Euro / U.S. Dollar 4h Chart - OANDA4-hour candlestick chart showing the exchange rate between the Euro (EUR) and the U.S. Dollar (USD) from May to August 2025. The current rate is 1.16416, with a 0.14% increase (+0.00161). The chart highlights a peak around late June to early July, followed by a decline, with notable support and resistance levels marked at 1.17647 and 1.16416, respectively.
USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD| Back Aligned Bullish - Still in Analysis ModePair: EURUSD
Bias: Bullish
Following price closely and adapting to the market’s rhythm.
Recent structure showed that price is still respecting last week’s key zones — so I’ve realigned with the bullish bias accordingly.
No entries yet — still in analysis mode, which honestly is the best part 😉
Watching for clean LTF confirmations before engaging. No guessing. No forcing.
Price always tells the truth — you just gotta stay patient enough to listen.
#EURUSD #SMC #bullishbias #marketstructure #inducementking #smartmoneyflow
Bless Trading!
EUR/USD – Falling Wedge at Major Fibonacci Zone | Bullish ReversAfter a strong mid-June rally, EUR/USD has pulled back into a key fib cluster, showing early signs of reversal from a classic falling wedge pattern — often a precursor to bullish breakouts.
Technical Breakdown:
📉 Descending Trendline
🔍 Fibonacci Confluence:
Price is reacting from the 0.5-0.618 – 0.705 zone (1.16421-1.15969), aligning perfectly with historical demand and the golden zone of the fib retracement.
Just below sits the 0.79 fib (1.15339), which also marks our invalidity level for this idea — a deep but powerful retracement if tested.
💡 RSI:
While still below 50, it has created a hidden bullish divergence between July 12–17, hinting that momentum is flipping back to bulls.
🧠 Educational Insight:
This setup combines Trendlines, Fibonacci retracement theory, and EMA dynamics to build a multi-layered trade thesis — the type of confluence we look for at Wright Way Investments.
Price doesn’t just reverse because it hits a fib level. But when structure, EMAs, and RSI align — the odds increase significantly.
📈 Trade Setup (Idea-Based, Not Financial Advice):
Long Entry Zone: Current area (1.159–1.161), with confirmation above 1.1626
Invalidation: Clean break & close below 1.15339
Target Zones:
🎯 TP1 – 1.1642 (50 fib & retest zone)
🎯 TP2 – 1.1686 (38.2 fib)
🎯 TP3 – 1.1755 (Weekly Resistance)
📌 Summary:
EUR/USD is forming a textbook reversal setup, supported by fib precision and EMA alignment. Patience is key — but the ingredients are here for a strong bullish continuation.
The Day AheadKey Data Releases:
US:
Philadelphia Fed non-manufacturing activity – A pulse-check on services sector strength. Positive surprise could boost USD and Treasury yields.
Richmond Fed manufacturing & business conditions – Insight into regional factory health; any contraction signals broader economic weakness.
UK:
June Public Finances – Higher borrowing may raise concerns about fiscal headroom, putting pressure on gilts and GBP.
France:
June Retail Sales – A soft read may point to waning consumer demand, affecting Eurozone growth expectations.
Central Banks:
Fed Chair Powell Speaks:
Market-sensitive. Traders will watch closely for clues on rate cut timing—September odds remain high.
ECB Lending Survey:
Tightening credit standards may reinforce the case for ECB to hold or ease. Could weigh on EUR if dovish tones dominate.
BoE Governor Bailey Speaks:
Could guide GBP volatility. Hawkish lean might delay rate cut pricing.
RBA July Minutes:
Will reveal internal debate over inflation and growth. May impact AUD if dovish or hint at hikes.
Earnings to Watch:
Tech & Industrials:
SAP, Texas Instruments, RTX, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman – Key for assessing global capex and defense spending cycles.
Texas Instruments: A bellwether for chip demand—guidance will drive semiconductor sentiment.
Lockheed/Northrop: Defense outlook in focus amid geopolitical tensions.
Consumer & Financials:
Coca-Cola, Capital One, Equifax, General Motors, Sherwin-Williams – Consumer strength, credit conditions, and input cost pressures in focus.
Capital One, Equifax: Loan growth and credit quality trends will signal consumer resilience or stress.
GM: Comments on EV outlook and pricing will be market-moving.
Healthcare & Industrials:
Intuitive Surgical, Danaher, Sartorius: Indicators of medtech demand and R&D cycles.
Trading Implications:
Expect rate-sensitive assets (USD, US yields, GBP) to move on central bank commentary.
Risk sentiment may shift post-earnings depending on guidance, especially from tech and defense names.
Watch EUR reaction to ECB lending data; dovish tilt may push EUR/USD lower.
AUD volatility possible if RBA minutes are unexpectedly hawkish or dovish.
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The EUR & the USD. Events that can affect the move this weekThis week we are monitoring EUR and USD carefully, as we could see some interesting moves, due to some events on the economic calendar. Let's dig in.
FX_IDC:EURUSD
MARKETSCOM:EURUSD
TVC:DXY
MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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EURUSD Consolidating now, but soon may reveal a new trend!!!EURUSD is consolidating between the red box shown. Previously, it can be seen that, this whole area between 1.17050 and 1.16630 is very choppy, and not the best area to place any trades.
Look at the market structure latest HH. If price pushes above 1.17050, we will continue in an uptrend, and then we will look for BUYS.
Now, look at the red trendline drawn. It is interacting with the consolidation zone. We have a very small pullback at the red arrow drawn. It exactly sits at 1.16630.
The point is, if price goes below that level, we will know that price is respecting the trendline and would most likely continue moving down. Therefore, we look for SELLS.
Obviously, we dont want to get caught in any fakeouts. So we will further look at how the candles are being formed later and what story they tell.
Now we wait and watch.
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 22, 2025 EURUSDThe euro is trading near 1.1700, having retreated from an intraday high of 1.1720 after the release of the final June U.S. CPI figures, which confirmed a slowdown in inflation to 2.7% y/y and 0.1% m/m while keeping the core reading steady at 3.1%. The brief rise in risk appetite quickly gave way to stronger demand for the dollar as the probability of the Fed’s first rate cut in September fell from 65% to 55%.
Additional pressure on the euro comes from the yield differential: 10-year U.S. Treasuries hover around 4.45%, while German Bunds yield only 2.30%. The gap of more than 215 bp encourages capital to flow from the eurozone into dollar assets, supporting USD demand.
Fundamentally, risks for the euro remain tilted to the downside: after June’s rate cut the ECB said further moves depend on price dynamics, and the eurozone composite PMI dropped to 50.1 – the brink of stagnation. Against the backdrop of weak continental activity and moderate yet persistent U.S. inflation, the pair may test support at 1.1615 in the coming sessions, especially if U.S. durable-goods orders exceed forecasts.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.1700, SL 1.1720, TP 1.1615
Bullish Setup Loading: Watching Structure & Confirmation ZonesHello Traders,
Price is currently in a counter-trend pullback phase, showing signs of temporary weakness within a larger bullish context. Patience is key as we wait for price to build structure and break the internal Lower High (LH), which would act as an early signal of bullish continuation.
The 4-hour internal structure remains strongly bullish, following a clean mitigation of the daily bullish continuation demand zone. A long setup from a 4H Point of Interest (POI), backed by Lower Timeframe (LTF) confirmation, offers a high-probability trade aligned with the higher timeframe trend. Confirmation through structural shifts will reduce risk and increase confidence in directional bias.
EURUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.1667 a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.1706, a swing high resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.1642, a pullback support.
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EUR/USD Holds Firm Near 1.1700 Amid Trade TensionsFundamental analysis
The EUR/USD pair remains buoyant near 1.1700 in todays Asian session, extending monday’s gains as the US Dollar weakens sharply amid renewed US-EU trade tensions.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is treading water around 97.88, down from its recent one month high of 99.00, as risk sentiment deteriorates following reports that President Trump is pushing for tariffs of 15%-20%, above the previously discussed 10%. Additionally, his unwillingness to ease the 25% auto levy has triggered a more aggressive EU stance, with Germany joining France in calling for retaliatory measures.
On the monetary policy front, markets are focused on the European Central Bank (ECB), which is widely expected to keep rates unchanged on Thursday. However, President Christine Lagarde’s guidance will be crucial for gauging the euro’s direction in the second half of the year.
Meanwhile, traders in the US remain confident that the Federal Reserve will leave its benchmark rate at 4.25%–4.50% in next week’s meeting, further limiting upside for the dollar.
Technical analysis
EUR/USD remains caught within a pivotal range, with directional conviction still lacking as momentum indicators remain subdued.
Upside Potential
The pair must vault above the 2025 high of 1.1830 (July 1) to open the path toward the June 2018 peak at 1.1852. A sustained break above this dual resistance zone would likely encourage a bullish continuation, targeting fresh multi-year highs.
Downside Risk
Conversely, a breach of July’s base at 1.1556 would weaken the current structure and potentially trigger a deeper pullback:
Initial support emerges at the 55-day moving average near 1.1485. Below that, the May 29 weekly low at 1.1210 offers the next significant floor. A failure to hold these levels could expose the psychologically critical 1.1000 handle, a key long-term support.
The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
EUR/USD at Resistance – Will Sellers Push Price Down to 1.15000?Hello fellow traders! What’s your take on EUR/USD?
From Brian’s personal perspective:
This currency pair is approaching a key resistance zone, which previously acted as a strong support level. This area aligns with historical price reactions and could serve as a solid foundation for potential bearish movements.
If sellers confirm their presence through bearish price action, I anticipate the price could move toward 1.15000. However, a clear break above this resistance level may signal the possibility of further bullish continuation.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
EUR/USD AccumulationOn the 5-minute timeframe, buying activity initiates, signaling the potential end of the downtrend. The first indication of upward momentum appears following the formation of a range and a subsequent liquidity sweep. Price then retests the prior low with diminished volume but fails to break below it, suggesting that selling pressure is being absorbed by buyers. This behavior reflects accumulation by informed participants positioning for a move higher. As demand begins to outweigh supply, clear signs of strength emerge
Entry: 1.15765
Take Profit: 1.16279
Stop Loss: 1.15621
EURUSD: Expecting Bearish Movement! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURUSD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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BUY FIBERGreetings traders, today we are looking for buys on EURUSD. Our first entry is at 1.16288 and second entry will be lower at 1.16046 our target is 1.16854 and stops are below 1.15883. use proper risk management and best of luck.
This trade is based on a fine tuned DAILY approach to the algo. Be careful and risk wisely.