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artemfedorov
SPX Expecting a mid-term top to form soon with a 4–8% pullback unfolding in the coming weeks.

Big picture: Ideally one more leg up to the 6500 macro resistance zone in late 2025 - H1 2026.

Chart: tradingview.com/x/KV753HSj/
Snapshot
Rizq-FX
SPX500USD

The Markets really do respect structure. Our role is to be aware of it and what may happen.

Best Wishes and Success to All
🛡️ Take Profits, Not Chances.
💰 Manage Risk to Accumulate.
🎯 React with Clarity, Not Hope.
🌊 Flow with Intelligence, Not Noise.

⚙️ Views are Personal & Educational
🎯 Summary posts only. Full context via DM
Snapshot
Rizq-FX
🧠 Retail Crowd Presses Long on SPX + NDX — Hedgers Step Back as CPI + FOMC Loom
📆 Tuesday, July 08, 2025 | ⏰ 10:30 BST / 05:30 EDT
📦 Positioning divergence unresolved — CPI and Fed minutes are the catalysts

📉 CoT Suggestion Snapshot
• SSPX: Retail net long bias rises ⚠️
• SNDX: Tech long crowd builds under 23K 🔻
• Crude: Overextended long exposure 🔻
• Gold: Hedge unwind risk grows 🔻
• AUD/USD: Retail overstep in FX 🔻
• BTC: Neutral flows persist ⚖️

🔁 Suggestion Outcome Review

Asset Bias Suggestion Outcome
SPX Long bias >6,200 ✅ Coil intact
NDX Long crowd risk ⚠️ No momentum yet
Crude Fade >68.5 zone ✅ Rejected 68.5
Gold Hold long ❌ Invalid — lost 3,330
Silver Reversal risk ✅ Turning lower
AUD Crowded long unwind 🔄 Building pressure

📌 This Week’s Watchlist
• ✅ Crude short bias working
• ✅ Silver reversal in play
• ⚠️ SPX + NDX: crowd long into CPI/FOMC
• ❌ Gold: hedge unwind accelerating
• 🔄 AUD: Flow flip watch

🎯 Tactical Bias Insights
• 🔻 Short: Crude into resistance
• 🔻 Short: Gold <3,330
• 🔻 Short: AUD/NZD crowded longs
• ⚠️ SPX/NDX: Wait for CPI + Fed minutes
• ⚖️ BTC: Structureless — avoid for now

Best Wishes and Success to All
🛡️ Take Profits, Not Chances.
💰 Manage Risk to Accumulate.
🎯 React with Clarity, Not Hope.
🌊 Flow with Intelligence, Not Noise.

⚙️ Views are Personal & Educational, reflective of our Analysis and Research.
🎯 Summary posts only. Full context via DM

⚠️ Educational content only. Not investment advice.
📉 COT data reflects futures positioning as of July 02 (reported July 05)
📅 Released Monday, July 08 due to U.S. holiday delay
Snapshot
FakeStockGuru
SPX at what point countries will realise US trade deals are a moving goalpost and come with no guarantees to be honoured? Market pretty much seems to operating under assumption that tariff war will not escalate.
prasetyoanom
US500 less volume i think will test support again, but still no short for me, im only looking for long...
stealthdrawup
SPX The only reason U.S. Treasury bonds haven’t crashed is that Trump reportedly drew down large balances from key government funds: $4.5 trillion from the TGA (Treasury General Account), $3 trillion from the G Fund (Government Securities Investment Fund), and $2 trillion from the CSRDF (Civil Service Retirement and Disability Fund). The federal government is in a deep fiscal hole, and Trump’s tax cuts were even more extreme than Theresa May’s dance moves at the South Africa trip.