WTI Crude Oil bullish on geopolitical riskWTI Price: Trading around $74.60, extending gains in European trading hours.
Key Drivers Today:
Geopolitical Risk:
Tensions between Israel and Iran are rising.
Trump called for Iran’s “unconditional surrender,” increasing fears of US involvement.
Iran may shut the Strait of Hormuz — a key oil shipping route — which could disrupt supply and push prices higher.
Bullish API Inventory Data:
US crude stockpiles dropped by 10.1 million barrels last week (vs. -0.6M expected).
Signals strong demand or tighter supply, adding bullish pressure to WTI.
Trading Implication:
Geopolitical risk + surprise inventory draw = bullish bias for WTI.
Watch for momentum toward $77.20 resistance, with support near $71.80.
Eyes now on EIA data for confirmation and any new Middle East headlines for further upside.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 77.20
Resistance Level 2: 7940
Resistance Level 3: 82.00
Support Level 1: 71.80
Support Level 2: 70.00
Support Level 3: 69.00
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USCRUDEOIL trade ideas
WTI Oil H1 | Falling toward a pullback supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 73.31 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 70.90 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 77.60 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Fundamental Analysis:
While Middle East tensions have temporarily eased, the risk of Iran threatening to blockade the Strait of Hormuz persists. An escalation could drive oil prices higher.
The U.S. sustained economic strength provides some support for oil prices.
U.S. retail data and crude oil API inventory changes to be released today may impact oil prices.
Technical Analysis :
Bollinger Bands: Middle band at 73.92, upper band at 76.81, lower band at 70.42. Current price at 72.77 is near the lower band, showing signs of support.
With reference to June 5 and prior data, the MACD previously formed a death cross. Although no latest data is available, combined with price action, it may still be in a bearish trend.
Trading Strategy:
Consider long positions after a pullback to near 70.42 (strong support), targeting around 73.92.
If price effectively breaks through 73.92, chase long positions with a further target near 76.81.
buy@70-70.5
TP:73-74
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OIL🛢️ Oil is caught in an unbalanced price zone due to rising global tensions.
Prices have spiked and with that, inflation risks are back on the table.
Now here's the play I see forming:
📌 The Fed might choose not to cut interest rates as a way to cool inflation without printing more money.
📌 This also puts pressure on China to act since rising oil prices hurt their economy too, they may push Iran to scale back aggression in order to stabilize global markets.
Everything is connected. This isn’t just about oil it’s about global strategy, inflation control, and power dynamics.
Crude Oil Tests $74FenzoFx—Crude Oil climbed to $74.0, testing the bearish Fair Value Gap and a high-volume zone.
The Stochastic Oscillator signals an overbought market, suggesting possible consolidation. Oil could dip toward the previous daily low if $74.0 holds as resistance during the NY session.
A breakout above $74.0 would invalidate the short-term bearish outlook.
The latest long - short trading recommendations for crude oil.On Monday, the two benchmark oil prices fell by more than 1% due to media reports that Iran might seek to ease the situation. However, the market's short-term optimism proved unsustainable. Currently, oil price movements are driven primarily by geopolitics rather than fundamentals. Market sensitivity to the Middle East situation has surged to an extremely high level, with even the slightest development triggering violent volatility. The possibility of supply disruptions remains high in the short term, and close attention should be paid to Iran's oil export trends and the actual execution of OPEC+ after its meeting. Meanwhile, be wary of the risk of sharp consolidation amid mixed geopolitical and negotiation news.
In terms of momentum, the fast and slow lines of the MACD indicator have crossed below the zero axis, forming a golden cross with an upward divergence, indicating a stalemate between bullish and bearish momentum. In terms of patterns, a flag continuation pattern has emerged, with penetration of the upper edge of the flag, and the overall trend is in a secondary rhythm. It is expected that crude oil prices will mainly fluctuate and consolidate within the pattern.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@70.0-71.0
TP:74.0-75.0
US OIL SHORT RESULT Crude oil eventually broke out of the major 4HTF Bearish falling Trendline, Moving against our direction as I thought it might respect the Resistance Trendline and dump.
But apparently I entered too early and should've waited for reversal signs or fake outs.
And done better Technical Analysis and 4HTF Trend.
WTI - ANALYSIS BUY AREA This week the ongoing conflict seems to bring more uptrend to this commodity
I believe that the last broken resistance now turning support at 67.300 will be tested prior to the OIL raising again
If the conflict doesn’t end and we don’t have a ceasefire we could see this commodity running to the 78.000 and 82.000 levels
WTI Oil H1 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 71.83 which is a multi-swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 68.50 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 77.60 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
WTI OIL SPOT / Crude Oil SpotCrude has appreciated from 55 odd levels to 73+
In the wake of Iran israel conflict...
Crude is likely to surge higher...
Above 94$ Crude cruising to 102/104 levels in all likelihood.
Have marked important levels on chart for ur perusal
Happy trading
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Crude Oil to Continue Breaking Higher HighsMiddle East Tensions Escalate Sharply: Israel Launches Preemptive Strike on Iran, Targeting Nuclear-related Facilities
Iran's state media confirmed that senior Revolutionary Guard leaders were killed in the attack, with nuclear scientists and facilities also suffering heavy damage. In the short term, geopolitical risks will continue to dominate market sentiment. Oil prices are likely to oscillate at high levels or even edge higher. From a daily chart perspective, crude oil's moving average system forms a bullish arrangement, confirming the unchanged short-term objective uptrend. The morning session K-line closes as a large bullish candlestick, aligning with the primary upward trend. The MACD indicator is bullishly diverging above the zero axis, with bullish momentum prevailing. Intraday crude oil is expected to continue breaking higher.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@70.0-71.0
TP:74.0-75.0
Unfortunate but an opportunity nonetheless Welcome to warring times. Energy of all kinds, oil, and many of the likes will see major spikes as conflicts and tensions rise. Currencies will spike and crash and gold MAY inflate as times of uncertainties rallies gold bulls like school bells to kids for recess.
Iran vs Israel Conflict: Which assets are being affected?The ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel has had a notable impact on global stock markets and currency pairs, primarily driven by concerns over oil supply disruptions and increased geopolitical uncertainty.
Here's a breakdown of the affected assets:
Stocks
Overall Market Decline: Major global stock indices, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and India's Sensex and Nifty 50, have experienced declines following the escalation of tensions.
Negatively Impacted Sectors/Stocks:
Airlines & Travel: Companies like United Airlines, Delta Air Lines, American Airlines, and cruise operators (e.g., Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, Carnival Corp.) have seen sharp losses due to surging fuel costs and reduced travel sentiment. Hotel operators (e.g., Hilton, Marriott) and car rental companies (e.g., Avis Budget Group, Hertz) also felt the impact.
Consumer Discretionary: Companies tied to discretionary spending and those with high energy-input costs (e.g., General Motors, Ford, Target, Best Buy, Nike) have been negatively affected, as rising oil prices can impact consumer behaviour.
Technology & Financials: Broad technology companies, particularly those producing consumer goods, and the financial sector have seen declines.
US-listed Israeli Companies: Companies like Check Point Software Technologies, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, Mobileye Global, and eToro Group experienced drops.
Positively Impacted/Benefiting Sectors/Stocks:
Oil & Energy: Oil prices surged, leading to gains for energy stocks such as Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips, and Diamondback Energy.
Defence: Defence contractors like Lockheed Martin, RTX Corporation, and Northrop Grumman have rallied due to increased geopolitical uncertainty.
Gold Miners: Shares of gold miners (e.g., Newmont, AngloGold Ashanti) rose as gold prices climbed, driven by safe-haven demand.
Renewable Energy/EVs: Electric-vehicle maker Tesla and solar power companies like First Solar and SolarEdge Technologies saw gains, possibly as alternatives to fossil fuels.
Currency Pairs
Safe-Haven Currencies Strengthen:
US Dollar (USD): The US dollar has rallied against most G7 currencies, benefiting from safe-haven flows.
Japanese Yen (JPY): The Japanese Yen strengthened as investors sought safety.
Swiss Franc (CHF): The Swiss Franc also gained alongside other safe-haven assets.
Gold (XAU/USD): Gold prices surged to multi-month highs, trading above $3,400 per troy ounce, reflecting strong safe-haven demand.
Risk-Sensitive Currencies Weaken:
Euro (EUR/USD): The EUR/USD pair retreated, with the Euro being "hardly damaged" initially but experiencing downward pressure from the escalating conflict.
Australian Dollar (AUD) & New Zealand Dollar (NZD): These risk-sensitive Asian currencies weakened.
Indian Rupee (INR): The Indian Rupee weakened against the US dollar due to the impact of rising crude oil prices on India, a major oil importer.
While the immediate market response has shown volatility and a "risk-off" sentiment, some analysts suggest that the longer-term impact will depend on the conflict's duration and whether it escalates into a broader regional or global issue, particularly concerning oil supply disruptions.
Oil Price Rally Stalls at $77.72, Just Below 2025 HighFenzoFx—Oil prices resumed their bullish trend, accelerating after geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The rally paused at $77.72, just below the 2025 high.
RSI 14 indicates an overbought market, while volume accumulation at $73.7 suggests possible sell orders. A consolidation phase is likely before further gains.
If oil pulls back, key demand zones at $64.00 and $66.00 offer bullish opportunities, with a potential move toward the 2025 high at $80.59.