S&P500Both COT data and price action indicate the start of bearish momentum, making this a high-probability setup for a downside move Short Entry: Enter a short position due to the bearish setup.
SPXM trade ideas
SPX / SP500 Short - RISING WEDGE WARNINGYou can see the index is currently moving in a rising wedge, which is a bearish indicator once the structure breaks down. There might be a small upside for a very limited time, but mid-term we are moving down.
Bulls and Bears zone for 06-12-2025Overall market is continuing to rally in general.
However, market sold off during ETH session and it's trying to recover in the morning.
Level to watch : 6017----6019
SPX'S BULLS !6200 Will get touched easily soon !
because the much vol up there waiting to be hunted at 6100+
𓄀𝓈𝓉𝒶𝓎 𝓉𝓊𝓃ℯ𝒹 𓃓
SHORT ON SPY (SPX/USD)SPY has failed to create higher highs and given us a head and shoulders pattern.
I will be selling spy to the next level of demand looking to catch 50-60 points.
S&P 500 & Indexes Breakdown + Trade SetupsIn this video, I dive into the S&P 500 and other major indexes to share my current market outlook. Right now, price action is stalling and volume continues to dry up — a signal that we could be due for a deeper pullback before any continuation to the upside.
📌 With global fundamentals such as:
US–China trade tensions
Russia–Ukraine war
Broader geopolitical risks
…it’s hard to ignore the pressure building. That’s why I lean bearish in the short term, expecting potential downside before any breakout to new highs.
⚠️ Of course, trying to short in this slow grind can feel like catching a falling knife — but I’ve prepped a few setups, all broken down in the video based on solid technical confluences.
Watch the full breakdown and let me know your thoughts.
Thanks for tuning in! 🙏
👇 Drop a comment, like, and subscribe for more market breakdowns.
#SP500 #IndexBreakdown #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeSetups #BearishBias #VolumeAnalysis #GeoPolitics #SwingTrading #TradingCommunity #TradingView
Morning market ideasSPX could be finished overnight but the cash session may try to equal the overnight high. Gold is coming up to heavy resistance. Oil Looks to be heading towards 66 and maybe more. BTC looks like it may drop again but right now it's at support. Natural Gas is likely going to drop.
S&P500 INTRADAY uptrend continuation supported at 5960Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6120
Resistance Level 2: 6170
Resistance Level 3: 6220
Support Level 1: 5960
Support Level 2: 5900
Support Level 3: 5800
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S&P 500 update from last week📉 Lesson Learned – The Way of a Trader 📈
Well… this time I jumped the gun. Thought the market would break lower from a compression point, but I was wrong. Price pushed higher, broke the ascending channel upwards — and I paid the price 💸
Not much volume behind the move, but still... up is up.
I acted on a gut feeling, and that didn’t work out.
The mistake?
⛔ Tried to predict the top
⛔ Didn't wait for a confirmed break with volume
Now it’s time to:
✅ Review
✅ Re-evaluate
✅ Learn
✅ Come back stronger
We’re not always going to be right — and that’s part of the game.
Discipline beats ego.
Welcome to the life of a trader.
Let’s keep improving 🔁
Update SPX is still hovering at 90% from the top, Gold looks better now and probably goes higher, OIl the same, BTC should find resistance at 109k
S&P's 4Hr. Wave 5 North Likely in progress towards 61251). Price needs to complete 5-wave sequence @ the 1.728 Fib @ 6125). The Bonds are dropping, so there's likely not much steam left...3). BANKS ARE BUYING! 4). Volume is decreasing... 5). Trendline intersecting with target fib. level 72.8%. 6).US $ WEAKNESS AT THE MOMENT IS ALSO ADDING TO THE ANTICIPATED RISK ASSET UPWARD SCENARIO!
US 500 Index – All Time Highs Back in SightFresh optimism regarding trade negotiations between the US and China, coupled with confirmation on Friday that the US labour market is cooling down slowly and not indicating an imminent US recession, has seen the US 500 index open this morning at 4 month highs, bumping up against the psychological 6000 again, with its all time peak of 6144 (February 19th) back in sight.
Looking forward, this could be a pivotal week for the US 500, with a variety of risk events for traders to consider, all of which may have the potential to impact the direction of risk sentiment into the Friday close.
First up, later today, traders will be eagerly awaiting updates from the second round of trade talks between US and Chinese trade teams, who are tasked with defusing tensions regarding the supply of rare earth minerals and advanced technology.
Then, on Wednesday (CPI 1330 BST) and Thursday (PPI 1330 BST) the next round of US inflation updates for May are released. These could be relevant to traders who have become more sensitive to potential price rises due to the impact of President Trump's trade tariffs. Any surprise deviations from expectations in either of these releases could see an increase in US 500 index volatility.
Putting this all together with any fresh reports outlining progress on trade deals between the US and Japan or the EU, and it could be a volatile week in store. With this in mind, it can be helpful to consider the technical indicators and trends.
Technical Update: Focus on the Bollinger Mid Average
While some may have argued for a slowing in upside momentum of the recent US 500 index advance, price weakness has continued to be limited in both time and extent.
Importantly, as the chart above shows, when short term setbacks in price have recently materialised, it has been the rising Bollinger mid-average that has marked a support focus.
This maintains the potential of a more constructive picture and positive price trend, where buyers have been happy to pay a higher price each time that weakness is seen, and have been able to push the index above previous peaks in price, to new recovery highs.
Of course, there is no guarantee this pattern of higher highs and higher lows in price will extend further, but traders may well be focusing on this type of pattern as having the potential to lead to a more sustained phase of price strength.
What are the potential support and resistance levels that traders may be watching this week for clues to the direction of the next possible price move?
Potential Resistance Levels:
Further evidence that a positive trend in price could still be in place came on Friday, as a new recovery price high at 6017 was posted.
Traders may now be watching how a previous price high at 6049, which was posted on February 24th is defended, as closing breaks may see further attempts to push to higher levels. Such moves could then lead to further price strength towards 6144, the February 19th all-time high.
Potential Support Levels:
Having held and turned price activity higher over previous tests, it may well still be the rising Bollinger mid-average, which currently stands at 5916 that represents a possible support focus this week.
Closes below this level while not confirmation of a more extended phase of price weakness, may see a deeper decline to test 5842, the May 30th session low, even on to the 5742 level, which is equal to the low posted on May 23rd.
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RKLB Weekly Options Trade Plan – 2025-06-07🚀 RKLB Weekly Options Trade Plan – 2025-06-07
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Holding Period: 3–5 trading days
Catalyst: Trump–Musk headline cycle + strong short-term momentum
Timeframe: Expiry June 13, 2025
🔍 Multi-Model Consensus Summary
Model Direction Strike Entry Stop Target(s) Confidence
Grok No Trade – – – – 0%
Claude Long Call $30 $0.76 $0.38 $1.50 75%
Llama Long Call $30 $0.76 $0.57 $1.14 70%
Gemini Long Call $31 $0.49 $0.24 $0.74–$0.98 65%
DeepSeek Long Call $30 $0.76 $0.38 $1.52 70%
✅ Consensus: Buy $30 call expiring 2025-06-13
💬 4 of 5 models bullish; 3 aligned on same strike and premium
⚠️ Max pain at $26 and overbought daily RSI are top risks
📈 Technical Snapshot
Price Trend: Bullish short-term (price > EMAs on 5-min & daily)
RSI: Nearing overbought (RSI ~69)
MACD: Bullish short-term, weakening daily
Resistance: $29.00–$29.50
Support: $28.70–$28.75
✅ Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Instrument RKLB
Direction CALL (LONG)
Strike $30
Entry Price $0.76
Profit Target $1.14 (≈50% gain)
Stop Loss $0.38 (≈50% loss)
Size 1 contract
Expiry 2025-06-13 (Weekly)
Confidence 70%
Entry Timing At market open
⚠️ Key Risks
Max Pain Gravity: $26 could act as price magnet by end of week
Overbought Setup: Daily RSI + Bollinger breach may cap further upside
Exhaustion Signs: Bearish MACD divergence could lead to snap pullback
Momentum Trade: Must act quickly; trail stops if resistance nears
S&P500 tests the upper border of the rangeThe S&P 500 index is concentrating in the massive triangle below the psychological level of $6000, and given the overall neutral to good market sentiment, it’s not expected to plummet from this area before testing the area of $6000-6200. Should the breakout of this zone happen, it’s not expected to be sustainable and may quickly revert back to the range, as traders are quite cautious right now and the market is prone to liquidations and quick profit taking.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
SPX500 H1 | Heading into an overlap resistanceSPX500 is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 5,967.36 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 6,012.00 which is a level that sits above a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 5,909.96 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Market wrap - SPX USOIL BTC GoldThe market was very tricky but ultimately it did sell off. The question is - will we make one more high? That's hard to tell and there are mixed signals. Gold is at support. BTC is at it's Bollinger Band target, USOIL still has not broken up or down as of now.
US500 potential buyUS500 is setting up for a classic Wyckoff spring. This is a high probability set up with high risk to reward (5R+)
Here is what needs to happen
For situations 1 and 2,
a. price should break blue support (traps sellers and shakes out weak hands)
b. price should then close above any of the 2 blue supports with high volume
c. enter at the close of that bar or retest of the blue line
d. T.P @ recent high.
What do you think? how would you approach this better?
Andycharts, publishing key levels. We have key levels across 15 different charts which I am looking at tomoorow for contination,
SPX500 — Structural Weakness Emerging on the 15-Min ChartWe may be approaching a critical inflection point.
Price action is showing signs of exhaustion after multiple failed attempts to break higher. The market structure is compressing beneath resistance, setting the stage for a potential breakdown.
🧭 Key Level to Watch:
Support at 5,790.33 aligns with previous liquidity sweeps and demand zones. A move toward this level could reflect rotation from short-term bullish euphoria into a broader correction cycle.
⚠️ Institutional traders, are you watching the same tape?
This isn’t just about price—it’s about positioning.
Market signals:
Distribution pattern forming
Liquidity void below current level
Compression likely to result in expansion (downside bias)
In markets like these, timing is everything.
Capital flows speak louder than sentiment.
#SP500 #MarketStructure #InstitutionalTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #LiquidityZones #MacroStrategy #WaverVanir #RiskManagement
S&P 500 4 Hr. chart Impulsing towards 6125
1). Huge Volume! 2). Banks are Buying! 3). Breaking trendline on wave 3.
2). The fundamentals are extremely bullish, therefore corrective’s may be shallow!
The close - no bells ring at a topMy feeling right now is one of deja vu. Like the bottom before the president delayed tariffs, there was no volume and my assumption was we would go a bit lower. Here we have no volume and my assumption has been we will go a bit higher. Could we top here? It's possible. The bear divergences are pointing to a move down at least temporarily.
SP500 would you capture or just let it slip?His palms are sweaty
Knees weak, arms spaghetti
His nervous
But on the surface
He looks calm and ready
