Get started

TON / UST

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Markets

TONUST trade ideas

TONUSDT Breaks Out of Bearish Grip! Is a Bullish Rally?🔎 1. Key Pattern: Descending Trendline Breakout + Reaccumulation Zone After months of downward pressure, TONUSDT has successfully broken above a dominant descending trendline that has been acting as resistance since December 2024. ✅ This breakout occurred with a strong bullish candle and aligns perfectly with a significant historical resistance zone (around $3.00–$3.12). 📌 The area also overlaps with the Fibonacci retracement levels (0.5–0.618) — a zone where trend reversals often occur. This indicates that the move isn't just noise — it might be the start of a mid-term bullish trend. --- 🧱 2. Consolidation Box = Reaccumulation Zone TONUSDT spent nearly 4 months ranging sideways between $2.80 and $3.20, forming a clear reaccumulation range. 🔁 This kind of price action often precedes a strong breakout, as smart money accumulates before the next leg up. 🟨 This box now acts as a critical demand/support zone for any potential pullbacks. --- 📏 3. Key Levels to Watch (Support & Resistance) ✅ Bullish Targets (Resistance Levels): 🔹 $3.5404 → Immediate resistance 🔹 $4.0492 → Major resistance to break 🔹 $4.6460 🔹 $5.1961 🔹 $5.9429 🔹 $6.9065 🔹 Local High: $7.2311 🔻 Support Levels: 🔸 $3.1248 – $3.0099 → Key Fibonacci support (0.5–0.618) 🔸 $2.8000 → Bottom of reaccumulation range 🔸 $2.3290 → Major support (also the cycle low) --- 📈 Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias) If price holds above the key zone at $3.00–$3.12, we could see: A move towards $3.54 USDT Breakout above $3.54 opens the door to $4.05 → $4.64 → $5.19 and beyond A clear structure of higher highs and higher lows confirms trend reversal Momentum remains strong as long as price respects the breakout zone. --- 📉 Bearish Scenario (Alternative Case to Watch) If price fails to hold above $3.00 and breaks back below $2.80: This would suggest a false breakout Momentum may shift bearish again Price could revisit the $2.32 support, negating the bullish setup A return to sideways or even downtrend structure is possible --- 🧩 Strategic Conclusion TONUSDT has broken out of a key descending trendline and reclaimed a strong structural zone, indicating early signs of a bullish cycle. 📊 Key Levels to Monitor Closely: Support (validation zone): $3.00–$3.12 Immediate resistance: $3.54 Mid-term targets: $4.05 → $5.19 and higher > As long as TON stays above the golden zone (Fibonacci 0.5–0.618), bulls have the upper hand. --- 📘 Pro Tips for Traders: Watch for volume confirmation during retests Be patient for pullback entries or breakout confirmations Manage risk — don’t FOMO blindly #TONUSDT #TONCOIN #CryptoBreakout #AltcoinAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #TON #Reaccumulation #BreakoutSetup #FibonacciSupport #BullishReversal #TONBullish
Long
by CryptoNuclear
TON/USDT - ATH !!!TON/USDT has been in a sideways consolidation phase for over 100 days, tightly ranging between the $2.90–$3.50 zone. This prolonged accumulation is forming a solid base structure, often seen before major trend reversals in high-cap altcoins. Recent price action is beginning to show early signs of bullish momentum, with buyers gradually stepping in and volume starting to rise. This area is historically significant and marks a high-probability entry zone, especially if the market confirms the breakout.
Long
by Captain-MAO
TONUSDT Bullish Reversal from Demand with QFL Base | MMC Setup📊 Technical Breakdown – 4H Chart ✅ Overview TON/USDT is exhibiting early signs of a bullish reversal after a structured decline into a key smart money demand zone. The setup reflects multiple layers of confirmation—QFL base, multi-supply absorption, liquidity inefficiencies, and a positive reversal pattern—suggesting a high-probability opportunity for upside. 🔹 1. Impulsive Move & Liquidity Sweep Price rallied aggressively on July 22–23, pushing toward $3.60, breaking short-term highs and triggering liquidity grabs above recent consolidation zones. This surge absorbed significant buy-side liquidity, leaving a supply zone behind, now marked as the Next Reversal Zone. After liquidity was collected and orders filled, the market reversed sharply, consistent with institutional profit-taking or engineered liquidation traps. 🧠 Smart Money Insight: Institutions often push price into illiquid zones (above highs) to trap retail and fill large orders. This marks the first phase of the trap. 🔻 2. QFL Base and Multi-Supply Absorption The price structure created a Quick Flip Level (QFL) — a smart money concept where price forms a base, drops, then rallies, leaving behind an institutional demand zone. The current pullback has revisited this exact QFL base, now reinforced by 3x supply absorption, enhancing the zone's strength. This confluence increases the probability of a strong reaction to the upside from this level. 📌 Note: The “If Cross 3x Supply” label shows that this zone has absorbed multiple attempts to break down. It's now acting as a demand pocket. 🔄 3. Reversal Area – The Engine Room of Smart Money The Reversal Area is carefully marked at $3.20–$3.28 — the ideal discounted price zone where large buyers tend to step in. This zone is structurally important: Past breakout level Aligned with QFL base Beneath stop levels of breakout traders A Positive Pattern has now formed within this area—likely a bullish engulfing, morning star, or pin bar, depending on candle confirmation. 📌 Psychology: This zone acts as a trap. Retail traders often panic sell here, while smart money accumulates quietly before launching price upward again. 🧭 4. Dual Scenario Structure – Projected Paths You’ve beautifully mapped two valid future price scenarios based on reaction to the Central Reversal Zone (~$3.35): 🔵 Scenario 1 – Healthy Pullback Before Continuation Price climbs toward the central zone, then pulls back slightly to retest support near $3.28–$3.30 (label 1). This allows further accumulation before price breaks higher. This is a safer re-entry scenario for patient traders looking for a retest. 🟢 Scenario 2 – Direct Impulsive Rally to Next Reversal Zone Price continues with bullish momentum, slicing through $3.35 and aiming for the Next Reversal Zone at $3.52–$3.60 (label 2). This zone contains remaining liquidity, left uncollected from the previous impulse. Price is likely to reverse or pause at this level again due to heavy supply. 📌 Key Tip: If price reaches that zone without significant resistance or exhaustion, it may signal continuation potential with minor corrections. 💼 Strategic Trade Plan (High-Probability Setup) Entry Zone: $3.20 – $3.28 (Reversal Area) Stop-Loss: Below $3.15 (beneath structure + QFL base invalidation) Target 1: $3.35 (Central Reversal Zone) Target 2: $3.52–$3.60 (Liquidity Completion & Next Reversal Zone) 🧮 Risk-Reward Estimate: Conservative: 1:1.8 Aggressive: 1:2.5 or better if price reaches high liquidity zone. 🔄 MMC Flow Summary – What the Market Makers Are Doing: Create a trap at the top (collect liquidity and fake the trend) Force price down into demand (scare retail + grab stops) Absorb sell orders in bulk at QFL/demand zone Form bullish reversal pattern (positive structure) Push price upward again, aiming for uncollected liquidity above 📌 This is a classic MMC cycle — engineered by large players, and now you’re aligned with their strategy. 🧠 Why This Matters This chart isn’t just about entry and exit; it’s about understanding the underlying psychology and structure. By aligning with the smart money footprint — QFL, supply absorption, and liquidity targeting — you're maximizing edge and minimizing guesswork.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
TONUSDT TON is respecting a rising trendline while holding strong above the key SMA stack. The recent pullback found support right at the 55 SMA, showing potential for bullish continuation. Technical Overview • Price trending above the 55/110/220 SMA stack — all sloping upward • Bounce from 110 & 220 SMA confirms bullish control • MACD (20, 50, 21) turning up with histogram above 0 • Volume (TC) shows renewed buyer activity Setup Summary • Bias: Bullish continuation • Entry: From 55 SMA support • Target Zone: 3.77 – 4.20 • Invalidation: Break below 220 SMA or trendline • Trade Style: Swing (1–2 week hold) Tactical Takeaway Clean structure, stacked moving averages, and momentum alignment. No hype — just tactical execution.
Long
by Wavetrendtrading
#TON Update #5 – July 27, 2025#TON Update #5 – July 27, 2025 TON has moved below its last impulsive wave, initiating a bearish phase on the 4-hour chart. The presence of long wicks may be a sign of significant trapped positions, likely indicating that whales have already closed out their trades in this zone. Based on the 4-hour chart, Ton’s bearish shift and the following correction point to a new target at the $2.88 level. Keep in mind this analysis applies only to the 4-hour timeframe, not the daily. You should consider the timeframe in which you're trading. As long as TON does not break above the $3.60 level and close a candle with a new high, it will remain bearish on the 4-hour chart. Therefore, I do not recommend any trades on TON at the moment.
by BTCETH2X
Lingrid | TONUSDT Potential Rebound from Support ZoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . OKX:TONUSDT is testing support after pulling back from the consolidation zone and forming a higher low above key structure. The chart shows a breakout from the downward trendline followed by a corrective retracement back toward confluence support. As long as price stays above 2.903, a bounce and renewed move toward 3.595 remains the base case. Structure favors bullish continuation after the retest of the breakout level. 📉 Key Levels Buy trigger: Break and hold above 3.200 Buy zone: 2.903 – 3.050 Target: 3.595 Invalidation: Break below 2.903 💡 Risks Failure to hold confluence of upward trendline and horizontal support Weak follow-through above 3.2 could indicate distribution Resistance at 3.595 may trigger renewed selling before breakout If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
4
TONUSDT Analysis – Trendline Breakout Target To Reversal Area🧠 Market Sentiment & Context: TONUSDT (Toncoin vs USDT) is currently trading at $3.13, showing signs of compression within a well-defined MMC structure. After forming a clear QFL (Quick Flip Level) base, the market is approaching a decisive breakout level, with a strong rejection or breakout likely in the coming days. This chart displays confluence from trendlines, channel breaks, central zones, and QFL demand zones, providing multiple layers of structure-based decision-making. Here's a deeper dive 👇 🔍 Technical Breakdown – What the Chart Is Telling Us: 🔸 1. Major Trendline Resistance – Bearish Control Zone The descending trendline drawn from prior highs is acting as dynamic resistance. Price tested this line recently and faced rejection, showing that sellers are still active. However, the consolidation below the trendline suggests accumulation, not panic selling — a classic sign of smart money positioning before a breakout. 🔸 2. Previous Channel Structure – Broken & Retested The price previously moved inside a slightly rising parallel channel, reflecting a slow and steady bullish phase. The channel has now been broken, but TON quickly reclaimed structure via a strong bullish engulfing candle from the QFL base, hinting that this was a liquidity grab (stop hunt) before the real move. 🔸 3. QFL (Quantity Following Line) – Institutional Demand Zone The QFL base at around $2.85–$3.00 was created after a swift sell-off followed by immediate bullish response. This is a high-probability MMC reversal structure, where large buyers typically enter. Since this QFL held firm, it has created a solid foundation for bullish momentum, provided the trendline is eventually broken. 🧭 What's Happening Now – Price Action Update: Price is caught between two major Central Zones: Lower Zone: $2.85 – $3.15 (Support) Upper Zone: $3.50 – $3.70 (Resistance) The current movement shows price creating higher lows, indicating bullish pressure building beneath the trendline. Volume remains low, which means the market is waiting for a catalyst (news or breakout) before a directional push. 📌 Key Reversal Zone Ahead – Eyes on $4.20 to $4.40 If price breaks and closes above the descending trendline and crosses the upper central zone, we can anticipate a strong bullish move toward the Next Reversal Zone marked around $4.20–$4.40. This zone has historical confluence as: Previous strong supply zone Psychological round number Fibonacci extension alignment This will likely be the profit-booking area for swing traders and early buyers from the QFL zone. 📈 Trade Scenarios Based on MMC: ✅ Bullish Scenario (High Probability If Breakout) Price breaks the trendline → Pullback → Retest of $3.50–$3.60 zone Bullish continuation to $4.20–$4.40 Reversal Zone Ideal entry on retest after breakout Stop-loss below $3.00 ❌ Bearish Scenario (If Rejected Again) Rejection from trendline leads to re-test of lower Central Zone Breakdown of QFL level (~$2.85) would invalidate bullish setup Potential drop toward $2.60 zone for liquidity sweep 🧠 MMC-Based Observations: 🔹 MMC Element 📍 Explanation 🔺 Trendline Key resistance from macro downtrend 🟩 Central Zones Neutral battleground for buyers/sellers 🔻 Channel Break Confirmed bearish momentum earlier, now tested ✅ QFL Strong base, showing early smart money entries 🎯 Reversal Zone High-risk area, expect volatility and profit-taking 📌 Strategic Summary: Bias: Bullish (as long as price holds above $3.00) Confirmation Needed: Daily candle close above trendline & $3.50 zone Target 1: $3.85 Target 2: $4.20–$4.40 (main reversal) Invalidation: Close below $2.85 (QFL loss) 🚨 Final Thoughts: TONUSDT is showing clear smart money footprints via the QFL formation and trendline pressure. The setup is ideal for MMC-based breakout traders waiting for confirmation before entering. Volume spike + trendline break will likely spark the next impulsive rally. Stay patient, and trade the reaction, not the prediction.
by GoldMasterTrades
TONUSDT Analysis – Trendline Breakout | Liquidity| Arc + Target📈 Chart Summary: The TONUSDT 30-minute chart presents a clean smart-money setup after a trendline breakout, volume absorption, and liquidity fill, supported by a beautifully formed ARC accumulation pattern. This structure hints at institutional involvement and a strategic roadmap for the next probable moves. 🔎 Technical Components Breakdown 1️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Shift in Structure Price had been following a descending trendline with multiple touches, establishing bearish market structure. Eventually, that trendline was violently broken to the upside, signaling a change in character (CHOCH) – one of the first signs of a potential bullish reversal. The breakout candle was strong, with a wide body and notable bullish volume. This often indicates institutional interest or engineered breakout via a stop-hunt. 2️⃣ Volume Absorption – Smart Money Accumulation After the breakout, the price didn't immediately rally. Instead, it consolidated with wicks on both sides – a sign of volume absorption. This is where smart money absorbs opposing orders, typically absorbing sellers before a larger directional move. This consolidation confirmed the idea of liquidity engineering – they trap liquidity (shorts) and use it as fuel. 3️⃣ Liquidity Filled – Stop Hunt Behavior A sharp wick into previous highs grabbed resting liquidity, filling orders and sweeping stop losses. This action invalidated weak resistance, setting up the platform for a larger move. 🧠 Conceptual Structure – ARC Play & Reversal Dynamics ✅ ARC Formation – Rounded Accumulation Base The light green arc highlights the rounded bottom, a common technical pattern representing accumulation over time. This kind of base often indicates that smart money is building positions silently, especially after a significant downtrend. In this context, the ARC acts as a dynamic support, and the structure mimics the reversal of market sentiment from bearish to bullish. 🌀 FMFR Zone – “First Move Fake, Then Reversal” Labeled FMFR zone between 3.22–3.26 signifies a potential trap setup. The expectation is a manipulated downward move (fakeout) that will be quickly reversed, catching breakout sellers off-guard. Smart traders can use this as a high-probability re-entry zone by waiting for wick rejection, engulfing candles, or bullish divergences. 📍 Short-Term Targets & Zones 🟩 Next Mini Reversal Zone – 3.38 to 3.42 This is a probable area for minor pullback or distribution, especially for scalpers or short-term trades. Price may stall here due to earlier supply and psychological round levels. 🟦 Remaining Liquidity Zones – 3.55 to 3.63 Higher timeframe liquidity remains uncollected above. If bullish momentum continues with support from volume and structure, expect price to sweep these levels next. These zones are ideal for medium-term swing targets. 🧾 Trade Setup Idea (Not Financial Advice) Item Details Entry On rejection/confirmation within FMFR zone (3.22–3.26) Stop-Loss Below arc support or structural low (3.18 area) TP1 3.38 (Mini reversal zone) TP2 3.55 (Liquidity target 1) TP3 3.63+ (Extended target) 📘 Market Psychology in Action Fear/Greed Play: Initial selloff invited fear, smart money accumulates quietly via the arc. Fakeout traps greed and late shorts. Trap-Reversal Model: FMFR zones exploit retail stops, offering entries for institutional players. Liquidity Mapping: The chart clearly maps how price is attracted to uncollected liquidity zones – a classic order flow approach.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Toncoin Wave Analysis – 25 July 2025- Toncoin reversed from resistance level 3.5585 - Likely to fall to support level 3.0000 Toncoin cryptocurrency recently reversed down from the key resistance level 3.5585 (which is the upper boundary of the sideways price range inside which the price has been trading from April). The key resistance level 3.5585 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band. Given the strongly bearish crypto sentiment seen today, Toncoin cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next round support level 3.0000 (former resistance from the start of July).
Short
by FxProGlobal
TON: The Bullish harmonic pattern could push TON back upTON: The Bullish harmonic pattern could push TON back up On the Daily Chart, TON completed a strong harmonic upward move near 2.7500. The price has been holding in this area since early February 2025. It looks like this was the end and the price is rallying before making another upward move. I am looking for two targets. The first is near 4.60 which also corresponds to a strong structure area and the second is near 6 where the price spent a long time around this area. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Long
by KlejdiCuni
6
TONUSDT Technical Analysis – Bearish Shift with Clean TargetMarket Context: TONUSDT recently showed strong bullish momentum, breaking multiple structure levels (noted as BOS – Break of Structure), indicating a clear uptrend. However, the most recent price action reveals a sharp rejection from the resistance zone around 3.55–3.60, marking a significant trend reversal. Key Levels: Resistance: 3.55 – 3.60 Price tested this zone and was strongly rejected, forming a potential top. Demand Zone: 2.88 – 2.99 This zone provided previous accumulation and serves as a probable liquidity area and downside target. Target: 2.989 The chart marks this as the near-term bearish objective, aligning with the volume node and prior demand. Technical Signals: Multiple BOS (Break of Structure): Confirmed bullish structure earlier, but the latest BOS downward indicates a possible trend reversal. Volume Profile (VRVP): Shows high volume nodes around 3.00, suggesting strong market interest at lower levels — acting as a magnet for price. Bearish Market Structure: After the peak, the lower highs and lower lows pattern reflects short-term bearish dominance. Liquidity Grab & Selloff: The spike above resistance likely induced liquidity before a rapid selloff — classic distribution behavior. Outlook: If the market fails to reclaim levels above 3.35, a bearish continuation toward 2.989 remains likely. The demand zone (2.88–2.99) is a critical area where buyers may re-enter — look for reversal signals here. Conclusion: TONUSDT has shifted from bullish to bearish in the short term. A clean rejection from resistance and strong structural breaks suggest a move toward the 2.989 demand zone. Traders should watch for confirmation of support or continuation upon reaching this level.
Short
by Mentor_Michael03
Toncoin Update · A Closer Look · Major Move in the MakingConsider this, Toncoin has been growing steadily for fourteen days straight. The growth is slow, steady and patterned, but it keeps on happening. Notice no strong sudden jump but still, straight up. This is how the bottom is missed. At times, we buy and we are waiting for a sudden jump but this almost never happens. The way it works, in a bull market, we get a long drawn out build-up of bullish momentum. After weeks, or sometimes even months, of prices slowly rising, then we get the sudden jump. This is to say that we are getting close. Toncoin will continue in this pattern for days, can be weeks or even months; but at one point, there will be a major advance producing such amazing growth. Consider Bitcoin Cash on the daily timeframe for an example. There is one more thing we need to do but I will leave this for a different publication. We need to consider the true all-time high potential. As you might be aware, we've been looking together at "conservative" and "easy" targets for the next high and bullish wave, we are leaving this approach behind. Now it is wise for us to consider 'true' potential, 'optimistic' and 'real' targets, the highest possible, etc. So we are going to be looking at how far up Toncoin can go in the coming years and months. Your support is highly appreciated. The action now indicates that a major move is in the cards for this pair. If you want to catch one of those waves where you see +100% or +200% within weeks, you can sit on your TON tokens, this will be it. It is going to happen but keep in mind that patience is key. After you buy you hold, wait long and the market takes care of the rest. The wait is worth it when you consider the amazing profits and results that can be achieved. You deserve the best. Keep going; keep in insisting; keep trying, keep learning, keep pushing, keep growing. We are going to achieve our goals. If you stay around long enough, the market will give you exactly what you want. Money? peace of mind? More time to do the things you like? Not having to leave your home to work? It is possible with Crypto. Thanks a lot for your support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
2
#TON Update #4 – July 18, 2025#TON Update #4 – July 18, 2025 Toncoin (TON) has completed its correction following the last impulsive move and is now pushing upward again. Technically, the next major target sits around the $3.35 level. However, before reaching that level, TON faces a resistance at $3.27 — a level that has been tested multiple times in the past and may cause a temporary pullback. On the TON/BTC pair, the price still hasn’t broken above the 200 MA band, which remains a limiting factor for bullish momentum. For short-term traders: Entry: $3.17 Target: $3.27 Potential Gain: 3% This setup may offer a quick profit opportunity, but caution is advised.
Long
by BTCETH2X
TON/USDT | Another Bullish Move Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Toncoin chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that, as per yesterday’s analysis, the price climbed to $3.36 before facing a slight correction — which is perfectly normal since every strong bullish trend needs a healthy pullback. The $3.05–$3.20 zone could serve as a good accumulation area for buyers, and we may soon witness another impressive rally from Toncoin! Based on the previous analysis, the next targets are $3.63, $4.20, and $4.68. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
15