SPX500 in bullish impulseSPX500 currently at 3rd wave of wave (3) (both 2.618% extended). Expecting a retrace at 6517 region for wave 4.
SPX trade ideas
3 month rally just not sustainable SPXThe economy is not doing horribly, but many are citing lagging indicators and there's signs of that this level is just not sustainable. Current levels abouve 9, 50, 200 SMAs! Seriously, what's great that isn't artificially propped up. Highest bankruptcies, highest level of housing unaffordability, dollar losing over 10% of value YTY, unemployment #s but that's bc people are giving up and it's a lagging indicator, hardship withdrawals up, defaults across the board up at over 10 year levels, banks with historic unrealized losses on their books (how much did Wells Fargo drop the other day!), yields going up up up. The Champage effect will end and many will get wiped out, unfortunately. Not being a dooms day person, but this economy is overheated and it's mostly driven by tech, which is over represented in the S&P. VIX is pretty low right now, would be an interesting play when it starts spiking (and it will!) when the deck starts falling apart.
Best of luck and always do your own due diligence.
S&P overbought sideways consolidation supported at 6207 Fed Signals Rate Cut Ahead
US Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller called for a quarter-point interest rate cut this month, citing cooling inflation and minimal upside price risks. His dovish stance diverges from the broader FOMC consensus, which still views the labor market as resilient.
UK-Germany Defense Pact
UK PM Keir Starmer signaled potential alignment with Germany to purchase US weapons for Ukraine, following the signing of the “Kensington Treaty.” The accord emphasizes mutual defense cooperation, raising expectations of deeper UK involvement in European security initiatives.
Intel Concerns with Spain
US lawmakers raised concerns over intelligence sharing with Spain, due to the country's reliance on Huawei for its wiretap infrastructure, highlighting geopolitical tech tensions.
Trump Authorizes Epstein Testimony Release
President Donald Trump has authorized the release of grand jury testimony from the Epstein case, yielding to public and political pressure for greater transparency.
S&P 500 Outlook:
Waller’s call for a rate cut adds bullish momentum for equities, especially rate-sensitive sectors like tech and real estate. While geopolitical tensions and defense headlines introduce headline risk, the dovish Fed signal is likely to dominate sentiment in the near term. Expect S&P 500 support near 6207 with upside potential if more Fed officials echo Waller’s stance.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6336
Resistance Level 2: 6383
Resistance Level 3: 6420
Support Level 1: 6207
Support Level 2: 6160
Support Level 3: 6113
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S&P500 (CASH500) (SPX500) SHORT - Head and shoulders 30minRisk/reward = 3.3
Entry price = 6314.8
Stop loss price = 6318.4
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 6301.3
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 6297.5
Waiting on validation from a few other variables.
For example, waiting for the current 30min candle to close in range.
Letssss goooooo
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Trade
Manage
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Rejection Level
Daily Volume
Market Structure Shift
London US Session
Trend Line Break
Untapped Order Point
S&P 500 weekly timeframeS&P 500 in g of G of diametric aiming for ~8000 in 2026-27 and ~11000-13000 for 2029-2030
So every correction would be temporary until then
SPX500 Eyes Further Upside After Breaking to New HighSPX500 | Technical Overview
The price continued its bullish momentum after stabilizing above the 6283 support level, as anticipated. It has since posted a new all-time high (ATH) and is currently aiming for the next key resistance at 6341. A confirmed breakout above this level may open the path toward 6393.
On the downside, a break and sustained close below 6283 would shift the structure bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 6223.
Pivot line: 6283
Resistance: 6341 – 6393
Support: 6247 – 6223
previous idea:
SellRejection Level
Daily Volume
Market Structure Shift
London Session
Trend Line Break
Untapped Order Point
S&P 500 H4 | Making a run towards a new ATH?The S&P 500 (SPX500) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 6,299.72 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 6,195.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 6,369.28 which is a resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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5 Proven Tricks to Trade Without FOMO After Missing Your TriggerYo traders! In this video, I’m breaking down what to do if you miss a trading trigger , so you can stay calm , avoid FOMO , and still catch the next move. We’re diving into five solid strategies to re-enter the market without losing your cool:
Buy on the pullback zone.
Buy with an engulfing candle after a pullback.
Buy after breaking the resistance formed by the pullback.
Buy after the second wave with an indecision candle.
Buy after breaking a major resistance post-second wave, confirmed by RSI or momentum oscillators.
These tips are all about keeping your trades smart and your head in the game. For more on indecision candles, check out this lesson . Wanna master breakout trading? Here’s the breakout trading guide . Drop your thoughts in the comments, boost if you vibe with it, and let’s grow together! 😎
Risk environment to remain positive? S&P continuation?Despite all the recent tariff concerns, inflation concerns and Middle East worries. The S&P continues to push all tine highs. And 'risk surprises' not withstanding, is likely to do so. Backed up by a solid start to ratings season, especially from Netflix.
In the currency space, that should mean the JPY remains weak. And I'm cutoutting recent JPY strength due to profit taking ahead of weekend elections. But moving into the new week, i'll be looking for JPY short opportunities.
SPX: Long-Term Strength and Opportunity
SPX: Long-Term Strength and Opportunity
The S&P 500 (SPX) on this monthly timeframe clearly illustrates a powerful long-term uptrend, where each significant pullback has consistently presented a valuable buying opportunity. Most recently, the market effectively retested and bounced off the established long-term trendline, even amidst geopolitical concerns such as the April low experienced when tariffs were announced, underscoring the underlying bullish resilience. This sustained trajectory suggests continued upward momentum, reaffirming the 'buy the dip' strategy within this robust market environment.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
S&P 500 (US500) maintains strong bullish momentum.S&P 500 (US500) maintains strong bullish momentum.
Technical Outlook
S&P 500 (US500) holds a strong bullish structure, continuing to print higher highs and higher lows above diverging EMAs, signaling sustained upward momentum.
RSI has eased from overbought levels, now hovering below 70, while price consolidates sideways near recent highs, a typical pause before potential continuation.
ADX remains elevated above DI+ and DI-, with DI+ above DI–, confirming trend strength and ongoing bullish momentum.
A breakout above the 6300 all-time high would confirm a bullish continuation, with the next upside target near 6500 based on the flagpole projection.
Conversely, a drop below 6200 may trigger a deeper pullback toward the 6050 support zone.
Fundamental Outlook
Corporate earnings, particularly in the tech sector, continue to exceed expectations, providing significant support to the index. Analysts project continued earnings growth for S&P 500 companies, with profits expected to grow by approximately 9% year-over-year in 2025, reinforcing confidence in the index’s rising fundamental valuation.
Markets are now pricing in earlier Fed rate cuts, driven by evolving economic data and political pressure.
Economic data such as stronger-than-expected retail sales and unemployment claims, though the latter could reduce the likelihood of imminent rate cuts, signal robust consumer demand, which should continue to support economic growth.
by Terence Hove, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
SellRejection Level
Daily Volume
Market Structure Shift
London Session
Trend Line Break
Untapped Order Point
SPX500 Short From Resistance!
HI,Traders !
#SPX500 is trading in an
Uptrend but the price will
Soon hit a horizontal resistance
Area around 6285.44 from
Where we will be expecting
A local bearish correction !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
SPX500: Calm Returns, But Bearish Pressure Lingers Below 6283SPX500 OVERVIEW
Markets Calm After Powell Drama
Markets steadied Thursday following Wall Street's volatile reaction to uncertainty over Fed Chair Powell’s future. While President Trump denied plans to fire Powell, he admitted discussing the idea with lawmakers and hinted he'd prefer a resignation. For now, earnings and data are back in focus.
Technical View:
SPX500 is consolidating between 6283 and 6223.
A 1H close above 6283 may trigger a bullish move toward 6341.
Remaining below 6283 keeps bearish momentum intact toward 6223, and a break below that could start a deeper downtrend.
Key Levels:
Support: 6243, 6223, 6195
Resistance: 6305, 6341
Market Mood Sours as Inflation Surprises AgainU.S. stock markets were under pressure on Tuesday after new inflation data came in higher than expected. This has made investors rethink how soon the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates.
What Happened?
● The Consumer Price Index (CPI) recorded its biggest monthly rise in 5 months.
● Core inflation (which excludes food and energy) jumped by 2.9% compared to last year — more than the Fed's 2% target.
What It Means
● Investors had expected the Fed to cut interest rates multiple times in 2025.
● After the inflation report, they now think the Fed will cut less than expected.
● The chances of a rate cut in September also dropped sharply.
Market Impact
● Bond yields went up — the 10-year U.S. government bond yield rose to 4.49%, making borrowing more expensive.
● Stock futures fell (Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq), as higher yields tend to hurt company profits and stock prices.
S&P 500 and Dow Struggle at Resistance
● Both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones faced resistance near all-time highs.
● This rejection suggests potential for further short-term pullback, especially if macro pressures like inflation and rate uncertainty persist.
Near-Term Outlook
With inflation running hotter than expected, hopes for early Fed rate cuts have cooled. Traders and investors should remain cautious, manage risk actively, and prepare for continued volatility in the coming weeks.
SPX500 LongThere is a lot of support at this level
There is a shark pattern on M15 and M30
All timeframes are oversold and there are multiple bottoms with divergence
This trade is with the trend
25 Pip stop loss
S&P 500 H4 | Approaching a multi-swing-low supportThe S&P 500 (SPX500) is falling towards multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 6,220.89 which is multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 6,170.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 6,299.72 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
A steady move up for the next 3 yearsYou can clearly see the pattern. The boom/bust cycle, and inflation. Don't expect my lines to be exact. Imagine bitcoin if we hit the upper trend line.
Bullish for the next 3-5 years and another crisis. (2030)
They should teach this in school.
This is just my Elliott Wave Analysis not financial Advice. $SPThis is just my Elliott Wave Analysis not financial Advice. SP:SPX #SPX SP:SPX
S&P 500 and the Elliott Wave TheoryThis is a continuation of a Weekly chart that I had previously posted. Our Wave 2(Red) was a Zigzag and the expectation is a Flat for Wave 4(Red) which we see occurred. Since Wave 4(Red) completed, a Wave 5(Red) was triggered. We can expect our Wave 5 to express itself in 5 Waves just like any other Wave. We can observe that our Wave 2(Green) was a Flat and we can expect our Wave 4(Green) to be a Zigzag. Wave 3(Green) was a strong upward move and a confirmation at its current price would trigger a Zigzag correction. This would be our Wave 4(Green) and would set the stage for the last wave before a major correction.
