DXY OUTLOOKhello.
this is my view or the dwy in the next 2 days :)
hope you find this helpfull
i wil update in the mid week
DXY trade ideas
Price action If the 30 min candle close above the red line I'll resume selling Gbpusd currently sitting on my hands
What to Expect from CPI Data and the Key Dollar Levels to WatchDollar index trading in a tight range ahead of the CPI data.
US inflation is expected to rise by 0.1% on a yearly basis for both headline and core figures, reaching 2.4% and 2.9% respectively. Markets expect some of the effects of tariffs to begin showing up in this data.
There are both downside and upside risks to the release, but in our view, a slightly lower-than-expected result is more probable. Frontloading of goods before tariffs took place, slowing economic activity, downward price pressure in parts of the services sector due to weaker-than-usual tourism, lower energy costs, and ongoing disinflation suggest that the impact of tariffs may remain limited in this month’s data and possibly the next as well.
If the data remains unchanged and comes in below expectations, the initial reaction could be negative for the dollar due to rising rate cut expectations. However, unless there is a significant surprise in either direction, today’s data is unlikely to meaningfully change the Fed’s economic outlook or rate policy. The inflationary effects of tariffs are expected to appear gradually, due to the frontloading of goods ahead of the tariff implementation.
For the Dollar Index, the 97.90 and 99.10 levels will be key. If the downtrend breaks, the ongoing gradual decline of the dollar may pause, allowing for a limited rebound. However, a drop below 97.90 could trigger another leg down, similar to previous moves.
A side note on inflation:
Sometimes, year-on-year figures alone are not enough to provide a clear picture due to base effects. Starting this month, the base effect turns positive for yearly comparisons.
If inflation is to return to the 2% target steadily, month-on-month inflation needs to remain at or below 0.2%. For example, twelve consecutive months of 0.2% monthly inflation results in a 2.22% annual CPI. In contrast, twelve straight months of 0.3% monthly inflation would lead to a 3.35% annual rate.
DXY Analysis - Framing TradesHere is a DXY analysis and more guidance on how to frame trades using ICT concepts, at least the way I use it.
-R2F Trading
check the trendIt is expected that the correction trend will form up to the specified support zone, then there will be a possibility of a trend change. With the failure of the green resistance zone, confirmation of the bullish trend will be formed.
Possibility of uptrend It is expected that after some fluctuation and correction in the support area, a trend change will take place and we will witness the start of an upward trend. A break of the green resistance area will be a confirmation of the upward trend. Otherwise, the continuation of the corrective trend to the support areas will be possible.
USXUSD Potential HOTWI would like to see a H4 BOS on USX.
IF we get the H4 BOS, I am looking at a CPI & PPI Delivery lower for DXY towards April Lows.
Let's see....
DXY reversed upDXY reversed up.
I am assuming the dxy pattern as below, if there is a strong recovery in dxy then gold will fall sharply, I think gold to fall to 3000.
DXY DownHaven't posted here in quite awhile, however just have been following trends watching bonds, stocks and bitcoin/gold. Looking at the DXY it appears to have fallen below the 100-101 level support and has since been rejected by that region on a weekly time frame. The support/resistance levels and trends line within have been charted for years and left unchanged. RSI is in the oversold territory but that can remain low for quite a long time, especially if the trend changes. I think the DXY goes to 90 over the next 6 months to 1 year.
Bullish for stocks, bitcoin, gold etc. Who is the fastest horse?
Is the dollar's a trend or temporary?📊Technical Analysis for:
🕒 Timeframe:
📈 General Trend:
🔍 Analysis Summary:
We are currently observing a rebound from the 98.400 level.
• Major Support Level:
• Resistance Level:
• Technical Indicators: We note that this correction is due to divergence.
🎯 Suggested Entry and Exit Points:
✅ Entry: Upon a breakout/rebound from
⛔ Stop Loss:
🎯 Targets:
• First Target:
• Second Target:
📌 Recommendation:
– It is recommended to wait for confirmation of the technical signal before making a decision.
🛑 Disclaimer:
This analysis is not considered financial advice or a direct buy or sell recommendation. Do your own research and carefully consider risk management before making any decisions.
📥 Do you agree with this analysis? Share your opinion in the comments!
🔁 Follow me for daily analysis. ICEUS:DX1! ICEUS:DX1!
DXY: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 98.471 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 98.594.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Dollar - Still going for TargetAs mentioned in the video on Friday 2 min before NFP. We could run higher on the dollar and i didnt want it to take out the 4 hour candle as shown here.
Go back and see the video for reference. Link below
We should head towards the Target now and im still bearish dollar. Very Bearish
DXY Weekly ForecastDXY Weekly Forecast
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DXY's pullback is dueThe USD has been very weak, which means that a pullback is due. I won't be participating in shorting the USD this coming week despite the Fundamentals have been telling us. Seeing through the technical point of view, we 've seen that May's low had been purged last week. Price action is anticipated to make its way buyside. The full-bodied Daily bearish candle to the left at 100.500 is going to be the magnet for price to seek into mitigate next week.
dxy bearish ideadxy rejected from weekly fvg and expecting it to fall after tapping the volume imbalance which is also in the premium zone
dxy 1hr chart analaysis The current bullish trend in the DXY is likely to face a strong rejection around the 99.55–99.65 zone. Unless there is major news that significantly shifts the market direction — such as a surprise policy announcement like the tariffs introduced during Trump's era — the dollar index is not expected to break above that level. That zone could act as a major turning point, and a bearish reversal is likely to emerge from there
DOLLARThe relationship between the US dollar (USD), the 10-year Treasury bond yield, and bond prices is tightly interconnected and crucial for global markets.
1. 10-Year Bond Yield and Bond Price
Inverse Relationship:
As the yield on the 10-year Treasury rises, the price of the bond falls, and vice versa. This is because the bond’s coupon payment is fixed; when new bonds are issued with higher yields, existing bonds with lower coupons become less attractive, so their prices drop to compensate.
Recent Movement:
In May and early June 2025, the US 10-year Treasury yield rose from 4.18% to around 4.50%, a move of over 30 basis points, driven by strong economic data and expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep rates higher for longer.
2. 10-Year Bond Yield and the Dollar (DXY)
Direct Relationship:
Generally, when the 10-year Treasury yield rises, the US dollar strengthens. Higher yields attract foreign investment into US assets, increasing demand for USD.
Recent Example:
After the stronger-than-expected May jobs report, the 10-year yield jumped to 4.50% from 4.3% on thursday and the dollar index (DXY) also rose, reflecting investor expectations of prolonged high US rates and robust economic performance.
3. Bond Price and the Dollar
When bond prices fall (and yields rise), it often signals expectations for higher interest rates or inflation, both of which tend to support a stronger dollar as investors seek higher returns in USD assets.
Conversely, when bond prices rise (and yields fall), it can indicate economic uncertainty or expectations of rate cuts, which may weaken the dollar.
Key Takeaway
Rising 10-year Treasury yields lead to falling bond prices and typically a stronger US dollar, as higher yields attract global capital seeking better returns.
This dynamic is especially pronounced when strong US economic data or hawkish Fed expectations are in play, as seen in the recent market reaction to the robust US jobs report.
#dxy#dollar #gold
Short Term USD Strength This Week! Sell The Majors?This is the FOREX futures outlook for the week of Jun 8 - 12th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, and JPY.
USD gained some strength on Friday's job data. Talks with China this week may add to it. But I believe the bullishness will be short term.
Look for valid sells in EUR and GBP. Be cautious with AUD and NZD. CAD and CHF will also offer opportunities to sells.
CPI Data due Wed, making that day and the days that follow potentially the best trading days this week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DXY: Approaching a bottom. Wait for the 1D MA50 to break.The U.S. Dollar Index is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.278, MACD = -0.450, ADX = 23.415) as it seems to be approaching a long term support level, the bottom of the 12 month Channel Down. As long as it stays under the 1D MA50, the trend will remain bearish towards the bottom but once it crosses above, we will turn bullish and aim for a +9.95% bullish wave (TP = 107.000) same as the one before. Notice how similar the 1D RSI fractals are now and the previous bottom in September 2024.
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DXY 4hr chart Analaysis It is possible that the DXY may retrace back to the 101.208 level, which previously marked the beginning of a bearish move. Alternatively, it could also resume a bearish trend from its current level or around the 99.80 zone. The market at this point requires heightened caution.
A potential bearish entry could be considered if DXY breaks below the 98.66 – 98.30 support area. A clear break of this level would confirm a fully established bearish trend, with a likely continuation towards the 94.00 – 93.00 range. From there, a bullish momentum may be anticipated.
DXYWe are expecting Dollar strength this week short term.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
DXY dumpsAll assets with the dollar pair will continue to grind higher including commodity .....while DXY dips lower
