_Wilson1
Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps you I. Next Week's Crude Oil Trend Analysis (1) Supply Side: Gas Stations Signal Shortages, but Refineries Keep Pumping More The supply dynamics present a paradox. OPEC+ is like a massive refinery deciding to continue increasing crude oil production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, marking the third consecutive month of output hikes. Strangely, however, U.S. gas stations (crude oil inventories) saw a sudden sharp drop in supplies last week—ending June 13, inventories fell by 11.473 million barrels, the largest decline since November last year. A closer look reveals that refineries produced more gasoline, with inventories jumping by over 5 million barrels, indicating robust oil refining but weak consumer demand for gasoline, suggesting a supply glut. Additionally, U.S. shale oil wells may be facing headwinds. Reports suggest that U.S. shale oil production might peak in the second quarter of this year and then gradually decline in the second half. This is analogous to farmers planting fewer crops when vegetable prices are low—oil wells reduce extraction when oil prices are deemed unprofitable. (2) Demand Side: Summer Arrives, but Where Are the Fuel-Hungry Cars? Logically, with summer in the Northern Hemisphere, more people driving for trips should mean a peak season for gasoline demand. But reality shows U.S. gasoline demand has dropped to its lowest level for this period in five years, akin to an ice cream shop seeing fewer customers in summer. Europe’s situation is grimmer, with crude oil imports down 5.1% year on year, as they aggressively develop clean energy like wind and solar power, reducing dependence on oil. There’s also the U.S. dollar factor. Although the dollar weakened slightly last Friday (the U.S. Dollar Index fell 0.16%), it remains relatively strong overall. This is like shopping where the price tag stays the same, but your money buys less, making purchases feel costlier. As a result, other countries may cut back on U.S. dollar-denominated crude oil purchases. Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps you USOIL sell@74.5~75 SL:76 TP:73.5~73
TVC:USOILShort
by David_Wilson1
Diversion def high_accuracy_signal(df): df = df .rolling(10).mean() df = df .rolling(50).mean() df = compute_rsi(df , 14) df = df .rolling(5).mean() df = ( (df > df ) & (df > 55) & (df < 70) & (df > 2 * df ) ) return df [ ] def compute_rsi(series, period=14): delta = series.diff() gain = delta.where(delta > 0, 0) loss = -delta.where(delta < 0, 0) avg_gain = gain.rolling(period).mean() avg_loss = loss.rolling(period).mean() rs = avg_gain / avg_loss rsi = 100 - (100 / (1 + rs)) return rsi
TVC:USOIL
by paragmehta14
WTI POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on WTI WTI has been on a strong 2-week rally, following the geopolitical escalation where Israel launched a preemptive attack on Iran. This event sparked a 2% surge, keeping prices hovering around $77 for the past two weeks. Despite the bullish momentum, I am anticipating a healthy pullback before looking to engage. My eyes are on two key zones: - April High Region (Previous resistance turned support) - 50% Fibonacci Retracement (Measured from recent rally low to high) 🧭 Trading Plan: 1. BUY: is currently the only play, and as I anticipate for a two-level of pullback on the 4H chart. 🟢 Risk-to-Reward: Targeting 1:3 R/R on either entry.
CFI:WTILong
by Adefxc
Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps youNext Week's Crude Oil Trend Analysis (1) Price Movement and Market Sentiment The crude oil market on last Friday (June 21) resembled a roller coaster that slightly dipped at the end. WTI crude oil futures closed at $74.93 per barrel, down 0.28% from the previous day, but still up 2.67% for the entire week; Brent crude oil fell more, dropping 2.33% to close at $77.01 per barrel. This is analogous to driving uphill, slightly sliding back near the peak but still trending upward overall. Investors now have mixed feelings: while worrying that escalating Middle East tensions will push oil prices higher, they also believe the U.S. may not intervene in the conflict immediately, so oil prices may not rise temporarily. As a result, everyone is on the sidelines, hesitant to trade. (2) Geopolitics: Where is the Switch on the Powder Keg? The Middle East is now like a barrel filled with gunpowder, and whether the U.S. will throw a match has become crucial. Israel and Iran are still attacking each other—Israel bombed Iran's gas fields, and Iran struck Israel's refineries. More tensely, the U.S. said it would decide whether to join the conflict in the next two weeks, and five aircraft carriers have already headed to the Middle East, like placing a lighter beside the powder keg, ready to ignite the fire at any moment. However, the market thought the U.S. might not take action immediately last Friday, so oil prices fell slightly first. There is also the critical Strait of Hormuz. Iran has been threatening to block it. If it actually does, 20% of global maritime crude oil transportation will be affected, and oil prices may soar like a rocket. Now the market is like watching a suspense movie, not knowing when Iran will press the "blockade" button or talk about a ceasefire with Europe. Next week's crude oil market will swing between geopolitical risks and supply-demand changes. If Middle East conflicts ease, the impact of OPEC+ production increases may emerge, and oil prices may fall; if conflicts escalate, especially if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices may rise sharply. Investors should flexibly adjust their trading strategies according to the actual market conditions and not stubbornly adhere to one view. At the same time, it is necessary to stay calm, not be affected by short-term market fluctuations, and avoid making impulsive trading decisions. Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps you USOIL sell@74.5~75 SL:76 TP:73.5~73
TVC:USOILShort
by David_Wilson1