USDCAD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.385.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.396 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDCAD trade ideas
USDCAD A break of the 4hr structure would call for the following, A break of the daily that would lead us breaking the 4hr BOT. Unless Trump does the unthinkable, this will be a good swing trade to hold.
Based on the weekly, it would indicate the end of the W. counter trend and a continuation of the bullish move
USD/CAD Analysis (30min TimeframeUSD/CAD
Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart
Trend: Bearish (within a descending channel)
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Entry Point:
Entry Price: 1.38192 (current market price marked on chart)
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Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.37812 (labeled "TARGET 1")
Final TP (TP2): 1.37374 (labeled "TARGET 2")
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Support Levels:
1.37812 – First major support level (TP1)
1.37374 – Second strong support level (TP2, previous structure low)
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Resistance Levels:
1.38192 – Current entry zone and minor resistance (short-term reaction level)
1.38400 - 1.38500 – Mid-channel resistance area
1.38700+ – Upper trendline resistance (from channel)
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Chart Structure:
Descending Channel: Price is respecting a downward sloping parallel channel.
Bearish Momentum: Lower highs and lower lows.
Entry at Pullback: Entry aligns with a pullback to channel mid-zone.
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Suggested Caption to Share with Your Client:
> USD/CAD Trade Setup (30-Min Chart):
Price is trending inside a descending channel.
Entry: 1.38192
TP1: 1.37812
Final TP: 1.37374
Trend: Bearish
Expecting continuation to downside after pullback.
Key Resistance: 1.38400–1.38700
Key Support: 1.37812, 1.37374
Watch for bearish confirmation at entry level before executing.
USD/CAD - Channel Pattern (22.04.2025)The USD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3771
2nd Support – 1.3745
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USDCAD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDCAD is below:
The market is trading on 1.3840 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.3958
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCAD Ready to Collapse? COT Signals a Bearish Storm!🔎 1. COT Context – Canadian Dollar (CAD)
Asset Managers: Consistently net short for most of the period, but since January 2025, there's been a strong recovery—net positions have become progressively less negative. By mid-April, they’re still short, but significantly less so.
Leveraged Money: Also heavily short in December 2024, but showing a clear bullish reversal starting in early 2025, with net positions turning increasingly positive on CAD.
✅ Interpretation: There's been a clear sentiment shift from bearish to bullish on CAD starting late 2024. This adds downward pressure on USDCAD.
💵 2. COT Context – US Dollar Index (USD)
Asset Managers: Consistently long, but reducing their net exposure since late March 2025.
Leveraged Money: Opposite of CAD – heavily short in December 2024, now recovering, though without strong momentum. Positions are hovering around neutral.
⚠️ Interpretation: While CAD grows stronger, USD shows signs of indecision or profit-taking. This amplifies the bearish bias on USDCAD.
📉 3. Technical Analysis – USDCAD
Current Price: 1.38369, right near a strong demand zone between 1.3700 – 1.3830, which has already been tested multiple times.
The current weekly candle is forming a doji or pin bar, hinting at a potential technical bounce.
Key Resistance: 1.45215 (monthly high).
Key Support: 1.3700. A breakdown below this could trigger a move toward 1.3480.
RSI: Neutral to slightly bearish, no major divergences observed.
🧠 Technical Outlook:
If the 1.3700–1.3830 zone holds, we might see a corrective bounce toward 1.4000–1.4100.
If that zone breaks, expect a bearish continuation toward 1.3580–1.3480.
📊 Trade Summary
Fundamental Bias (COT): Bearish USDCAD → Strong CAD, weakening USD.
Technical Bias: Neutral to bearish, potential for short-term bounce before continuation.
🧭 Trade Plan
🎯 Short on pullback toward 1.4000–1.4100 with stop above 1.4150, targeting 1.3600–1.3500.
🎯 Breakout trade below 1.3700 → Enter on daily close confirmation, target 1.3480.