NDX trade ideas
NSDQ100 pushing to new ATH?Thursday was a slightly positive session for equities, with the NASDAQ 100 rising +0.18% to close at a fresh record high, driven by strong economic data. However, overall market action was subdued, with the S&P 500’s trading range the narrowest since February (0.35%).
Notably, the equal-weighted S&P 500 fell -0.33%, highlighting underlying weakness outside mega-cap tech.
A key drag on the NASDAQ came from Tesla (-8.20%), which slumped after disappointing earnings. This weighed on the Magnificent 7, which declined -0.21% despite gains in the other six members.
On the macro front, the US dollar strengthened as Donald Trump downplayed his dispute with Fed Chair Jerome Powell, though continued to pressure the Fed on interest rates. Meanwhile, the FCC approved Paramount’s merger with Skydance, signaling a green light for M&A activity in media despite political tensions.
Conclusion – NASDAQ 100 Trading View:
The NASDAQ 100 remains technically bullish, setting new highs amid resilient economic data. However, breadth is weakening, and headline risk—especially around earnings (e.g., Tesla)—could trigger short-term volatility. Traders should stay long with caution, watching for sector rotation or profit-taking near highs, and monitor Fed-related rhetoric for macro-driven moves.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23480
Resistance Level 2: 23600
Resistance Level 3: 23790
Support Level 1: 23070
Support Level 2: 22950
Support Level 3: 22750
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NASDAQ (CASH100) SHORT - double top H6Risk/reward = 4.3
Entry price = 23 282
Stop loss price = 23 398
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 22 871
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 22 663
If current H6 goes back into range, I will open short position.
All variables on checklist have been met.
I was out last night so I missed my initial entry. Hoping for a second chance.
Hopefully this short works because the last few higher time frame short setups have failed, although because of exit plan I have made very little losses.
USTEC 1H – Dual Entry Precision | TCB Trend Phase SetupUSTEC 1H – Dual Entry Precision | TCB Trend Phase Setup
Market remained bullish with clear channel structure. After a pullback into the previous breakout zone, price swept liquidity and wicked below, offering two refined entries (EP 1 & EP 2) inside the demand zone.
🔸 EP 1 – Aggressive entry on first touch
🔸 EP 2 – Confirmation entry after rejection
🔸 SL placed below structural liquidity sweep
🔸 Target: Mid-channel + price inefficiency fill above
Trade Summary
🧠 Trend Phase entry with TCB logic
📌 Demand zone = Key structure
⏱️ Low drawdown
💥 RRR ~1:3
📈 TP in motion (or hit, if price reached 23,267)
📎 #Hashtags:
#USTEC #US100 #Nasdaq #SmartMoneyConcepts #SniperTrader #ForexTrading #PriceActionTrading #TCBSetup #TrendTrading #LiquiditySweep #RiskReward #TradingViewAnalysis
NAS100 (LONG IDEA)🟦 NAS100 (US Tech 100) – LONG SETUP 🟦
📅 Posted: 24 July 2025
🚦 Bias: BULLISH (Long)
🎯 Entry: 23,262 (market) or 23,170–23,250 (limit on dip)
🛑 Stop Loss: 22,617 (HTF structure protection)
🏁 Take Profits:
• TP1: 23,800
• TP2: 24,500
• TP3: 25,800
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
📈 Multi-Timeframe Confluence:
Monthly/Weekly/Daily: All show strong bullish structure, with price making new highs and respecting key demand zones.
4H/1H: Price is consolidating above a Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 23,170–23,250, showing strong demand and absorption.
🟩 FVG Support: 23,170–23,250 is the high-probability dip buy zone, aligning across all timeframes.
🟦 Structure: Higher highs and higher lows, with no signs of exhaustion.
🟢 Momentum: Bullish, with buyers stepping in on every dip.
🛡️ Invalidation: Clean break and close below 22,730 would invalidate the setup.
🔥 Fundamental & Sentiment Context:
💻 Tech/AI Leadership: US tech and AI stocks are driving index strength.
💵 Earnings Momentum: Strong earnings season, macro resilience.
🧑💻 Sentiment: Retail is long but not euphoric; institutions still net buyers.
🌍 Macro: No major headwinds; risk-on flows support further upside.
🛠️ Execution Plan:
💸 Buy now @ 23,262 or scale in on dips to 23,170–23,250 (FVG retest).
🛡️ Stop Loss: 22,617 (structure break).
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 23,800 (first liquidity target)
TP2: 24,500 (extension)
TP3: 25,800 (ATH zone)
⚡ Summary:
All signals GO! 🚦 Multi-timeframe bullish structure, FVG support, and strong momentum. Risk is well-defined below 22,730. Targeting new highs as tech/AI leadership continues.
USNAS100 - Tech Index Pulls Back After Testing 23,295USNAS100 | OVERVIEW
The index came close to registering a new ATH at 23,295 before pulling back slightly.
Today, it appears to be in a bearish correction phase toward 23,200 and 23,150, as long as the price trades below 23,270.
Market sentiment may remain cautious, especially with no major earnings reports scheduled before the open, although Intel’s report after the close could have a notable impact.
A 1H close above 23,290 would invalidate the correction and open the way toward 23,350 and 23,500.
Key Levels:
Support: 23,200 · 23,150 · 23,050
Resistance: 23,350 · 23,520
Nasdaq Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ):The Nasdaq index continues its upward trend in the medium to long term. Yesterday, it tested the 23,000 USD level and bounced higher toward 23,290 USD.
1️⃣ If the price breaks below 23,100 USD and closes beneath it, we may see a decline toward 23,000 USD, followed by 22,920 USD.
2️⃣ However, if the price holds above 23,290 USD, further bullish momentum could lead to a new high around 23,400 USD.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. Please monitor the markets and analyze the data carefully before making any investment decisions.
Nasdaq Ascending Trend has been broken.Good night traders.
With Tuesday & today's move. NQ has broken the ascending trend, and retested the highs.
A total of 107 daily candles, 7,000pips move.
Reasons for taking this trade:
Current monthly candle has 2.9m volume, compared to a 6m & 7million from last 2 months. With only 8 days missing to end the month, how to fill all that pending volume?
Ascending trend has been broken and retested.
Expect a deep correction, around 2000-2400-2600 pips. There is correlation between 38.2 Fibo level.
Last week there was a manipulation with Powell dismiss rumor on Wednesday, next day on Thursday NQ rallied to the upside. Today being also Wednesday we saw a huge rejection to the upside, but there is no continuation.
DXY reaching bottom, + has a deeper short trend initiation, starting on January 13.
Trade will be validated if NQ creates a LL followed by a LH within the next 2 days.
What do you think of this analysis?
Thank you.
Enjoy
US 100 – All Eyes on Tariffs, Trade Deals and Tech EarningsRenewed demand for US assets has been evident throughout July so far and this has helped to lift the US 100 index to new heights with gains of over 2.5% across the month. The technology heavy index has risen from opening levels around 22650 on July 1st, then recorded several all time highs, before eventually finding some selling interest after printing the most recent record peak at 23282 yesterday afternoon.
This upside has been supported by fresh trader hopes of interest rate cuts, after Federal Reserve (Fed) policymaker Waller suggested last Thursday that he would consider a 25bps (0.25%) reduction at their next meeting on July 30th, despite Fed Chairman Powell maintaining the view that the US central bank are currently pursuing a wait and see approach, as they look for more information on inflation and growth trends to assist them to determine the on-going impact of tariffs.
Part of the reason for the Fed’s reluctance to cut rates has also been the resilience of US economic data. With US consumers still spending and employment yet to feel the negative impact of President Trump’s tariff policies, leading to a potential positive knock-on impact for growth and corporate earnings, when considered against prior downbeat market expectations.
This all leads nicely onto what could be a key sentiment driver for the direction of the US 100 this week, the start of earnings updates from the ‘Magnificent Seven’ tech companies, two of which, Alphabet and Tesla, report their earnings after the market close tomorrow. These are then followed by Microsoft and Meta on Wednesday July 30th, then Amazon and Apple on Thursday July 31st.
Traders will be keen to judge actual earnings against market expectations, alongside updates on AI spending and investment, forward guidance on the impact of tariffs and more specifically for Tesla, the time Elon Musk may dedicate to the company, rather than the distractions of politics.
The technical outlook could also be important.
Technical Update: Can The Positive Trend Extend Further?
There appears to be no clear-cut signs of a negative sentiment shift in the US 100 index yet, as fresh buying has continued to develop above support provided by the rising daily Bollinger mid-average, currently at 22785 (see chart below).
Of course, there is no guarantee this positive pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows will continue, especially given the on-going trade discussion between the US and its allies, as well as the earnings announcements from Alphabet and Tesla.
However, it can be useful for traders to prepare for any future volatility by assessing potential support and resistance levels that could impact the direction of the US 100 moving forward.
Potential Support Levels:
It is possible the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 22785, represents a first support focus for traders, and as such, closing breaks below this level might lead to a more extended phase of price weakness.
Such moves could see a deeper sell-off towards 22533, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of June 23rd to July 18th 2025 price strength.
Potential Resistance Levels:
With fresh price strength emerging with the US 100 index above the rising Bollinger mid-average, a positive price pattern of higher highs and higher lows, may still be evident. This reflects buyers are currently willing to pay higher prices, each time a setback materialises.
However, to maintain this uptrend pattern in price, the focus could now be on resistance provided by the July high at 23282 (July 21st). Closing breaks above this level might be required to suggest further strength, towards the next potential resistance level at 24084, which is the weekly Bollinger upper band, even 24482, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci extension.
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I am 100 % short spy and qqq I am BULLISH DXY the chart posted is now setup for the cycle top On several cycles and we have just popped the Shiller p/e above 3866 second highest reading ever . Cycle are into a peak that was due 7/5 to 7/14 So why are we now turning down .? wait the energy from one of the largest solar storms is the time for the transition it is also a new moon . my spirals have called for the top as it did in 12/5 and 2/17 . I see a min drop of over 8 and could see well over 11.8 within the next 90 days . best of trades WAVETIMER
USNAS100 Eyes 23350 Ahead of Powell & Earnings StormUSNAS100
The price maintains bullish momentum, as outlined in the previous idea, with a clean rejection from the 23280 zone. Today, volatility is expected to increase ahead of Jerome Powell’s speech and a wave of key earnings reports.
As long as price holds above 23140, the outlook remains bullish toward 23230 and 23350.
A short-term correction toward 23045 is possible if we get a 1H close below 23140.
Resistance: 23230 · 23350 · 23510
Support: 23045 · 22920
Nasdaq Index (US100 / NASDAQ):The Nasdaq index continues to move in a medium- to long-term uptrend, recently testing the 23,000 support zone and bouncing upward.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks and closes below 23,000, it may lead to a decline toward 22,920, followed by a deeper move toward 22,650.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If the price holds above 23,200, further upside toward a new high around 23,400 is likely.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always monitor the markets and perform your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
NAS100 Bullish Setup: Clean Structure & Entry Zone Pending📊 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) remains bullish, showing a clean, well-structured uptrend—higher highs and higher lows 🔼📈.
Price has now pulled back into my optimal entry zone 🎯. At this stage, I’m waiting for a bullish break in market structure before considering an entry 🟢🔓.
Patience is key—let the structure confirm first.
Not financial advice ❌💼