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SPX500 Technical Outlook: Balancing Risk and RewardPost Content: 🔍 SPX500 Analysis - 4H Timeframe Our latest technical analysis showcases a detailed approach to the S&P 500 Index using Smart Money Concepts, Fibonacci tools, and volume dynamics. Here's the breakdown: 1️⃣ Trend Structure The price has formed a wedge within the premium zone, indicating potential exhaustion. BOS and ChOCH markers highlight key pivots, emphasizing a weak high and strong low. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Insights We're observing equilibrium near 5,668.57, a critical area where price may consolidate or pivot. Higher Fibonacci extensions suggest an upside target near 6,580.38, should momentum hold. 3️⃣ Risk-Adjusted Strategy Short Opportunity: Bearish retracement expected toward equilibrium; target around 5,668.57. Long Opportunity: Look for confirmations to buy at the discount zone or post-retracement breakout above the weak high. 4️⃣ Volume Dynamics Spikes at key pivot points signal institutional activity, strengthening the validity of liquidity zones. 📊 Trade Setup Overview Entry: Short near premium zone OR Long near equilibrium/discount zone. Stop-Loss: Place below the strong low for longs or above weak highs for shorts. Target: Extensions at 6,580.38 align with the broader bullish sentiment. 🎯 Key Takeaway: This model emphasizes patience, precision, and risk management. Be sure to monitor upcoming macro events and confirm entry triggers before committing to any position. 🌟 Follow WaverVanir International LLC for more actionable insights, technical breakdowns, and AI-driven strategies! 📈 Trade Safe, Team WaverVanir International LLC
FX:SPX500Long
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
SPX500 Holds Steady as Markets Eye US-China Trade Developments SPX500 Overview U.S. stock futures were little changed on Tuesday as investors awaited key developments from the U.S.-China trade talks underway in London. Technical Outlook (4H Chart): The index is experiencing cautious movement amid ongoing tariff tensions and geopolitical uncertainties. Bullish Scenario: A sustained 4H close above 6030 could confirm bullish momentum, with upside targets at 6066 and 6098, potentially extending toward a new all-time high (ATH). Bearish Scenario: As long as the price remains below 6010, bearish momentum may persist, targeting the support levels at 5966, followed by 5938 and 5902. Support: 5966 • 5938 • 5902 Resistance: 6066 • 6098
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX500 BUYGreeting there traders this is my analysis on 📊 S&P 500 – Potential Elliott Wave 3 Formation | Long Setup The current 4H chart of the S&P 500 suggests a potential bullish continuation based on Elliott Wave Theory. Here's the structured breakdown: 🔹 Wave 1: Initiated after a failed breakout and sharp reversal from a previous resistance zone. This impulsive move marked a key shift in trend structure. 🔹 Wave 2: A corrective phase followed, consolidating near the support area (~5,915), respecting previous demand. 🔹 Current Price Action: Price has broken above the minor resistance at 6,000, indicating the potential beginning of Wave 3, which is typically the strongest and most extended wave in the sequence. 📈 Trade Setup: Entry: Above 6,000 (confirmation of breakout and wave continuation) Stop Loss: Below 5,915 (invalidates bullish structure if broken) Target Zone: 6,167 – 6,170 (aligned with prior resistance and wave projection) 🔍 Additional Notes: The breakout is supported by a clean structure and rejection from key support. Ideal scenario would involve increasing volume and continuation with higher highs and higher lows. 📌 Bias: Bullish – targeting Wave 3 extension. ⚠️ Always manage risk accordingly and watch for signs of exhaustion or divergence. Dear Traders like,comment let me know what do you think?
SP:SPXLong
by Zaks_ForexRules
A little more upside for SPX500USDHi traders, And again my previous outlook of SPX500USD played out as I've said. After a small correction we saw the continuation of the upmove to the Daily FVG. Next week we could see price come into the Daily FVG and reject from there for a correction down. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade short term longs into the Daily FVG. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
S&P 500 Index (SPX) Weekly TF – 2025 Chart Context: Tools Used: 3 Fibonacci Tools: 1. One **Fibonacci retracement** (from ATH to bottom) 2. Two **Trend-Based Fibonacci Extensions** * Key Levels and Zones: * **Support Zone** (Fib Confluence): \~4,820–5,100 * **Support Area (shallow pullback)**: \~5,500–5,600 * **Resistance & TP Zones:** * TP1: **6,450** (Fib confluence & -61.8%) * TP2: **6,840** (-27%) * TP3: **7,450–7,760** (Major Confluence) Technical Observations: * SPX is approaching a **critical resistance** near previous ATH (\~6,128) with projected upward trajectory. * The **green dashed path** suggests a rally continuation from current \~6,000 levels to TP1 (\~6,450), TP2 (\~6,840), and eventually TP3 (\~7,450–7,760), IF no major macro shock hits. * The **purple dotted path** suggests a potential retracement first to \~5,600 (shallow correction) or deeper into \~5,120 or even 4,820 zone before continuing the bullish rally. * The major support zone around **4,820–5,120** includes key Fib retracement levels (38.2% and 61.8%) from both extensions and historical breakout levels. Fundamental Context: * US economy shows **resilience** amid soft-landing narrative, though inflation remains sticky. * The **Federal Reserve** is expected to cut rates in **Q3–Q4 2025**, boosting equity valuations. * Liquidity expansion and dovish outlook support risk assets, including **equities and crypto**. * However, **AI-driven tech rally** may be overstretched; a correction could follow earnings disappointments or macro surprises (e.g., jobs or CPI shocks). Narrative Bias & Scenarios: **Scenario 1 – Correction Before Rally (Purple Path)** * If SPX faces macro pushback (e.g., high CPI, hawkish Fed), expect retracement to: * 5,600 = Fib -23.6% zone * 5,120–4,820 = Major Fib Confluence Zone * These would act as **accumulation zones**, setting up next leg up toward TP1 and beyond. * **Effect on Gold**: May rise temporarily due to risk-off move. * **Effect on Crypto**: Could stall or correct, especially altcoins. **Scenario 2 – Straight Rally (Green Path)** * If Fed confirms cuts and macro remains soft: * SPX breaks ATH (\~6,128) * Hits TP1 (\~6,450), TP2 (\~6,840) * Eventually reaches confluence at **TP3 (7,450–7,760)** * **Effect on Gold**: May struggle; investor preference for equities. * **Effect on Crypto**: Strong risk-on appetite, altseason continuation. Indicators Used: * 3 Fibonacci levels (retracement + 2 extensions) * Trendlines (macro and local) * Confluence mapping Philosophical/Narrative Layer: This phase of the market resembles a test of collective confidence. Equity markets nearing ATHs while monetary easing begins reflect a fragile optimism. The Fibonacci levels act as narrative checkpoints — psychological as much as mathematical. Will we rally on faith or fall for rebalancing? Bias & Strategy Implication: Bias: Bullish with caution * Strategy: * Await **confirmation breakout >6,128** for fresh long entries * Accumulate on dips in the **5,100–5,500** zone if correction unfolds * Use **TP1, TP2, TP3** as staged exits Related Reference Charts: * BTC.D Analysis – Bearish Bias: * TOTAL:Bullish Bias *TOTAL3 – Bullish Bias: * US10Y Yield – Falling Bias Impact:https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/chart/US10Y/45w6qkWl-US10Y-10-Year-Treasury-Yield-Weekly-TF-2025/
TVC:SPXLong
by BitonGroup
SPX500 weekly overviewThis 6,136.54 calculated by 4821.59 and 3506.64 and worked really well as top of the SPX500! Expect the zone around that line! All zones could be chosen to long the instrument. 4821.59 * 2 - 3506.64 = 6,136.54 The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC. SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings. TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels. ******************************************************************* Role of different zones: GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them. RED: Just Short trades allowed on them. BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them. WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
FX:SPX500Long
by AliSignals
Come on SPX! Let's cross back over 6,000Stop playing with me SPX. So far this week, we've seen a slowwww drift up. Ok, Monday and Tuesday did put in some solid bars, but now here we are, babying this 6,000 psychological area. Below is my write up from Sunday. While I always state different scenarios, I've been leaning bullish...though some of my individual stock plays have retested my stop levels this week. (They have been a bit more sideways) SPX (written Sunday 06/01/25) Still above key weekly MAs, trend remains intact The weekly chart still shows an uptrend. We're above the 10EMA, 20EMA, and 50SMA, and those moving averages are turning up. So while the pace of the uptrend has slowed, the broader structure hasn't broken down. This past week was a digestion of the recent April and early May run, and so far, not an unraveling of it. Friday's dip was likely just a shakeout. Friday gave us a candle that flushed below the daily 20EMA then quickly reversed. That kind of action often traps early shorts and clears out weaker long hands…a classic shakeout. If this theory holds, we should see strength early next week. But if we break below the 5750-5725 area, that thesis gets invalidated. At that point, I'd treat the move as something more structurally weak, not just a pullback. Confluence zone still holding for now We're sitting right on a layered area of support above all moving averages, and a horizontal support and resistance level from earlier this year. So far, it has held. If it continues to hold, it gives the index a platform to try the upside again. Trendlines matter, but not more than the overall structure I was asked about trendlines this week, and it was a good reminder to step back and recognize how I was sharing my use of them. Trendlines are helpful, but they’re just one part of the picture. Same goes for moving averages, volume, and other tools. They only hold weight relative to the context. In a choppy, indecisive market, over-focusing on any single signal can do more harm than good. I'm aiming to keep my analysis well-rounded, zoomed out, and centered on structure. What would confirm the upside? A clean move back above 6,000 and a push through the February all-time high would help strengthen the case for continued upside. Not just because it’s a technical level, but because it’s psychological too. If we’re breaking out into new highs, especially after the chop and hesitation of the last few weeks, that’s when retail traders tend to feel like we’re “in the clear.” That can bring in more participation, more confidence, and more momentum. Ideally, we’d see a higher low hold on any dips, and then a strong push through 6,000 with follow-through, not just a quick tag and pullback. That kind of behavior would tell me buyers are stepping in with conviction again. What would shift the bias more bearish? A breakdown and hold below 5725 (not just a quick flush) would suggest deeper downside potential. From there, 5600 (around the daily 50SMA) becomes the next level I’d watch for support. But so far, I’m not leaning toward this as the main scenario. What do you all see? Will we break 6,000 and get an increase in momentum?
SP:SPXLong
by emanuelaelias
**** Market Trading Strategy Idea SP500 ***Key Chart & Economic Insights: - Current Market Position - The S&P 500 is around $6000, showing positive momentum (+1.03%). - Upward trend visible, indicating strong buying interest. - Economic tailwinds support continued growth. - Projected Price Movements - 6800 USD: Key resistance level where selling pressure could emerge. - Market pullback: A correction after 6800 may create a buyback opportunity. - Recovery phase: Expected rebound toward 7000-7500 USD, another selling position. - Economic Context: U.S. Manufacturing Boom & GDP Growth - The United States is ramping up domestic production, boosting industrial output and reshoring manufacturing. - This shift is fueling GDP growth, strengthening economic fundamentals and potentially sustaining bullish market momentum. - Strong consumer spending & investment could drive stocks higher, aligning with the planned trade strategy. Risk Management & Optimization: - Entry & Exit Precision: Define stop-loss and take-profit levels. - Momentum Confirmation: Ensure price action validates expected moves. - Economic Indicators: Watch manufacturing & GDP data for trend validation. If you want to refine this analysis or explore other scenarios, I'm here to dive deeper into key points! 🚀 Subscribe! TSXGanG I hold a CCVM and MNC (Certificate of Competence to become a securities broker anywhere in Canada) and have been working as a trader for five years. It’s a pleasure for me to help people optimize their trading strategies and make informed financial market decisions.
FRED:SP500Long
by TSXGanG
1
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 6, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The S&P 500 Index has demonstrated an upward trajectory during this week's trading session, surpassing the established Outer Index Rally level of 5955 and the Key Resistance level of 5965. Currently, the index is exhibiting a bullish trend, with a focus on the Outer Index Dip target, set at 6073. Furthermore, additional critical levels have been identified, including Key Resistance at 6150 and the Next Outer Index Rally at 6235. Conversely, there is a potential decline in index prices from the current level or upon completion of the Outer Index Dip 6073, which may lead to a retest of the Mean Support at 5940, with the possibility of extending the pullback to the Mean Support at 5888.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Remaining bullish on SPX and how I think through my chartsVideo Recap: The Zoomed Out View Weekly moving averages are reordering and turning up The weekly chart shows that the 10EMA and 20EMA have now crossed the 50SMA and are turning up. That reordering adds strength to the broader trend. This past week, the index reclaimed 6,000, which is a key psychological level. And we also saw price bounce off the uptrend line drawn from the April low, showing buyers are still defending key areas of support. Daily pullback found support The daily chart gave us a pullback the Friday before last, but it held right at a confluence of support (the 20EMA and 200SMA), along with a horizontal level drawn from the weekly timeframe. Digestion periods can shake you out if you’re too zoomed in The last few weeks have been a reminder that chop can test your patience and your plan. We didn’t break trend, we just pulled back to support. But if you’re too zoomed in, it can feel like everything is shifting. That’s when stops get hit early, trades get closed prematurely, and new positions get put on for the wrong reasons. In reality, this was just a normal digestion after a strong move. And when in doubt, zooming out brings the clarity back. Trendlines and levels are guides, not absolutes There were a few moments in my chart review this week where I caught myself trying to make lines matter more than they do. But these tools (trendlines, moving averages, support and resistance) only matter in the context of what price is doing around them. Structure tells the real story. One line getting hit or crossed doesn’t mean the whole thesis breaks down. What matters is whether buyers step in, whether trend resumes, and whether your trade idea still fits your system. So what now? Here’s what I’ll be watching this week: We’re holding above all major MAs. If we push through the February all-time high, that can shift sentiment, especially for retail traders who may see that as a signal that “we’re in the clear.” If we stall below the ATH, that wouldn’t be a problem by itself, but I’d watch how price behaves...ie are we pulling back constructively or losing key levels? I’m not leaning bearish and won't be unless we start closing below 5,800 (200SMA) and definitely if we can't hold the rising 50SMA. (My second scenario after my bullish one is sideways, so bearish for me is out for now.) When the market starts moving, the best thing you can do is trust your prep, lean into your plan, and zoom out when things get noisy. The bigger picture hasn’t changed.
SP:SPXLong
by emanuelaelias
US500 Bullish Outlook US500 Bullish Outlook US500 is well-positioned for another upward wave. The price is forming a bullish triangle pattern, suggesting further gains if it breaks above the pattern or surpasses 5990. Key upside targets are 6100 and 6240. Investors are closely watching any new trade deal. If Trump rejects any deal or issues threats, the US500 could temporarily fall to 5930 before resuming its rise. So far, the overall trend remains bullish, with no signs of reversal as long as key levels hold. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by KlejdiCuni
4
SPX is overheated, a correction is necessary📉 Market Update: No, It Has Nothing to Do with Trump This move has nothing to do with Trump’s dramatic announcements. The reality is simple: the MACD on the daily chart is overheated, and a healthy correction is needed — likely down to the 5,520 level — before resuming the uptrend. Now, does it surprise anyone that Trump acts like a PR agent for his investors? He always seems to drop “bad news” at the exact moment the charts call for a pullback. My guess? They're shorting right now. 🪙 Bitcoin Stalling CRYPTOCAP:BTC is also losing momentum, and looks like it’s in need of a short-term correction as well. This suggests a week of consolidation ahead for the whole crypto market. But let’s be clear: 🚀 The Bull Market Is Not Over The weekly charts remain very bullish, and this trend could last another 4–6 months. The macro bullish structure for crypto remains intact. However, in TradFi, there are cracks: 🔻 20-year bonds sold at 5.1% — a major recession red flag 💸 Tariffs are putting pressure on global trade 📉 The entire traditional market is starting to de-risk 🔮 What to Expect Short-term correction to ~5,518 (first bottom target) A possible rebound after healthy consolidation A continued uptrend in crypto unless key support breaks I’ll publish a new update when conditions change. 📌 Follow me to stay ahead of the market. And as always: DYOR. #CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCorrection #BullishTrend #RecessionWarning #TradFi #Altcoins #BTC #MarketUpdate #TrumpEffect #DYOR
SP:SPXShort
by CryptoNikkoid
3
SPX: chasing the 6KThe jobs data were in the spotlight of markets during the previous week. The Non-farm payrolls in May with 139K new jobs came as better than market anticipated, which supported the optimistic mood of investors. The S&P 500 managed to return to the levels modestly above the 6K level. Tech companies were again in the spotlight of investors. In this sense, the magnificent 7 drove the market to the higher grounds. In the Friday trading session, NVDA gained 1,2%, AMZN was up by 2,7%, while Tesla gained 3,7%. It should be noted that Tesla had quite a turbulent week. Its shares first dropped by 14% at the beginning of the week, after its CEO commented negatively on a current policy of the US President Trump. Certainly, this came as a surprise for markets, considering Musk's strong support for President Trump, both during the electoral campaign and his presidency. Current optimism might be slowed down with forthcoming inflation data. Namely, a large number of economists are pointing to potential for the economic slowdown and higher inflation induced by implemented trade tariffs by the US Administration. In this sense, there is a probability that higher volatility of the index might continue in the coming period, as markets will try to understand what impact future growth and earnings will have on any new news on trade tariffs. It has been announced that further talks between China and US officials on trade tariffs will be held next week in London. This event will be closely monitored by investors.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX