AUDUSD Start of Week DropThe DXY index has double bottomed and left a significant FVG at around $1. This has yet to retrace and market sentiment towards seeing the USD under $1 is tough. This FVG is likely to close this week as a last ditch effort to hold the USD at $1 level.
We have business confidence news twice in the early week that is likely to be not great pressuring the AUD, then later on we have USD news that will likely hold or temporarily bolster USD confidence. This is the dynamics shift that I believe will bring on that larger retracement of the USD to $1.
Be ready for a significant rejection once we arrive at the FVG though.
USDAUD trade ideas
AUD/USD 4H CHART PATTERNThe AUD/USD daily chart displays a clear upward breakout from a consolidation phase, following a prolonged downtrend. The price is moving within an ascending channel and recently tested a key support zone (highlighted in blue), which held firmly. The Ichimoku cloud shows bullish momentum with price action above the cloud. Projected targets are based on pattern continuation and breakout potential. The chart anticipates further gains as bullish pressure builds. The overall trend suggests buying opportunities with well-defined targets and risk levels. Momentum indicators and price structure support a potential rally in the coming sessions.
Entry Point: 0.64950
First Target: 0.6700
Second Target: 0.69380
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AUDUSD sideways consolidation supported at 0.6360The AUD/USD pair maintains a bullish bias, underpinned by a steady rising trend on the higher timeframes. However, recent intraday price action shows consolidation, indicating a pause in upward momentum as the market awaits a fresh catalyst.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
0.6360 – Critical near-term support and prior consolidation zone. A successful retest could reinforce the bullish setup.
0.6320 – Next support level; a break below 0.6360 may trigger a deeper pullback.
0.6280 – Broader downside support zone; loss of this level would signal a shift in trend.
Resistance:
0.6500 – Primary upside target on continuation of bullish momentum.
0.6530 – Secondary resistance; break above would confirm strength.
0.6570 – Long-term resistance zone; potential target if bullish momentum accelerates.
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to 0.6360 followed by a bullish rebound would suggest continuation of the current uptrend, opening room for gains toward 0.6500, 0.6530, and 0.6570 over the medium term. On the downside, a daily close below 0.6360 would invalidate the bullish setup, exposing the pair to a potential decline toward 0.6320 and 0.6280.
Conclusion:
AUD/USD remains in a bullish structure, but near-term direction depends on the 0.6360 level. A rebound from support keeps the upside scenario in play, while a confirmed break lower may lead to a corrective retracement. Traders should watch for price behavior around 0.6360 for confirmation of the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Falling towards pullback support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6487
1st Support: 0.6472
1st Resistance: 0.6528
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AUDUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.646.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.643 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today AUDUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on AUDUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
AUDUSD BEARISH AUD/USD Bearish Divergence – Sell Setup Pending Confirmation
Description:
AUD/USD is showing signs of weakness as a bearish divergence forms between price and RSI/MACD on the H1/H4 chart. While price makes higher highs, momentum indicators are printing lower highs — suggesting a potential shift in momentum.
🔽 Trade Setup:
Entry: Sell Stop below recent swing low at
Stop Loss: Above recent high at
Take Profit 1: – Prior support zone
Take Profit 2: – Extended fib target or next major support
Risk/Reward: Minimum 1:2 R/R
📉 Technical Confluence:
Bearish Divergence (RSI/MACD)
Key Resistance Zone holding
Rejection Candles / Wicks on higher timeframe
Structure potentially forming Lower High
🔔 Trade Plan:
Waiting for confirmation via sell stop trigger to avoid premature entries. Patience is key — only act if price breaks the structure with momentum. Monitor price action closely around the entry zone.
📊 Timeframe: H1 / H4
📍 Market Bias: Short-term Bearish
AUDUSDAnticipating Bears on the Aussie against the Dollar, price took liquidity to the upside and closed below , broke structure indicating that price wants to go lower waiting to take the trade once price hits the 0.65200 mark after the Asian session Killzone, Let us wait and see how the market unfolds....Adios! #Wickdoctor
AUDUSD - NeutralStory : Market was making series of HH and HL, and then market consolidated. However, bullish rectangular pattern can be formed which indicates market will most likely continue bullish pattern with an upside breakout.
we anticipate market to give breakout on either side, with most chances of breakout on upside as the trend previously remained bullish.
We plan to enter market with buy stop on the market level- with SL and TPs defined on the chart.
Potential bearish drop?AUD/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6512
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6537
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6487
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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AUD/USD Descending Triangle Setup – Support Retest in FocusThe AUD/USD pair is currently forming a descending triangle pattern, a common bearish continuation structure where price makes lower highs while holding above a horizontal or slightly rising support level. This setup indicates increasing selling pressure at lower resistance levels (highlighted with red arrows and trendlines), while buyers are consistently defending the green support zone around 0.6475–0.6485.
So far, the price has been rejected multiple times from the descending resistance line, confirming seller dominance. At the same time, it has found buying interest at support, forming a tight range where a breakout or breakdown is likely to occur soon.
🔽 Current Price Action & Outlook
The latest price structure shows a potential lower high forming, suggesting another move downward toward support.
If the pair revisits the support zone once again, it will be a critical retest, and the market could either:
Bounce from support, continuing the sideways structure within the triangle, or
Break down below the green trendline, triggering a bearish continuation.
Until the support breaks, the market remains range-bound inside the triangle, offering short-term trade setups between support and resistance.
🎯 Strategy Notes
Short-Term Idea: Sell near resistance (~0.6525–0.6535), buy near support (~0.6475–0.6485)
Breakout Traders: Wait for a confirmed breakout of either boundary with volume before entering
Invalidation: A strong breakout above the red descending trendline may invalidate the bearish structure
This is a neutral-to-bearish setup with a potential for breakout in either direction. Patience is key for waiting on confirmation.
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AUD/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.636 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Long trade
🟢 Trade Journal Entry – Buyside Trade
📍 Pair: AUDUSD
📅 Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025
🕒 Time: 3:00 PM (NY Session PM)
⏱ Time Frame: 1 Hour
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Entry Price 0.64738
Profit Level 0.65380 (+0.99%)
Stop Loss 0.64639 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 6.48 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
1HR TF Execution:
Entry aligned with bullish OB on the 1hr chart following a clean mitigation and rejection candle.
Stacked Confluences:
Liquidity sweep, OB retest, and session timing aligned for a high-conviction buyside setup.
a comparison or integration of two trading concepts: 📉📈
The image presentsElliott Wave Theory and Smart Money Concepts (SMC), often associated with Wyckoff distribution/accumulation.
🌟 On the left side, there's an illustration of Elliott Wave Theory, showing a typical 5-wave impulse (labeled 1-2-3-4-5, presumably wave A) followed by a 3-wave corrective structure (labeled A-B-C). Within this, there's a smaller "Accumulation" phase depicted.
✅ On the right side, there's a diagram illustrating Smart Money Concepts/Wyckoff phases, specifically "Accumulation," "Manipulation," and "Distribution." This diagram shows how price moves through these phases, often with a false breakout (manipulation) before the true move.
🟢The overall implication of the image and its central text is that SMC principles, such as accumulation and distribution, can be observed or understood within the larger framework of Elliott Wave patterns. It suggests that SMC provides a more granular view of market behavior (identifying smart money footprints) that aligns with or unfolds within the Elliott Wave structures.
AUDUSD InsightHello, everyone!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Please boost and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump warned Iran, "I hope you don't fire missiles at civilians or U.S. troops. Our patience is wearing thin," adding, "Surrender unconditionally."
- CNN reported that U.S. President Trump could use military force to strike Iranian nuclear facilities.
- U.S. retail sales in May, announced by the U.S. Department of Commerce, decreased by 0.9% compared to the previous month, significantly lower than market expectations, raising concerns about an economic slowdown.
Major Economic Schedule This Week
+ June 18: UK May Consumer Price Index, Eurozone May Consumer Price Index, FOMC Meeting Results Announcement
+ June 19: BOE Interest Rate Decision
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
After a V-shaped rebound in April, it has shown a gentle rise and is currently trading around the 0.65000 line. It has formed support lines below, and is expected to continue its upward trend based on these support levels. Long-term, it is expected to form a peak around the 0.69000 line. However, a small resistance is forming at the 0.67000 line, so we should keep open the possibility of a temporary pullback due to this resistance in that area.
Alternatively, if it breaks below the 0.64000 line, the direction could change, in which case we will establish a new strategy.
Wedge Pattern – Simple Explanation
📚 Wedge Pattern – Simple Explanation
A wedge pattern is a shape on the chart that looks like a triangle or cone. It tells us that the price is getting ready to break out — either up or down.
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🔻 Falling Wedge (Bullish)
Looks like price is going down, but slowly.
Lines move closer together.
Usually means the price will go up soon.
It's a bullish signal (good for buying).
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🔺 Rising Wedge (Bearish)
Price goes up, but losing strength.
Lines get closer together.
Usually means the price will go down soon.
It's a bearish signal (good for selling).
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💡 Easy Tips:
Wait for breakout (big move out of the wedge).
Use a stop-loss below/above the pattern.
Target = height of the wedge.
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📌 In Short:
Wedge = Squeeze pattern.
Falling wedge = Buy chance.
Rising wedge = Sell chance.
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Let me know if you have sny doubt in comments
AUDUSD Bullish continuation supported at 0.6465Trend Overview:
The AUDUSD currency price remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 0.6465 (primary pivot), followed by 0.6445 and 0.6400
Resistance: 0.6570 (initial), then 0.6590 and 0.6625
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 0.6465 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 0.6570, 0.6590, and ultimately 0.6625.
Conversely, a daily close below 0.6465 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 0.6445 and 0.6400 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
AUDUSD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 0.6465 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 0.6570 area. A breakdown below 0.6465, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.