USDCAD trade ideas
USDCAD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??USDCAD continues to follow the predicted bearish path, currently trading around 1.38300, and still moving gradually toward our target zone of 1.34300. After a strong bearish impulse from the 1.40391 supply zone, price has consistently formed lower highs, confirming selling pressure and market intent. The recent bounce was shallow, and price is respecting previous resistance levels perfectly, validating the bearish continuation setup.
Fundamentally, the Canadian dollar is gaining strength off rising oil prices and improving economic data from Canada, while the US dollar remains under pressure as the market begins pricing in a potential Fed rate cut in the second half of 2025. With softer US economic indicators including lower consumer confidence and slowing GDP growth, the momentum clearly favors CAD in this pair. The divergence in monetary policy outlooks between the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve adds further downside bias to USDCAD.
Technically, the structure remains bearish, with a clean breakdown below the 1.3900 psychological level and clear rejection at the 1.40300 resistance zone. Market liquidity appears to be shifting below the current price, and with the pair printing consistent lower highs and lower lows, there's significant space toward our target zone near 1.34128. A rejection from the minor pullback zone between 1.38800–1.39000 could provide another entry opportunity for trend continuation traders.
USDCAD remains a high-probability short setup in line with both technical structure and current fundamentals. As long as price stays below the 1.40300 resistance, I expect the bearish trend to continue with increased momentum as we approach summer liquidity shifts. This trade is already deep in profit and aligns with key institutional selling zones, making 1.34300 a realistic and conservative target in the coming weeks.
USDCAD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward sell entry level at 1.3908, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.3767, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.4016, a swing high resistance.
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USDCAD I Daily CLS nested in W/M CLS Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
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AWAIT BOS FIRST!! USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25
🔥👀USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block
✅HTF 50 EMA
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure to be identified
✅15’ order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Bearish reversal?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3895
1st Support: 1.3792
1st Resistance: 1.3943
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3787
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3703
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.3904
Why we lik eit:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD downtrend continuation capped at 1.4060The USDCAD pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 1.4060, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 1.4060 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 1.3780, with further potential declines to 1.3730 and 1.3630 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 1.4060 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 1.4080 resistance, with a potential extension to 1.4160 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the USDCAD sentiment remains bearish, with the 1.4060 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
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USDCAD -- Wait to see which way...Hello,
The weekly for the USDCAD is showing a potential bounce from around 1.37805. However, price is below 200 MA for D, 4HR & 1HR; Weekly and Monthly are still strong bullish for 200 MA.
I would like to see a hammer followed by a bullish engulfing candle as in past weeks - that would put me in a buy position targeting ~1.43566.
Price currently is trying to bust out of resistance set from Oct of 2022.
For the short game, price is almost touching the Hourly 200 MA.
As always, we'll wait and see and go with the flow!
USDCAD Bullish Setup – Watching Key Breakout LevelUSDCAD has tested the lower trend line and is showing signs of a potential reversal. The overall trend remains bullish, but additional confirmation is needed before entering. I’ll be looking to go long above 1.39734, which would signal a strong breakout continuation.
🔹 Trend: Bullish
🔹 Entry Idea: Long above 1.39734
🔹 Confirmation Needed: Break and retest or strong bullish momentum
🔹 Support Zone: Around the trend line
🔹 Resistance: Monitor previous highs once breakout occurs
Let me know your thoughts or drop your chart in the comments below!
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3894
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3985
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.3752
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish rise?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.3792
1st Support: 1.3688
1st Resistance: 1.3905
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NNFX USDCAD Short Full Signal Signal: Short — Full Signal
Context: Price Breaks through with Volume, Full Signal 2 days behind C2
Probability: Normal to Weak - Signal 2 candles into C2 but huge volume short
Risk: Base 1%
R:R Plan: 0.72R, 75% scale-out at TP - Huge Range to Trend into 2R and opportunity to severely reduce risk within the first 24 hours.
Notes:
At first glance the R is not too great, but this is mainly due to breakout meaning stops are placed at full 1.5x ATR Away from entry but supported by the candle structure.
The range for this trade is large though, beyond 1xATR and even beyond 2x ATR. Opportunity to reduce risk to the order zone halfway through the candle which will make the R instantly positive. Reduced Risk to match the lower probability of this trade and other USD pending trades.