USDCHF trade ideas
USDCHF: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
USDCHF
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long USDCHF
Entry Point - 0.8113
Stop Loss - 0.8074
Take Profit - 0.8182
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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USDCHF Holding Support – Eyes on Trendline RejectionUSDCHF is respecting a key 1D support zone around 0.8100, showing some reaction after a strong downtrend.
• 1D Chart: Testing horizontal support and trendline from Jan-May range.
• 4H Chart: Weak reaction so far – no strong bullish candles yet.
• 1H & 23m Chart: Retesting small 1H order block structure.
Key Zones:
• Support: 0.8080–0.8100
• Resistance: 0.8160 / 0.8210
Bias: Watching for bullish reversal signals. Otherwise, continuation lower below 0.8080.
USDCHF Holding Support – Eyes on Trendline RejectionUSDCHF is respecting a key 1D support zone around 0.8100, showing some reaction after a strong downtrend.
• 1D Chart: Testing horizontal support and trendline from Jan-May range.
• 4H Chart: Weak reaction so far – no strong bullish candles yet.
• 1H & 23m Chart: Retesting small 1H order block structure.
Key Zones:
• Support: 0.8080–0.8100
• Resistance: 0.8160 / 0.8210
Bias: Watching for bullish reversal signals. Otherwise, continuation lower below 0.8080.
USD/CHF Hits Critical Support LevelsOver the last three trading sessions, USD/CHF has declined more than 1.5%, as a consistent bearish bias persists, pushing the pair back to multi-month lows. Selling pressure has remained firm amid uncertainty surrounding the escalation of political and military tensions in the Middle East. So far, the U.S. dollar has failed to act as a safe haven, while the Swiss franc has maintained its strength, reinforcing the current bearish trend. If this downward momentum continues, the selling trend could become even more dominant.
Consistent Bearish Trend
Since the beginning of the year, USD/CHF has shown consistent selling swings, leading to the formation of a strong downtrend in recent weeks. Currently, the selling pressure has been strong enough to drive the pair back to recent lows, and if the bearish momentum continues below this level, the downward trend may gain further relevance. In the absence of any significant bullish corrections, the bearish trend remains the dominant pattern in the short term.
RSI
The RSI line continues to move below the 50 level, indicating that selling impulses remain dominant in recent sessions. As long as RSI remains below the neutral zone, the bearish momentum is likely to persist.
TRIX
The TRIX line has been oscillating below the neutral level of 0, suggesting that the average strength of the exponential moving averages still reflects a bearish market bias. This may indicate that the current downtrend still has room to continue in the near term.
However, it is important to note that the price is currently sitting at a key support zone, which could serve as a launch point for potential bullish corrections in the upcoming sessions.
Key Levels to Watch:
0.84668 – Major Resistance: This level marks the recent high reached in past months. If buying momentum pushes the pair back up to this level, it may pose a threat to the current downtrend and trigger a more relevant bullish move.
0.82980 – Short-Term Barrier: This level aligns with the 50-period moving average. Bullish moves above this point could challenge the current bearish formation and introduce a neutral short-term bias.
0.80827 – Key Support: This level aligns with the chart’s recent lows. While it may trigger upside corrections, a break below it could reactivate significant selling pressure in upcoming sessions.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
USD/CHF TrendUSD/CHF has successfully broken out of the descending channel on the 15-minute timeframe, signaling a potential short-term trend reversal. The price is now consolidating above the broken channel, showing early signs of bullish momentum. As long as the price remains above 0.8110, further upside toward the resistance levels at 0.8125 and 0.8145 is expected. A break below 0.8089 would invalidate this bullish scenario and suggest a return to the previous downtrend.
USD/CHF H1 | Pullback resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementUSD/CHF is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.8189 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.8212 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 0.8156 which is a multi-swing-low support.
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USDCHF INTRADAY Bearish bias supported below 0.8265The USDCHF currency pair maintains a bearish bias, consistent with the prevailing downtrend. Current price action is showing signs of sideways consolidation, suggesting temporary indecision before a potential continuation move.
Key Resistance Level: 0.8265 — This marks a crucial intraday consolidation zone. A failure to break above this level may reinforce bearish sentiment.
Support Targets: If price rallies toward 0.8265 and is rejected:
0.8120 (primary support)
0.8080 (intermediate support)
0.8050 (long-term target)
On the bullish side, a confirmed breakout and daily close above 0.8265 would shift sentiment, potentially initiating a bullish reversal. In that case, watch for:
0.8300 (initial resistance)
0.8360 (extended resistance target)
Conclusion:
USDCHF remains in a bearish structure, with consolidation suggesting a possible continuation to the downside if 0.8265 holds as resistance. A clear breakout and daily close above this level would invalidate the bearish outlook and open the path to higher levels. Traders should monitor price behavior around 0.8265 for directional confirmation.
USD/CHF ShortUSD/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- Corrective tap into area of value.
- 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
- Tap into area of value.
- 1H impulse down below area of value.
- If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USDCHF - Bullish Ideathe currency pair is in downttrend for most of the sessions. But seem like bullsh have started to step in and the price is taking some support at current price level.
Bullish divergence have formed in 4H TF can indicate reversal . At the break of lower TF resestance entry can be placed with SL below the previous low
USDCHF: weekly overviewHello Traders,
In long-term, we anticipate a bearish move to 0.76500 for this pair. but for this week, our most important zone is the 0.81911
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The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
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Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Why You Should Avoid Safe-Haven Shorts Next WeekTraders, don’t walk into next week blind.
The U.S. and China are set to hold official trade talks in London on June 9, and the market is already shifting in anticipation.
This video breaks down exactly how the process works — from Trump’s surprise phone call, to tariff de-escalation, to what happens when global tensions ease.
If you're planning to short USD/JPY, USD/CHF, or any safe-haven pairs next week, you need to watch this first.
Because a positive trade outcome = risk-on sentiment, and that means JPY and CHF will likely weaken fast.
I explain:
Why optimism crushes safe-haven setups
What smart money is watching
How to align your trades with the macro narrative
And how not to get trapped like most retail traders will
📉 This is how real traders position ahead of a global sentiment shift.
Drop a comment if you’re preparing the same way, and follow for more macro-driven trade insights.
USD/CHF – BULLISH Plan for Next WeekThe battlefield is set.
The market has spoken — now it’s our turn to act.
This is my two-scenario strategy for USD/CHF going into next week, built around institutional behavior, liquidity grabs, and market structure.
📍 Zone Recap:
Liquidity Taken – Price swept below key support zones, triggering stop-losses and clearing out retail longs.
Support Levels – Minor zones were broken on the lower timeframes (LTF), but these are not structurally strong.
Institutional Setup – Smart money often manipulates these levels before initiating the true directional move.
🧭 SCENARIO 1 – The Bullish Continuation (More Likely)
The most probable outcome based on structure and liquidity behavior:
Price opens bullish.
Retests the broken minor support (now acting as demand).
Buys triggered after confirmation.
Targets:
First TP: 0.82650
Second TP: 0.83500+
Break above = room for explosive movement toward 0.84000–0.84500
This aligns with the concept of liquidity engineering, where the market takes the weak hands out before the real move starts.
⚔️ SCENARIO 2 – The Last Sweep Before the Climb (Less Likely but Possible)
If price opens bearish, we must remain vigilant:
A final push lower could target the same liquidity zone again,
further liquidating retail traders who jumped in early.
If this occurs, the real bullish move would follow, catching everyone off guard.
Entry would then be taken after a deeper retest + bullish market structure shift.
🧠 STRATEGY MINDSET:
This isn’t guesswork — this is preparation.
Retail sees chaos. Smart traders see order in manipulation.
We don’t chase moves. We understand them.
“The market punishes the impulsive and rewards the prepared.”
I stand with patience. I wait for confirmation.
I strike when the weak are removed and the zone is clean.
🔐 Remember:
No confirmation = no entry.
Adapt to the narrative the market gives you.
If 0.81750 breaks down with strength → pause. Reevaluate. No ego.
📈 USD/CHF outlook: Bullish bias, smart entry only.
Drop your thoughts, setups, or if you’re preparing for the same war.
Let’s grow and conquer — one level at a time.
USDCHF SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.83000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.99
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USDCHF Will Go Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.819.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.831 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDCHF: Bearish Wave Ahead 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Quick update for USDCHF.
Earlier on Monday, I shared a bearish forecast based on a
confirmed violation of a neckline of a head and shoulders pattern on a daily.
We got quite a deep retest of that and bears finally showed their presence.
I remain bearish bias and expect a bearish continuation soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Time to Demand Accountability from the Swiss National Bank (SNB)For far too long, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) have operated behind closed doors, shaping global financial realities in ways that disproportionately benefit a few and burden many. Their repeated currency interventions, most notably the artificial caps on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF exchange rates, reflect a deeper issue: a system where monetary sovereignty is manipulated to protect domestic interests at the expense of global fairness. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has used its monetary tools not just to stabilize its domestic economy, but to quietly exercise power over others. Through aggressive currency interventions, low interest rates, and strategic positioning of the Swiss franc as a "safe haven," the SNB has contributed to a financial system where many countries are locked into debt arrangements they can never realistically escape.
This didn’t start yesterday. Here’s the history they don’t talk about:
🔹 Post–World War II Era:
Switzerland remained neutral during the war and emerged with a strong financial system. It quickly became a key player in the Eurodollar market, which allowed banks (including Swiss ones) to lend US dollars offshore, outside of U.S. regulation. Many developing countries, desperate for post-war reconstruction funds, turned to these offshore lenders — often at terms that later proved unsustainable when the global interest rate environment shifted.
🔹 1970s–1980s Debt Crisis:
Swiss banks (along with others in the West) extended massive loans to developing countries — Latin America, Africa, parts of Asia — often encouraged by global institutions like the IMF and World Bank. These loans were typically denominated in Swiss francs or U.S. dollars, making repayment dependent on stable exchange rates.
But when the Swiss franc appreciated sharply in the 1980s and 1990s, many of these countries suddenly found their debts unpayable. The result: structural adjustment programs, austerity, privatization, and decades of dependency.
🔹 Eastern Europe, 2000s–2010s:
Swiss franc–denominated mortgages were pushed heavily in countries like Poland, Hungary, and Croatia, offering lower interest rates than local currencies. When the franc soared after the 2008 financial crisis and the SNB abandoned its EUR/CHF floor in 2015, borrowers saw their payments skyrocket overnight. Entire generations were trapped in personal debt — because of monetary decisions made in a country they had no vote in.
🔹 Modern Times – SNB as “Safe Haven” Weaponizer:
The SNB’s current cap on EUR/CHF (around 0.93) and its suppression of USD/CHF below 0.82 reflect the same pattern: Switzerland manipulating its currency to protect its export sector and keep foreign capital flowing in. Meanwhile, countries that borrowed in francs or depend on euro/franc parity for stability are squeezed.
Why This Matters Today
These practices aren’t just economic strategies — they are levers of control.
Countries that fall into this debt trap often lose control of monetary policy, domestic budgets, and even sovereign decision-making.
The SNB, unlike elected governments, answers to almost no one internationally. Yet its decisions affect millions beyond Swiss borders.
Let’s not stay silent just because it's Switzerland — a country with a reputation for neutrality and peace. Behind the banking halls and pristine image lies a long pattern of quiet domination through debt.