NQ - (FVG) - Fair Value GAPOn NQ , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 21685 .
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
(FVG) - Fair Value GAP and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
UNF1! trade ideas
2025-06-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Range is 21500 - 22000 for a week now. Neutral but selling new highs and buying every pullback has been profitable for quite a while now. It will end some day but likely not today. Bulls finally want the 22000 print and after so many tries they still could not print it. It’s painful to watch. Fading the extremes was good for a month now and I have no bigger opinion on where we might close this week. Anything below 21700 would be a huge bear surprise and could mean the bull wedge break to the downside and next target would be 21500.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21500 - 22000
bull case: Bulls expect 22000 and buy every pullback. Their problem is, that they have tried so so many times now and could still not print it. How many more times will they try? The wedge will break eventually and I highly doubt it will be to the upside. Bulls can not hold long at the highs since pullbacks are 130-500 points big. Look for longs on decent pullbacks once bears give up. Multiple times below 21800 today. When we print 22000, what are the odds of this going higher for 22500 or new ath above 22688? No idea but looking at the wedge and the structure since April, longing momentum makes sense but that’s it.
Invalidation is below 21390.
bear case: Just imagine cpi comes in hot… Bears can only dream. They are doing fine selling new highs and scalping for 100+ points. They are too weak to print lower lows, so don’t bet on them. Once we go below 21700 again, we can look for better targets and market is likely neutral again. Until then, try not to get trapped.
Invalidation is above 22100.
short term: Likely bearish around 21950-22000 for another pullback into 21750/21800. Still expecting 22k to get hit tomorrow. Rough guess: If we move strongly above 22080ish, we could see an acceleration upwards due to short covering from hell but don’t bet on it. Only go with the momentum if it happens.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-24: Will update this section more after the coming week but in general the thesis is as for dax. Down over the summer and sideways to up into year end. I don’t think the lows for this year are in.
trade of the day: Longing 21800 was good so many times since Friday.
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Will Musk–Trump Ceasefire Fuel Friday Rebound?Thursday’s Tesla-driven sell-off in Nasdaq 100 futures may flip into a Friday squeeze ahead of nonfarm payrolls, with Politico reporting that Elon Musk and Donald Trump have a scheduled phone call later today to broker a peace deal.
Given their sparring on Thursday was a key factor behind the Nasdaq nosedive, the headlines could help reverse the move into the European session.
Traders may look to establish longs with a stop beneath the intersection of minor horizontal and uptrend support near 21,436. Thursday’s session high screens as a potential target. If the headlines are refuted—or price action fails to respond—both could be grounds to cut the trade.
Good luck!
DS
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/20/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 21930.25
- PR Low: 21745.75
- NZ Spread: 412.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
Session Open Stats (As of 1:05 AM 6/20)
- Session Open ATR: 377.21
- Volume: 155K
- Open Int: 230K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -4.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ2025 – Clean Liquidity Sweep & OB Rejection Leads to Trend ConDescription (for the Idea post):
NASDAQ Futures (NQ2025) - June 19th Setup Breakdown
Market showed textbook Smart Money behavior today.
🔹 Key Highlights:
Price swept the Saturday Low and Wednesday Low, triggering sell-side liquidity.
Reaction from an old Order Block + Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone near 21,780.
Market Structure Break confirmed the bearish bias.
Retest of OB/FVG zone provided a clean low-risk entry.
Targets were cleanly delivered into 21,678 and beyond.
🔹 Confluences:
✅ Liquidity Sweep
✅ OB + FVG Rejection
✅ Volume Spike & BOS
✅ Trend aligned with overall bearish bias
📌 Plan Going Forward:
I’m watching for retracements to prior support-turned-resistance (21,740–21,780) for potential continuation plays. Will stay bearish unless a CHoCH above 21,800 with volume and bullish structure forms.
Comment below with how you traded this setup or how you're managing it!
Trade Idea: Nasdaq Q2 Premium Rejection | Mother of HTFNQ is showing early signs of macro exhaustion after rallying deep into Q2 premium territory and failing to hold above it. A key swing high was formed on June 13, in perfect confluence with:
🔻 Q2 0.75 level
🟥 Quarterly Premium Zone
📉 Bond market divergence (ZB1! failed to confirm ZF1!/ZN1! strength)
🗣️ (Not a bond expert, just observing behavior)
This type of confluence has historically preceded liquidity draws back to EQ or even discount levels.
📐 Levels I’m Watching
Q1 Mid (~20,975): Strong magnet if we break lower
Q2 EQ (~19,975): Next likely draw if structure shifts
MOOD (~21,460): Holding above this pauses deeper sell bias
Q2 Premium Zone (22,300–22,500): Rejection zone and CPI swing high (June 11-13)
Discount Block (18,300–17,500): Long-term liquidity void if momentum builds
❌ Invalidation
NQ reclaims and holds above 22,300–22,500
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is NOT financial advice. All content shared is speculative and intended for educational or entertainment purposes only. Futures trading carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making trading decisions.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/18/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 21940.50
- PR Low: 21863.00
- NZ Spread: 173.50
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
14:00 | FOMC Economic Projections
- FOMC Statement
- Fed Interest Rate Decision
14:30 | FOMC Press Conference
AMP margins increase to 25% for expected FOMC volatility spike
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 6/18)
- Session Open ATR: 375.35
- Volume: 31K
- Open Int: 213K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -3.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Bulls Teasing a Breakout – But Watch That 4H RSI Divergence We’re at a decision point here on NQ.
📌 Bullish case: We’ve got a clean inverse H&S on the 5-min sitting right on the weekly pivot. If we reclaim the daily pivot and the 30-min VWAP (red line), we could get a squeeze toward 21,960, where prior supply sits.
📉 Bearish case: A break below 21,650 cracks the head and confirms downside toward 21,480.
⚠️ Don’t ignore that 4H RSI divergence. Momentum is fading. If buyers want this, they’ve got to show up now.
📊 Timeframes used:
4H: macro momentum divergence
30M: chop zone with directional potential
5M: inverse H&S near key support
1M: low timeframe momentum shift
🔭 Scenarios plotted for both directions. Choose your trigger.
#nasdaq #futures #MNQ #tradingstrategy #priceaction #headandshoulders #vwap
2025-06-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Big up, big down, big confusion. Market rallies 500 points yesterday and today we get a late bear breakout and close below 22000. Traps on both sides and I am not believing in bear strength what so ever. I see this as a triangle and 22000 is the middle. Chop chop.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21700 - 22300
bull case: Bulls want to stay above 21900 and print a higher low to then re-test 22300. Today they were weak and let the bears close below 22000 which was unexpected, giving yesterday’s bullishness. Tomorrow we have FOMC and I doubt market can move far from 22000 tomorrow. Any longs closer to 21800 make sense.
Invalidation is below 21680.
bear case: Bears left behind a gap up to 22015 but I doubt it can stay open. We have to decent trend lines below us and bears would need to break strongly below 21900 to try and go for 800 or even 700. Bears do not have any arguments to go below 21700 so I won’t make up any. That doesn’t mean it can not happen but it’s unlikely.
Invalidation is above 22230.
short term: Completely neutral around 22000. Only interested in longs below 21900 and shorts closer to 22100.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-15: Daily close below 21450 is my validation for the new bear trend which has the first bigger target at 21000 but I think we will printed below 20000 again this year. Structure is obviously not yet bearish, so don’t be early if you want confirmation and can’t/won’t scale in to shorts higher.
trade of the day: Buy low, sell high and scalp. Clear range 22000 - 22100 and the late bear breakout was ok if you made your money before. I do think it was unusual that we did not close the gap to y close 22176.