TONUSDT BUY SETUP 3h chart analysisBased on your TON/USDT 3H chart, here’s the detailed analysis and trade setup:
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Chart Analysis – TON/USDT (3H Timeframe)
The chart shows a clear change of character (CHoCH) and bullish reversal structure.
The price is currently in a corrective move, and you're anticipating a bullish accumulation near the demand zone.
A liquidity sweep of the previous low (around 2.60) is expected before a bullish impulse.
Final projection targets the 4.20 resistance, which aligns with the previous supply zone and imbalance.
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Trade Plan (Buy Setup)
Entry Point (Buy):
Around 2.55 – 2.65 USDT
(inside the lower blue demand zone after potential liquidity grab)
Stop Loss (SL):
Below 2.40 USDT
(beneath the weak low and invalidation of bullish structure)
Take Profit 1 (TP1):
Around 3.50 USDT
(near minor resistance and recent CHoCH level)
Final Target (TP2):
Around 4.20 USDT
(major supply zone and swing high area)
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TONUSDT trade ideas
TON Long???📈 Price Action Overview:
Asset: USDT Pair (Exact asset not specified, assuming it's a crypto token)
Current Price: ~$2.99
Previous High: ~$4.08
Swing Low: ~$2.36
🔍 Chart Patterns & Structure:
Rising Wedge (Bearish Breakdown)
Formed after the impulsive rally from $2.36 to $4.08.
Price broke down from the wedge, confirming bearish sentiment and starting a corrective phase.
Descending Triangle / Falling Wedge (Potential Reversal)
Price consolidating around the $2.8 - $3.0 region.
A slight bullish divergence seen (explained in RSI section).
🔢 Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
Drawn from swing low ($2.36) to swing high ($4.08):
0.236: $3.58
0.382: $3.31
0.5: $3.10
0.786: $2.65
1.0: $2.36 (full retracement)
Currently trading between 0.786 and 0.5 Fib zones, in a key support area.
🟣 Support & Resistance Zones:
Major Resistance:
$4.08 (swing high)
$3.58 - $3.60 (Fib 0.236)
Current Resistance:
$3.10 (Fib 0.5)
$3.31 (Fib 0.382)
Support Zone (highlighted purple):
$2.80 (horizontal support)
$2.65 (Fib 0.786)
$2.36 (previous low)
📊 RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Current RSI: 49.16 (Neutral zone)
Key Observation:
Bullish Divergence: RSI made higher lows while price made lower lows around April 7–12.
Trendline Support on RSI: An ascending trendline suggests building bullish momentum.
May hint at a short-term reversal or bounce.
🔮 Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
Bounce from $2.8-$2.9 support area.
Break above $3.10 = likely push to $3.31 or higher.
RSI breaking above 50 would confirm bullish momentum.
Bearish Case:
Failure to hold above $2.80 support.
Breakdown toward $2.65 or even $2.36 (swing low).
RSI dipping below the rising trendline = loss of bullish strength.
✅ Conclusion:
Currently in a critical demand zone.
Early signs of a bullish reversal forming (thanks to RSI divergence).
If buyers hold $2.80 and push past $3.10, a short-term uptrend is likely.
Watch volume + RSI for confirmation.
$2.888 tp TARGET ON THIS TONUSDT LONGI have been long from $2.8256 and following by keeping my TSP 1% behind and this last 3 hours has turned into a nice bounce on the 5/15/30 min charts and of course now the 1H chart. As long as BTC (again) does not create a drag I think this should resolve to the upside. For me I am already in profit and my static SL won't let me lose, you to.. GL
Lingrid | TONUSDT inverse HEAD and SHOULDERS patternThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . It reached the target zone. OKX:TONUSDT appears to be forming a consolidation zone between 2.70 and 4.20 on the daily timeframe. The market has bounced off this range twice before and there is a possibilty the price to rebound again. Since the price reached the key support zone, it's likely that the market may continue to move sideways for a while suggesting potential bounce off. Additionally, the formation of an inverse head and shoulders pattern suggests a possible reversal ahead. If TON remains above the 2.75 level, it could potentially make an upward move toward the top of the range zone. My mid-term goal is resistance zone 4.20
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Short Position TON/USDT🔻 TON/USDT – Key Rejection at Supply Zone
The price just tapped into the Possible Short Zone (3.226–3.348) and is showing early signs of rejection.
📉 Short Bias Activated
This zone aligns with a prior breakdown level + unfilled imbalance, making it a prime area for institutional sell interest.
🔹 Entry Area: 3.225 – 3.348
🔹 Target: 2.770 (⚠️ Major demand zone)
🔹 Risk Invalidation: Clean break above 3.348
🧠 Why it matters:
This move is textbook liquidity engineering—pullback into prior supply, where smart money might reload shorts before a potential move toward the 2.77 demand floor.
Here is Why We are Bearish on TON/USDT (Weekly Chart)Technical Analysis (Weekly Chart)
Current Price Action
TON/USDT is currently trading at $2.90.
After a false breakout on the upside, the weekly candle reversed, confirming the continuation of the prevailing downtrend.
The price has started moving lower again, aligning with the broader market correction.
Trade Setup (Short Position)
Entry: $2.90 (current market price)
Stop Loss: $3.435 (above recent resistance to manage risk)
Take Profit: $2.345 (targeting a strong support level)
Risk Management
Do not risk more than you can afford to lose.
The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, making this setup suitable for bearish traders.
Fundamental Analysis
Macroeconomic Factors Affecting TON
The overall crypto market has been under pressure due to recent macroeconomic events, and TON has not been immune to these factors:
1. Impact of U.S. Tariffs & Market Sell-Off
U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent tariff announcements led to a historic $5 trillion stock market loss, triggering a broad sell-off across crypto.
TON/USDT has also faced downward pressure, aligning with the broader market’s bearish sentiment.
2. Regulatory Risks
TON's history with the SEC crackdown has made it a target for regulatory scrutiny, adding uncertainty for investors.
Although TON has since evolved into Free TON, regulatory overhang continues to limit long-term confidence in the project.
3. Market Sentiment & Adoption Challenges
Unlike major Layer-1 blockchains such as Ethereum or Solana, TON has limited DeFi adoption and lacks strong institutional backing.
While it benefits from Telegram’s initial branding, the lack of a direct connection to Telegram post-2020 weakens its value proposition.
Bearish Outlook for TON
Given the technical rejection at higher levels and the ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, TON is likely to face further downside pressure in the coming weeks.
If TON breaks below $2.345, the next major support level could be $2.00, further extending the bearish trend.
Conclusion
TON/USDT is showing bearish momentum on the weekly chart. Combined with macroeconomic headwinds and regulatory uncertainties, the price is likely to continue its downward trajectory. Traders can consider a short position at $2.90, with a stop loss at $3.435 and a profit target of $2.345.
Long Possible Zone TON/USDT⚡ Toncoin (TON/USDT) – Bullish Reversal in Play? 📈
TON just tapped into a high-confluence Long Zone between $2.80 – $2.337, which acted as a powerful demand area during the last consolidation phase in late March. After a sharp drop today, price is now sitting at a key decision level. 🟢
🔹 Long Zone: $2.80 – $2.337
🔹 Historical Support: Held in late March before a significant run
🔹 Target: $4.20
📈 If price holds this zone, we could see a strong bullish reversal toward the $4.20 region or above. The descending wedge pattern hints at a textbook accumulation-to-expansion setup—but only with proper confirmation. 🚀
🟢 High reward-to-risk setup for swing traders watching for trend shifts.
⚠️ Don’t rush in. Look for signs of strength before entering.
Are you bullish on TON/USDT? Let’s discuss! 👇
TON/USDT – LONG Setup
✅ Entry Zone: $3.00 – $3.30
📍 Current Price: ~$3.30
🎯 Targets:
• T1: $4.515
• T2: $6.038
• T3: $7.857
🔻 Stop Loss: $2.60
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Price action shows reversal signs after a sharp drop into a weekly support block.
Structure suggests a potential double bottom with bullish engulfing confirmation forming.
Clean breakout above $3.60 would validate continuation toward $4.5 and above.
🚀 Strategic Note:
A break and hold above the $3.80 resistance would likely accelerate momentum. Ideal for swing traders targeting medium-term gains.
TON USDT Buy Setup 1. Price Action and Trend Analysis
• Current Price and Movement: The current price of TONUSDT is 3.2440, down by 2.72% (as shown in the header). The chart shows a recent decline from a high of around 3.58777 (marked on the chart).
• Trend: The price appears to be in a downtrend after hitting a peak. However, the chart also shows a potential ascending triangle pattern (a bullish continuation pattern) with higher lows forming around the 2.35877 and 2.65256 levels and a resistance zone between 3.1010 and 3.24439 (highlighted in purple).
• Key Levels:
• Support: Around 2.35877 to 2.65256 (previous lows and the lower trendline of the ascending triangle).
• Resistance: The purple zone between 3.1010 and 3.24439, which the price is currently testing.
• Recent High: 3.58777 (a potential target if the price breaks above resistance).
• Recent Low: 2.35877 (a critical support level if the price continues to decline).
2. Volume Analysis
• The chart includes volume bars at the bottom, but they are not explicitly labeled. Generally, in a pattern like an ascending triangle, you’d want to see increasing volume on upward moves (indicating buying pressure) and decreasing volume on pullbacks (indicating lack of selling pressure). From the chart, volume appears relatively stable, with no significant spikes, suggesting a lack of strong momentum in either direction at the moment.
3. Indicators
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is shown in the lower panel, currently at 41.01.
• RSI below 50 indicates bearish momentum, but it’s not yet in oversold territory (below 30). This suggests the price could still decline further before a potential reversal.
• The RSI has been trending downward recently, aligning with the price decline from the 3.58777 high.
4. Pattern Analysis: Ascending Triangle
• The chart shows an ascending triangle pattern, which is typically a bullish continuation pattern:
• Higher Lows: The price has formed higher lows at 2.35877, 2.65256, and 2.80841, indicating buyers stepping in at higher levels.
• Flat Resistance: The price has repeatedly tested the resistance zone around 3.1010 to 3.24439 but failed to break above it decisively.
• Implication: If the price breaks above the 3.24439 resistance with strong volume, it could target the recent high of 3.58777 or higher. The potential target for an ascending triangle breakout is often calculated by measuring the height of the triangle (from the base to the top) and projecting it upward from the breakout point:
• Height of triangle: Approximately 3.24439 - 2.35877 = 0.88562.
• Potential target if breakout occurs: 3.24439 + 0.88562 ≈ 4.13001.
5. Liquidity Levels
• The chart marks liquidity levels with numbers in parentheses, such as (3.58777), (2.80841), etc. These likely represent stop-loss or take-profit levels where liquidity might be clustered:
• Above the current price (e.g., 3.58777), there may be sell-stop orders or take-profit levels from short positions.
• Below the current price (e.g., 2.35877), there may be buy-stop orders or stop-loss levels from long positions.
• The price often moves toward these liquidity zones to “hunt” stops before reversing, so a drop below 3.1010 could target the 2.80841 or 2.65256 levels.
TONUSDT | Bottom Finder Strategy + Fibonacci Extension OutlookThis chart shows a technical setup for OKX:TONUSDT using the Bottom Finder Strategy combined with enhanced Pressure Difference Cycles and Fibonacci Extensions for potential upside projections.
🔍 Key Highlights:
Current Price: ~$3.30
Buy Signal Triggered: Following a long downtrend, the strategy indicated a strong buy at around $2.35, suggesting a possible macro bottom.
Sell Signal: A major sell-off occurred previously near the $6.82 range, aligning with local top exhaustion and heavy pressure divergence.
Fibonacci Extensions:
1.618 target: $9.48
2.618 target: $13.78
3.618 target: $18.08
4.236 target: $20.73
📈 Potential Gain: If this move plays out as projected, price could rally up to ~$20.61, marking a 504.98% increase from current levels.
⚠️ Note: Midterm election cycle volatility and macroeconomic uncertainty (including impacts from President Trump’s policy outlook) could drive short-term downside risk. Historically, such cycles have introduced unpredictable market swings, so I’m personally opting not to hold through the midterms.
🔗 Conclusion: This setup offers massive upside potential, but be cautious.
Best of luck to all holders and traders! 💹
TON DAILY ANALYSISHi friends,
Today, we analyzed the TON chart in the Daily time frame. As marked on the chart, we had an important support level at the price of $4.63, which was broken two months ago.
It had a short squeeze and later, with the news of Paul Dorov, it had a good recovery, which failed to activate the daily V pattern.
Also, we have a daily resistance trend line that has rejected the price multiple times.
With current price action, we have a good level for shorting it below $3.33.
Is TONUSDT about drop 20%? Short Alert!Historically, the average drop after a conformed trend break through my 1D chart EMA resulted in a 20% drop in price. We could see that here. TONUSDT has been is a nice uptrend and performing well, but people do take profits so when so air comes out, sometimes in adds selling pressure I think, and then we get the crowd that panics. Bingo! The institutional players and market makers will try to get filled long again and as a byproduct liquidate more people. Hence the larger drops when they happen. Enjoy!
Lingrid | TONUSDT bearish DIVERGENCE at Resistance ZoneOKX:TONUSDT market has formed a double top in the resistance zone, accompanied by a bearish divergence at the resistance zone and channel border. It failed to break above the psychological level of 4.00 forming a fake breakout. Additionally, the price has broken and closed below the upward trendline after taking liquidity above last week's high. This suggests that the market is likely gearing up for a corrective phase. I anticipate that the price may move lower towards the lower levels, possibly retesting the 3.00 supporrt level. My goal is support zone around 3.30
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
TON Goes Against the Grain?CRYPTOCAP:TON is one of the few tokens in the green while the broader market trades in red. Why?
- After a prolonged slump (in March, 100% of holders were at a loss), the token is bouncing back, with 10% of addresses now in profit.
- Just yesterday, 1.1M CRYPTOCAP:TON were pulled off exchanges — a sign of accumulation and dwindling sell pressure.
- The price is sitting at $4.13 with a 24h volume of $353M, up 6.9% for the week.
It seems CRYPTOCAP:TON might have a surprise up its sleeve!
The next major resistance is in the $4.80–$5.20 range — will it break through?
TON Long TrrigerTONUSDT | Bullish Retest & Fibonacci Confluence 🚀
TON has recently pushed into new highs, forming a strong uptrend on the 15-minute timeframe. The price is currently pulling back into key Fibonacci retracement levels, creating a potential long entry opportunity.
🔹 Technical Analysis:
✅ Trendline Support: The price is respecting an ascending dashed trendline, indicating bullish structure continuation.
✅ Fibonacci Levels: The 0.382 ($4.0286) and 0.5 ($3.9923) levels align with key support zones.
✅ EMA Confluence: Price is interacting with the 7, 25, and 99 EMAs, suggesting a possible bounce.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Immediate Support: $4.0286 (Fib 0.382)
🔹 Stronger Support: $3.9923 (Fib 0.5)
🔹 Breakout Resistance: $4.0740 (Fib 0.236)
🔹 Major Target: $4.1486
🚀 Long Setup Confirmation:
A strong bounce from the Fibonacci retracement levels ($4.0286–$3.9923) with increasing volume could confirm a long entry. A break above $4.0740 would signal bullish continuation towards $4.1486 and beyond.
🔻 Invalidation & Risk Management:
A break below $3.9563 (Fib 0.618) could invalidate this setup.
A stop-loss can be placed below this level to minimize risk.
If the trend holds, TON could be gearing up for another leg up! Watch for a strong reaction at key Fibonacci levels.
#TON #Crypto #Trading #LongSetup #TechnicalAnalysis 🚀