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IXIC trade ideas

NDQ/NDX/IXIC | Exactly the same (except the blow-off top)Please read to the end, for a probable explanation that falsifies this one. We are living the precise events that led up to the 2000 .com bubble burst and the subsequent 2001 recession. Now however, there was no blow-off-top event to make the two events identical. Back in 1998, there was a "black swan" event, which was more apparent in DJI/SPX. This was caused by a crisis in Russia's economy. In 2019, a world-wide crisis caused the well-known crash. The progress after it is completely identical. This can be further validated if you compare fundamentals. And also analyze DJI/SPX/NYA. Much of the damage may have already occurred. But much more pain remains, perhaps immense. Germany is about to collapse (or already collapsed). Also war, food/water crisis, inflation, a destroyed production chain, are not ingredients for growth. I am also adding this chart, which shows that probably the worst is coming, since it looks like we are barely falling. PS. And now follows a conspiracy story: Let there be a very rich man, who wants to be even richer. Since he is so wealthy, he could cause an earthquake. He would shake the box of economy, up and down at the time he pleases. And he confused the people, because the box of economy has taken a shape we all have seen before. In the era of information, who can't possibly see what is in front of him? Who on earth could not have possibly remembered the shape in front of them? And as a different story said, everyone but a child could see the kings clothes (the king was nude). And everyone feared, and sold everything they had to save themselves. And the rich man shook the box again and again, until it looked like we landed. And everyone thought that they were safe because it looked like it, and they bought again. And everything went up again. And the king was happy, because everyone saw his clothes, everyone followed him, and everyone bought when he wished... And at the right time, he cracked the box and took your money. What an anticlimatic end to a story! Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori
TVC:IXIC
by akikostas
Nasdaq composite vs. USM2it really feels like a coin flip...the SPX/USM2 looks very similar to 2000 bubble times...if history repeats we are a blowoff top away before the big cahuna...macro is what it is, not much can be done about that, but i'm sure they were saying the same things during every scary bear time previously. For those who think we went too high, well vs the money supply we didn't come close to the dot come bubble. For me, i believe in one massive blowoff top, not because of market strength or economic strength...but IMO all these old politicians and private oligarchs will push for one more massive golden parachute before riding off into the sunset. Retail, at least in my are, are afraid, most people around me are in the, "i'm not even watching the markets" phase. Just my two pennies worth, all the best.
TVC:IXICLong
by sonny1523
IXIC, You may find this analysis helpful in future !Is this another bear market rally? or just we are at the early stages of new massive bull run? Since hitting 10565.14 low ( which was in 0.5 _ 0.618 Retracement zone of previous major rally from pandemic low to ATH ) , IXIC has started a promising rally for bulls. Is this low market's bottom? It might be, but lets review a contradictory yet valid scenario : First of all I should emphasize this proposed scenario is not a fact and is just a possibility . I have to repeat again : " when we are in world of Elliott waves we are dealing with possibilities not certainties ". As shown on the chart, Previous major decline from 16212.23 to 10565.14 can be labeled as impulsive 5 legs down going wave. Normally, we have a counter trend correction after an impulsive wave therefore, recent rally may be just a big counter trend correction bear market rally. Why I used normally ? Since there are some alternatives for this scenario which are beyond scope of this publication . Please remember : " Possibility vs Certainty " Mentioned five legs down going impulsive wave can be labeled as wave 1 or A which implies for a counter trend correction as wave 2 or B . Strong resistance zone formed by 0.5 and 0.618 Retracement levels has been shown on the chart. This zone is also a valid supply/demand zone. In addition, my private Gann Box analysis confirms this zone as a strong resistance ( I excluded Gann Box from the chart to keep it as clean as possible). 200, 100 and 50 weeks moving averages have been also shown on the chart. As we see, 200 weeks moving average which supported the market at pandemic low was market savior one more time at last major low. 100 and 50 weeks MA s are waiting for the index at our proposed resistance zone. This makes our resistance zone even stronger. If true, Worst has yet to come as wave 3 or C. If we are going to see wave 3 then may god bless the market. Please note this is not to frighten anyone especially bulls or giving hope to bears. This is just an analysis which shows a valid possible scenario and I can strongly recommend you to keep this scenario in mind. I Hope this analysis to be helpful and wish you all the best.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by SaeedSajedi
19
Will the Nasdaq $IXIC bounce on Wednesday (Fed Rate Hike)?On the day of the increase most likely the market will go up which is counter-intuitive because when you think about increasing interest rates money becomes more expensive to borrow. So shouldn't stock go down? Usually, that tends to be true, but when there are High rates of inflation investors want to pay less money for a company. P/E values get compressed because the time value of money means that investors need to use a higher discount rate when valuing a company. (Money today is worth more than it does in the future) But when you have high rates of inflation you have to take that into consideration so that when inflation comes down stocks will eventually go up because there will be this uncompression so that's what happens to the stock market.  For the real estate market, this is much easier to understand. When interest rates go higher, homes become more unaffordable in the short term but in the long term the values go down. Now, if you take a look at the chart, on the last 4 hikes, we saw 4 big green candles on the day of the hike. Also, the RSI indicator shows that the market is currently oversold. So probability-wise, I think we will have a green day on Wednesday but who knows in the mid/long-term... The mid-term and long-term trends are still bearish. Federal Funds Rate Hike / Nasdaq on that day: March 16, 2022: 25 points / +3.77% May 02, 2022: 50 points / +3.19% June 15, 2022: 75 points / +2.50% July 27, 2022: 75 points / + 4.06%
NASDAQ:IXIC
by jimmplan
1987-1999 NASDAQ Structure vs Current Friends I hope your all having a lovely day. Just wanted to point out the eerily similar structure in the NASDAQ from the 1987 crash to the run up to 1999. The thing I want to primarily highlight is the correction PRIOR to the final leg up in 1999-2000. So this fractal copied IMMEDIATELY before the FINAL BLOW OFF TOP. The structures are IDENTICAL. BUT, not only that, the correction prior to the Final blow off actually had a 30%+ correction, AND retraced to the .382 Fib. Guess what??? Our current correction has fallen the EXACT SAME AMOUNT AND HIT THE EXACT SAME FIB!!! Coincidence??? Maybe. But with Bears everywhere you turn, my gut and the charts are screaming that we have one last melt up before the end of it all and the Crash to best all crashes.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by JTheretohelp1
3
Possible Support and Resistance LevelsPrice appears to have hit point C and came to a halt for now. This formed an ABC pattern and the target is D. The pattern would then reverse back to the downside. It does look like there may be some upside before another leg down but the market will most likely be a bit bouncy. If one wanted to risk it, they may want to enter a trade long at 11845 and possibly exit at 12465.50, re-evaluate and maybe hit 13088ish. The overall trend is down, but a market does not go straight up or straight down. No recommendation/Just an observation. The trend is your friend until it ends.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by lauralea
IXIC bear trap, will skyrocket soon This bear trap is too obvious. Now that most investors know the recession story of June 2022 was fake and irrational, there's really no basis for the major stock indexes to go much lower. However, there's probably more consolidation between 11600 and 12600 in September, as October is perceived as the traditional bearish month and investors keep panicking about the FOMC meeting. Only the most irrational and reckless traders would short near 11800, which would be guaranteed financial ruin in the long term. Just buy as much index fund as you can, sit back and enjoy the end-of-year rally. The crazy newbie investors of 2020 and 2021 are mostly scared and liquidated out of the market right now, but sooner or later they will jump into the market with more cash, pushing IXIC to another crazy bull in 2023 and 2024. IXIC goes up, newbies got jealous, newbies jump into the market which pushes IXIC further up, making more newbies jealous... Feedback loop as they never learn.
TVC:IXICLong
by MarcusAu
1
Dont be greedy on IXICAs I posted IXIC price movement speculation a year ago or so, now I want to warn you this is only one of the possibilities. As we kno the price movement can choose only between two dirrefent directions. Either up or down. But now it looks too good to be true to me. But this time is different. With all the world situation and economic war between US and most of the worlds countries, media propaganda about big bear in front of our economy, europe automobile industry "cold". This is all the signt, that tells us be cautious. Be prepared to go at least "half-in" if the price starts to form higher lows on weekly chart. I Will give you updates about my movements and taught, what I think about this crap. See you down here eventually, Wish you luck, DonLobster
NASDAQ:IXIC
by donlobster
3
Here's Why You Should Think Twice Before Selling TechThis is a 2-month chart of the Nasdaq US Composite Index (IXIC). At the bottom is the Stochastic RSI which oscillates up and down depending on how overbought or oversold the market is. There have only been a few times since its inception a half-century ago, that the Nasdaq Composite Index had a 2-month chart this overextended to the downside. The K value of the Stochastic RSI has actually reached zero. If the 2-month chart closes at that level, it will mark a super rare occurrence that has only occurred twice in the history of the Nasdaq (the last time being at the bottom of the Great Recession). I calculated the one-year returns for the Nasdaq one year (from low to high) after the K value of the Stoch RSI on the 2-month time frame dropped below the oversold line (to or nearly to 10). For the case of the Dotcom bust and the Great Recession, I selected the point when the Stoch RSI's K value first reached 0, which is its current reading and which is thus fairly comparable. Even during these significant economic downturns, buying at this oversold level produced decent returns one year out. Obviously, past price action does not guarantee future price action, but history does tend to repeat itself. Odds are that ten years from now you'll probably be wishing you had bought into this oversold level. Here are the one-year returns from the market bottom during the 2M period (when the Stoch RSI K value met the criteria listed above) to the market top of the 2M period one year later: +95.78% +36.47% +31.24% +78.89% +20.17% +69.50% +27.14% +52.36% Mean: +51.44% Not financial advice. As always anything can happen.
TVC:IXIC
by SpyMasterTrades