USDCHF Will Go Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.821.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.832 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDCHF trade ideas
USD/CHF – BULLISH Plan for Next WeekThe battlefield is set.
The market has spoken — now it’s our turn to act.
This is my two-scenario strategy for USD/CHF going into next week, built around institutional behavior, liquidity grabs, and market structure.
📍 Zone Recap:
Liquidity Taken – Price swept below key support zones, triggering stop-losses and clearing out retail longs.
Support Levels – Minor zones were broken on the lower timeframes (LTF), but these are not structurally strong.
Institutional Setup – Smart money often manipulates these levels before initiating the true directional move.
🧭 SCENARIO 1 – The Bullish Continuation (More Likely)
The most probable outcome based on structure and liquidity behavior:
Price opens bullish.
Retests the broken minor support (now acting as demand).
Buys triggered after confirmation.
Targets:
First TP: 0.82650
Second TP: 0.83500+
Break above = room for explosive movement toward 0.84000–0.84500
This aligns with the concept of liquidity engineering, where the market takes the weak hands out before the real move starts.
⚔️ SCENARIO 2 – The Last Sweep Before the Climb (Less Likely but Possible)
If price opens bearish, we must remain vigilant:
A final push lower could target the same liquidity zone again,
further liquidating retail traders who jumped in early.
If this occurs, the real bullish move would follow, catching everyone off guard.
Entry would then be taken after a deeper retest + bullish market structure shift.
🧠 STRATEGY MINDSET:
This isn’t guesswork — this is preparation.
Retail sees chaos. Smart traders see order in manipulation.
We don’t chase moves. We understand them.
“The market punishes the impulsive and rewards the prepared.”
I stand with patience. I wait for confirmation.
I strike when the weak are removed and the zone is clean.
🔐 Remember:
No confirmation = no entry.
Adapt to the narrative the market gives you.
If 0.81750 breaks down with strength → pause. Reevaluate. No ego.
📈 USD/CHF outlook: Bullish bias, smart entry only.
Drop your thoughts, setups, or if you’re preparing for the same war.
Let’s grow and conquer — one level at a time.
USD/CHF Setup Breaking Down: Don’t Get Caught Long This TrapUSD/CHF is currently trading at a critical technical and macro-structural juncture. Price is hovering within the weekly support area between 0.8050 and 0.8200, a zone that has historically triggered significant bullish reactions. However, the latest weekly candle closed below the psychological 0.8200 level, showing a clear rejection of upper resistance and signaling a lack of buying strength on the U.S. dollar side. This weak closure undermines the bullish structure and opens the door for a potential continuation of the downtrend—especially if price breaks below the 0.8150 mark on the daily or H4 timeframe.
From a seasonal standpoint, June has historically been a bearish month for USD/CHF. Monthly average returns over the past 20, 15, 10, and 5 years confirm steady downside pressure on the dollar against the Swiss franc. Only the 2-year average shows a slight positive bias, but it remains an outlier against the broader seasonal trend. This supports the idea that the recent weakness is not only technical but also cyclical in nature.
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reinforces this bearish view. On the Swiss franc side, commercial traders (typically the most informed and hedging-oriented participants) are heavily net long, while non-commercial traders (speculators) remain significantly net short. This imbalance is often seen around reversal points and may indicate rising CHF strength. On the U.S. dollar side, positioning is far more balanced—the Dollar Index COT shows a neutral stance, with non-commercials slightly net long but without any dominant momentum. This confirms there’s currently no structural strength behind the dollar to justify a meaningful rebound in USD/CHF.
Lastly, retail sentiment provides a classic contrarian signal: over 90% of retail traders are long on USD/CHF, with only 10% short. This extreme imbalance typically occurs ahead of bearish breakdowns, as institutional players tend to fade overcrowded retail positions.
In conclusion, USD/CHF remains vulnerable to further downside. The weekly price action is weak, seasonal trends are dollar-negative, COT positioning favors CHF strength, and retail sentiment is extremely long-biased. All factors align toward a likely bearish continuation, with technical targets in the 0.8080–0.8050 range. The only alternative scenario would require a strong H4/H1 bullish reaction with a reclaim of 0.8220—but at this stage, that appears unlikely without a major macro catalyst.
USD/CHF 1-Hour Timeframe – Short Position Setup
Entry Point: Consider initiating a short position slightly above 0.82224.
Stop-Loss: Place at 0.82548 to limit potential losses.
Break-Even Adjustment: Move stop-loss to break-even once the price tests 0.81936.
Target Levels:
Primary Target: A breakdown toward the 0.81598–0.81558 zone.
Secondary Target: A potential retest of 0.80947.
Important Note:
Avoid entering a short position if the price rises above 0.82489, as this may signal bullish momentum.
Tags: OANDA:USDCHF
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
THOUGHTS ON USD/CHF TRADEUSD/CHF 1H - This market I am wanting to see a continuation in bearish structure, what we are witnessing at the moment is price correcting itself, this is in prep for the next impulsive wave to the downside.
Once we see price trade up and into the Supply Zone above, this is when I will be looking to take part in the market with short positions. Its important we are following the prevailing trend, this increases probability of success.
You can see I have drawn out a path trading us lower initially before the move higher, this is because I am trying to tell a story. A story to help you all understand the journey price takes in order to get to where it wants to be longer term.
We understand price is going to trade lower longer term as that is the bias of the market, but in order for it to have enough Supply to trade lower we must first see price introduce Supply and for Demand to be offloaded, the Demand it picks up initially will be removed and Supply will be introduced.
UPDATE ON USD/CHF ANALYSISUSD/CHF 30M - Back with an update for you lovely people, as you can see price has traded down and into the Demand Zone I marked out, following the story I created.
For you pre-emptive traders, you may already be in with a pending order, however I am going to wait to see if we can more confirmation before I look to enter.
As we know trading against the overall prevailing trend comes with some risk which is why we need to take extra precautions when we look to buy into this market.
This is the main reason I am waiting for a little more confirmation before entering in long with this market, if you have any questions in the meantime drop me a message or comment below!
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Targets Upside BreakMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Targets Upside Break
USD/CHF is rising and might aim for a move towards the 0.8250 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today
- USD/CHF is showing positive signs above the 0.8200 resistance zone.
- There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8180 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/CHF Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair declined heavily below the 0.8250 level before the bulls appeared. The US Dollar tested 0.8160 and recently started a fresh increase against the Swiss Franc.
The pair climbed above the 0.8200 resistance zone. There was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8337 swing high to the 0.8157 low. Besides, there was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8180.
The bulls are now facing resistance near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8337 swing high to the 0.8157 low at 0.8250. The next major resistance is 0.8295.
The main resistance is near 0.8335. If there is a clear break above 0.8335 and the RSI remains above 50, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could test 0.8420.
If there is another decline, the pair might test the 0.8200 support. The first major support on the USD/CHF chart is near the 0.8160 zone. A downside break below 0.8160 might spark bearish moves. The next major support is near the 0.8120 pivot level. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move towards the 0.8050 level in the near term.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDCHF My Opinion! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on USDCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.8147 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.8131
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCHF: Up for a ride?What we just saw on USDCHF is a classic move that catches many traders off guard:
Price swept the Previous Day’s Low (PDL)
That’s where most retail traders get stopped out.
It’s also where smart money often steps in.
Break of Structure (BOS) followed immediately
A clean shift in direction.
Momentum flipped bullish.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) below
That’s likely where price will return to rebalance.
If price respects that zone, the next destination?
The liquidity resting above.
This is one of those setups that reminds me:
It’s not about catching every move. It’s about understanding why the move happened.
Let’s see how it plays out.
USD-CHF Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Is making a local bullish
Pullback but will soon
Hit a horizontal resistance
Level around 0.8185
So we are bearish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCHF Wave Analysis – 16 June 2025
- USDCHF reversed from key support level 0.8055
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.8185
USDCHF currency pair recently reversed up from the key support level 0.8055, which stopped the previous impulse wave (1) at the end of April.
The support zone near the support level 0.8055 was strengthened by the lower daily Bollinger Band.
Given the oversold daily Stochastic, USDCHF currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.8185 (former support from May and the start of June).
USDCHF oversold rally capped by resistance at 0.8166The USD/CHF pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a corrective pullback, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 0.8166, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 0.8166 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 0.8033, followed by 0.7990 and 0.7950 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 0.8166 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 0.8190, then 0.8220.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.8166. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favors fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.