Time to play the Euro It's hard for me to remember the last time the Euro burned me. its been a long trend since liberation day. Time to play the Euro this week, Volume Divergence. Eurozone PMIs
USDEUR trade ideas
$EU (EURUSD) 4HEURUSD is forming a potential inverse head-and-shoulders just above a 4H fair value gap (FVG).
We expect one more dip toward the 1.1580–1.1595 zone to complete the right shoulder and tap demand.
From there, a breakout above the descending trendline can target 1.1740 next.
The key here is watching the reaction after the FVG test — if buyers step in strong, we ride it up.
Smart Money Reloading: Will EUR/USD Explode from Demand Zone?📊 Technical Context (Daily)
EUR/USD is currently in a corrective phase following the strong June rebound from the 1.1450 area, which culminated in a high near the 1.1850 supply zone.
The recent bearish move has pushed the pair back into a key demand area between 1.1450 and 1.1550, a zone that has acted as support multiple times in the past.
The latest weekly candle shows a potential bullish exhaustion signal (long lower wick), with the RSI hovering in oversold territory.
📌 Primary scenario: Possible consolidation above 1.1550 followed by a bullish continuation toward 1.1750–1.1800.
📌 Alternative scenario: Break of the recent lows could lead to a deeper retest of the 1.1350 zone.
📈 COT (Commitment of Traders)
Non-commercial positioning shows growing bullish interest in the euro:
EUR: +971 new longs, -6,654 shorts → strong increase in net long exposure.
USD Index: -267 longs, +92 spreads → signs of institutional indecision on the dollar.
This suggests a favorable shift toward the euro by smart money.
💡 Retail Sentiment
Retail traders remain heavily short on EUR/USD (63% short) with an average entry price of 1.1579.
This reinforces the contrarian bullish case, as retail traders are trapped short in a potential reversal zone.
📆 Seasonality
Historically, July has been a bullish month for EUR/USD:
➕ 2Y average return: +0.0287
➕ 5Y average return: +0.0166
This supports a seasonal bullish bias aligning with the current technical setup.
✅ Operational Outlook
EUR/USD is trading at a technically and macroeconomically significant area. The confluence of:
Weekly demand zone being tested
RSI in oversold conditions
COT positioning favoring the euro
Retail sentiment skewed short
Bullish seasonality
…makes a bullish bounce plausible in the coming weeks, with a first target at 1.1750. Invalidation level below 1.1450.
📌 Bias: Moderately Bullish
📍 Technical Activation Zone: Above 1.1550 with confirmed bullish price action
EURUSD is Nearing an Important Support!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.15400 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.15400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
EURUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.1627
Stop Loss - 1.1586
Take Profit - 1.1711
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
EURUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W30 | Y25📊 EURUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST
Q3 | W30 | Y25
Weekly Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT FOREX ANALYSIS 📊
123 Quick Learn Trading Tips - Tip #7 - The Dual Power of Math123 Quick Learn Trading Tips - Tip #7
The Dual Power of Math: Logic for Analysis, Willpower for Victory
✅ An ideal trader is a mix of a sharp analyst and a tough fighter .
To succeed in the financial markets, you need both logical decision-making and the willpower to stay on track.
Mathematics is the perfect gym to develop both of these key skills at the same time.
From a logical standpoint, math turns your mind into a powerful analysis tool. It teaches you how to break down complex problems into smaller parts, recognize patterns, and build your trading strategies with step-by-step thinking.
This is the exact skill you need to deeply understand probabilities and accurately calculate risk-to-reward ratios. 🧠
But the power of math doesn't end with logic. Wrestling with a difficult problem and not giving up builds a steel-like fighting spirit. This mental strength helps you stay calm during drawdowns and stick to your trading plan.
"Analyze with the precision of a mathematician and trade with the fighting spirit of a mathematician 👨🏻🎓,
not with the excitement of a gambler 🎲. "
Navid Jafarian
Every tip is a step towards becoming a more disciplined trader.
Look forward to the next one! 🌟
EUR/USD chart As Per 1 hour Time FrameEUR/USD chart As Per 1 hour Time Frame
Fibonacci Retracement Buy entry.
THINKMARKETS:EURUSD
Buy 1.16200
Target 1,20000
Stoploss 1.14300
eurusdin this week for eurusd
its break down the line and pullback to it successfully.
now it can goes down to the 1.14550 zoon and if it happens we can wait for head and shoulder pattern .
EUR USD short setupwe had lower low so i say it may go further down , consider its Friday we may see ranging market so waiting for over price can be logical ...
Please note: This is for educational purposes only and not a trading signal. These ideas are shared purely for back testing and to exchange views. The goal is to inspire ideas and encourage discussion. If you notice anything wrong, feel free to share your thoughts. In the end, to learn is to share !
Sell eurusdStrong sell expected
Still weekly and monthly overbought pair
Bearish correction expected
Daily buy trend broken
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 18, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the current trading session, the Euro has continued its decline, completing our Mean Support level of 1.160. Recent analyses indicate that the Euro is likely to experience a sustained downward trend, with an anticipated retest at the Mean Support level of 1.159 and a possible further decline to reach a Currency Dip of 1.152. Nevertheless, it is crucial to consider the potential for a dead-cat bounce toward the Mean Resistance level of 1.167, which could trigger a significant reversal of the downtrend and target a Currency Dip of 1.152.
EURUSD SELL SETUPThis is my view on eurusd, kindly watch and share your opinion in the comment section
will it rise then fall or will it fall first then rise?Two different scenarios for EURUSD, is it a rise then a fall or a fall first then a rise.
To answer this question, we need to look at the economic data that was expected last week, especially on Friday, which shows short-term inflation. This path could be in the wake of a US interest rate cut.
EUR/USD Bearish Reversal Confirmed – Smart Money Distribution Ne📅 Posted July 18, 2025 | 🔍 VolanX Protocol Insight
📉 Market Outlook:
The EUR/USD pair has rejected the premium supply zone (1.17–1.18) after failing to maintain structure above the red trendline. Price is now breaking down with bearish pressure building toward equilibrium at 1.09544.
📊 VolanX DSS Breakdown:
🔴 Premium Rejection confirms distribution by institutional players.
📈 Trendline Violation + SMC BOS = Shift to markdown phase.
🧠 VolanX Signal Score: Neutral → Bearish
→ Favoring short plays targeting deeper liquidity blocks.
🌐 Macro Narrative (Q3 2025):
🇺🇸 USD Strength: Driven by sticky inflation and delayed Fed cuts (Q4 expected).
🇪🇺 Eurozone Softness: Germany's PMI fell below 50; ECB’s cautious tone continues.
🏦 Rate Divergence Play: US-EU real yield gap widening → capital flowing into USD.
🎯 Probabilistic Target Path (Yellow Line):
✅ 1.1500: First liquidity gap
✅ 1.1150: Midblock retrace
🎯 1.09544: Equilibrium & High-Confidence Institutional Re-entry Zone
🛡️ VolanX Protocol Note:
This forecast is part of the WaverVanir Smart Futures Playbook. All trades are structured with AI-defined probability zones, institutional positioning layers, and macro-event syncing. The VolanX engine will reassess upon retest of the 1.1500 mid-zone.
#EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #MacroFX #VolanX #WaverVanir #LiquidityZones #InstitutionalTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #DXY #Eurozone #FED #ECB #OptionsFlow
Bearish Breakdown on EUR/USD: Support Flip and Short SetupThis EUR/USD 1-hour chart shows a bearish setup after price breaks below a rising support trendline. A potential short trade is indicated, with a stop loss at 1.16453 and a target at 1.15779. The highlighted green zone marks a key support-turned-resistance area.
EURUSD: Can't break the whale line!📉 EUR/USD Whale Wall – 1.1675 Rejection Zone
🐋 Smart Money is guarding 1.1675 like it’s sacred.
Every test into this level has been slapped down—likely a whale-level supply zone where institutional sell orders are stacked. VolanX projection curve suggests a macro fade into late July, aligning with DXY strength and bond volatility signals.
Outlook:
As long as 1.1675 holds, momentum favors downside toward 1.1450–1.1400. Rate divergence + weak Eurozone prints fuel the short bias. Break above 1.1675 invalidates.
📊 VolanX Protocol – Predict. React. Dominate.
#WaverVanir #VolanX #EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #FXStrategy #MacroTrading
Engulfing SellThe asset shows signs of continuation in a downtrend. After a significant retracement at a favorable Fibonacci level, a bearish engulfing pattern appeared. This engulfing pattern resulted in a behavioral shift, causing the temporary pullback to resume its decline. I believe this will be the case, provided that the subsequent candlesticks confirm the entry signal.
ATM_GS : We are nearing...
End of correction and trend continuation towards 1.195?EURUSD is in an important support area, retesting the bottom line of the wedge. I'm loking foward for any sign of reversal from here.
#EURUSD: Last Bullish Price Extension! Get Ready! EURUSD is approaching our buying zone, a key level, which suggests a smooth bullish reversal. As this is a swing trade, we advise keeping stop losses larger. There are two targets to keep an eye on. Remember, this is not a guaranteed move, and this is just our overview. Good luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx_
EURUSD Liquidity Grab at supportEURUSD respacing this trendline support and price pulled back several time and price may move up with this.
EURusd short position 18/07/2025English : According to our analysis, we anticipate a bearish scenario.
Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna antsanaw hboot
ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals
