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NQ: Upcoming Weekly Analysis!FA Analysis: 1- We have two forces (Trump's team, policy and tweets and the FED) as market movers. 2- Trump's Team: Maintaining the UNCERTAINTY - Minimum tariffs is 10% which is at least 500% of the original tariffs. - Have a clear strategy: One screaming very high and the other one, the nice guy, offers 10-25% tariffs - All the deals won't be binding deals; so they might change at any time. So uncertainty is still there. - It's all about PR and looking good and winning - Market understands very well what is happening. Market sees the 10% tariffs as a huge barrier. =) So all what Trump is doing, including the final/big deals, are bad for stocks and equities. 3- The FED: - Last FED did not provide any hint about June rate cut. FED is data related. - Last macro-economic data did not help the FED Rate cut. Hence, the upcoming data is very relevant. - This week, we have key inflation data: CPI and PPI. Higher Inflation data means NO June Cut which is very bad for stocks and equities. Inline and lower inflation data will help FED Cut which is good for stocks and equities. =) From now on, Good macro-economic data is bad for stocks and equities and vice-versa. TA Analysis: Weekly TF: - From weekly perspective, we got a bullish weekly candle than closed inside a bullish candle. - Price seems exhausted and toppish. There is no need to go further up. But in any case, the chart shows two higher levels that price might reach in the case of bad economic data. Daily TF: - Friday candle was unable to close above the latest HH. - Price always closed inside the consolidation area. - Price will test the previous swing low (highlighted by a circle) in case Monday or US-China talks does not close above the latest HH. =) From weekly and daily TF, NQ should go south. Wish you a green week Everyone! GL! (Note: I won't be around this week beside quick in and out; So I won't post most likely)
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by OTM-Fadhl
US100 - Correction Required Before Next Major Rally PhaseThe US Tech 100 index is showing signs of exhaustion after a strong recovery rally from April lows, with price action now facing resistance at the upper blue box around 20,200. The index appears to be forming a short-term top as momentum wanes, evidenced by recent candle patterns displaying indecision and inability to sustain new highs. The downward-pointing red arrow suggests a likely move toward the middle support zone around 19,000, which would represent a healthy correction of about 5-6% from current levels. This pullback would help reset overbought technical indicators and potentially shake out weak hands before establishing a stronger foundation for the next leg higher. Given the sharp rally we've witnessed from the April lows near 16,400, this correction would be technically justified and provide a more sustainable launching pad for continuation of the longer-term uptrend once complete. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:USTECShort
by financialflagship
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