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SPY trade ideas

Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 20, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 20, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏦 Fed Holds Rates, Warns on Tariffs Fed kept interest rates steady on June 19, cautioning that tariffs could stoke inflation and slow growth. Inflation projections were raised from 2.7% to 3.0%, while growth estimates were revised lower to 1.4% 🌍 Middle East Risk Drags Markets Global stocks fell and safe-haven assets surged after U.S. futures weakened amid heightened tensions in the Israel–Iran conflict. Yields were mixed: gold weakened and bonds gained, while oil held steady near seven-week highs 📈 Treasury Yields Edge Higher Despite safe-haven demand, U.S. 10‑year yields ticked up as markets absorbed the Fed’s updated rate outlook. The yield curve remains elevated ahead of next week’s $38 bn auction of long-dated notes 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, June 20: (No major U.S. economic reports) Markets will be driven by Fed commentary follow-ups and geopolitical headlines over the weekend. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #geopolitics #fixedincome #inflation #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY: What's Next After the Resistance Retest? The price action of SPY, shows a significant decline from early February highs, followed by a strong recovery and an established uptrend from mid-April. Price is currently testing the "Previous Flip Zone" (indicated by the purple shaded area), a level that previously acted as support before the market's sharp decline and has since been retested as resistance. The "All time High 613" is marked as a major overhead resistance level, representing the peak achieved before the February drawdown. An "Intermediate Support" zone is identified between 590 and 592, coinciding with the upward-sloping green trendline that has supported the recent rally. A "Key Area" of support is highlighted further down between 576 and 582, indicating a more substantial demand zone should the intermediate support be breached. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
AMEX:SPYLong
by ManiMarkets
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 18, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 18, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 💼 Business Inventories Flat in April U.S. business inventories held steady in April, indicating stable consumer and wholesale demand. That suggests production won't need to cut sharply in the near term, supporting GDP outlook 🏭 Industrial Production Slips Industrial output declined 0.2% in May, signaling ongoing weakness in factory activity amid less favorable global trade conditions . 🌐 Geopolitical Pressures Persist Heightened tension in the Middle East continues to pressure risk assets. Investors remain focused on safe-haven flows into gold, Treasuries, and defensive equities, with analysts noting the risk backdrop remains tilted to the downside 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, June 18: 8:30 AM ET – Housing Starts & Building Permits (May) Measures new residential construction — leading indication of housing sector health. 8:30 AM ET – Initial Jobless Claims Tracks the weekly count of new unemployment filings — useful for spotting early labor-market weakening. 2:00 PM ET – FOMC Interest Rate Decision The Federal Reserve is expected to hold steady. Market focus will be on any commentary that hints at future tightening or easing plans. 2:30 PM ET – Fed Chair Powell Press Conference Investors will parse Powell’s remarks for guidance on rate paths, inflation trends, and economic risks. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational/informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #housing #Fed #geo_risk #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 17, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 17, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📈 U.S. Retail Spending Holds Firm May’s retail sales were flat month-over-month, defying expectations of a slowdown. Core retail sales (ex-autos) edged up +0.2%, signaling resilience in consumer purchases—an encouraging sign for economic momentum 🤖 Tesla’s Robotaxi Buzz Accelerates Tesla stock surged after a weekend robotaxi video surfaced ahead of its planned Austin launch. A viral clip showed a Model Y “robotaxi” navigating traffic autonomously, sparking fresh investor enthusiasm despite safety debates 📊 BoJ Holds Rates; Dollar Edges Higher Japan’s central bank left policy unchanged at 0.5%, maintaining its dovish bias. This lifted the dollar slightly versus the yen, drawing focus to global interest-rate divergence 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, June 17: 8:30 AM ET – Retail Sales (May) Consumer purchases are tracked, excluding autos. Monitor if activity stays steady despite inflation and rate pressures. 9:15 AM ET – Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization (May) Provides insight into factory activity and plant usage—a gauge of economic health amid global slowdown concerns. 10:00 AM ET – Business Inventories (April) Shows stock levels held by wholesalers and manufacturers. Higher inventories with weaker sales may signal slowing demand. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
$SPY Watchlist Plan: Week of 6/17Watchlist Plan: Week of 6/17 Stock Near All-Time High Approaching ATH at 613.23 — key pivot zone Break and hold above: Look for calls targeting momentum continuation (e.g., 620, 630 psychological levels) Rejection off ATH: Look for puts targeting a retracement toward 599, then 568 Retracement and Support Zones 599: Micro support on smaller timeframes (15m/1h). Watch for intraday bounce or breakdown. 568: Key downside target if rejection at ATH confirms and 599 fails. Consider swing puts toward this level. Also monitor the 585–590 range for potential consolidation or minor support. Game Plan Triggers Bullish confirmation: Clean break and hold above 613.23 with strong volume Market-wide risk-on tone (SPY, QQQ green) Bearish setup: Strong rejection at or below ATH Market-wide pullback or macro weakness (especially in tech or consumer sectors) Catalysts June 17 (Monday): Retail Sales Report — gauge of consumer strength June 18 (Tuesday): Unemployment Claims — snapshot of labor market health Strong data may fuel market optimism Weak data could tilt market bearish Additional Notes Watch for volume divergence near ATH — breakout with low volume can trap longs Use pre-market action to frame bias: gap up with follow-through = strength; gap up followed by fade = weakness Keep an eye on VIX and bond yields for macro pressure indicators
AMEX:SPYLong
by Ubaidy100
Are The Markets Running Out Of Steam? SPY just cant seemed to hold above the 600 psychological level. Are big players unloading into this positive market strength? Are we due for a larger pullback? There's a lot of mixed price action and we just cant seem to make a true breakout. Some names are underperforming and other names are outperforming. We remain tactically bullish while trimming keys positions into strength. Being nimble in this market us key as were seeing large intra day swings. Short term there is some risk of lower price so we have hedged in some individual names while still remaining bullish.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Trading-Capital
1
SPY (S&P500) - Price Testing Support Trendline - Daily ChartSPY (S&P500 ETF) price has just closed below $600 and is currently under a support trendline. If price cannot breakout above the $600 and $605 resistance level this month, a pullback could occur down to the support zone. SPY price could potentially pullback to various levels of support due to: -USA domestic conflict -International military conflicts -Technical chart bearish divergence -USA federal reserve interest rate news -Government and corporate news Support Levels: $595, $590, $585, $580. Resistance Levels: $600, $605, $610, $615. The 50EMA/200EMA Golden Cross is still on-going, and support prices of $580 and $568 have yet to be tested significantly.
AMEX:SPY
by NoFomoCharts
SPY - 1 Hour ShortSPY – 1H Technical Breakdown (Short Bias) Price action on SPY has recently traded into a clearly defined higher-timeframe supply zone, where prior bearish order flow originated. The current structure shows signs of exhaustion after a liquidity sweep above recent swing highs, which likely triggered breakout entries and stop-loss clusters — a common precursor to reversal. We’ve observed a loss of momentum as price consolidates beneath this supply zone, signaling inefficient buying and a potential shift in control from buyers to sellers. The rejection from this zone aligns precisely with the projected schematic path, reinforcing the short bias and supporting the hypothesis of a distribution phase. The anticipated move targets the mid-550s, a region marked by prior accumulation and unmitigated demand, making it a logical zone for price to seek out resting liquidity. 🔹 Key Technical Confluences: Entry from a confirmed supply zone Sweep of prior high followed by internal weakness Structure showing early lower highs and compression beneath resistance Market currently following the projected schematic path outlined in advance 🛡️ Risk Parameters: Stop-loss is placed conservatively above the supply zone highs to account for further probing Take-profit aligned with prior demand and structural inefficiencies Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): Estimated 3:1+, offering a highly asymmetric return profile This is a tactically planned short with strong technical backing. As long as price respects current structure, we maintain bearish conviction until the 555–560 zone is tested or invalidation occurs above the supply.
AMEX:SPYShort
by ProSignalai
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 13, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 13, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🚨 Israel Strikes Iran — U.S. Markets Sell Off Israel launched airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear and military facilities, triggering a sharp risk-off move in global markets. U.S. stock futures slid over 1%, driven by a drop in equities and a surge in safe-haven assets 🛢️ Oil Prices Surge 7–8% on Supply Fears Brent crude jumped over 7%, reaching ~$74.65/barrel, while WTI rose nearly 8%—the strongest move since early May. The sudden energy-price spike reflects heightened fears of supply disruptions in the Middle East 💱 Dollar & Safe Havens Climb True to form, the U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, Swiss franc, gold, and Treasuries rallied as investors moved to the safety of low-risk assets amid escalating geopolitical uncertainty 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, June 13 (No scheduled U.S. economic data) Data flow will take a backseat as markets digest geopolitical developments and await the weekend. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #geopolitics #oil #safety #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
SPY Trading Opportunity! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on SPY and concluded the following: The market is trading on 599.04 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 570.83 Safe Stop Loss - 616.43 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYShort
by AnabelSignals
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-9: Inside BreakawayToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to make a breakaway type of price move - away from Friday's open-close range. Given the fairly tight opening price level this morning, I would stay cautious in early trading today and try to let the first 60 minutes play out - looking for that breakaway trend/momentum. Overall, the markets are still in a Bullish price phase - trying to push higher. But, as I continue to warn, I believe the markets could rollover and break downward at any time. BTCUSD moved substantially higher overnight. This could be the beginning of a bigger advance higher. But, it could also be an exhaustion move higher. Gold and Silver are still melting upward. This move in metals recently certainly shows the markets are still fearful of any potential downside price activity. Again, I urge traders to stay cautious as we continue to struggle within the sideways price range. Price will show us what it wants to do and I believe this move higher in BTCUSD could be a false type of breakout move to the upside. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
Warren Buffett's Approach to Long-Term Wealth BuildingUnderstanding Value Investing: Warren Buffett's Educational Approach to Long-Term Wealth Building Learn the educational principles behind value investing and dollar-cost averaging strategies, based on historical market data and Warren Buffett's documented investment philosophy. --- Introduction: The Million-Dollar Question Every Investor Asks Warren Buffett—the Oracle of Omaha—has consistently advocated that index fund investing provides a simple, educational approach to long-term wealth building for most investors. His famous 2007 bet against hedge funds proved this principle in dramatic fashion: Buffett wagered $1 million that a basic S&P 500 index fund would outperform a collection of hedge funds over 10 years. He crushed them. The S&P 500 returned 7.1% annually while the hedge funds averaged just 2.2%. Today, we'll explore the educational principles behind this approach—examining historical data, mathematical concepts, and implementation strategies for learning purposes. --- Part 1: Understanding Value Investing for Modern Markets Value investing isn't about finding the next GameStop or Tesla. It's about buying quality assets at attractive prices and holding them for compound growth . For beginners, this translates to: Broad Market Exposure: Own a cross-section of businesses through low-cost index funds Long-term Perspective: Think decades, not months Disciplined Approach: Systematic investing regardless of market noise "Time is the friend of the wonderful business, the enemy of the mediocre." - Warren Buffett Real-World Application: Instead of trying to pick between NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , or NASDAQ:GOOGL , you simply buy AMEX:SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF) and own pieces of all 500 companies automatically. --- Part 2: Dollar-Cost Averaging - Your Secret Weapon Against Market Timing The Problem: Everyone tries to time the market. Studies show that even professional investors get this wrong 70% of the time. The Solution: Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) eliminates timing risk entirely. How DCA Works: Decide on your total investment amount (e.g., $24,000) Split it into equal parts (e.g., 12 months = $2,000/month) Invest the same amount on the same day each month Ignore market fluctuations completely DCA in Action - Real Example: Let's say you started DCA into AMEX:SPY in January 2022 (right before the bear market): January 2022: AMEX:SPY at $450 → You buy $1,000 worth (2.22 shares) June 2022: AMEX:SPY at $380 → You buy $1,000 worth (2.63 shares) December 2022: AMEX:SPY at $385 → You buy $1,000 worth (2.60 shares) Result: Your average cost per share was $405, significantly better than the $450 you would have paid with a lump sum in January. --- Part 3: The Mathematics of Wealth Creation Here's where value investing gets exciting. Let's run the actual numbers using historical S&P 500 returns: Historical Performance: - Average Annual Return: 10.3% (1957-2023) - Inflation-Adjusted: ~6-7% real returns - Conservative Estimate: 8% for planning purposes Scenario 1: The $24K Start Initial Investment: $24,000 | Annual Addition: $2,400 | Return: 8% Calculation Summary: - Initial Investment: $24,000 - Annual Contribution: $2,400 ($200/month) - Expected Return: 8% - Time Period: 20 years Results: - Year 10 Balance: $86,581 - Year 20 Balance: $221,692 - Total Contributed: $72,000 - Investment Gains: $149,692 Scenario 2: The Aggressive Investor Initial Investment: $60,000 | Annual Addition: $6,000 | Return: 10% Historical example after 20 years: $747,300 - Total Contributed: $180,000 - Calculated Investment Gains: $567,300 Educational Insight on Compound Returns: This historical example illustrates how 2% higher returns (10% vs 8%) could dramatically impact long-term outcomes. This is why even small differences in return rates can create life-changing wealth over decades. The mathematics of compound growth are both simple and incredibly powerful. --- Part 4: Investing vs. Savings - The Shocking Truth Let's compare the same contributions invested in stocks vs. a high-yield savings account: 20-Year Comparison: - Stock Investment (8% return): $221,692 - High-Yield Savings (5% return): $143,037 - Difference: $78,655 (55% more wealth!) "Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it... he who doesn't, pays it." - Often attributed to Einstein Key Insight: That extra 3% annual return created an additional $78,655 over 20 years. Over 30-40 years, this difference becomes truly life-changing. 📍 Global Savings Reality - The Investment Advantage Worldwide: The power of index fund investing becomes even more dramatic when we examine savings rates around the world. Here's how the same $24K initial + $2,400 annual investment compares globally: 🇯🇵 Japan (0.5% savings): - Stock Investment: $221,692 - Savings Account: $76,868 - Advantage: $144,824 (188% more wealth) 🇪🇺 Western Europe Average (3% savings): - Stock Investment: $221,692 - Savings Account: $107,834 - Advantage: $113,858 (106% more wealth) 🇬🇷 Greece/Southern Europe (2% savings): - Stock Investment: $221,692 - Savings Account: $93,975 - Advantage: $127,717 (136% more wealth) 🇰🇷 South Korea (2.5% savings): - Stock Investment: $221,692 - Savings Account: $100,634 - Advantage: $121,058 (120% more wealth) 💡 The Global Lesson: The lower your country's savings rates, the MORE dramatic the advantage of global index fund investing becomes. For investors in countries with minimal savings returns, staying in cash is essentially guaranteed wealth destruction when compared to broad market investing. This is exactly why Warren Buffett's advice transcends borders - mathematical principles of compound growth work the same whether you're in New York, London, or Athens. Note: Savings rates shown are approximate regional averages and may vary by institution and current market conditions. Always check current rates in your specific market for precise calculations. --- Part 5: Building Your Value Investing Portfolio Core Holdings (80% of portfolio): AMEX:SPY - S&P 500 ETF (Large-cap US stocks) AMEX:VTI - Total Stock Market ETF (Broader US exposure) LSE:VUAA - S&P 500 UCITS Accumulating (Tax-efficient for international investors) Satellite Holdings (20% of portfolio): NASDAQ:QQQ - Technology-focused (Higher growth potential) AMEX:VYM - Dividend-focused (Income generation) NYSE:BRK.B - Berkshire Hathaway (Value investing & diversification) --- Part 6: Implementation Strategy - Your Action Plan Month 1: Foundation Open a brokerage account (research low-cost brokers available in your region) Set up automatic transfers from your bank Buy your first AMEX:SPY shares 💡 Broker Selection Considerations: Traditional Brokers: Interactive Brokers, Fidelity, Vanguard, Schwab Digital Platforms: Revolut, Trading 212, eToro (check availability in your country) Key Factors: Low fees, ETF access, automatic investing features, regulatory protection Research: Compare costs and features for your specific location/needs Month 2-12: Execution Invest the same amount on the same day each month Ignore market news and volatility Track your progress in a simple spreadsheet Year 2+: Optimization Increase contributions with salary increases Consider additional core holdings like LSE:VUAA for tax efficiency Consider tax-loss harvesting opportunities Visualizing Your DCA Strategy Understanding DCA concepts is easier when you can visualize the results. TradingView offers various tools to help you understand investment strategies, including DCA tracking indicators like the DCA Investment Tracker Pro which help visualize long-term investment concepts. 🎯 Key Visualization Features: These types of tools typically help visualize: Historical Analysis: How your strategy would have performed using real market data Growth Projections: Educational scenarios showing potential long-term outcomes Performance Comparison: Comparing actual vs theoretical DCA performance Volatility Understanding: How different stocks behave with DCA over time 📊 Real-World Examples from Live Users: Stable Index Investing Success: AMEX:SPY (S&P 500) Example: $60K initial + $500/month starting 2020. The indicator shows SPY's historical 10%+ returns, demonstrating how consistent broad market investing builds wealth over time. Notice the smooth theoretical growth line vs actual performance tracking. Value Investing Approach: NYSE:BRK.B (Berkshire Hathaway): Warren Buffett's legendary performance through DCA lens. The indicator demonstrates how quality value companies compound wealth over decades. Lower volatility = standard CAGR calculations used. High-Volatility Stock Management: NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA): Shows smart volatility detection in action. NVIDIA's explosive AI boom creates extreme years that trigger automatic switch to "Median (High Vol): 50%" calculations for conservative projections, protecting against unrealistic future estimates. Tech Stock Long-Term Analysis: NASDAQ:META (Meta Platforms): Despite being a tech stock and experiencing the 2022 crash, META's 10-year history shows consistent enough performance (23.98% CAGR) that volatility detection doesn't trigger. Standard CAGR calculations demonstrate stable long-term growth. ⚡ Educational Application: When using visualization tools on TradingView: Select Your Asset: Choose the stock/ETF you want to analyze (like AMEX:SPY ) Input Parameters: Enter your investment amounts and time periods Study Historical Data: See how your strategy would have performed in real markets Understand Projections: Learn from educational growth scenarios 🎓 Educational Benefits: This tool helps you understand: - How compound growth actually works in real markets - The difference between volatile and stable investment returns - Why consistent DCA often outperforms timing strategies - How your current performance compares to historical market patterns - The visual power of long-term wealth building As Warren Buffett said: "Someone's sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago." This tool helps you visualize your financial tree growing over time through actual market data and educational projections. --- Part 7: Common Mistakes to Avoid The "Perfect Timing" Trap Waiting for the "perfect" entry point often means missing years of compound growth. Time in the market beats timing the market. The "Hot Stock" Temptation Chasing individual stocks like NASDAQ:NVDA or NASDAQ:TSLA might seem exciting, but it introduces unnecessary risk for beginners. The "Market Crash" Panic Every bear market feels like "this time is different." Historical data shows that patient investors who continued their DCA through 2008, 2020, and other crashes were handsomely rewarded. --- Conclusion: Your Path to Financial Freedom Value investing through broad index funds and dollar-cost averaging isn't glamorous. You won't get rich overnight, and you won't have exciting stories about your latest trade. But here's what you will have: Proven strategy backed by decades of data Peace of mind during market volatility Compound growth working in your favor 24/7 A realistic path to serious wealth creation The Bottom Line: Warren Buffett's approach works because it's simple, sustainable, and based on fundamental economic principles. Start today, stay consistent, and let compound growth do the heavy lifting. "Someone's sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago." - Warren Buffett Educational Summary: Understanding these principles provides a foundation for informed decision-making. As Warren Buffett noted: "The best time to plant a tree was 20 years ago. The second-best time is now" - emphasizing the educational value of understanding long-term investment principles early. --- 🙏 Personal Note & Acknowledgment This article was not entirely my own work, but the result of artificial intelligence in-depth research and information gathering. I fine-tuned and brought it to my own vision and ideas. While working with AI, I found this research so valuable for myself that I could not avoid sharing it with all of you. I hope this perspective gives you a different approach to long-term investing. It completely changed my style of thinking and my approach to the markets. As a father of 3 kids, I'm always seeking the best investment strategies for our future. While I was aware of the power of compound interest, I could never truly visualize its actual power. That's exactly why I also created the open-source DCA Investment Tracker Pro indicator - so everyone can see and visualize the benefits of choosing a long, steady investment approach. Being able to see compound growth in action makes all the difference in staying committed to a strategy. As someone truly said: compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world. --- Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by TradeVizion